• Journal of Korea Trade
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• v.25 no.4
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• pp.17-36
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• 2021

Purpose - This study provides useful information to stakeholders by forecasting the tramp shipping market, which is a completely competitive market and has a huge fluctuation in freight rates due to low barriers to entry. Moreover, this study provides the most effective parameters for Baltic Dry Index (BDI) prediction and an optimal model by analyzing and comparing deep learning models such as the artificial neural network (ANN), recurrent neural network (RNN), and long short-term memory (LSTM). Design/methodology - This study uses various data models based on big data. The deep learning models considered are specialized for time series models. This study includes three perspectives to verify useful models in time series data by comparing prediction accuracy according to the selection of external variables and comparison between models. Findings - The BDI research reflecting the latest trends since 2015, using weekly data from 1995 to 2019 (25 years), is employed in this study. Additionally, we tried finding the best combination of BDI forecasts through the input of external factors such as supply, demand, raw materials, and economic aspects. Moreover, the combination of various unpredictable external variables and the fundamentals of supply and demand have sought to increase BDI prediction accuracy. Originality/value - Unlike previous studies, BDI forecasts reflect the latest stabilizing trends since 2015. Additionally, we look at the variation of the model's predictive accuracy according to the input of statistically validated variables. Moreover, we want to find the optimal model that minimizes the error value according to the parameter adjustment in the ANN model. Thus, this study helps future shipping stakeholders make decisions through BDI forecasts.

• International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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• v.23 no.11
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• pp.99-109
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• 2023

The darknet is frequently referred to as the hub of illicit online activity. In order to keep track of real-time applications and activities taking place on Darknet, traffic on that network must be analysed. It is without a doubt important to recognise network traffic tied to an unused Internet address in order to spot and investigate malicious online activity. Any observed network traffic is the result of mis-configuration from faked source addresses and another methods that monitor the unused space address because there are no genuine devices or hosts in an unused address block. Digital systems can now detect and identify darknet activity on their own thanks to recent advances in artificial intelligence. In this paper, offer a generalised method for deep learning-based detection and classification of darknet traffic. Furthermore, analyse a cutting-edge complicated dataset that contains a lot of information about darknet traffic. Next, examine various feature selection strategies to choose a best attribute for detecting and classifying darknet traffic. For the purpose of identifying threats using network properties acquired from darknet traffic, devised a hybrid deep learning (DL) approach that combines Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) and Bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM). This probing technique can tell malicious traffic from legitimate traffic. The results show that the suggested strategy works better than the existing ways by producing the highest level of accuracy for categorising darknet traffic using the Black widow optimization algorithm as a feature selection approach and RNN-BiLSTM as a recognition model.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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• v.25 no.10
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• pp.1435-1440
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• 2021

With the advent of the low interest rate era, many investors are flocking to the stock market. In the past stock market, people invested in stocks labor-intensively through company analysis and their own investment techniques. However, in recent years, stock investment using artificial intelligence and data has been widely used. The success rate of stock prediction through artificial intelligence is currently not high, so various artificial intelligence models are trying to increase the stock prediction rate. In this study, we will look at various artificial intelligence models and examine the pros and cons and prediction rates between each model. This study investigated as stock prediction programs using artificial intelligence artificial neural network (ANN), deep learning or hierarchical learning (DNN), k-nearest neighbor algorithm(k-NN), convolutional neural network (CNN), recurrent neural network (RNN), and LSTMs.

• Journal of KIISE
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• v.44 no.5
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• pp.503-509
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• 2017

In this paper, the copy mechanism and input feeding are applied to recurrent neural network(RNN)-search model in a Korean-document summarization in an end-to-end manner. In addition, the performances of the document summarizations are compared according to the model and the tokenization format; accordingly, the syllable-unit, morpheme-unit, and hybrid-unit tokenization formats are compared. For the experiments, Internet newspaper articles were collected to construct a Korean-document summary data set (train set: 30291 documents; development set: 3786 documents; test set: 3705 documents). When the format was tokenized as the morpheme-unit, the models with the input feeding and the copy mechanism showed the highest performances of ROUGE-1 35.92, ROUGE-2 15.37, and ROUGE-L 29.45.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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• 2022.10a
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• pp.267-268
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• 2022

Recently, big data analysis can use various techniques according to the development of machine learning. Big data collected in reality lacks an automated refining technique for the same or similar terms based on semantic analysis of the relationship between words. Big data is usually in the form of sentences, and morphological analysis or understanding of the sentences is required. Accordingly, NLP, a technique for analyzing natural language, can understand the relationship of words and sentences. In this paper, we study the advantages and disadvantages of Transformers and Reformers, which are techniques that complement the disadvantages of RNN, which is a time series approach to big data.

• Journal of Service Research and Studies
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• v.13 no.2
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• pp.99-113
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• 2023

In a customer-based industry, customer retention is the competitiveness of a company, and improving customer retention improves the competitiveness of the company. Therefore, accurate prediction and management of potential dormant customers is paramount to increasing the competitiveness of the enterprise. In particular, there are numerous competitors in the domestic card industry, and the government is introducing an automatic closing system for dormant card management. As a result of these social changes, the card industry must focus on better predicting and managing potential dormant cards, and better predicting dormant customers is emerging as an important challenge. In this study, the Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) methodology was used to predict potential dormant customers in the card industry, and in particular, Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) was used to efficiently learn data for a long time. In addition, to redefine the variables needed to predict dormant customers in the card industry, Unified Theory of Technology (UTAUT), an integrated technology acceptance theory, was applied to redefine and group the variables used in the model. As a result, stable model accuracy and F-1 score were obtained, and Hit-Ratio proved that models using LSTM can produce stable results compared to other algorithms. It was also found that there was no moderating effect of demographic information that could occur in UTAUT, which was pointed out in previous studies. Therefore, among variable selection models using UTAUT, dormant customer prediction models using LSTM are proven to have non-biased stable results. This study revealed that there may be academic contributions to the prediction of dormant customers using LSTM algorithms that can learn well from previously untried time series data. In addition, it is a good example to show that it is possible to respond to customers who are preemptively dormant in terms of customer management because it is predicted at a time difference with the actual dormant capture, and it is expected to contribute greatly to the industry.

• Journal of Digital Contents Society
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• v.19 no.6
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• pp.1161-1167
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• 2018

The development of machine learning has enabled machines to perform delicate tasks that only humans could do, and thus many companies have introduced machine learning based translators. Existing translators have good performances but they have problems in number translation. The translators often mistranslate numbers when the input sentence includes a large number. Furthermore, the output sentence structure completely changes even if only one number in the input sentence changes. In this paper, first, we optimized a neural machine translation model architecture that uses bidirectional RNN, LSTM, and the attention mechanism through data cleansing and changing the dictionary size. Then, we implemented a number-processing algorithm specialized in number translation and applied it to the neural machine translation model to solve the problems above. The paper includes the data cleansing method, an optimal dictionary size and the number-processing algorithm, as well as experiment results for translation performance based on the BLEU score.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• v.91 no.1
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• pp.39-47
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• 2024

Bridge deterioration shows the change of bridge condition during its operation, and predicting bridge deterioration is important for implementing predictive protection and planning future maintenance. However, in practical application, the raw inspection data of bridges are not continuous, which has a greater impact on the accuracy of the prediction results. Therefore, two kinds of bridge deterioration models are established in this paper: one is based on the traditional regression theory, combined with the distribution fitting theory to preprocess the data, which solves the problem of irregular distribution and incomplete quantity of raw data. Secondly, based on the theory of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), the network is trained using the raw inspection data, which can realize the prediction of the future deterioration of bridges through the historical data. And the inspection data of 60 prestressed concrete box girder bridges in Xiamen, China are used as an example for validation and comparative analysis, and the results show that both deterioration models can predict the deterioration of prestressed concrete box girder bridges. The regression model shows that the bridge deteriorates gradually, while the LSTM-RNN model shows that the bridge keeps great condition during the first 5 years and degrades rapidly from 5 years to 15 years. Based on the current inspection database, the LSTM-RNN model performs better than the regression model because it has smaller prediction error. With the continuous improvement of the database, the results of this study can be extended to other bridge types or other degradation factors can be introduced to improve the accuracy and usefulness of the deterioration model.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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• 2021.10a
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• pp.297-299
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• 2021

Predicting future productivity of tight oil is an important task for analyzing residual oil recovery and reservoir behavior. In general, productivity prediction is made using the decline curve analysis(DCA). In this study, we intend to propose an effective model for predicting future production using deep learning-based recurrent neural networks(RNN), LSTM, and GRU algorithms. As input variables, the main parameters are oil, gas, water, which are calculated during the production of tight oil, and the type curve calculated through various cluster analyzes. the output variable is the monthly oil production. Existing empirical models, the DCA and RNN models, were compared, and an optimal model was derived through hyperparameter tuning to improve the predictive performance of the model.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2022.06a
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• pp.110-110
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• 2022

본 연구는 자율운항 선박의 원격 고장 진단 기법 개발의 일부로 수행되었다. 특히, 엔진 연료 계통 장비로부터 계측된 시계열 데이터로부터 상태 진단을 위한 알고리즘 구현 결과를 제시하였다. 엔진 연료 펌프와 청정기를 가진 육상 실험 장비로부터 진동 시계열 데이터 계측하였으며, 이상 감지, 고장 분류 및 고장 예측이 가능한 심층 학습(Deep Learning) 및 기계 학습(Machine Learning) 알고리즘을 구현하였다. 육상 실험 장비에 고장 유형 별로 인위적인 고장을 발생시켜 특징적인 진동 신호를 계측하여, 인공 지능 학습에 이용하였다. 계측된 신호 데이터는 선행 발생한 사건의 신호가 후행 사건에 영향을 미치는 특성을 가지고 있으므로, 시계열에 내포된 고장 상태는 시간 간의 선후 종속성을 반영할 수 있는 학습 알고리즘을 제시하였다. 고장 사건의 시간 종속성을 반영할 수 있도록 순환(Recurrent) 계열의 RNN(Recurrent Neural Networks), LSTM(Long Short-Term Memory models)의 모델과 합성곱 연산 (Convolution Neural Network)을 기반으로 하는 Conv1D 모델을 적용하여 예측 정확성을 비교하였다. 특히, 합성곱 계열의 RNN LSTM 모델이 고차원의 순차적 자연어 언어 처리에 장점을 보이는 모델임을 착안하여, 신호의 시간 종속성을 학습에 반영할 수 있는 합성곱 계열의 Conv1 알고리즘을 고장 예측에 사용하였다. 또한 기계 학습 모델의 효율성을 감안하여 XGBoost를 추가로 적용하여 고장 예측을 시도하였다. 최종적으로 연료 펌프와 청정기의 진동 신호로부터 Conv1D 모델과 XGBoost 모델의 고장 예측 성능 결과를 비교하였다