• Title/Summary/Keyword: 간접추정

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A study on the Shift of Burden of Proof in Medical Malpractice - Ruling of Jeonju Appellate Court 2017Na9346 - (의료과오소송에서의 증명책임에 대한 소고 -전주지방법원 2017. 7. 21. 선고 2017나9346판결-)

  • Lee, Soo-Kyoung;Yoon, Seok-Chan
    • The Korean Society of Law and Medicine
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.49-79
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    • 2021
  • Due to defendant's wrongful act by implant surgery, plaintiff has been suffered serious damages to his face and teeth, and pain caused by establishing implanted teeth. Jeonju Appellate Court sentenced to pay future medical expenses and alimony to the plaintiff in compensation for breach of duty or torts. The ruling is designed to relieve the burden of proof because it is extremely difficult for non-experts to determine whether dentists violated their 'duty of care' or whether there was a causal relationship between damages to medial treatment. It was judged that if symptoms that contributed to the patient's significant outcome occurred during or after surgery, such symptoms could be presumed to have been caused by medical negligence if indirect facts were proven to be other than medical negligence. Originally, the shifting of burden of proof in Germany, has already been developed in medical malpractice case since 1940s. In order to guarantee the patients' right, §630h German Civil Code (BGB) - presumption of negligence in the realization of controllable risk- has been also legislated. BGH (Bundesgerichtshof) has been interested in ensuring that the principle of equality between patients and doctors. So, in this study, we wanted to refer to German precedent cases to analyzing Korean medical malpractice lawsuit. In particular, the decision could be significant in that it approaches closer to allows the shifting burden of proof in drastically growing dental malpractice cases. This is clearly confirmed in the judgment of the dentist's "fault" that "if indirect facts about the symptom or occurrence are proven to be cause other than medical negligence, such symptoms can be presumed to be due to medical negligence."

Pollutant Budget Change Due to Construction of Wastewater Treatment Plant in Masan Bay (하수처리장 건설에 의한 마산만의 오염물질 수지변화)

  • 조홍연;채장원;정신택
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.149-155
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    • 2000
  • The effects of the WfP construction are analysed quantitatively based on the pollutant budget change in Masan Bay. The reduction effects of the watershed pollutant loads are clearly shown, while the positive influence of the water quality (WQ) are not substantial because the pollutant load also increased continusly after WTP construction. The reduction effects of the COD, 55, TN and TP parameters are 17.6%, 68.9%,66.7%, and 38%, respectively in Masan Bay (zone I). The environmental condition of the northern part of Chinhae Bay (zone ll), however, is slowly degraded because of the direct and indirect effects - effluents discharge from the WTP and pollutants release from the sediment, respectively.

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The Effect of An Investment in The Energy Sector of North Korea on North Korean Economy (에너지 부문의 대북투자와 북한경제)

  • Shin, Dong-Cheon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.313-336
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    • 2007
  • The paper is concerned with, firstly, estimating the North Korean input-output table in which energy sectors like electricity and petro products are specified and, secondly, computing the effect of an investment in the energy sector on North Korean economy, by using the estimated input-output table and applying CGE analysis. The 4,000 million dollar investment on North Korean electricity industry produces 368 million dollar worth of output and 156 million dollar worth of value added. The 150 million dollar investment on petro industry creates about 20.5 million dollar worth of output and 9.65 million dollar worth of value added in North Korea.

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산업보건 역학연구사례 - 산업보건역학에 있어서의 폭로 평가

  • Lee, Won-Cheol;Park, Jeong-Il;Maeng, Gwang-Ho
    • 월간산업보건
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    • s.62
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    • pp.17-23
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    • 1993
  • 산업보건 역학의 연구결과를 우리가 어느정도로 신뢰할 수 있는지, 또는 어느정도의 정보를 제공할 수 있을지를 결정하는 요인들 중에서 중요한 것으로 간주할 수 있는 것은, 측정된 폭로자료(Exposure data)가 어느정도인지(amount), 얼마만큼 구체적이며(specificity) 그리고 얼마만큼 정확한지(precision)에 관한 것이다. 이상적으로는 우리는 각 개인개인의 폭로량을 구하고 이에 관련된 질병발생의 정도를 측정하고자 한다. 이러한 연구야말로 다른 폭로에 대하여도 일반화할 수 있는 양-반응관계를 추정하게 할 것이다. 그러나 실제로는 측정된 폭로자료를 구하기가 어렵거나 또는 아예 이러한 자료가 존재하지 않는 경우가 흔한데 왜냐하면 기술적으로 제약(특정한 물질에 대한 분석이 아직 불가능하거나)이 있거나 부족한 인적 및 물적 자원때문이다. 그러므로, 대부분의 경우에 폭로수준은 이러한 직접적인 폭로 측정자료 대신에 다른 자료로 부터 간접적으로 알아내야 한다. 이 글은 작업장 환경의 특성을 파악하는 것에 대한 개념 및 몇가지 방법 및 토의할 만한 사항을 요약한 것이다. 이들 중에서 가장 중요하게 다루게 될 사항은 아무래도 작업장에서 근로자 폭로이 강도(intensity)와 기간(duration)을 추정하는 것이 될 것이다. 이에 더하여 (예를 들어 병원환자에 대하여 환자-대조군 연구를 행하는 경우와 같이) 지역사회 연구(community studies) 또는 등록자료를 기초로 한 연구(registry-based studies)에 대한 직업적 폭로의 평가에 대하여도 간략하게 언급하도록 하겠다. - 저자 주 -

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Estimating the non-use values of Gum river estuary using contingent valuation method - by Turnbull nonparametric estimation method (조건부가치측정법을 이용한 금강 하구의 비사용가치 추정 - Turnbull 비모수적 추정 방법을 적용하여)

  • Shin, Youngchul
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.11
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    • pp.479-485
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    • 2017
  • This study estimated the non-use values of the Gum river estuary which are not related to the direct or indirect use of the Gum river estuary using the contingent valuation method (CVM). The non-use values of the Gum river estuary were explained and asked to be evaluated in the CVM questionnaire and estimates of the WTPs(willingness-to-pay) were elicited using the Turnbull nonparametric estimation methods on the dichotomous choice CV data. Results found the Turnbull lower bounded mean WTP per year for non-use value of the Gum river estuary was estimated at 5,822 won (95% C.I. 5,295 ~ 6,349 won) from single dichotomous CV data, and 6,205 won (95% C.I. 5,701 ~ 6,710 won) from double dichotomous CV data. The mean of two WTP estimates, 6,014 won (95% C.I. 5,498 ~ 6,529 won), was used to calculate the annual total non-use value of the Gum river estuary. Therefore, the non-use value of the Gum river estuary was estimated at 220.3 billion won (95% C.I. 201.4 - 239.2 billion won) annually. This non-use value of the Gum river estuary was composed of the bequest value totaling 68.3 billion won (95% C.I. 62.5 - 74.2 billion won), the existence value of 58.0 billion won (95% C.I. 53.0 - 63.0 billion won), the option value of 57.7 billion won (95% C.I. 52.7 - 62.6 billion won), and the vicarious consumption value totaling 36.3 billion won (95% C.I. 33.1 - 39.4 billion won).

Subpixel Shift Estimation in Noisy Image Using Iterative Phase Correlation of A Selected Local Region (잡음 영상에서 국부 영역의 반복적인 위상 상관도를 이용한 부화소 이동량 추정방법)

  • Ha, Ho-Gun;Jang, In-Su;Ko, Kyung-Woo;Ha, Yeong-Ho
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.47 no.1
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    • pp.103-119
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we propose a subpixel shift estimation method using phase correlation with a local region for the registration of noisy images. Phase correlation is commonly used to estimate the subpixel shift between images, which is derived from analyzing shifted and downsampled images. However, when the images are affected by additive white Gaussian noise and aliasing artifacts, the estimation error is increased. Thus, instead of using the whole image, the proposed method uses a specific local region that is less affect by noises. In addition, to improve the estimation accuracy, iterative phase correlation is applied between selected local regions rather than using a fitting function. the restricted range is determined by analyzing the maximum peak and the two adjacent values of the inverse Fourier transform of the normalized cross power spectrum. In the experiments, the proposed method shows higher accuracy in registering noisy images than the other methods. Thus, the edge-sharpness and clearness in the super-resolved image is also improved.

Estimation of flood peak discharge using flood marks (홍수흔적을 이용한 첨두홍수량 추정)

  • Lee, Tae Hee;Lee, Jung Hoon;Kang, Jong Wan;Roh, Youngsin
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.75-75
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    • 2019
  • 첨두홍수량 자료는 홍수예경보 및 치수계획수립 등 하천관리에 있어서 매우 중요한 요소이다. 그러나 대규모 홍수가 발생 시 악천후가 동반된 기상상황이나, 현장 접근이 어려운 환경적 조건과 예산 및 인력 부족 등에 의한 불가피한 문제로 첨두홍수량을 측정하는데 어려움 있다. 따라서 일반적으로 수위-유량관계곡선식을 이용하여 첨두홍수량을 산정하지만 단순 고수위 외삽 추정을 통해 개발된 곡선식을 이용한 첨두홍수량 산정에 있어서는 주의가 필요하다. 이러한 경우 홍수가 지나간 후 현장조사를 통해 획득한 위치, 표고, 횡단면적 등 홍수흔적(flood marks)을 가지고 경사면적법(slope-area method)과 같은 간접적인 방법으로 첨두홍수량을 추정할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 2018년 큰 호우사상이 발생한 내성천의 지류인 서천의 영주시(월호교) 지점과 남강의 산청군(하촌리) 지점에서 홍수흔적 조사를 통해 지점별 두 개의 단면을 선정하였다. 영주시(월호교) 지점의 두 단면 간 거리는 약 90m, 높이차는 약 0.21m로 조사되었고, 산청군(하촌리) 지점의 두 단면 간 거리는 약 330m, 높이차는 약 0.47m로 조사되었다. 경사면적법을 이용한 첨두 홍수량 추정에 적용된 조도계수는 '서천 하천기본계획(2014)', '남강 하천기본계획(2013)'에서 계획 홍수량 산정에 적용된 조도계수 0.029와 0.025를 적용하였다. 영주시(월호교) 지점은 2018년 9월 4일 발생한 호우사상의 첨두수위 5.59m에서 수위-유량관계곡선식을 이용하여 산정된 유량은 $1,127.8m^3/s$이고 경사면적법을 이용하여 추정된 유량은 $1,105.9m^3/s$로 약 -1.98%의 편차율이 발생하였다. 산청군(하촌리) 지점은 2018년 8월 26일 발생한 호우사상의 첨두수위 6.75m에서 수위-유량관계곡선식을 이용하여 산정된 유량은 $3,435.0m^3/s$이고 경사면적법을 이용하여 추정된 유량은 $3,233.3m^3/s$로 약 -6.24%의 편차율이 발생하였다. 경사면적법을 이용하여 추정된 첨두홍수량은 수위-유량관계곡선식을 이용하여 산정된 유량과 편차율이 지점별 ${\pm}10%$ 이내의 근사한 범위로 산정되었다. 따라서 경사면적법을 이용한 첨두홍수량 추정 방법의 적용에 있어서 적절한 것으로 판단된다.

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Estimation of Multi-Route Exposure and Aggregated Risk Assessment for Cadmium and Lead (카드뮴과 납의 다경로 노출량 추정 및 통합 위해성 평가)

  • Yu, Changwoo;Kwon, Hoonjeong
    • Journal of Food Hygiene and Safety
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.587-601
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    • 2020
  • Exposure to hazardous substances occurs through multiple pathways. Aggregated risk assessment, which includes all potential exposure pathways to a single toxicant, is necessary to prevent exposure to harmful substances. We aimed to estimate cadmium and lead exposure through various media, such as food, water, air, smoking, cosmetics, and female hygiene products. This study covered 10,733 subjects from the Seventh Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey(2016, 2017). Dietary exposure was estimated using 24-hour recall data. For water and inhalational exposure, regional variations were considered. Water was classified as tap, bottled, and public water. Inhalational exposure was estimated using the '2014 Time Use Survey' based on daily lifestyle and social status. The frequency and volume of cosmetic usage were randomly approximated by sex and age. Post-menarcheal and premenopausal women were assumed to use feminine hygiene products. Non-carcinogenic aggregated risks were estimated using the Aggregate Risk Index from EPAs and the Total Exposure Hazard Index from Korean government guidelines. For carcinogenic risk assessment, excessive cancer risk was estimated. Ingestion, especially food, was the major route for both cadmium and lead exposure. Smoking was also associated with high cadmium exposure. Exposure to lead from cosmetics was remarkable but not critical. In aggregate risk assessments, median cadmium and lead exposure did not exceed the reference value. Sex, age, smoking status, and income affected exposure levels, unlike to regional variations.

Development of Algorithm in Analysis of Single Trait Animal Model for Genetic Evaluation of Hanwoo (단형질 개체모형을 이용한 한우 육종가 추정프로그램 개발)

  • Koo, Yangmo;Kim, Jungil;Song, Chieun;Lee, Kihwan;Shin, Jaeyoung;Jang, Hyungi;Choi, Taejeong;Kim, Sidong;Park, Byoungho;Cho, Kwanghyun;Lee, Seungsoo;Choy, Yunho;Kim, Byeongwoo;Lee, Junggyu;Song, Hoon
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • v.55 no.5
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    • pp.359-365
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    • 2013
  • Estimate breeding value can be used as single trait animal model was developed directly using the Fortran language program. The program is based on data computed by using the indirect method repeatedly. The program develops a common algorithm and imprves efficiency. Algorithm efficiency was compared between the two programs. Estimated using the solution is easy to farm and brand the service, pedigree data base was associated with the development of an improved system. The existing program that uses the single trait animal model and the comparative analysis of efficiency is weak because the estimation of the solution and the conventional algorithm programmed through regular formulation involve many repetition; therefore, the newly developed algorithm was conducted to improve speed by reducing the repetition. Single trait animal model was used to analyze Gauss-Seidel iteration method, and the aforesaid two algorithms were compared thorough the mixed model equation which is used the most commonly in estimating the current breeding value by applying the procedures such as the preparation of information necessary for modelling, removal of duplicative data, verifying the parent information of based population in the pedigree data, and assigning sequential numbers, etc. The existing conventional algorithm is the method for reading and recording the data by utilizing the successive repetitive sentences, while new algorithm is the method for directly generating the left hand side for estimation based on effect. Two programs were developed to ensure the accurate evaluation. BLUPF90 and MTDFREML were compared using the estimated solution. In relation to the pearson and spearman correlation, the estimated breeding value correlation coefficients were highest among all traits over 99.5%. Depending on the breeding value of the high correlation in Model I and Model II, accurate evaluation can be found. The number of iteration to convergence was 2,568 in Model I and 1,038 in Model II. The speed of solving was 256.008 seconds in Model I and 235.729 seconds in Model II. Model II had a speed of approximately 10% more than Model I. Therefore, it is considered to be much more effective to analyze large data through the improved algorithm than the existing method. If the corresponding program is systemized and utilized for the consulting of farm and industrial services, it would make contribution to the early selection of individual, shorten the generation, and cultivation of superior groups, and help develop the Hanwoo industry further through the improvement of breeding value based enhancement, ultimately paving the way for the country to evolve into an advanced livestock country.

Binder Stiffness Effect on Permanent Deformation and Tensile Strength of Asphalt Concretes (바인더 강성이 아스팔트 콘크리트의 인장강도와 소성변형 특성에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Hyun-Hwan;Yoo, Min-Yong;Kim, Jin-Chul;Kim, Kwang-Woo
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.17-23
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    • 2010
  • Since the relatively stiff binder shows a higher tensile strength as well as higher rutting resistance, it is believed that the binder stiffness is an important factor for rutting and tensile strength of asphalt mixtures. The typical tensile property is measured by indirect tensile strength (ITS) test at $25^{\circ}C$ and the rutting resistance is most widely measured by wheel tracking (WT) test at $60^{\circ}C$. The deformation strength ($S_D$) is newly developed property to estimate rut resistance of asphalt concretes at $60^{\circ}C$. The ITS and $S_D$ are very simple to measure by static test techniques, but the WT is measured by repeated loading procedure which requires relatively longer time and more efforts. Since these three properties are highly dependent upon the binder stiffness, it may be possible to estimate one property from another. Therefore, this study investigate the possibility of estimating the rutting characteristics (measured by WT test) by ITS or $S_D$ test, and the ITS by $S_D$. Because of binder stiffness effect, in the WT estimation by ITS, a tendency was observed for the higher ITS mixture to have the lower rut depth, giving $R^2{\fallingdotseq}$0.6, on the average. The ITS estimation by $S_D$ showed $R^2{\fallingdotseq}$0.64, and the WT estimation by SD showed $R^2{\fallingdotseq}$0.84, which is highest correlation among the three. Therefore, it was concluded that there is relatively good possibility of estimating WT result by $S_D$, and even though $R^2$ is somewhat low, there is some correlation between WT and ITS.