• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2020.06a
• /
• pp.136-136
• /
• 2020

홍수와 가뭄은 우리나라에 대표적인 수재해로서 관련 연구도 활발히 진행되고 있다. 반면 겨울철에 발생하는 적설의 경우 발생빈도와 피해가 상대적으로 적었으며 관련 연구 또한 미비한 실정이다. 우리나라 일부 남부지방은 강우와 다르게 연중 눈이 내리지 않는 경우가 존재하며, 자료 중 '0'값을 가지게 된다. 이로 인해 최적분포형 선정 및 매개변수 추정에 어려움이 있으며, 특히 '0'값으로 인해 단일 확률분포를 이용한 빈도해석은 한계가 있다. 본 연구에서는 연중 눈이 내리지 않는 무적설량을 고려하기 위하여 두 가지 이상의 확률분포함수를 결합한 혼합분포함수를 개발하였다. Bayesian 기법을 이용하여 무강우의 기준이 되는 값(δ)을 매개변수로 고려하여 추정하였으며, 이에 따른 적설발생 평균확률(P을 Mixing Ratio로 고려하여 혼합분포함수를 제시하였다. 본 연구에서는 기상청 산하 관측소 중 20년 이상의 지점을 선정하여 최심신적설량을 활용하였으며, 빈도별 확률적설심을 산정하였다. 적합한 확률분포형 선정을 위해 먼저 Bayesian 기법으로 매개변수와 우도함수를 산정한 후 각 분포형의 BIC(bayesian information criterion)값을 비교하였다. 선정된 최적분포형에 대해 빈도분석을 실시하여 최심신적설량을 제시하였다. 추가적으로 무강우를 기존 기준인 '0'으로 고정하여 본 연구에서 제시한 결과 값과 비교하였다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2020.06a
• /
• pp.312-312
• /
• 2020

최근 우리나라의 계절적 강우변동폭이 점점 커져 홍수, 가뭄의 발생빈도와 심도가 증가하고 있다. 특히, 도시화에 따른 토지이용변화, 산업구조변화 등은 수자원의 수요량 및 공급량 불균형으로 이어져 수자원 관리에서 제약조건으로 작용하고 있다. 유역 내의 물순환을 평가에 있어서 물수지 모델 구축과 함께 정확한 강우-유출 분석은 매우 중요한 분석단계라 할 수 있다. 이러한 점에서 본 연구에서는 국내외 주요 연속강우-유출모형의 특성을 파악하고 모형 최적화를 통해 계측유역에 대해서 적합성을 평가하였다. 미계측유역의 불확실성을 고려한 유량 시나리오를 제시하기 위하여 다수의 모형을 활용하는 앙상블 개념을 도입하였으며, 향후 미계측유역으로 모형의 확장성을 고려하여 매개변수 개수 및 관측 유량에 대한 재현능력 특성 등을 종합적으로 평가하였다. 본 연구에서는 40개 이상의 국내외 연속강우-유출모형을 소양강댐에 적용하였으며, 통계적 지표를 이용하여 모형을 1차적으로 선정하였다. 선정된 모형을 대상으로 매개변수의 개수 및 저유량, 중간유량, 고유량으로 분리하여 재현성을 평가하고 최종적으로 앙상블모형을 제시하였다.

• Research in Plant Disease
• /
• v.8 no.1
• /
• pp.1-10
• /
• 2002

Climate in the year of 2001 could be summarized as severe drought from March to May, unusually high temperature in whole plant growth periods and clear weather condition especially in harvesting time of September and October without any typoons. In rice, major diseases such as leaf and panicle blast, bacterial blight, sheath blight and bacterial grain rot developed little due to unfavorable weather conditions, however, brown spot occurred severely due partly to the reduced use of N-fertilizer, Rice stripe virus infection was unusually high mainly in the west coast areas with four times more diseaseD area campared to the previous year, In pepper phytophthora blight was extremely severe in Cheonnam and Cheonbuk provinces, where had frequent rainfalls during growing period. Incidence of major diseases of tomato and cucumber in 2001 was relatively mild. In watermelon, penicillium fruit rot, one of the peculiar disease, spread over major production areas, whereas CGMMV, usually severe in every years was much reduced. Watermelon plants growing in open-fields were more severely diseased than those in plastic houses. Major diseases of chinese melon and strawberry occurred slightly and in particular, sudden wilt syndrome of chinese melon which was severe in 2000 showed mild infections in 2001. Incidence of white rot of garlic and onion was much lower unlike other years due mainly to spring drought and high temperature in the growing period. Infected area of potato bacterial wilt tended to increase in 2001 while fusarium wilt of sweetpotato was decreased. Apple diseases were generally mild, but powdery mildew of pear increased sharply. Barley scab was not severe as seen in other years.

• Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
• /
• v.10 no.2
• /
• pp.12-19
• /
• 2005

Jeju island is one of the highest rainfall areas in the Korean peninsular. However, variation in rainfall amount is much great with years, which resulted in substantial variation in annual groundwater recharge and sustainable yield. Therefore, to cope with groundwater hazard including sea water intrusion and water level decline in accordance with successive extreme drought, Jeju province established a stepwise action system, in which management of representative monitoring wells and corresponding actions to water level conditions was enforced. In this study, rainfall and groundwater monitoring data were analyzed to determine management groundwater level on Jeju island. First, rainfall data for last 30 years were analyzed, which yielded a lower limit of rainfall at a confidence level of 99% as a basis rainfall. Only when the rainfall less than the basis rainfall was sustained over 3 months, the water levels were targeted for the analysis. For the water level data selected using the above criteria, the lower limit of 99% confidence interval was determined as a reference groundwater level. Finally, some ratios of reference groundwater level was determined as stepwise management groundwater level on Jeju island.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
• /
• v.46 no.6
• /
• pp.613-627
• /
• 2013

In this study, to understand the May aridity condition of each region for the year of the worst drought on record in each duration (1-, 3-, 6-, 12-, 24 months), monthly climate data recorded from 1973 to 2006 at 53 climatological stations in South Korea were used to estimate the FAO Penman-Monteith reference potential evapotranspiration (RET). Monthly precipitation and RET were used to estimate P/RET as aridity index and variation index (VI) of P/RET, and these indexes are compared with SPI (Standard Precipitation Index). Fifty three climatological stations were grouped into 20 regions, so that May aridity conditions of 20 regions were studied. Furthermore, regional trend of May aridity index was studied by applying Mann-Kendall trend analysis, Spearman rank test, and Sen's slope estimator. The study results show that variation index (VI) of P/RET and SPI have close correlation. Throughout the country, as the duration is shorter, May aridity was more severe. In case of 3-month and 6-month duration, most of region show significant or non-significant decreasing trend of aridity index. However, no region show significant decreasing trend of aridity index in case of 12-month and 24-month duration.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2022.05a
• /
• pp.335-335
• /
• 2022

남한상세 기후변화 전망보고서(2021)는 2100년대 강원도 강수량이 현재보다 19% 증가하고, 평균기온이 현재보다 6.5℃ 상승할 것으로 공표했다. 강원도는 영동지역과 영서지역으로 분리돼 기후 차이가 분명하다. 기상청 ASOS 데이터(1986~2020)를 이용해 기후 특성을 확인한 결과 영동지역 강수량은 1,463mm, 평균기온은 10.5℃, 상대습도는 66%로 분석됐고, 영서지역 강수량은 1,307mm, 평균기온은 11℃, 상대습도는 68%로 분석됐다. 영동지역 강수량이 영서지역 강수량보다 약 156mm 더 많으며, 이는 영동지역에서 큰 규모의 우심 피해가 발생할 가능성이 존재함을 의미한다. 강원도 평년 우심 피해 현황을 살펴본 결과 영동지역은 5회(피해액: 62억 원), 영서지역은 24회(피해액: 62억원)가 발생했다. 이는 미래로 갈수록 더 심해질 것으로 판단되며, 이런 기상 재난을 객관적으로 판단할 수 있는 기준이 필요하다. 이에 본 연구에서는 기후변화에 따른 강원도 기후 재난취약성을 평가했다. 이를 위해 기후변화 위험성, 기후변화 민감도, 기후변화 적응능력 지표를 활용해 기후변화 취약성 지표를 선정했다. 기후변화 위험성 지표는 홍수(CWD, Rx5day, R30mm), 가뭄(CDD, SU, TX90p), 폭염(SU, TR, TN90p), 한파(ID, TX10p, FD)로 RCP 8.5 기후변화시나리오를 ETCCDI 지수에 적용했다. 기후변화 민감도와 기후변화 적응능력 지표는 국가통계포털, 강원통계정보, WAMIS에서 자료를 수집해 선정했다. 또한 재난취약성 지표를 4단계(Very Low, Low, High, Very High)로 구분했다. 홍수 취약성 평가 결과 2090년대 원주시, 춘천시, 횡성군이 Low에서 Very High로 단계가 격상됐다. 가뭄 취약성 평가 결과 2090년대 양양군, 영월군, 정선군이 Very Low에서 Very High로 단계가 격상됐다. 폭염 취약성 평가 결과 2090년대 삼척시, 태백시, 영월군이 Very Low에서 Very High로 단계가 격상됐다. 한파 취약성 평가 결과 삼척시, 태백시, 영월군이 High에서 Very Low로 단계가 격하됐다. 고로 강원도는 기후 재난취약성 평가 결과에 따른 미래 기후변화를 대비하고, 각 지역 특성에 맞는 복원력 관점 기후 재난 관리가 필요하다고 사료된다.

• Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
• /
• v.16 no.3
• /
• pp.224-248
• /
• 2010

This study is to analyze the Korean translation of "Goseong Chongswaerok" by O Hoeng-muk as a local governor through political ecology. It focuses on how O Hoeng-muk recognized and wrote the interrelation among weather, agriculture, local resident's life, and local policy. The results are summarized in the followings. Firstly, weather was recorded into three types of expression, simple and dynamic expression and agriculture-related expression. Its dynamics was much meaningful and important when weather was related to local resident's life and local or non-local economy and politics. Secondly, weather and local government were conflict under a particular natural condition like severe drought. And society and politics are affected by such a conflict. Thirdly, local people's demonstration was occurred under a certain condition. Bounded agency can be founded in O Hoeng-muk's behavior as a local governor like jinhyul(賑恤), rain rituals, tax collection. Fourthly, the interrelation among weather, agriculture, local people's life, and local policy implemented in a particular local like Goseong ought to be interpreted in terms of multiple scales.

• Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
• /
• v.47 no.5
• /
• pp.229-234
• /
• 2010

This paper proposed the acoustic signal processing techniques, which are applicable even in the shallow river, and will enhance the frequency resolution of the ADCP (Acoustic Doppler Current profiler). ADCP is a device that measures the velocity of a moving fluid. ADCP, in general, can be operated at ~300 Khz of center frequency due to no depth limit in the sea. However, it can hardly be used due to water depth of 30cm or shallower during the dry season in the river. Therefore, existing signal processing methods are not suitable to use in the shallow river. We are proposing an alternative acoustic signal processing method using Zoom FFT. Simulation results show that errors are reduced ${\pm}62\;cm/s$ in theory, and ${\pm}93\;cm/s$ in the experiment. The existing algorithm could not estimate the current speed at the shallow river below 30 cm, but proposed algorithm estimated the current speed that was faster than 20 cm/s at the shallow river below 30 cm.

• Journal of Life Science
• /
• v.17 no.7 s.87
• /
• pp.882-888
• /
• 2007

Enzyme electrophoresis was used to estimate genetic diversity and population genetic structure of Pseudobagrus fulvidraco in Korea. Nine of the 14 loci (64.3%) showed detectable polymorphism. Genetic diversity at the population and species levels were 0.286 and 0.277, respectively. Analysis of fixation indices, calculated for all polymorphic loci in each population, showed a substantial deficit of hetero-zygotes relative to Hardy-Weinberg expectations. This deficit is expected that it is due to a limited effective number of individuals per population. The average $G_{ST}$ for polymorphic loci was 0.064, indicating that most (93.6%) of the genetic diversity occurred within populations. The indirect estimate of gene flow based on mean $G_{ST}$ was 3.67. Given limited gene flow is expected to diverge genetically due to drift and reduced populations. Most populations in our study experience annual, severe demo-graphic bottlenecks due to drought and floods.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
• /
• v.35 no.1
• /
• pp.37-49
• /
• 2002

The application of conventional method for optimizing firm water supply and hydro-electric power generation has some limitation during abnormal or extreme drought periods. Hashimoto et al. (1982) suggested there risk evaluation criteria such as reliability, resilience, and vulnerability. These three criteria have been incorporated into a mixed-integer programming model for evaluating the possible performance of water- supply reservoir (Moy et al., 1986; Srinivasan et al., 1999). However, till now, these kind of researches have been conducted only for water-supply reservoir. Therefore there have been no other study for multi-purpose dam including hydro-electric power generation. This study presents an improved formulation of the previous model for evaluating a multi-purpose reservoir system operation considering water supply and hydro-electric power generation. The modified model was applied to the Daechung multi-purpose reservoir system in the Keum river basin to demonstrate the efficiency of the improved formulation.