Browse > Article
http://dx.doi.org/10.6106/KJCEM.2012.13.2.070

Evaluating and Suggesting Key Risk Factors according to Risk Hierarchy of Occurrence Field in the Overseas Development Projects  

Lee, Jeong-Seok (한양대학교 건축공학과)
Ahn, Byung-Ju (전주대학교 건축공학과)
Kim, Jae-Jun (한양대학교 건축공학부)
Publication Information
Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management / v.13, no.2, 2012 , pp. 70-79 More about this Journal
Abstract
The Korean Government recently has been focused on strengthening competitiveness of order and stimulating construction market in the international construction industry. It has planned to extend the ODPs (overseas development projects) in order to diversifying the international construction market of which is domestic construction companies, placing too much emphasis on plant projects of the Middle East. However, literature review of risk analysis in the ODPs shows that the number of case study is several. Therefore, Authors asserted the necessity of risk analysis in the ODPs. The purpose of this study is to suggest a methodology that find KRFs (key risk factors) in the ODPs and analyze them, using AHP and Fuzzy theory. As a result, the 37 KRFs are selected and explained characteristics of them. A future direction of this study is to suggest a risk management model in the ODPs and prove feasibility of it.
Keywords
Overseas Development Projects; Risk Hierarchy; AHP; Fuzzy theory; Key Risk Factors;
Citations & Related Records
Times Cited By KSCI : 1  (Citation Analysis)
연도 인용수 순위
1 Zimmermann, H.-J. (1994a)." Fuzzy sets, decision making, and expert system", Kluwer Academic Publishers, London, England
2 Zimmermann, H.-J. (1994b). "FUZZY SET THEORY", Kluwer Academic Publishers, Boston/Dordrecht/London
3 Cox, E. A. (1994)." Fuzzy logic for business and industry", Charles River Media, ISBN: 1-886801-01-0
4 Gunhan, S. and Arditi, D. (2005). "Factors affecting international construction", Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, Vol. 131 No. 3, pp.273-282   DOI   ScienceOn
5 Grabisch, M. (1995). "Fuzzy Integral in Multicriteria Decision Making", Fuzzy sets and Systems
6 IHS Global Insight, (2010). "Global Construction Outlook: Executive Overview"
7 Kapila, P. and Hendrickson, C. (2001)." Exchange rate risk management in international construction ventures", Journal of Management Engineering, Vol. 17 No. 4, pp.186-191   DOI   ScienceOn
8 Saaty, T. L. and Vargas, L. G. (2000). "Models, Methods, Concepts and Applications of the Analytic Hierarchy Process", Boston: Kluwer Academic Publishers
9 MATLAB, (2006). "The Math Works Incorporated",
10 McDonald, D. (1999)." Developing guidelines to enhance the evaluation of overseas development projects", Evaluation and Program Planning, Vol. 22 No. 2, pp. 163-174   DOI   ScienceOn
11 Shuying, Li (2009). "Risk Management for Overseas Development Projects", International Business Research, Vol. 2, No. 3, pp.193-196
12 Sugeno, M. (1974). "Theory of Fuzzy Integrals and Its Applications", Dissertation, Tokyo Institute of Tech
13 Wang, S. Q., Tiong, R., Ting, S. K. and Ashley, D. (1999). "Political Risks: Analysis of Key Contract Clauses in China's BOT Projects", Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, Vol. 125, No. 3, pp.190-197   DOI   ScienceOn
14 Zadeh, L. A. (1965)." Fuzzy sets."Information and Control, Vol. 8, No. 3, pp.338-353   DOI
15 Zhi, H. (1995). "Risk Management for Overseas Construction Projects", International Journal of Project Management, Vol. 13, No. 4, pp.231-237   DOI   ScienceOn
16 국토해양부(2008)." 투자개발형 해외인프라 개발사업에 대한 민관협력 활성화 방안", 연구용역보고서
17 김규환(2010)." EPC 사업에서의Risk Management"
18 김인호(2004)." 건설사업의리스크관리", 기문당
19 김정현 (2007). "해외 신도시 개발사업의 경쟁력 강화를 위한 CSF 연구: 부동산 개발의 리스크 요인분석을 중심으로", 연세대학교 석사학위논문
20 송영한 (2007). "아시아지역 투자개발형 사업의 리스크 인자 중요도 분석", 한양대학교 석사학위논문
21 허철호 (2004). "해외건설프로젝트 특성과 경쟁력 제고를 위한 소견", 한국건설관리학회 논문집 제5권 5호, pp.13-20
22 유위성(2011)." 해외건설 사업의 체계적 리스크 평가 모델 모색", CERIK, Journal
23 이광형, 오길록(1997)." 퍼지이론 및 응용", 홍릉과학출판사
24 최성락, 김정현, 장세준, 백준홍 (2008). "해외 개발사업의 경쟁력향상을 위한 단계별 리스크 요인분석", 한국건축시공학회 논문집 제8권 3호, pp.59-67   과학기술학회마을   DOI   ScienceOn
25 해럴드 경제신문 (2010)." 공기업 해외투자개발형 사업 진출 길 열린다", http://biz.heraldm.com/common/Detail.jsp?newsMLId =20100115001093> (2010.03.29)
26 해외건설협회 (2005)." 해외건설공사의 수익성 예측과 리스크관리를 위한 실무지침서"
27 해외건설협회 (2011). "해외건설공사 통합 리스크관리 시스템"
28 해외건설협회 통계자료 (2011).
29 황지선 (2003). "퍼지이론을 이용한 초기 건설공사의 리스크 관리 방법론", 인천대학교 석사학위논문
30 Bu-Qammaz, A., Dikmen, I. and Birgonul, M. (2009)." Risk assessment of international construction projects using the analytic network process", Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering, NRC Research Press, Vol. 36, No. 7, pp.1170-1181   DOI   ScienceOn
31 Chan, E. and Tse, R. (2003). "Cultural Consideration in International Construction Contracts", Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, Vol. 129, No. 4, pp.375-381   DOI   ScienceOn