• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2016.05a
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• pp.48-48
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• 2016

전 지구적으로 발생하는 기후변화의 영향으로 다양한 형태의 자연재해가 점차 증가할 것으로 전망되고 있다. 우리나라는 매년 발생하는 태풍과 집중호우로 인하여 심대한 규모의 사회적 경제적 국가적 손실이 발생하고 있다. 이러한 기후변화로 인한 재해피해 규모가 점점 커짐에 따라 국내 외 다양한 기후변화 연구들이 진행되고 있다. 기상청은 IPCC (Intergovermental Panel on Climate Change) 5차 평가보고서(5th Assessment Report, AR5)에 따른 국가표준 기후변화 시나리오를 산출하여 제공하고 있다. 총 4가지의 RCP (Representative Concentration Pathways) 시나리오 중 온실가스 저감 정책이 상당히 실현되는 경우인 RCP4.5 시나리오를 선정하여 연구를 수행하였다. 본 연구에서는 관측된 연최대 강우자료와 기후변화 RCP4.5 시나리오에서 생산되는 강우자료를 이용하여 확률강우량을 추정하였고 이를 비교하여 기후변화로 인한 확률강우량의 변화를 분석하였다. 강우자료의 최적 확률분포형으로 Gumbel 분포와 GEV (Generalized Extreme Value) 분포를, 매개변수 추정방법으로 확률가중모멘트법을 선정하였다. 본 연구에서 분석한 현재 대비 미래 기간의 확률강우량 변화를 통하여 기후변화를 고려한 보다 안정적인 수공구조물 설계에 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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• 2024.05a
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• pp.531-533
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• 2024

최근 AI 를 비롯한 데이터 기반의 비즈니스 모델 증가에 따라, 데이터 유출 등의 기업 정보보안 사고가 빈번하게 발생하고 있다. 해당 사고들은 종종 법적 분쟁으로 이어지며, 이는 기업의 막대한 경제적 손실을 초래하며 정보보안 사고를 선제적으로 대비하기 위한 기술적, 관리적 조치 마련을 위한 기업의 관심이 증가하고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 최근 들어 급증한 기업의 정보보안 관련 판례를 대상으로 BERTopic, Top2Vec, LDA 를 활용하여 토픽 모델링을 수행하여 산출된 토픽 기반의 기업 정보보안 사고를 유형화하고자 한다. 전통적으로 각각 다른 법적 요소와 판결을 담고 있어, 유사 사건 간의 비교 및 분석이 어려운 판례 데이터의 특징을 반영하여 본 연구에서는 앞서 제시된 3가지의 모델을 각각 적용한다. 이를 통하여 각 모델 수행 결과의 성능 비교를 통하여 기업의 정보보안 사건의 유형화 및 동향을 파악하는 동시에 판례 데이터를 분석하기 위한 최적의 모델을 확인한다.

• Asia-pacific Journal of Multimedia Services Convergent with Art, Humanities, and Sociology
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• v.7 no.1
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• pp.117-125
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• 2017

People believe that they make a rational decision. But the results of behavioral economics research show that people make a emotional decision at many times. The perception of fairness is one of the example in emotional decision. Sometimes people give up their monetary profit and revenge counterpart when they feel unfair. So the perception of fairness is very important. Two experiment was conducted. In experiment 1, researcher studied the effect of the pre-investment cost in perception of fairness. The result showed people who had pre-investment cost thought more unfair but were more likely to continue prior decision. In experiment 2, researcher studied the effect of type of CEO and message frame in perception of fairness. The results showed that people thought the proposal was more unfair when CEO was son of founder and message was gain and loss framing message.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.29 no.2
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• pp.106-117
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• 2023

The social impact of hazardous and noxious substances from marine industrial facilities was evaluated, and implications for the application of social impact assessment items and methods required in the process of setting technology-based effluent limitations were derived. The scope of the study was based on marine industrial facilities in Incheon Metropolitan City. The analysis results are as follows. First, the impact on companies and industries was evaluated as "great," but large companies had little impact on operating profit losses, bankruptcy possibilities, and employment losses, while small and medium-sized companies had a large impact. Second, the impact on the community and economy was evaluated as "less," but it is judged that careful policy intervention is needed because the impact of fishing producers, local tourism workers, and the region can be concentrated and large. Third, it is judged that items and methods for calculating social loss costs and social benefits can be usefully applied in the method of setting technology-based effluent limitations.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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• v.18 no.4
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• pp.165-170
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• 2004

This paper presents summary results of direct interview survey of Korean industrial customers conducted to evaluate the direct and short duration interruption costs resulting from local random electrical supply interruptions. The cost is evaluated using the questionnaires authors designed, which are mainly on the experience or preparatory actions consumers predicted they would take. Economic evaluation of reliability that traditionally takes into account duration and frequency of interruption does not accurately reflect the lost value or economic impacts of industrial customer, especially large size, caused by any kind of interruption. So, to imply the substantial difference in costs incurred by different customer group, the authors apply the international standards, i.e. IEC, IEEE, to the analysis on the interruption costs.

• Geotechnical Engineering
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.19-26
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• 1994

In this paper, the application of the rock classification method based on indicator kriging and the cost of errors, which can incorporate qualitative data, was presented. In particular, the binary classification of rock masses was considered. To this end, a simplified RMR system was used. Since most of subjectivity in this analysis occur during the estimation of loss functions, a sensitivity analysis of loss functions was performed. Through this research, it was found out that an expected cost of errors could successfully be used as an indication for how well a sampling plan was designed. In certain conditions, qualitative data can be more economical than quantitative data in terms of expected costs of errors and sampling costs. Therefore, an additional sampling should be carefully determined depending upon the surrounding geologic conditions and its sampling cost. The application method shown in this paper can be useful for more systematic rock classifications.

• Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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• v.2 no.2
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• pp.161-166
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• 2015

The inappropriate hydraulic design criteria on the new revetment technique for the ecological river restoration project happens to lead to economic loss during the flood season. In this study, the hydraulic stability of the developed non-toxic revetment was evaluated at a maximum discharge of $3.0m^3/s$ and a maximum velocity of 3.0 m/s in a real scale experimental channel. The vertical movement of the non-toxic revetment block was in the range of ${\pm}3mm$ mm in the experimental conditions. The results show that the non-toxic revetment block was sufficiently hydraulically secured.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.17 no.5
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• pp.325-331
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• 2016

This research developed a flood fragility curve of bridges considering the debris impacts. Damage and failures of civil infrastructure due to natural disasters can cause casualties as well as social and economic losses. Fragility analysis is an effective tool to help better understand the vulnerability of a structure to possible extreme events, such as earthquakes and floods. In particular, flood-induced failures of bridges are relatively common in Korea, because of the mountainous regions and summer concentrated rainfall. The main failure reasons during floods are reported to be debris impact and scour; however, research regarding debris impacts is considered challenging due to various uncertainties that affect the failure probability. This study introduces a fragility analysis methodology for evaluating the structural vulnerability due to debris impacts during floods. The proposed method describes how the essential components in fragility analysis are considered, including limit-state function, intensity measure of the debris impact, and finite element model. A numerical example of the proposed fragility analysis is presented using a bridge pier system under a debris impact.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.40 no.5
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• pp.455-463
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• 2020

Road facilities with a service life of more than 30 years are expected to triple in the next ten years. The seismic performance of road facilities should be reviewed with consideration of the "Common Application of Seismic Design Standards" issued by Korea's Ministry of Public Administration and Security in 2017. These standards should be applied to all existing road facilities, including retrofitted or seismic-designed facilities, for evaluating seismic performance. In order to manage seismic performance for a large number of facilities, decision-support technology that can provide economic and reliable results is needed. However, the indices method currently used in Korea is a deterministic method, and the seismic performance of individual facilities is evaluated based on qualitative indices so that only retrofitting among road facilities is prioritized. In turn, with the indices method, it is difficult to support decisions other than the decision to prioritize retrofitting. Therefore, it is necessary to use the seismic risk assessment method to overcome such shortcomings and provide useful information such as direct loss, indirect socio-economic loss, and benefit of the investment.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.18 no.3
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• pp.393-430
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• 2009

This study uses a computable partial-equilibrium model of the U.S. energy industry to evaluate sulfur dioxide concentrations under two environmental policies. The policies, generator-level emission caps and tradable allowances, are selected to yield identical aggregate emissions. Regional concentrations are found to vary across the two policies significantly. These variations translate into different losses for individual states, and, nationwide, to differences of hundreds of millions of dollars in aggregate health damages. Emission caps outperform allowances by $452 million. Caps favor the southwestern, south-central and southeastern states, where they deliver $840 million lower damages than the other policies, while they deliver $390 million higher damages In northern and northeastern states.