• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.18 no.11
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• pp.430-446
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• 2018

In this paper, we conducted a comparative study on the methodology for impact analysis as the economic grounds for formulating policy and investment plan concerned with utilizing spectrum resource. In order to provide numerical results for objective comparison and selection among policy and investment planning, methods to be analyzed are focused on quantitative methodology based on mathematical models, consequently the utility and limits of econometric model, input-output analysis, computable general equilibrium and system dynamics are compared from various viewpoints including analysis cost. Besides, we compared the methodologies in the standpoint of utilizing spectrum and discussed the recent findings of mixed models combining multiple methodologies to exploit the advantages of each methodology and to offset the limit. Results of the research can be used as reference indicators to select the method that conforms to the purpose and priority of analysis verifying the efficiency of execution of policies and investment plans.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.12 no.10
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• pp.4354-4358
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• 2011

Many Korean construction companies have fallen on hard times because the construction business continues to stagnate. Therefore it is necessary to measure the management efficiency for efficient operation and strengthening competitiveness of them in order to survive a difficult situation. This paper proposes a combined ANP and DEA model to analyze the efficiency of the listed construction firms. In order to determine the input and output variables of DEA, the ANP model is applied to evaluate the importance of input and output variables. The benchmarking companies and efficiency value for the construction firms with inefficiency are also provided to improve the their efficiency. The 57 listed construction companies consisted of 36 listed on KOSPI and 21 listed on KOSDAQ are analyzed in this study. The analysis results show that 11 companies whose values of CCR are 1, and 14 firms whose values of BCC efficiency are 1. In additions, the 19 firms have the scalability efficiency. Finally, we test the correlation between efficiency and the stock price.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.37 no.2
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• pp.343-355
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• 2017

In this study, an Assembled Earth Retaining Wall (AER wall) is newly proposed. The AER wall combined stabilizing piles names as Back Supporting Beam is developed to improve stability and economics of existing retaining walls. For the verification of the AER wall, the field model tests and 3D numerical analyses were performed. As a result of the field tests, it can be confirmed that the earth pressure is considerably reduced compared with the L-shaped retaining wall. Also, the 3D numerical analyses show that AER wall is at least 29.85% more effective at lateral displacement than general L-shaped retaining wall. In other words, AER wall is expected to raise economical efficiency because of excellent mechanical stability of Back Supporting Beam.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.416-416
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• 2020

우리나라의 계절 특성상 여름철 집중호우가 쏟아지는 현상이 빈번하게 발생하는데 이러한 돌발홍수가 예고 없이 일어나 상습적으로 침수 피해를 입는 지역이 증가하고 있다. 본 연구에서 2009년 ~ 2019년 동안 서울시 침수 피해 사건 중심의 인터넷 기사를 기반으로 실제 침수 사례를 조사해본 결과, 침수가 가장 많이 발생한 순으로 반포동(26건), 대치동(25건), 잠실동(21건)으로 집계되었다. 침수피해가 가장 많은 반포동을 연구지역으로 선정하고 그 중 잠수교의 수위를 예측하는 연구를 진행하였다. 기존 연구에서는 수치모형에 비해 신속한 결과를 도출할 수 있는 자료 기반 모형 중 LSTM 기법을 많이 사용하였다. 그러나 이는 선행 시간이 길어질수록 첨두수위에서 과소추정된 것으로 분석된 취약점이 존재하였다(정성호 외, 2018). 본 연구에서는 이러한 단점을 보완하기 위해 GANs(Generative Adversarial Networks)를 이용하였다. GANs는 생성자와 감별자가 나뉘어 생성자가 실제 자료인 첨두수위에서의 잠수교의 수위를 학습하고 실제와 근접한 가상데이터를 결과로 생성하여 감별자는 그 생성된 미래의 잠수교의 수위가 실제인지 가상인지 판별하도록 학습시키는 신경망 구조이다. 사용한 수문자료는 한강홍수통제소, 기상청, 국립해양조사원에서 제공하는 최근 15년간의 (2005년~2019년) 수위, 방류량, 강수량, 조위 자료를 수집하였고 t-test와 상관성분석을 통해 사용한 인자 간의 유의미성 판단과 상관성을 분석했다. 또한, 민감도 분석 결과 시퀀스길이(5), 반복횟수(1000), 은닉층(10), 학습률(0.005)로 최적값을 선정하였다. 또한 학습구간(2005년~2014년)과 검증구간(2015~2019년)으로 나누어 상대적으로 높은 수위가 관측되는 홍수기의 3, 6, 9시간 후의 수위를 예측하고 오차 지표를 이용해 평가하였다. LSTM 기법으로 예측된 수위와 GANs로 예측된 수위를 비교한 결과 GANs으로 예측된 첨두수위에서의 정확도가 5% 정도로 향상되었다. 향후에는 다양한 영향인자와 다른 기법과의 결합을 고려한다면 보다 정확하게 수위를 예측하여 하천 주변 사회기반시설의 침수 피해를 감소시킬 것으로 판단된다.

• Journal of Environmental Science International
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• v.3 no.2
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• pp.129-140
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• 1994

An intermediate atmosphere-ocean coupled model appropnate for the study of El Nino has been developed. The model is not only economic to use but also contains several most important physical processes. The geometrical effects which were not confided in the previous intermediate model study of Ahn (1990), are included in the model for more realistic simulation of the event. The results show that the individual models respond appropriately to the given boundary conditions. At the same time, in the coupled model experiment, ENSO-like oceanic and atmospheric anomalies are also well simulated under an external triggering similar to the initiation forcing of ENSO. It is expected that this type of model can be effectively used for the. study and simulation of El Nido. More improvement of modeling may be Possible after inclusion of subsequent processes such as inclusion of ocean mixed layer dynamics.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.6 no.1
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• pp.132-142
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• 2003

A significant deficiency of most computer models used for stream floodplain analysis, is that the locations of structures impacted by flood waters, such as roads, buildings, and bridges, cannot be effectively compared to the floodplain location. The purpose of this study is the integration of the HEC River Analysis System(HEC-RAS) with ArcView geographic information system to develop a regional model for floodplain determination and representation. Also this study presents to enable two- and three-dimensional floodplain mapping and analysis in the ArcView. The methodology is applied to a Yeoju of Kyunggi-do, located in South Han River Basin. A digital terrain model is synthesized from HEC-RAS cross-sectional data and a digital elevation model of the study area. The flood plain data developed in ArcView was imported into HEC-RAS where it was combined with the field surveyed channel data in order to construct full floodplain cross sections that reflected accurate channel and overbank data for the HEC-RAS model. The flood plain limits could be expressed more accurately on ArcView by using water level data to be computed in HEC-RAS program. The computed water surface elevations and information of cross-section must be manually plotted in order to delineate floodplains. The resulting of this study provided a good representation of the general landscape and contained additional detail within the stream channel. Overall, the results of the study indicate that GIS combined with HEC-RAS is proven to be very useful and efficient for the automatic generation of flood maps, and an effective environment for floodplain mapping and analysis.

• Journal of the Korean earth science society
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• v.32 no.4
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• pp.360-372
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• 2011

In order to clarify the advection and dispersion characteristics of volcanic tephra to be emitted from the Mt. Baekdu, several numerical experiments were carried out using three-dimensional atmospheric dynamic model, Weather and Research Forecast (WRF) and Laglangian particles dispersion model FLEXPART. Four different temporally averaged meteorological values including wind speed and direction were used, and their averaged intervals of meteorological values are 1 month, 10 days, and 3days, respectively. Real time simulation without temporal averaging is also established in this study. As averaging time of meteorological elements is longer, wind along the principle direction is stronger. On the other hands, the tangential direction wind tends to be clearer when the time become shorten. Similar tendency was shown in the distribution of volcanic tephra because the dispersion of particles floating in the atmosphere is strongly associated with wind pattern. Wind transporting the volcanic tephra is divided clearly into upper and lower region and almost ash arriving the Korean Peninsula is released under 2 km high above the ground. Since setting up the temporal averaging of meteorological values is one of the critical factors to determine the density of tephra in the air and their surface deposition, reasonable time for averaging meteorological values should be established before the numerical dispersion assessment of volcanic tephra.

• Journal of the Korean earth science society
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• v.25 no.2
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• pp.94-108
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• 2004

In order to clarify the efficiency of ground level change in Ice-valley on atmospheric circulation, numerical experiment was carried out. The circulations over the slope in North and South are different due to the topography and short wave radiation in Ice-valley. Therefore the circulations in both side are asymmetric and the asymmetric circulations are kept on at 1800 LST. A small difference of the atmospheric circulations formation is made due to the road construction at night. The reason may be the weakness of sensible heat flux from the road and other factors except that the sensible heat is not a principal factor in road construction. The construction of road is associated with growing of sensible heat from the road surface. For this reason, in case of daytime, ascending wind in north slope is more stronger with the road than that without road. The maximum wind speed becomes 4.67 m/s after road construction. And the position of the road is also an important factor in estimation of mesoscale circulation in mountainous area.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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• v.26 no.6
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• pp.591-598
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• 2008

Recently, the government has improvement projects of dangerous road for the site that has very high accident rate due to bad geometric structures of the road. Although, route selecting of the road is a basic and important process, but the process of route selecting must consider the technical, safety and environment factor together. Also, the technology for the 3-dimensional terrain model can be used as an important factor in planning and designing for selecting alternative route projects. In the course of experimenting with the 3-dimensional topography generated by the combination of the digital map and drawing of route, the technology as been developed to offer the multi-dimensional access to the potential construction sites from the nearby main roads. This 3-dimensional digital elevation model has made it possible to make various terrain analysis base on GIS, which provides real-time virtual access to the designated construction sites for development planning and construction projects. Therefore, this study presents a reasonable plan for route selecting from some alternative routes through subjective evaluation and classify the methods linked basic design of road construction.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.19 no.2
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• pp.55-71
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• 2013

The prediction model is the main factor affecting the performance of a knowledge-based system for bankruptcy prediction. Earlier studies on prediction modeling have focused on the building of a single best model using statistical and artificial intelligence techniques. However, since the mid-1980s, integration of multiple techniques (hybrid techniques) and, by extension, combinations of the outputs of several models (ensemble techniques) have, according to the experimental results, generally outperformed individual models. An ensemble is a technique that constructs a set of multiple models, combines their outputs, and produces one final prediction. The way in which the outputs of ensemble members are combined is one of the important issues affecting prediction accuracy. A variety of combination schemes have been proposed in order to improve prediction performance in ensembles. Each combination scheme has advantages and limitations, and can be influenced by domain and circumstance. Accordingly, decisions on the most appropriate combination scheme in a given domain and contingency are very difficult. This paper proposes a confidence-based selection approach as part of an ensemble bankruptcy-prediction scheme that can measure unified confidence, even if ensemble members produce different types of continuous-valued outputs. The present experimental results show that when varying the number of models to combine, according to the creation type of ensemble members, the proposed combination method offers the best performance in the ensemble having the largest number of models, even when compared with the methods most often employed in bankruptcy prediction.