• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.15 no.1
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• pp.249-255
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• 2014

This paper deals with measurement on the economic impact of tax-free oil for Agriculture in Korea. According to increasing of world oil price, the supply policy of agricultural tax-free oil, which specified to support farmers since 1986, are required to expand by farmers. But the supply quantity of tax-free oil is deceased continuously and Korean Ministry of Trade, Industry, and Energy(MOTIE) present stance of sundown policy of tax-free oil for agriculture. In this context, It is necessary and important to measure the economic impact of the supply policy of tax-free oil for agriculture. This study address a econometric method for measurement the economic impact of the supply policy of tax-free oil and suggest several policy implements. Our results show that when the supply policy of tax-free oil for agriculture is annihilated in phases over the five years. the agricultural GDP is decreased by about 3,195 billion korean won and the agricultural price level is increased by 26.6 points after 5 years.

• The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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• v.14D no.1 s.111
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• pp.107-120
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• 2007

When it tomes to IT investment, it's a challenge for the management to make the right decision. Unlike investment in other business area, it's hard to measure direct cost vs. effect in IT business. To validate the investment in IT, it is required to establish objective assessment system that both provider and beneficiary of information can accept, and it is also required to suggest an assessment tool of fixed quantity that includes measuring standards and method for the economic effect of new investment. This study, therefore, has developed IT ROI Methodology that can prove investment validity by accepting the strong points of the existing models while complementing their weak points and by analyzing IT Investment and IT Efforts. It also has built an IT ROI System that reflects the methodology which is applied to 21 companies of 5 business categories. This system is designed to provide effective and objective decision-making tool for IT investment by proving what positive impacts IT could have on business activities.

• Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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• v.20 no.1
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• pp.70-83
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• 2017

Traditionally, economic growth has been uneven over the space. It has also been true for the recovery from social and economic crisis in old industrial areas of the advanced economies. Even if many of such old industrial areas were seriously affected by de-industrialization, some areas have been showing progress, while others have not been so. While interpreting this phenomenon used to be a key issue in economics, main stream liberal economic theorists' explanation was uneven distribution of economic resources, such as raw materials, labour and money. However, some revolutionary economic theorists have brought in the concept of "history" in explaining the phenomenon. Path dependence theorists, for example, interpretate the emergence of different growth paths with the concept of historical accidents. This contrasts to the recent argument of the group of scholars suggesting the concept of "regional resilience," who argue that uneven growth and different growth paths are originated from different regional resilience. This paper introduces the backgrounds, characteristics and utilities of the two theories: path dependence theory and the concept of regional resilience.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.23 no.6
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• pp.997-1021
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• 2010

This paper compares the two most widely used seasonal adjustment methods: the X-12-ARIMA and TRAMO-SEATS procedures. The basic features of these methods are discussed and compared in both their theoretical and empirical aspects. In doing so, the X-13A-S program is used to reevaluate their applicability to Korean macroeconomic data by considering possible structural breaks in the series. The finding is that both methods provide very reliable and stable estimates of seasonal factors and seasonally adjusted data. As for the empirical comparisons, TRAMO-SEATS appears to outperform X-12-ARIMA, although the results are somewhat mixed depending on the comparison criteria used and on the series under analysis. In particular, the performance of TRAMO-SEATS turns out to compare more favorably when seasonal adjustment is carried out to each sub-samples (by taking possible structural breaks into account) than when the whole sample period is used. The result suggests that as the model-based TRAMO-SEATS has a considerable theoretical appeal, some features of TRAMO-SEATS should further be incorporated into X-12-ARIMA until a standard and integrated procedure is reached by combining the theoretical coherence of TRAMO-SEATS and the empirical usefulness of X-12-ARIMA.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.131-140
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• 2013

Econometric forecast models based on past time-series data have been applied to a wide variety of applications due to their advantages in short-term point estimating. These models are particularly used in predicting the impact of governmental research and development (R&D) programs because program managers should assert their feasibility due to R&D program's huge amount of budget. The construction governmental R&D programs, however, separately make an investment by dividing total budget into five sub-business area. It make R&D program managers difficult to understand how R&D programs affect the whole system including economy because they are restricted with regard to many dependent and dynamic variables. In this regard, system dynamics (SD) model provides an analytic solution for complex, nonlinear, and dynamic systems such as the impacts of R&D programs by focusing on interactions among variables and understanding their structures. This research, therefore, developed SD model to capture the different impacts of five construction R&D sub-business by considering different characteristics of sub-business area. To overcome the SD's disadvantages in point estimating, this research also proposed the method for constructing quantitative forecasting model using qualitative data. Understanding the different characteristics of each construction R&D sub-business can support R&D program managers to demonstrate their feasibility of capital investment.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.9 no.4
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• pp.25-58
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• 1987

본(本) 연구(硏究)는 해외여건 변화에 따른 우리나라 국제수지조정과정(國際收支調整過程)의 특징을 밝히며 아울러 이미 발표된 분기모형(分期模型) 추정기간(推定期間)을 1985년 제4분기까지 연장해 재추정한 결과를 보고하고 이를 이용해 해외여건 변화의 효과를 분석하고자 함에 그 목적이 있다. 국제수지(國際收支)의 변동(變動)을 요인별로 분화(分化)하여 보면 제1,2차 오일 쇼크 초기의 경상수지 악화는 유가급등(油價急騰)에 의한 교역조건 악화에 그 주인(主因)이 있다. 이후 경상수지 적자는 서로 다른 과정을 밟아 줄어들게 되는데 1976~77년의 경우 수출촉진(輸出促進)으로, 1981~82년의 경우 총수요조정(總需要調整)으로 국제수지 개선을 도모하였다. 이와 같이 양기간중 상이한 방법으로 적응한 것은 양기간중 해외여건이 서로 달랐기 때문이며 이 점에서 우리나라 국제수지의 조정도 여타 수출지향적(輸出指向的) 성장국(成長國)과 유사한 과정을 밟았다. 분기계량모형(分期計量模型)을 이용하면 제2차 오일 쇼크 기간에는 제1차 오일 쇼크 기간에 비해 유가(油價)가 상대적으로 덜 상승하였으나 해외수요(海外需要) 부진(不振), 달러강세(强勢) 및 고금리(高金利)로 해외여건은 전반적으로 우리 경제에 보다 불리하게 작용하였다. 1986년중 경상수지 흑자는 대부분 해외여건의 호전으로 설명되고 있다.

• Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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• v.7 no.2
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• pp.17-21
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• 1979

There are many kinds of the mathematical models which are developed for choosing the economic inspection plan. The aim of this paper is to classify these mathematical models, and to examine their characteristics. The mathematical models for choosing the economic inspection plan can be classified into three groups. The first of it is the break-even analysis, the second group of the model is to choose the inspection plan so as to minimize total sampling inspection cost function, and the third group of it is the model to choose the inspection plan which maximize the profit function of the sampling inspection. As a result of examining the characteristics of this classified group of the models the model to choose the inspection plan which minimize total sampling inspection cost is more economical than the other models.

• Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
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• 1999.10a
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• pp.15-20
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• 1999

아시아지역은 경제적 침체기에서 서서히 회복되어가면서 항공교통수요 또한 경제적 위기 이전의 수준으로 회복해가고 있고 21세기의 새로운 출발과 동북아지역 국가들의 경제활동 활성화로 새로운 항공교통수요가 증대되어가고 있는 시점이다. 동북아 국가들은 자국의 경제 활성화를 위해 공항의 새로운 건설과 확장 등을 계획$.$실행해오고 있으며, 이를 통하여 동북아지역에서의 항공산업의 우위성을 확보하려하고 있다. 중국, 일본 등 우리나라와 경쟁관계에 있는 나라들이 기존 공항의 확장과 신설을 통해 경쟁력을 높이려하고 있으며, 공항의 경쟁력을 높이는데 필수적 요소 중의 하나인 외국 항공사의 유치를 위한 對항공사 마케팅을 다양하고 구체적인 방법으로 실행하고 있다. 우리나라도 2001년 동북아의 중추적인 공항의 건설과 개항을 맞이하여 이들 경쟁공항과의 경쟁에서 우위성을 확보하기 위한 하나의 방안으로서 자국 및 외국항공사의 비행편 유치에 대한 공항마케팅 측면에서의 접근이 필요하게 되었다. 본 연구는 우리나라와 지리적인 국토면적 여건이 비슷한 암스테르담 스키폴공항, 히드로공항 등의 공항들이 취하고 있는 대항공사마케팅 정책과 대항공사 유치를 위해 현재 실행하고 있는 방법들을 통해 앞으로 인천국제공항이 공항마케팅에서의 대항공사 마케팅 전략 수립시 고려 방안들을 제시하고자한다. 이에 공항마케팅의 일반적인 고찰과 외국 선진공항들의 대항공사마케팅전략을 고찰하고, 현재 인천국제공항의 경쟁공항인 동북아지역의 중국 및 일본 공항들의 현황등을 살펴보고자 한다. 마지막으로는 계량적 방법과 문헌들을 통해 여러 가지 방안들을 고려하여 인천국제공항이 실행하여야하는 대항공사마케팅전략방안을 제시하여 본 연구의 목적을 달성하려한다. 및 화물교통량의 증가를 예상하여 5%, 10%, 20%의 증가에 대한 민감도 분석을 실시한 결과 대안1의 경우 교통량의 변화 및 화물통행의 시간가치의 증가시 사회적 편익이 오히려 감소하였고, 대안2와 3의 경우 사회적 편익이 증가하는 것을 알 수 있었다. 이는 경부고속도로의 화물차량의 구성비에 따라 대안 1의 경우 오히려 화물차의 통행시간이 증가함에 그 원인이 있다 할 것이다. 이상과 같은 결론을 통하여 경부고속도로상의 화물전용차선의 설치시는 수답렬 교통량의 구성비와 구간 평균교통량에 의하여 그 효과가 다르게 나타남을 알 수 있었다. 따라서 물류비용 절감차원에서의 화물전용차선의 설치는 본 연구에서 나타낸 방법과 같이 수단간의 경제적 편익을 고려한 구간별 시간대별 효과분석을 통하여 정책의 시행여부가 결정되어야 할 것이다. 한편, 화물전용차선의 설치로 인한 물류비용의 절감을 보다 효과적으로 달성하기 위해서는 종합류류 전산망의 시급한 구축과 함께 화물차의 적재율을 높이고 공차율을 낮출 수 있는 운송체계의 수립이 필요한 것으로 판단된다. 그라나 이러한 화물전용차선의 효과는 단기적인 치유책일 수밖에 없기 때문에 물류유통 시설의 확충을 위한 사회간접자본의 구축을 서둘러 시행하여야 할 것이다.으로 처리한 Machine oil, Phenthoate EC 및 Trichlorfon WP는 비교적 약효가 낮았다.>$^{\circ}$E/$\leq$30$^{\circ}$NW 단열군이 연구지역 내에서 지하수 유동성이 가장 높은 단열군으로 추정된다. 이러한 사실은 3개 시추공을 대상으로 실시한 시추공 내 물리검층과 정압주입시험에서도 확인된다.. It was resulted

• Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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• v.14 no.4
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• pp.205-212
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• 2009

Intelligent Transport Systems(ITS) has been currently growing attention in industry as hightech traffic system and ITS infrastructure has been built not only on expressway but also on national highways. Although the effect of ITS installation on national highways is not easy to measure with quantitative methodology, it is necessary to develop the quantitative method to verify the effect accurate analysis of ITS effect. In this study, the analysis of cost efficiency of ITS project carried out by Iksan Regional Constriction Management Administration(IRCMA) was conducted. Analysis period and discount rate were assumed as 10 years and 5.5%, respectively. Several measures of the effect including reduction of travel time, CO2 discharged and fuel and the value of Variable Message Sign(VMS) information were proposed. Concludingly, ITS project implemented by IRCMA appeared to be cost effective, indicating 1.20 of B/C ratio, 12.4% of IRR and W1.48 billion of NPV.

• Journal of Labour Economics
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• v.29 no.2
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• pp.67-116
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• 2006

This study directly analyzes the wage distributions rather than indirectly looking at a few of their moments. It also investigates wage distributions using various descriptive and semi-parametric methods. The wage distributions of Korean manufacturing industries can in general be represented by three distinct forms, underdeveloped, advanced and the medium of the two. The discrepancies in these distribution forms are explained by differences in the labor-type distributions and their weights in the composition of wage distribution forms, and further clarified through various descriptive statistics based on them. However, the descriptive statistical analysis has a limit in that it shows mixed outcomes of different categoric variables. Then, this problem is resolved by applying a semi-parametric estimation of hazard function and the marginal effect evaluations of variable changes on estimated distributions not on the function. As a result of this marginal analysis, the common features and differences of categoric variables and their intensities of effects on distributions are revealed.