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http://dx.doi.org/10.5762/KAIS.2020.21.7.380

Development of Prediction Model to Improve Dropout of Cyber University  

Park, Chul (Division of Management Information, Kwangwoon University)
Publication Information
Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society / v.21, no.7, 2020 , pp. 380-390 More about this Journal
Abstract
Cyber-university has a higher rate of dropout freshmen due to various educational factors, such as social background, economic factors, IT knowledge, and IT utilization ability than students in twenty offline-based university. These students require a different dropout prevention method and improvement method than offline-based universities. This study examined the main factors affecting dropout during the first semester of 2017 and 2018 A Cyber University. This included management and counseling factors by the 'Decision Tree Analysis Model'. The Management and counseling factors were presented as a decision-making method and weekly methods. As a result, a 'Dropout Improvement Model' was implemented and applied to cyber-university freshmen in the first semester of 2019. The dropout-rate in freshmen applying the 'Dropout Improvement Model' decreased by 4.2%, and the learning-persistence rate increased by 11.4%. This study applied a questionnaire survey, and the cyber-university students LMS (Learning Management System) learning results were analyzed objectively. On the other hand, the students' learning results were analyzed quantitatively, but qualitative analysis was not reflected. Nevertheless, further study is necessary. The 'Dropout Improvement Model' of this study will be applied to help improve the dropout rate and learning persistence rate of cyber-university.
Keywords
E-learnimg; Cyber-university; Academic-dropout; Academic-continuity; Dropout-rate; Target-group;
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