Maritime Security (해양안보)

Korea Institute for Maritime Strategy (한국해양전략연구소)
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INDO-PACIFIC STRATEGY versus BELT AND ROAD INITIATIVE: Implications for hegemony in Asia

인도-태평양 전략 vs. 일대일로 이니셔티브: 아시아 헤게모니에 대한 시사점

  • Received : 2021.03.30
  • Accepted : 2021.06.07
  • Published : 2021.06.30
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Abstract

Seoul is under increasing pressure to choose between the US-led IndoPacific Strategy (IPS) and China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Accordingly, this paper undertakes a detailed appraisal of the IPS and the BRI in the context of Korea's national policy imperatives. Based on a study of network structure by Daniel Nexon and Thomas Wright (2007), the present study seeks to identify a particular network structure within the IPS and the BRI. Through this analysis, the relationship between the core and the participant states will be addressed. Awareness of specific configurations of the IPS and the BRI is important as these reveal what participant states can expect from each network. According to Nexon and Wright, there are four types of network structure: unipolar anarchy, hegemonic order, constitutional order, and imperial order. Based on this, we argue that the IPS has a constitutional order and the BRI has an imperial order. Therefore, we suggest to Seoul that participating in the IPS may make more room for an independent foreign policy than would a BRI partnership with China. South Korea would benefit by participating in the IPS in terms of its national security, striking a favourable regional balance of power.

한국 정부는 미국 주도의 인도-태평양 전략 (Indo-Pacific Strategy, IPS)과 중국의 일대일로 계획 (Belt and Road Initiative, BRI) 간 양자택일이라는 점차 커져가는 압박을 마주하고 있다. 이에 따라, 이 연구는 한국 국가 정책 과제의 맥락에서 IPS와 BRI를 상세히 분석해 본다. Daniel Nexon and Thomas Wright (2007)의 네트워크 구조 연구를 기반으로, 이 연구는 IPS와 BRI에 각각 특정한 네트워크 구조를 규정하고자 한다. 이 분석을 통해 핵심국과 참가국 간의 관계를 설명할 수 있다. IPS 와 BRI의 특정 구성에 대한 이해는 참가국이 각 네트워크에서 기대할 수 있는 바를 나타내므로 중요하다. Nexon and Wright에 따르면, 네트워크 구조에는 단극성 무정부 상태, 헤게모니적 질서, 헌법적 질서, 제국적 질서의 네 가지 유형이 있다. 이를 바탕으로 IPS는 헌법적 질서를, BRI는 제국적 질서를 가지고 있는 것으로 분석된다. 따라서, 이 연구는 IPS 참여가 중국과의 BRI 파트너십보다 독립적인 외교 정책을 가능케 할 여지가 크다는 점을 한국 정부에 제안한다. IPS 참여를 통해 한국은 국가 안보 측면에서 이익을 누릴 수 있고, 보다 유리한 지역 권력 균형을 달성할 수 있을 것이다.

Keywords

Acknowledgement

이 논문은 2021년도 한국해양전략연구소의 연구용역 사업의 지원을 받아 수행된 연구임.(No.2021-01)

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