• Journal of Applied Reliability
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• v.18 no.3
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• pp.250-259
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• 2018

Purpose: Previously, missile reliability prediction is based on theoretical failure prediction model. It has shown that the predicted reliability is inadequate to real field data. Although an MTTF based reliability prediction method using real field data has recently been studied to overcome this issue. In this paper, we present a more realistic method, considering MTBF concept, to predict missile reliability. Methods: In this paper we proposed a modified survival model. This model is considering MTBF as its core concept, and failed missiles in the model are to be repaired and redeployed. We compared the modified model (MTBF) and the previous model (MTTF) in terms of fitness against the real failure data. Results: The reliability prediction result of MTBF based model is closer to fields failure data set than that of MTTF based model. Conclusion: The proposed MTBF concept is more fitted to real failure data of missile than MTTF concept. The methodology of this study can be applied to analyze field failure data of other similar missiles.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• v.11 no.2
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• pp.89-106
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• 2010

This paper deals with the reliability and availability characteristics of three different series system configurations with warm standby components and a repairable service station. The failure time of the primary and warm standby are assumed to be exponentially distributed with parameters ${\lambda}$ and ${\alpha}$ respectively. The repair time distribution of each server is also exponentially distributed with parameter ${\mu}$. The breakdown time and the repair time of the service station are also assumed exponentially distributed with parameters ${\gamma}$ and ${\beta}$ respectively. We derive the reliability dependent on time, availability dependent on time, the mean time to failure, $MTTF_i$, and the steady-state availability $A_i$(${\infty}$) for three configurations and perform comparisons. Comparisons are made for specific values of distribution parameters and of the cost of the components. The three configurations are ranked based on: $MTTF_i$, $A_i$(${\infty}$), and $C_i/B_i$ where $B_i$ is either $MTTF_i$ or $A_i$(${\infty}$).

• Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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• v.27 no.3
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• pp.609-618
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• 2024

System reliability prediction in the development stage is increasingly crucial to reliability growth management to satisfy its target reliability, since modern system usually takes a form of complex composition and various complicated functions. In most cases of development stage, however, the information available for system reliability prediction is very limited, making it difficult to predict system reliability more precisely as in the production and operating stages. In this study, a system reliability prediction process is considered when the reliability-related information such as SIL (Safety Integrity Level) and MTTFd (Mean Time to Dangerous Failure) is available in the development stage. It is suggested that when the SIL or MTTFd of a system component is known and the field operational data of similar system is given, the reliability prediction could be performed using the scaling factor for the SIL or MTTFd value of the component based on the similar system's field operational data analysis. Predicting a system reliability is then adjusted with the conversion factor reflecting the temperature condition of the environment in which the system actually operates. Finally, the case of applying the proposed system reliability prediction process to a high performance mooring platform is dealt with.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics D
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• v.35D no.7
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• pp.88-93
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• 1998

For the self-aligned AlGaAs/GaAs HBTs, the surface states at the interface between the extrinsic base surface and the passivation nitride is a major cause of degradation of dc characteristics. In this paper the degradation mechanisms of self-aligned AlGaAs/GaAs HBT were analyzed, and GaAs HBTs, which employed an InGaP ledge emitter structure formed by the nonself-aligned process to cover the surface of the extrinsic base and reduce the surface states, produced high reliability. Accoridng to the acceleration lifetime test, the nonself-aligned InGaP/GaAs HBTs produced very reliable dc characteristics comparing with the self-aligned AlGaAs/GaAs HBTs. The activation energy was 1.97eV and MTTF $4.8{\times}10^{8}$ hrs at $140^{\circ}C$ which satisfied the MIL standard.

• Transactions on Electrical and Electronic Materials
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.5-8
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• 2009

The reliability of multilayer ceramic capacitor with active thin dielectric layer was investigated by highly accelerated life test at various stress condition. The distribution of multilayer ceramic capacitor failure times is plotted as a function of time from Weibull distribution function. According to the test result, voltage acceleration factor is obtained from 2.24 to 2.96. The acceleration by temperature is much higher than other values of active thick dielectric layer. It is clear that median time to failure is affected by the stress voltage for high volumetric efficiency ceramic capacitors with active thin dielectric layer. The degradation under stress of voltage involves electromigration and accumulation of oxygen vacancy at Ni electrode interface of cathode.

• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers D
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• v.50 no.4
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• pp.168-176
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• 2001

In this paper, we develop a dual-duplex system which detects a fault by hardware comparator and switches to hot standby redundancy. This system is designed on the basis of MC68000 and can be used in VMEbus. To improve reliability, the dual-duplex system is designed in dual modular redundancy. The failure rate of electrical element is calculated in MILSPEC-217F, and the system RAMS(Reliability, Availiability, Maintainability and Safety) and MTTF(Mean Time to Failure) are evaluated by Markov modeling method. As the evaluation result shows improved reliability, it can be used as a component hardware for a highly reliable control system.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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• v.24 no.6
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• pp.144-149
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• 2009

The safety assessment for facility industry is now being periodically performed in Korea. For the purpose of scientific safety management, QRA(Quantitative Risk Assessment) is also being performed, and reliability data of the facilities is essential to perform the assessment. The necessary reliability data for QRA have been generally announced the values in other process industries, which results in the drop of risk reliability. The most appropriate method is to perform a direct reliability analysis towards the facilities undergoing safety assessment. In this study, the distinction between homogeneous sample estimation and multi-sample estimation of reliability data clarify using 2-Bayes theory.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• v.10 no.2
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• pp.109-118
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• 2009

Crankshaft, the core element of the engine of a vehicle, transforms the translational motion generated by combustion to rotational motion. Its failure will cause serious damage to the engine so its reliability verification must be performed. In this study, the S-N data of the bending and torsion fatigue limits of a crankshaft are derived. To evaluate the reliability of the crankshaft, reliability verification and analysis are performed. For the purpose of further evaluation, the bending and torsion tests of the original crankshaft are carried out, and failure mode analysis is made. The appropriate number of samples, the applied load, and the test time are computed. On the basis of the test results, Weibull analysis for the shape and scale parameters of the crankshaft is estimated. Likewise, the $B_{10}$ life under 50% of the confidence level and the MTTF are exactly calculated, and the groundwork for improving the reliability of the crankshaft is laid.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• v.13 no.1
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• pp.1-17
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• 2012

This Paper deals with the stochastic behavior and failure analysis of a Viscose Staple Fibre Plant which produces fibre for making clothes. The fibre making plant is a complex system with various subsystems as: Vendor (supplies Charcoal and Sulphur, raw materials for the process), Carbon di sulphide Plant, Acid Plant, Pulp Plant and Processing Plant. The considered system can completely fail due to failure of any of the subsystems. The Carbon di Sulphide Plant can fail in two different ways, due to lack of Sulphur or Charcoal. Processing Plant has the configuration 5-out-of-10: d and 6-out-of-10: f. It is also assumed that the system can fail due to workers strike and catastrophic failure. All failures follow exponential time distribution whereas all repairs follow general time distribution. Preventive Maintenance policy has been applied to reduce the failure in the system. Various reliability characteristics such as transition state probabilities, steady state behavior, reliability, availability, M.T.T.F and the cost analysis have been obtained using supplementary variable technique and Gumbel-Hougaard copula methodology.