• Title/Summary/Keyword: 간이 예측 모델

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Single Degree of Freedom Hybrid Dynamic Test with Steel Frame Structure (강 뼈대 구조물의 단자유도 하이브리드 동적 실험)

  • Kim, Se-Hoon;Na, Ok-Pin;Kim, Sung-Il;Lee, Jae-Jin;Kang, Dae-Hung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.413-421
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the structural dynamic behavior under hybrid control system. The hybrid test is to consider the interaction between the numerical and physical models. In this paper, single degree of freedom hybrid test was performed with one-bay, two-story steel frame structure. One column at the first floor was selected as a physical substructure and one actuator was used for applying the displacement load in horizontal direction. El Centro as earthquake waves was inputted and OpenSees was employed as the numerical analysis program for the hybrid real-time simulation. As a result, the total time of the hybrid test was about 9.6% of actual measured seismic period. The experimental results agreed well with the numerical one in terms of the maximum displacement. In nonlinear analysis, however, material nonlinearity made a difference of residual strain. Therefore, this hybrid dynamic test can be used to predict the structural dynamic performance more effectively than shaking table test, because of the spatial and economic limitations.

Analysis of Public Transport Ridership during a Heavy Snowfall in Seoul (기상상황에 따른 서울시 대중교통 이용 변화 분석: 폭설을 중심으로)

  • Won, Minsu;Cheon, Seunghoon;Shin, Seongil;Lee, Seonyeong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.859-867
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    • 2019
  • Severe weather conditions, such as heavy snowfall, rain, heatwave, etc., may affect travel behaviors of people and finally change traffic patterns in transportation networks. To deal with those changes and prevent any negative impacts on the transportation system, understanding those impacts of severe weather conditions on the travel patterns is one of the critical issues in the transportation fields. Hence, this study has focused on the impacts of a weather condition on travel patterns of public transportations, especially when a heavy snowfall which is one of the most critical weather conditions. First, this study has figured out the most significant weather condition affecting changes of public transport ridership using weather information, card data for public transportation, mobile phone data; and then, developed a decision-tree model to determine complex inter-relations between various factors such as socio-economic indicators, transportation-related information, etc. As a result, the trip generation of public transportations in Seoul during a heavy snowfall is mostly related to average access times to subway stations by walk and the number of available parking lots and spaces. Meanwhile, the trip attraction is more related to business and employment densities in that destination.

Setting Development Priorities of Undeveloped Neighborhood Parks in the Downtown of Cheongju City using a Park Development Pressure Index (공원조성 압력지수를 이용한 공원개발 우선순위 선정 - 청주시 도심 미개발근린공원을 대상으로 -)

  • Ban, Yong-Un;Lee, Tae-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2009
  • This study was intended to set development priorities for five undeveloped neighborhood parks scattered throughout the downtown area of Cheongju City using a PDPI(Park Development Pressure Index). In order to calculate the PDPI, this study employed an additive integration method. The PDPI was graded from 1 to 5, based on the evaluation scores in accordance with nine indicators selected through literature reviews and interviews with public officials. The indicators have been classified into three categories: physical environment, utilization possibility, and facility distribution. The indicators are as follows: 1) 'altitude and inclination' and 'NDVI' as physical environment indicators; 2) 'ratio of residential area', 'forecasted utility population', 'undeveloped period', 'redevelopment near parks', 'ratio of area divided by main streets', reflecting utilization possibility; and 3) 'Distance between Neighborhood Parks' and 'Distribution of alternative facilities' as facility distribution. The following results were found: 1) three neighborhood parks including 'Sagic 2', 'Sachen', and 'Dangsan' were ranked in the first grade of PDPI; and, 2) one neighborhood park 'Samsungdang' was ranked in the fifth grade of PDPI. The above results mean that among undeveloped neighborhood parks, three have been exposed to extremely strong park development pressure, and that while two neighborhood parks have had strong exposure to park development pressure due to potential users according to their close location to Sagic Ro, an east-west main axis of Cheongju City, one neighborhood park has had weak exposure to development pressure because of the close location to 'Chuungbuk National University' and a lack of residential areas, showing a low possibility for development.

Prediction of Rice Yield in Korea using Paddy Rice NPP index - Application of MODIS data and CASA Model - (논벼 NPP 지수를 이용한 우리나라 벼 수량 추정 - MODIS 영상과 CASA 모형의 적용 -)

  • Na, Sang Il;Hong, Suk Young;Kim, Yi Hyun;Lee, Kyoung Do;Jang, So Young
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.461-476
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    • 2013
  • Carnegie-Ames-Stanford Approach (CASA) model is one of the most quick, convenient and accurate models to estimate the NPP (Net Primary Productivity) of vegetation. The purposes of this study are (1) to examine the spatial and temporal patterns of vegetation NPP of the paddy field area in Korea from 2002 to 2012, and (2) to investigate how the rice productivity responded to inter-annual NPP variability, and (3) to estimate rice yield in Korea using CASA model applied to MOderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) products and solar radiation. MODIS products; MYD09 for NIR and SWIR bands, MYD11 for LST, MYD15 for FPAR, respectively from a NASA web site were used. Finally, (4) its applicability is to be reviewed. For those purposes, correlation coefficients (linear regression for monthly NPP and accumulated NPP with rice yield) were examined to evaluate the spatial and temporal patterns of the relations. As a result, the total accumulated NPP and Sep. NPP tend to have high correlation with rice yield. The rice yield in 2012 was estimated to be 526.93kg/10a by accumulated NPP and 520.32 kg/10a by Sep. NPP. RMSE were 9.46kg/10a and 12.93kg/10a, respectively, compared with the yield forecast of the National Statistical Office. This leads to the conclusion that NPP changes in the paddy field were well reflected rice yield in this study.

Building Damage Functions Using Limited Available Data for Volcanic Ash Loss Estimation (가용자료가 제한된 경우 화산재 피해 예측을 위한 손상함수 구축)

  • Yu, Soonyoung;Yoon, Seong-Min;Jiang, Zhuhua;Choi, Miran
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.524-535
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    • 2013
  • Catastrophe risk models require the damage functions of each vulnerable item in inventory to estimate volcanic ash losses. The damage functions are used to represent the relation between damage factors and damage and also widely used in engineering and natural hazard studies to calculate the vulnerability. In most cases, damage functions are constructed as fragility or vulnerability curves, and researchers are confused by the similarities between them particularly when they perform interdisciplinary research. Thus, we aim to explain the similarities and differences between fragility and vulnerability curves and their relationship by providing case studies to construct them. In addition, we suggest a simple method to construct the damage functions between damage ratio and volcanic ash thickness using limited damage data. This study comes from the fact that damage functions are generally constructed using damage data. However, there is no available volcanic ash damage data in Korea, and not even enough volcanic disaster data to construct damage functions in the world, compared to other hazards. Using the method suggested in the study and the limited damage data from Japan and New Zealand, we construct Weibull-type functions or linear functions dependent of available data to calculate volcanic ash loss estimation, which we think need to be corrected to make it more suitable for inventory characteristics and environmental conditions in Korea.

Kinematic Analysis of a Mastication Model Employing the 6-DOF Parallel Mechanism (6자유도의 병렬기구를 사용한 저작 모델의 기구학적 분석)

  • Khang, G.;Tsutsumi, Sadami
    • Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.479-484
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    • 1999
  • 본 연구에서는 사람의 턱 운동과 턱 사이에 작용하는 힘(혹은 압력)을 그대로 나타낼 수 있는 저작로봇을 개발하는 것을 궁극적인 목표로 한다. 이러한 저작로봇이 개발되면, 치과의사가 환자의 턱운동에 나타나는 병변을 진단하고 치료하는데 큰 도움이 될 것으로 사료된다. 또한 , 본 연구에 채택한 병렬기구(parallel mechanism)에대한 순기구학적( forward kinematics)분석은 일반적인 병렬기구의 실계에도 응용될 것으로 기대된다. 본 연구진이 1차적으로 설계한 모델은 베이스와 플랫폼(platform), 그리고 이 둘을 연결하는 3개의 다리로 구성되어 있다. 다리와 플랫폼은 3자유도의 관절로 다리와 베이스는 1자유도의 경첩 관절로 연결되어 있으며, 이 3개의 경첩 관절은 베이스 위의 수평면에서 직선을 따라 움직인다. 경첩 관절의 수평 변위와 세 다리의 길이가 주어졌을 때 플랫폼의 위치와 오리엔테이션을 구하는 순기구학의 해( 解)를 계산해내는 알고리즘을 개발하였다. 이 알고리즘의 특징은 매 순간 오차를 계산하여 이 오차가 줄어드는 방향으로 나아가도록 시간간격(time step)을 조절하는 것이다. 본 알고리즘은 현재 가장 보편적으로 사용되고 있는 뉴튼-렙슨 방법에 비하여 3가지 장점을 나타내고 있다. 우선 , 초기치(initial guess)에 관계없이 수렴한다는 것이다. 또한, 본 알고리즘은 뉴튼-렙슨 방법에 비하여 수렴속도가 훨씬 빠르며, 연산 시간이 매우 짧아져 실제적인 실시간 적용에 적합하다. 마지막으로, 뉴튼-렙슨 방법에서는 여러 개의 해 가운데 어느 곳으로 수렴할 지 예측 할수 없으나 본 알고리즘에서는 초기치에 가장 가까운 해로 수렴한다. 이러한 순기구학의 다중성(multiplicity)문제를 해결하기 위하여 두 개의 조건을 제시하였으며, 이를 적용한 시뮬레이션 결과에 의하면 항상 원하는 해(true solution)에 수렴할 수 있었다.발생량의 감소를 기대 할 수 있는 친환경기술로 유지관리비를 최소화할 수 있는 장점이 있었다. 않은 사람들 중 미래의 검진실행의지에 건강소식지가 영향을 미친 경우는 48.7%였다. 보건교육을 받은 후 유방암 자가검진 실천율은 사업군에서 53.9%로 받기 전의 27.3%보다 증가하였으나 대조군의 경우는 별 차이가 없었다. 연령별로는 60대가 가장 높았고 사업군에서 검진율의 증가분은 30대가 가장 컸다. 교육수준별로는 사업군은 고졸이, 대조군은 전문대졸이 가장 높았고 사업군에서 검진율의 증가분은 고졸에서 가장 컸다. 보건교육 후 유방암과 관련된 건강지식의 정도는 사업군이 3.7점으로 대조군보다 유의하게 높았으며, 유방암 자가검진법을 실천하는 사람들의 동기는 ‘일반 대중매체의 영향’이 가장 많았으며 건강소식지가 동기인 경우도 20.4%였다. 사업군에서 건강소식지가 유방암 자가검진법 실천에 영향을 미친 경우가 79.6%였으며 유방암 자가검진법에 관한 보건교육을 받고 실천하지 않은 사람들 중 미래의 실천의지에 건강소식지가 영향을 미친 경우는 43.6%였다. 이상의 소견에서 지역주민을 대상으로 인쇄매체를 통한 보건교육은 인쇄물만으로도 쉽게 실천 할 수 있는 유방암 자가검진법이 가장 효과적이었으며, 자궁암검진에 관해서도 검진을 받을 수 있도록 지역사회의 보건의료의 하부구조를 정비하여 제도적 장치를 마련하고 정보를 제공한다면 자궁암검진 실천율도 증가할 것이다.고 12.9% 의 발달율을 보여 유의적인 차이를 보이지 않았다. 이상의 결과로 보아 핵이식 수정란을 효율적으로 생산하기 위하여 수핵난자의 세포질에 ionomycin 과 DMAP 의 혼합처리로 탈핵난자의 활성화를 유도하는 것이 효율을 증진시킬 수 있었다고 본다. 또한 공핵수정란을 수정 후 90시간과 114시간 개별 배양하여 할구를 공핵체로 핵이식에 이용하였을 때도 그룹배양에 비하여 효율이 떨어지지 않음을 알 수 있었으며, 수정란의 할구

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Development of Machine Learning-Based Platform for Distillation Column (증류탑을 위한 머신러닝 기반 플랫폼 개발)

  • Oh, Kwang Cheol;Kwon, Hyukwon;Roh, Jiwon;Choi, Yeongryeol;Park, Hyundo;Cho, Hyungtae;Kim, Junghwan
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.58 no.4
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    • pp.565-572
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    • 2020
  • This study developed a software platform using machine learning of artificial intelligence to optimize the distillation column system. The distillation column is representative and core process in the petrochemical industry. Process stabilization is difficult due to various operating conditions and continuous process characteristics, and differences in process efficiency occur depending on operator skill. The process control based on the theoretical simulation was used to overcome this problem, but it has a limitation which it can't apply to complex processes and real-time systems. This study aims to develop an empirical simulation model based on machine learning and to suggest an optimal process operation method. The development of empirical simulations involves collecting big data from the actual process, feature extraction through data mining, and representative algorithm for the chemical process. Finally, the platform for the distillation column was developed with verification through a developed model and field tests. Through the developed platform, it is possible to predict the operating parameters and provided optimal operating conditions to achieve efficient process control. This study is the basic study applying the artificial intelligence machine learning technique for the chemical process. After application on a wide variety of processes and it can be utilized to the cornerstone of the smart factory of the industry 4.0.

An Analysis of Domestic Experimental Results for Soil-to-Crops Transfer Factors of Radionuclides (주요 핵종의 토양-작물체 전이 계수의 국내 실험 결과에 대한 분석)

  • Jun, In;Choi, Young-Ho;Keum, Dong-Kwon;Kang, Hee-Seok;Lee, Han-Soo;Lee, Chang-Woo
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.211-217
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    • 2006
  • For more realistic assessment of Korean food chain radiation doses due to the operation of nuclear facilities, it is required to use domestically produced data for radionuclide transfer parameters in crop plants. This paper analyzed results of last about 10 year's studies on radionuclide transfer parameters in major crop plants by the Korean Atomic Energy Research Institute, comparing with the published international data, and consequently suggested the proper parameters to use. The trends of transfer parameter shows normal distributions if we have a lot of experimental data, but some radionuclides showed enormous variations with the environment of experimental, crops and soils. These transfer factors can be used to assess realistic radiation doses or to predict the doses in crops for normal operation or accidental release. Some kinds of parameter can be produced as conservatives or fragmentary results because soil-to-plant transfer factors were measured through greenhouse experiments which sometimes showed improper field situations. But these parameters mentioned in this paper can be representative of the status of Korean food chain than that of foreign country.

Bond Strength of Wafer Stack Including Inorganic and Organic Thin Films (무기 및 유기 박막을 포함하는 웨이퍼 적층 구조의 본딩 결합력)

  • Kwon, Yongchai;Seok, Jongwon
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.619-625
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    • 2008
  • The effects of thermal cycling on residual stresses in both inorganic passivation/insulating layer that is deposited by plasma enhanced chemical vapor deposition (PECVD) and organic thin film that is used as a bonding adhesive are evaluated by 4 point bending method and wafer curvature method. $SiO_2/SiN_x$ and BCB (Benzocyclobutene) are used as inorganic and organic layers, respectively. A model about the effect of thermal cycling on residual stress and bond strength (Strain energy release rate), $G_c$, at the interface between inorganic thin film and organic adhesive is developed. In thermal cycling experiments conducted between $25^{\circ}C$ and either $350^{\circ}C$ or $400^{\circ}C$, $G_c$ at the interface between BCB and PECVD $ SiN_x $ decreases after the first cycle. This trend in $G_c$ agreed well with the prediction based on our model that the increase in residual tensile stress within the $SiN_x$ layer after thermal cycling leads to the decrease in $G_c$. This result is compared with that obtained for the interface between BCB and PECVD $SiO_2$, where the relaxation in residual compressive stress within the $SiO_2$ induces an increase in $G_c$. These opposite trends in $G_cs$ of the structures including either PECVD $ SiN_x $ or PECVD $SiO_2$ are caused by reactions in the hydrogen-bonded chemical structure of the PECVD layers, followed by desorption of water.

Dynamic Analysis of CRM Strategy for Online Shopping-mall (온라인쇼핑몰의 CRM 전략에 관한 동태적 분석: System Dynamics 기법을 활용한 고객만족도 분석을 중심으로)

  • Kang, Jae-Won;Lim, Jay-Ick;Lee, Sang-Gun
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.99-132
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    • 2007
  • As customer management rises by important issue in electronic commerce, virtue study about CRM have proceeded much. However, because existent researches were positive researches of most statistical base, There are some limitation that does not show dynamic change with CRM flow by flowing of time, and can not forecast propriety and future result about CRM strategy. Therefore, in order to overcome existent limitation on these CRM study, this study designed dynamic model which draws factors that compose CRM strategy of on-line shopping mall, and do based on technique in system dynamics so that can analyze dynamic change between these factors. Concretely, atomized customer focuses in the on-line shopping mall and does based on Permission marketing theory, and applied CRM of different level to atomized customers and know change of customer satisfaction measurement and discomfort degree accordingly. According to the result of Simulation practice, situation that achieve CRM strategy of different level by atomize customer more increase the customer satisfaction than situation that is not so. Dynamic pattern that presented in this study is expected that can verify validity about CRM achievement strategy of different level at each CRM point of contact & how Internet enterprise including on-line shopping mall is establishing CRM strategy reasonably.