• Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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• autumn
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• pp.226-229
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• 2003

Construction manager must consider the possibility on the failure of the project in advance and the contingency to provide against the situation, those of which is a dangerous condition not to predict. If they have a quick decision without understanding the contingency, the over-cost in the total cost would be continuously accumulated, and be a barrier at a project going in progress. A various risk could not be coped with at a time to decide either going or sloping the project until the contingency is applied from the first step to progress the project. But a case to apply the contingency to the construction for the investment or the analysis of the project is a little. The process to evaluate it is also absent. The propose of this paper is the followed ; To establish the total cost including the risk first of all, devide into plus or minus factor of the cost, and then the process to calculate the contingency must be suggested by the regression analysis.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.12 no.1
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• pp.62-72
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• 2011

Currently, The failure of construction project is increasing to be caused by a changing construction environment. According to this circumstances, Researches of project success factors affecting performance have been presented to develop strategies for efficient construction project management in the construction industry. However, Conducting efficient construction project management is difficult because project manager could not know which project success factors can be improved or not. Especially, although the project characteristics were derived the level of difficulty for performance, research of the project characteristics which could not be improved as influence factor to performance is lacking. Therefore, This paper has developed the Performance Predicting System(PPS) with Fuzzy set theory to establish. PPS has been developed to establish efficient project management strategies and to save time and effort. As Contractor inputs the project characteristics, PPS can predict the level of difficulty of performance.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.19 no.4
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• pp.70-81
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• 2018

Claims in the construction industry can have a serious impact on the profitability of the project or can even result in project failure if it fails to take appropriate prevention. In order to properly prevent and respond to the potential claims and legal disputes throughout the project execution, it is necessary to continuously accumulate informations and clearly define the roles and responsibilities of the important activities systematically. Based on these needs, this study develops and verifies the project information management system(PMIS) that can prevent and respond possible claims for construction projects. Developed system includes such management modules as schedule, cost, PM/CM, design, collaboration, and claims. The system was validated by adopting it to the practical projects. The results showed that information systems tailored to the construction claim need to elevate users' familiarity to be more useful. Besides, the system can be more functional when used by both owners and contractors.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.22 no.1
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• pp.98-105
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• 2021

Recently, there have been many changes in the domestic construction industry. OSC (Off-Site Construction) is expected to solve these problems, and it is emerging as a way to inspire innovation in the domestic construction production system. OSC, which has only recently attracted attention again after previous studies have failed, is lacking in research on preception surveys and customized performance measurements compared to overseas. This study investigated the perceptions of construction industry workers on OSC through a survey, and examined differences in perceptions of each subject and the relative importance of performance indicators. In general, the need for introduction and development of OSC was recognized. Also, drivers and obstacles inhibiting more use of OSC were analyzed. The relative importance for performance indicators and differences in perceptions of each subject were identified. Then, this study suggests plans for diffusion and revitalization of OSC, and key performance indicator for OSC based PC structure apartment housing.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.16 no.3
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• pp.165-176
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• 2015

Recently many Korean large-sized construction companies as well as specialty contractors have been expanding their business in the overseas market to mitigate impacts from long-term stagnation in the domestic market. Such as a result, it has been arisen as a major issue that contractors effectively manage the delays which have been commonly faced with in international mega-projects. Therefore it can be said that the ability of the delays management leads a success of project. This paper presents a review of literature for delay analysis methods such as time impact analysis(TIA) and raises practical problems to rationally substantiate the duration of extension of time(EoT) in international mega projects which have wide scope of works as well as complicated and detailed contract baseline programs by taking theoretical approaches. We suggest the two improvement concepts to substantiate the EoT claims which are effectively applicable to practical projects. The first is to sort out dominant delays among numerous delays in advance of applying a delay analysis. The second is to set up the delay sections with the advanced concept for analysing delays' effects by TIA. This study performed a case study on an actual international mega-project. to confirm the effectiveness of improvement concepts that this practical approach is applicable for the assessment of EoT. In conclusion, this paper supposes to provide practitioner in charge for an EoT claim with an advanced substantiation methodogy when they not only analyse the construction delays by using TIA, but also negotiate with stakeholders about with the assessment of EoT.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.51 no.spc
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• pp.1117-1126
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• 2018

Water supply system aims to meet the user's demand by securing water resources in a stable way. However, water supply failure sometimes happens because inflow decreases during drought period. Droughts induced by the lack of precipitation do not always lead to water supply failures. Thus, it is necessary to consider features of actual water shortage event when we evaluate a water supply risk. In this study, we developed a new drought index for drought management, i.e., Joint Drought Management Index (JDMI), using two water supply system performance indices such as reliability and vulnerability. Future data that were estimated from GCMs according to RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios were used to estimate future water supply risk. After dividing the future period into three parts, the risk of water supply failure in the Nakdong River basin was analyzed using the JDMI. As a result, the risk was higher with the RCP 4.5 than the RCP 8.5. In case of RCP 4.5, W18 (Namgangdam) was identified as the most vulnerable area, whereas in case of RCP 8.5, W23 (Hyeongsangang) and W33 (Nakdonggangnamhae) were identified as the most vulnerable area.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.25 no.3
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• pp.27-36
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• 2024

The effective control of cost overrun is a crucial issue for construction companies to secure profitability. Especially in situations where cost pressures are significant due to factors such as rising raw material prices and increased financial costs due to high-interest rate policies, cost overruns resulting from project failures have a highly detrimental impact on the profitability of construction firms. The objective of this study is to analyze the current status of cost overrun control measures adopted by construction companies using the IPA technique and provide key characteristics and implications. The IPA analysis results showed that practitioners in general contractors exhibit a high level of interest and effort regarding cost overrun while the performance level is relatively low. Nevertheless, the measures considered important to control cost overruns generally show a high tendency for execution as well. Cost overrun control measures that show high importance but low execution are primarily related to collaboration and communication sectors. To effectively control cost overruns, enhancing collaboration and communication with construction supervisors/CM, headquarters, and regulatory authorities emerged as the most urgent need. Through this study, the current status and areas for improvement regarding cost overrun control measures in general contractors can be identified. This can be valuable for deriving directions and enhancements for future cost overrun control strategy development.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2016.05a
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• pp.98-98
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• 2016

본 연구에서는 유입량의 불확실성을 고려하여 미래 저수량을 확률론적으로 예측하였다. 월별 유입량을 표본으로 한 확률밀도함수를 핵밀도함수(kernel function)를 이용하여 추정하고, 추정된 확률분포로 월별 유입량을 모의 발생하였다. 모의 발생된 유입량을 통해 연속적인 조건부 확률을 산정하였고, 이의 누적확률분포(F(x))는 해당 저수량에 도달하지 못할 확률, 즉 실패확률을 의미하므로 1-F(x)로 해당 저수량 이상을 확보할 수 있는 확률을 산정하였다. 보령댐을 대상으로 분석한 결과 2016년 2월 말 저수량 27.8 백만$m^3$ 기준으로 3월부터 6월까지 정상용수공급환원 기준 저수량을 만족할 확률이 각각 2.3%, 12.5%, 24.2%, 33.5%로 나타났다. 지역적 가뭄에 대응하기 위해 하천유지용수 감량, 용수 대체공급, 자율 급수조정 및 금강-보령댐 도수로를 이용한 용수공급으로 20.6만$m^3/day$의 용수가 비축될 경우, 정상용수공급환원 기준 저수량을 만족할 확률이 10.2%, 40.3%, 73.8%, 78.7%로 용수비축의 효과가 크게 나타나는 것을 확인하였다. 저수량의 확률론적 예측을 통해 미래 저수량의 확률적 발생가능성을 추정할 수 있으며, 가뭄이 발생할 경우, 가뭄 대응효과를 정량적으로 나타낼 수 있어 가뭄 위험 상황 전달 및 용수공급조정 의사결정 시 활용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2021.06a
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• pp.291-291
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• 2021

모형이 갖는 불확실성의 정량화나 매개변수의 최적화는 계산시간의 기하급수적인 증가를 가져온다. 계산시간의 효율성을 극대화할 수 있는 기법으로 최근 대체모형이 개발되었으며, 다양한 분야에서 적용되고 있다. 그러나 대체모형은 훈련된 데이터 공간에서 크게 벗어난 극한 사상를 정확하게 모의하기는 어려운 단점이 있다. 본 연구는 이와 같은 대체모형의 단점을 개선할 수 있는 새로운 PCK(polynomial chaos-krigging) 기법을 제시한다. PCK는 PCE(polynomial chaos expansion) 기법과 OK(ordinary krigging) 기법을 결합한 것이며, PCK의 효과는 기존의 PCE 및 OK 모형의 결과와 비교하여 입증하였다. 본 연구의 분석 결과는 다음과 같다. (1) PCK는 더 적은 수의 훈련 샘플만으로도 원래 모형을 더 정확하게 대체할 수 있다. (2) 원래 훈련 샘플보다 약 3배 더 큰 극한사상을 모의했을 때, PCE와 OK는 예측이 실패하였지만, PCK의 예측은 정확하였다. (3) 민감도 분석 결과 PCK의 매개변수 특성과 거동이 PCE 및 OK보다 원래 모형의 특성과 거동에 더 일치한다. 본 연구에서는 3개의 대체모형의 결과를 원래모형의 결과와 비교하였으며 그 적용성을 극한강우에 대해 검토하였다. 일반적으로 훈련 샘플의 범위와 비슷한 강우사상에 대해서는 모든 대체모형의 결과가 우수하였으나, 훈련 샘플의 범위에서 벗어난 극한 사상의 모의는 PCK만 적용이 가능하였다. 제안된 대체모형은 극한사상의 예측에 있어 기존 대체모형보다 매우 향상된 정확도를 제공함을 확인할 수 있었다.

• Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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• 2011.10a
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• pp.1251-1262
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• 2011

K-company, being in charge of domestic railway construction and facilities management, got a success rate of 41% with the implement of a improvement scheme by prosecuting of 6 Sigma and the achievement of CTQ (Success criteria : more than 0.5 in achievement of CTQ). It is clear that the factors having an effect on achievement of CTQ are the level of project when pushing forward the project(Big Y and small y according to the scope of the work), the degree of interest of an officer in charge like sponsors, and the continuous feedback toward the implement of a improvement scheme. For improvement CTQ achievement, firstly redefine about a type of project. Secondly, derive small y by Big Y and derives a unit work by small y. Then grouping the unit works and achieve Big Y by performing of every unit work as an executive subject. Thirdly organize a committee of subject selection which is supervised by the general manager. Therefore exhibit staff's leadership, for example motivation, by strong incentives. Lastly, provide ongoing learning and enhance system monitoring about a result management of an betterment execution department.