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The Relationship between Income Instability and Psychological Condition of Real Estate Price Changes and Willingness to Adjust Real Estate Holding Ratio

소득의 불안정성과 부동산가격변동에 대한 태도 및 부동산보유비중 조정의향 간의 관련성

  • Lee, Chan-Ho (Dept. of Business Administration, Pusan National University)
  • Received : 2020.10.13
  • Accepted : 2020.12.20
  • Published : 2020.12.28

Abstract

As many government policies have been announced today regarding real estate, especially housing, interest in prices in the housing market has increased significantly. In this study, I would like to present the direction of government policies by analyzing the relationship among income instability, the psychological condition of real estate price changes and willingness to adjust real estate holding ratio. First, major variables were extracted through the prior study review, and using a survey, data were collected and path analysis was conducted. According to the analysis, the current income instability had a negative impact on the psychological condition of real estate price changes, and a positive influence on the willingness to adjust real estate holding ratio, but the psychological condition of real estate price changes did not have a statistically significant impact on the willingness to adjust real estate holding ratio. Thus, the difference analysis was conducted between groups by dividing the ages and the number of dependents respectively. According to the analysis, the impact of income instability and psychological condition of real estate price changes on willingness to adjust real estate holding ratio differed between groups divided by ages and number of dependents. The results of this analysis will help the government to establish real estate policies and help each household to use the analysis as basic data when they make a decision about real estate. On the other hand, this study has limitations that have only been conducted cross-sectional analysis and analyzing time series changes and differences in perception between regions are going to be conducted in a future study.

오늘날 부동산 특히 주택과 관련한 많은 정부정책이 발표됨에 따라 주택시장에서의 가격에 대한 관심이 매우 높아졌다. 이에 본 연구에서는 소득의 불안정성과 부동산가격변동에 대한 심리상태와 부동산보유비중의 조정의향 간의 관련성을 분석하여 정부정책의 실효가능성을 살펴보고자 한다. 먼저 선행연구 검토를 통해 주요 변수를 추출하고 설문조사를 통해 자료를 수집하여 경로분석을 실시하였다. 분석결과 현재의 소득의 불안정성은 부동산가격변동에 대한 태도에 음(-)의 영향을, 부동산보유비율조정의향에는 양(+)의 영향을 미쳤으나, 부동산가격변동에 대한 태도가 부동산보유비율조정의향에는 통계적으로 유의한 영향을 미치지 않았다. 이에 연령대와 부양가족 수를 각각 2분하여 집단간 차이분석을 실시하였으며, 분석결과 부동산보유비중 의사결정은 연령대가 높은집단과 부양가족수가 많은집단에서 소득불안정성과 부동산가격변화에 대한 태도에 의해 영향을 받아 집단 간 차이를 보였다. 본 분석 결과는 정부의 부동산 정책 수립방향 설정과 각 가계의 부동산 관련 의사결정에 기초자료로 활용하는데 도움이 될 것이다. 한편 본 연구는 횡단면분석만을 실시한 한계점을 갖고 있으며 향후에는 시계열적 변화와 지역간 인식의 차이 등을 분석하고자 한다.

Keywords

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