• Title/Summary/Keyword: 가치추정

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Analysis of Economic Value and Regional Economic Impact of Jeju Port Redevelopment Project (제주항 재개발사업의 경제적 가치 및 지역경제 파급효과 분석)

  • Sim, Ki-Sup
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.53-68
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    • 2022
  • In this study, the economic value and economic ripple effect of the Jeju Inland Port redevelopment project were estimated. The economic value was estimated from the viewpoint of amenity, the value of non-market goods such as landscape improvement, environmental improvement, and recreation effects. As a result of the estimation, the population was divided into Jeju Island and other regions and the individual's willingness to pay was estimated to be 2,952.9 won in Jeju Island and 4,722.8 won in other regions. On the other hand, the economic ripple effect of the Jeju Inland Port redevelopment project was estimated during the project period and after the completion of the economic ripple effect was estimated. As a result of the estimation, the production inducement value was KRW 84,387 million, the value-added inducement effect was KRW 37,292 million, and the employment inducement value was 5,846 employment when the (direct employment + indirect employment) effect was combined. After the end of the project period, as of 2022, there were 518,000 foreign tourists, and the value-added inducing effect was estimated to be about 149,885 million won.

Estimation of Economic Value for Industrial Water Supply (산업단지로의 공업용수 공급의 경제적 가치 추정)

  • Kim, Hyun-Jung;Kim, Gil-Ho;Yeo, Kyu-Dong;Lee, Sang-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.784-784
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    • 2012
  • 수자원사업에 의해 공급되는 공업용수는 대상 사업체에서 노동, 자본, 토지 등과 더불어 필수적인 투입재이다. 이러한 투입재의 안정적인 확보는 해당 산업이 부가가치를 창출하는데 매우 중요한 사안이다. 공업용수의 공급이 중단될 시 해당 산업에서의 피해액은 동일한 공급량 기준으로 봤을 때, 생활용수나 농업용수에 비해 매우 크다고 알려져 있다. 이러한 공업용수 공급의 가치를 확인하고자 본 연구는 산업단지를 대상으로 공급되는 공업용수의 한계생산가치를 생산함수 접근법을 기반으로 추정하였다. 자료의 불확실성을 고려하기 위하여 통계적 기법을 기초로 한 4가지 기준으로의 데이터 정제를 실시하여 각각에 대한 공업용수의 한계생산가치를 추정하였고, 각각의 결과로부터 최소, 최대의 범위로 제시하였다. 본 연구에서 확인한 공업용수 공급의 가치는 향후 수자원사업 시 비용배분, 용수배분, 사업의 경제적 타당성 유무 등과 관련한 의사결정의 문제에서 합리적인 기준을 제공할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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An Empirical Study on the Economic Value to Eulsukdo based on SB-DC CVM (단일양분형 가상가치평가법을 이용한 을숙도 가치추정)

  • Joo, Soo Hyeon;Lee, Sun Young;Kim, Young Pyo
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.3-23
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of the study is to estimate value of the Eulsukdo that is attracting lots of birds. Eulsukdo became one of the most famous eco-tourism destinations worldwide and environmental restoration work is progressing with enormous budget. The input of the budget by policy judgement basically can be justified when the benefit excesses the cost in social aspect. Eulsukdo has external effect as cultural tourism resource but it is difficult to estimate the value in market. The study is to estimate the value of Eulsukdo through the single-bounded dichotomous CVM(Contingent Valuation Methods). According to analysis results, the mean WTP(Willingness to Pay) and the truncated mean WTP are estimated at 5,240 and 3,374 won in the log-normal model, and 5,888 and 3,232 won in the log-logistic model respectively. The annual total benefits value based on the truncated mean WTP is estimated at 3,870 million won in the log-normal model and 4,040 million won in log-logistic model. The result of this study will provide useful guide to policy makers and developers who fully realize the value of public goods.

Estimating Attributes Value of Alternatives Applied for Rehabilitation of Hydrologic Cycle of the Anyangcheon Watershed (물순환 건전화 대안 적용을 위한 안양천의 속성별 가치추정)

  • Kong, Ki-Seo;Chung, Eun-Sung;Lee, Kil-Seong;Yoo, Jin-Chae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.12 s.173
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    • pp.1031-1042
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    • 2006
  • In recent years, a growing concern exists in watershed and stream improvement projects. Under these circumstances, this paper estimates monetary value of the attributes of alternatives for rehabilitation of hydrologic cycle using choice experiments. Choice experiments shows vivid image and estimates a willingness to pay based on their preference for environmental goods. A preliminary survey shows that the attributes of the Anyangcheon watershed are flood-damage possibilities, Instreamflow, water quality, river characteristic and estimates the tax for the Anyangcheon watershed improvements. We surveyed 200 citizens were selected as samples of watershed beneficing in Seoul and Gyeonggi Province and used conditional logit model to analyze the implicit values of the attributive per household. The benefit of the attributes by province based on the implicit price obtained from estimated parameters were calculated. This study is expected to contribute to the decision-making process for policy-makers by providing useful methodological framework and quantitative information related to watershed improvement projects.

Estimation and Application of the Value of Travel Time by Time Period: A Case Study of Downtown Highway Expansion Project (시간대별 통행시간가치 추정 및 적용: 도심부 도로 확장 사업 사례연구를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Jae-Young;Choi, Keechoo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.1D
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    • pp.7-15
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    • 2011
  • The travel time value is important factor for the evaluation of feasibility the transportation facility investment. The existing method for calculation of the travel time for each mode uses daily average trip purpose. So the value of travel time is constant because it is estimated with only daily average proportion. This daily constant time value can distort the results of future demands of toll roads or economic appraisals for the projects. The proportion of the trip purpose varies by time periods. Accordingly the value of travel time also varies by time periods. In this study, times periods are classified as morning peak, evening peak, business time off-peak, and non-business time off-peak. And trip purpose proportions are sorted by each time period from raw data of Seoul household trip study, then the value of travel time for each time period is estimated with these sorted purpose proportions. A case study of Seoul Jung-gu and Yongsan-gu performed with newly estimated time value by time periods. The result of benefit calculation with the daily constant time value is overestimated approximately annual 2.5 billion Won compared by time values by time periods. The demands of toll roads are also overestimated with the existing daily constant time value by daily 3,500 vehicles and total revenue of toll roads are overestimated by annually 1 billion Won. In conclusion, the value of travel time by each time period enables the more precise economic evaluation of the transportation facility investment projects, mode choice behavior, and route choice behavior especially for toll roads.

A Study on Economic Value of Daegu Arboretum based on Contingent Valuation Methods (가상가치평가법을 이용한 대구수목원의 경제적 가치평가)

  • Kang, Kee-Rae;Lee, Kee-Cheol;Lee, Hyun-Taek;Ryu, Byong-Ro;Kim, Dong-Pil
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.787-798
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    • 2011
  • An arboretum is defined as a collection of facilities that conserve plant species by surveying, collecting, and proliferating and preserving the plants in nature, perform diverse researches on plants and display the plants in exhibition spaces or outdoors as well as provide the public with educational programs and refreshment spaces according to the laws concerned. The public, however, recognizes the exhibition and education functions on plants of arboretum more importantly compared with the roles to survey, collect, and proliferate plants as regulated by the laws. In particular, arboretum plays a role to offer a pivotal educational place in urban area where the public can obtain an hands-on experience and understanding on a wide range of plant species and natural environment. The study aims to estimate the non market environmental values of Daegu Arboretum operated by Daegu Metropolitan City government by using the Contingent Valuation Methods (CVM), which yields the current monetary estimates for the arboretum. The value estimation was undertaken by using the Double-Bound Dichotomous Choice (DBDC) method, and each estimated value was derived from respective functions based on a logit distribution known to include relatively stable estimates according to the shape of the distribution. Considering the statistical fitness test results, the author estimated the amounts of the Willingness To Pay (WTP) such as mean WTP of 12,718 KRW, median WTP of 11,033 KRW, and truncated mean WTP of 11,468 KRW, which represented the annual recreational values per a person visiting Daegu Arboretum respectively. The analysis showed that Daegu Arboretum created the annual environmental values which were estimated to be approximately 16 to 19 billion KRW. The study also has an implication that the valuation method for the environment of Daegu Arboretum may be effectively applied for estimating the values of other types of environmental goods by altering the locations or goods to be analyzed.

Economic Valuation of the Taehwa Field Ecological Park: An Application of a Contingent Valuation Method with Preferance Uncertainly (태화들 생태공원의 경제적 가치추정에 관한 연구: 선호불확실성을 고려한 조건부가치측정법의 적용)

  • Kim, Jae-Hong
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.109-135
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    • 2010
  • This study estimated the social benefits of establishment 01 the Taehwa Field Ecology Park in Ulsan Metropolitan City, using CVM(Contingent Valuation Method) with multiple choices in consideration of respondent's uncertainty. The estimation results 01 lour logit models show that the probability of willingness-to-pay increases significantly with higher income, higher evaluation on the relevancy of establishment of the Park, and male gender, and decreases significantly with the bidding price. Truncated mean household WTP is estimated as 2,409.4 KRW in the MBYES model with the most efficient estimates of WTP among four models. On the basis of the WTP estimates, the present values of total social benefits in Ulsan Metropolitan City are estimated as 236.5 bill ion KRW when applying the 5% discount rate. This result shows that the present values of total social benefits are greater than the total costs in all models, and thus may prove the economic relevancy of the investment for the ecology park establishment.

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Comparative Study on Monetary Estimates of the Preservation Value of Recreational Forests through Contingent Valuation Methods (자연휴양림 보존가치 측정을 위한 조건부가치측정법(CVM) 추정액 비교)

  • Kang, Kee-Rae
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2010
  • The generally known important functions of forests include air purification and the health benefits that humans can receive when relaxing and enjoying recreation in the forests. In recent years, people have appreciated the value of the natural environment but it is not easy to answer the question how much monetary value a natural environment has. Because environmental property is public property, which is not traded on the market, market prices cannot be established, so it is not easy to assess the currency value. Methods for estimating environmental property value have been studied by economists. The representative method for measuring environmental property value is a contingent valuation method, or CVM. Various methods have been researched and attempted along with the development and fusion of mathematics, statistics, and economics. Representative methods of CVM are single-bound and double-bound logit and probit methods. This study has been carried out to compare four estimates. Estimates are as follows: the lowest estimate is derived from a single-bound logit WTPmedian while the highest estimate is from double-bound probit WTPmean. While there are some preceding studies on price estimation and methods of measurement through CVM, they offer only partial comparisons. This study suggests four analytic methods and prices through 1,123 questionnaires. The results can be used for the subsequent comparison of estimate prices and the methods of measurement

A Study on the Economic Value Estimation of Port Redevelopment Project - With a Focus on the Amenity's perspective - (항만재개발사업의 경제적 가치추정에 관한 연구 - 어메니티의 관점에서 -)

  • Sim, Ki-Sup
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.33-53
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    • 2021
  • This study estimated the economic value of port redevelopment projects. The port redevelopment project consists of a combination of goods between market goods and non-market goods. The value of market goods can be measured at prices in the real market, but it is difficult to convert value estimates for non-market goods into currency values. Therefore, in this study, economic benefits of port redevelopment projects were estimated by the using the CVM. The estimated model used the Hanemann's model and the Bayesian approach to estimate the WTP of the sample group's using the single boundary model. Estimating the household's WTP, the Hanemann's model was estimated at KRW 10,038.33 and the Bayesian approach at KRW 12,217.1. As of the five-year period(discount benefits), the economic benefits of the port redevelopment project were estimated at 920.7 billion won for the Hanemann's model and 1.12 trillion won for the Bayesian model on a national basis. Meanwhile, as a result of estimating economic benefits(discount benefits) based on the administrative districts of Busan·Gyeongnam·Ulsan regions(five-year period), the Hanemann's model was estimated at KRW 140.4 billion and the Bayesian approach was estimated at KRW 170.8 billion.

A Study on Early Termination Payment Option of BTO PPI Projects (BTO 민간투자사업 해지시지급금 매수청구권 가치에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Sung-Hwan
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.121-130
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    • 2011
  • Real option values of early termination payment for selected BTO PPI projects are studied using binomial models. Two cases of early termination payments are considered; an option with the condition of private participants' default, and an option without the condition. Values vary depending upon parameter values such as revenues, costs, discount rates, debt ratio, and volatility of revenues. For selected projects, the option values without the default condition are estimated as 1%~7% of total project costs, whereas the option values with the default condition are estimated as 0%~1.89% of total project cost. When actual revenues differ from the forecasted revenues, apparently the option values deviate from the values based upon the forecasted revenues. When actual revenues fall short of the forecasted revenues, the option values increase by a large amount whereas the option values decrease by a small amount in the opposite case. This implies that the option values can be quite bigger than the values based upon the forecasted revenue especially when the revenue forecast uncertainty is large. This study is expected to play an important role in improving the early termination payment option policy of the government in PPI projects in Korea.