• Title/Summary/Keyword: 경제적파급효과

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The Impact of US Monetary Policy upon Korea's Financial Markets and Capital Flows: Based on TVP-VAR Analysis (미국 통화정책이 국내 금융시장 및 자금유출입에 미치는 영향: TVP-VAR 모형 분석)

  • Suh, Hyunduk;Kang, Tae Soo
    • Economic Analysis
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.132-176
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    • 2019
  • We use a time-varying parameter vector auto regression (TVP-VAR) model to understand the impact of U.S. monetary policy normalization on Korean financial markets and capital accounts. The U.S. monetary policy is represented by the federal funds rate, term premium and credit spread. During the U.S. monetary contraction period of 2004 to 2006, changes in the federal funds rate presented negative pressure on Korean financial markets. The changes in federal funds rate also led to a simultaneous contraction in inward and outward capital flows. However, the effects of a federal funds rate shock has been reduced since 2015. On the other hand, the effects of U.S. term premiums is getting stronger after the period of quantitative easing (QE). The influence of the U.S. credit spread also significantly increased after the global financial crisis. Simulation results show that a rise in the U.S. credit spread, which can be triggered by a contractionary monetary policy, can pose a larger adverse impact on the Korean economy than a rise in the federal funds rate itself. As for capital flows, a U.S. monetary policy contraction causes an outflow of foreign investment, but the repatriation of overseas investment by Korean residents can offset this outflow.

Common Innovative City in Gwangju and Jeonnam Province: Location Selection Process and Regional Development Effects (광주.전남 공동혁신도시 입지선정과 지역발전 효과)

  • Lee, Jeong-Rock
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.223-238
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    • 2007
  • Central government of Korea devised the balanced national development as one of important agenda of government administration, and set up special act for balanced national development. According to special act, a plan to transfer public institutions to local areas was publicized on June 24, 2005. Thus 175 public institutions located in the capital area will be transfered to 11 local governments, and innovative cities will be built in local areas until 2012. However, Gwangju and Jeonnam province adopted not two individual innovative cities but one common innovative city in cooperation with two local governments. This study focuses on the characteristics of location selection process of common innovative city in Gwangju and Jeonnam province. Discussion about construction of common innovative city was started in need of new model for common development of two provinces, and most of peoples agreed a plan to establish on common innovative city within Jeonnam area near Gwangju area. Gwangju Jeonnam Regional Innovation Council, in particular, played an important role in the process of location selection and initial discussion about common innovative city. In addition, Common innovative city to be built in Naju city will be provided positive regional development effects in several dimensions. In result, it has been evaluated as a successful model of innovative city to be constructed with transfer of public institutions to local areas.

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A Study on the Characteristics of Adult Suicide and Suicidal Type (성인 자살의 특성과 자살유형에 관한 연구)

  • Hyo-Chang Kim
    • Korean Journal of Culture and Social Issue
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.15-33
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    • 2006
  • There are less studies on the adult suicide even though it's steep increase and negative effect on person itself, family and society. The purpose of the present study was to investigate factors that influence on the adult suicide and to categorize it. Using a case-study approach, a total of 61 cases were analyzed. Specifically, on the basis of the stress-vulnerability model, I scrutinized vulnerability factors(classified personal, family-environment, and social-environment factors) and precipitating events(classified personal, interpersonal events) influencing on the adult suicide. As the results of this study, adult suicide classified into 3 types, that is, 'risk type suicide', 'event-response type suicide', 'complex type'. And then I discussed the characteristics of the suicidal types and the method for reduction of adult suicide.

A study on Development of the Adequacy Evaluation Indicators for the Regional Industries (지역산업 육성정책의 적정성 평가지표 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Sang-Ok;Won, You-Ho;Lee, Joo-Hyung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.10
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    • pp.5260-5267
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    • 2013
  • In order to create a successful regional development model, there should be an effort to foster a strategic industry which boosts a geographical features of rural areas. Because, It must be clear that the strategic industry chosen between choice and concentration of the development of the local industry development which boosts the local economy revitalization. The local government should have continual concern and roles to fulfil political subjects and keep estimating about the possibility that there could be the sustainable development by Task Ahead of the local industry. This study's indicators were established for the adequacy evaluation of the industrial policy by focusing on domestic regional development's success example. Next, Conjoint analysis was conducted on the Experts. On the basis of this analysis, the weights of indicators are derived. And this study suggest the reasonable evaluation system to take Sustainable industry plan of regional strategic. Consequently, 'Regional development' sector separate 3 categories which are 'Local economy', 'Human Resource Development', 'local marketing' and 9 indicators were derived. 'Industrial development' sector derived 9 indicators about 'Construction of infrastructure', 'Technical development' and 'business support'. Looking through the implications of this study. First, the problem needed to be supplemented based on the Diversity and concreteness of Evaluation system when government assesses regional industry development policy. Second, local government have to strategically consider the possibility of convergence between industries and easiness of network in a broad region. Finally, Foundation and support of the professional manpower and companies for the regional industries must be established.

The Analysis of Economic Effects of the Kimchi Industry (김치산업의 경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Park, Jin-Hee;Kim, Soon-Ja;Bae, Ki-Hyung
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.16 no.11
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    • pp.358-368
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    • 2016
  • The kimchi industry is a high value-added industry, boosts the self-esteem of the people as a measure of a country's culture industry, and is one of the strategic industries to be fostered. However, the kimchi industry is struggling due to the lack of national consensus on the importance and value of the kimchi industry. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to analyze how much the kimchi industry contributes to the national economy by measuring economic effects of the kimchi industry on national economy. To achieve this purpose, the study used the kimchi industry Input-Output Table of year 2013 of korea. The results shows that kimchi industry induce 510,013 billion won of national production, especially the retail trade distribution industry shows that production inducement coefficient is 1.8418(row), 1.1760(column), Index of the power of dispersion is 0.9611, index of the sensitivity of dispersion is 0.6136, income inducement coefficient is 0.1820, tax inducement coefficient is 0.0084 and employment inducement coefficient is 0.003. With the help of information technology.

A study on Competitiveness Analysis of Incheon Port Logistics Network (인천항의 물류네트워크 경쟁력 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Byung-Il;Yoo, Hong-Sung;Suh, Jae-Hwan
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.177-200
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    • 2009
  • This study extracted the major attributes of the competitiveness of services provided by port logistics networks from previous research and interviews with experts and, based on the attributes, analyzed the effects of change in the competitiveness of the Incheon Port. According to the results, services provided by port logistics networks were divided into facility conveniences, access conveniences, and decision conveniences. In the results on the integrated value of the competitiveness of logistics network among ports, competitiveness was high in order of Busan Port>Qigndao Port>Tianjin Port>Dalian Port>Incheon Port. Particularly in the results of scenario analysis, with the elevation of one or two factors of logistics network service, the Incheon Port was even inferior to the Dalian Port, which had the lowest competitiveness among the ports compared. In the results of reversed fuzzy analysis, the Incheon Port could maintain equal competitiveness with the Dalian Port by raising the service level of the logistics network by 25% for facility conveniences, by 8% for access conveniences, and by 1% for decision conveniences.

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Evaluation of Economic Effects of Agricultural Drought Using CGE Model - Focus on Rice Productivity - (CGE 모형을 활용한 농업 가뭄의 직간접적 파급효과 계측 - 쌀 생산성을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Hyeon-Woong;Sung, Jae-Hoon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.93-104
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    • 2022
  • Agriculture is one of the most vulnerable sector to droughts, and drought damage on the agriculture sector could have effects on other sector. Droughts have different characteristics compared to other extreme events, which means more sophisticated methods considering the characteristics of droughts are required when measuring their damage. The purpose of this study is to analyze the damage of droughts based on limited computational general equilibrium model. To be specific, we constructed a CGE model focusing on the agriculture sector in Korea. Also, to limit changes in land use and labor, we limited them, and assume droughts only have effects on productivity of value-added. Lastly, we simulate drought effects on rice production in Korea based on several climate scenarios and GCM to identify the economic effects of droughts. The results show that 1) the cumulated damage of droughts during 2021~2040 is higher than other periods (2040~2061, 2081~2100), 2) the correlation between the damage of droughts and SSP scenarios is insignificant. This result implies the necessity of the effective drought risk management to prevent future droughts effects, irrespective of mitigation policies. 3) Due to increases in rice price, GDP of rice sector is increased. However, GDP of the other sector and consumer welfare are decreased. This result show that indirect effects of droughts would be more important when measuring drought effects on agriculture sector.

Disassembly and Compositional Analysis of Waste LCD Displays (폐(廢) 디스플레이의 해체(解體) 및 성분조사(成分調査))

  • Lee, Sungkyu;Kang, Leeseung;Lee, Chan Gi;Hong, Myung Hwan;Cho, Sung-Su;Hong, Hyun Seon
    • Resources Recycling
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2013
  • Although Korean domestic production of flat panel displays totalled more than 48 trillion KRW in 2007, most of the flat panel display wastes have been land-filled or incinerated, which greatly overshadows Korean national prestige as a world leading producer and developer of flat panel display devices. Countries such as Japan or EU possess quite limited land-fill capability and have sought ways to dispose of WEEEs from environment-friendly perspective rather than recovery of valuable materials from the wastes. Considering relatively short cycle of about 5 years for flat panel display devices, it is estimated that more than 5 million units will be accumulated as wastes by 2015. Urban mining is a most suitable countermeasures against China's monopoly of rare and rare earth metals, which are contained in flat panel display wastes. Therefore, materials recycling of waste LCD units has to be developed and commercialized soon enough for economic and environment-friendly recovery of valuable resources hidden in LCD wastes.

Pump operation based on pressure sensors for the damage reduction of water distribution system (상수도관망의 피해저감을 위한 센서기반 펌프운영)

  • Kwon, Hyuk Jae;Kim, Hyeong Gi
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.200-200
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구에서는 실제 가압장 및 가압장후단부의 상수도관망에 발생가능한 수충격해석을 수행하고 신뢰성해석을 수행하여 파괴확률을 정량적으로 산정하였다. 이를 위해 가압장의 펌프운영조건을 다르게 적용하였고 관말단부의 압력센서를 이용하여 토출압을 선택적으로 운영하면 수충격의 규모도 작아지고 파괴확률도 대폭 줄어드는 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 가압장의 토출압을 선택적으로 운영하기 위해서는 관말단부에 필수적으로 충분한 수압이 존재해야하며 이를 위해서 실시간 모니터링이 가능한 압력계를 설치하게 된다. 이 압력계로부터 수신되는 데이터를 통하여 펌프의 운영이 이루어지고 최소한의 에너지 사용을 통해 효율을 증대하고 피해율도 저감하게 된다. 본 연구에서 개발된 센서기반 펌프운영시스템이 적용된 실제 상수도관망은 현재 가압장의 운영조건으로 24시간 75m의 펌프 토출압을 유지하고 있으며 관말단부의 수용가에 충분한 수압이 전달되고 있다. 가압장의 고압유지는 관말단부에 충분한 수압을 전달하기 위한 것이지만 상수도관망에서 누수와 시설물에 대한 많은 피해를 유발할 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 가압장의 펌프토출압을 75m와 60m로 선택적 운영을 할 수 있도록 프로그램을 개발하였다. 기존 가압장의 운영조건과 선택적 운영조건을 사용하여 수충격해석을 수행하였고 신뢰성해석모형을 사용하여 파괴확률을 정량적으로 산정할 수 있었다. 가압장의 운영조건을 최적화하여 효율은 증대하고 피해율을 저감할 수 있는 방법을 찾을 수 있었다. 이를 위해서 가압장의 인버터 설치는 물론이고 펌프의 최적운영을 위해 개발된 펌프운영 프로그램을 가압장 배전반에 장착하여 경제적인 운영이 될 수 있을 뿐만 아니라 실제 상수관망에서 과도한 수압으로 인해 발생할 수 있는 여러 가지 피해를 최소화할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 또한, 본 연구에서는 기존의 펌프장 토출압으로 운영되었을 때와 비교하여 에너지 절감율을 정량적으로 산정하여 비교분석하였다. 가압장 후단의 작은 마을을 대상으로 하여 절감된 전기요금은 적은 양이라 할 수 있겠으나 개발된 시스템을 전국에 적용한다면 에너지 절감으로 인한 경제적 파급효과는 크다고 할 수 있다.

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SARS-CoV-2 detection and infection scale prediction model in sewer system (하수도 체계에서의 SARS-CoV-2 검출 및 감염 확산 예측)

  • Kim, Min Kyoung;Cho, Yoon Geun;Shin, Jung gon;Jang, Ho Jin;Ryu, Jae Won
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.392-392
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    • 2022
  • 세계적 규모의 팬데믹 감염병의 출현은 전 세계적으로 경제적, 문화적, 사회적 파급효과가 매우 강력하며 전 인류를 위협하고 있다. 최근에 발병한 중증급성 호흡기질환 코로나바이러스 2(Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2, SARS-CoV-2)는 2019년 12월 중국 우한에서 첫 보고 되었고 2022년 현재까지 종식되지 않고 있으며 바이러스의 전파력과 치명률이 높고 무증상 감염상태일 때에도 전염이 가능하여 현재 역학조사의 사후적 대응에 대한 한계가 있어 선제적 대응을 위한 수단이 필수 불가결해지고 있는 실정이다. 하수기반역학(Waste Based Epidemiology, WBE)이란 하수처리장으로 유입되기 전의 하수를 분석하여 하수 집수구역 내 도시민의 생활상을 예측하는 것으로 하수로 배출된 감염자의 분비물 및 배설물 속 바이러스를 하수관로에서 신속하게 검출함으로써 특정지역의 감염성 질환 전파 정도와 유행하는 타입(변이)등을 분석하고 기존 역학조사의 문제점을 극복할 수 있으며 선제적인 대응이 가능하다. 현재 COVID-19의 대유행과 관련하여 WBE를 기반으로 한 다양한 연구가 진행되고 있으며 실제 환자의 발생과 상관관계가 있음이 확인되고 있고 백신 접종과 새롭게 발생한 변이바이러스의 관계 속에서 발생하는 변수를 고려한 모델이 없다는 점을 들어 새로운 감염병 확산 예측 모델에 대한 필요성 또한 커지고 있다. 본 연구에서는 병원에서부터 하수처리장까지의 하수관거와 하수처리장에서의 SARS-CoV-2 검출농도 및 거동을 파악하는 것을 목적으로 하고 있으며 COVID-19의 감염규모 확산에 관한 방법론에서 수학적모델 (Euler Method, RK4 Method, Gillespie Algorithm)과 딥러닝 기반의 Nowcasting model과 Fore casting model을 살펴보고자 한다.

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