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브레인 임플란트 산업 장기미래 시나리오 연구

A Study on the Long-Term Future Scenario of Brain Implant Industry

  • 김준호 (한국과학기술원 의과학대학원)
  • Kim, Joonho (Graduate School of Medical Science and Engineering, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology)
  • 투고 : 2019.01.29
  • 심사 : 2019.04.20
  • 발행 : 2019.04.28

초록

본 연구는 산업정책 및 기업전략의 개발 및 적용에 활용될 수 있는 브레인 임플란트 산업의 장기 미래 시나리오 모델개발 및 시나리오별 대응전략을 개발하는 것을 연구의 목적으로 삼았다. 뇌과학 산업은 미래 핵심 산업으로 그 가능성에 대하여서는 많은 논의가 있었지만 구체적인 산업육성정책이나 기업전략 분야는 연구가 매우 부족한 실정이다. 이는 이 분야가 아직 산업육성정책이나 기업전략을 작성하기에 필요한 정보가 축적되지 못하였기 때문이다. 이러한 한계를 극복하기 위하여 본 연구에서는 뇌과학산업의 핵심영역으로 많은 불확실성이 존재하는 브레인 임플란트 산업에 대하여 시스템 다이내믹스 모델로 미래 시나리오를 작성하고 이를 기반으로 각각의 시나리오에 적합한 전략을 제시하였다. 따라서 본 연구는 뇌과학산업 육성 정책 입안 및 개별 기업에서의 전략개발에 주요한 자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다. 향후 글로벌 시장 상황이 어느 시나리오로 발전하는 지를 조기에 파악할 수 있는 신호에 관한 연구의 필요성이 제기된다.

The purpose of this study was to develop a long-term future scenario model of the brain implant industry that can be used for the industrial policy and corporate strategy. There are many discussions about the possibility of the brain science industry as a future core industry, but researches on specific industrial development policies and corporate strategy fields are very lacking. This is because this field has not yet accumulated the necessary information to create industrial growth policies or corporate strategies. In order to overcome these limitations, this study developed future scenarios using the system dynamics model for the brain implant industry and proposed a strategy suitable for each scenario. This study can be used as the main data for the policy development of the brain science industry and the strategy development in individual companies. There is a need to study the signal that can identify the future scenario of global market development in the future.

키워드

DJTJBT_2019_v17n4_187_f0001.png 이미지

Fig. 1. Brain Implant Industry Systems Dynamics Model

DJTJBT_2019_v17n4_187_f0002.png 이미지

Fig. 2. Brain Implant Market Forecast Scenario

Table 1. DBS: current challenges and future directions

DJTJBT_2019_v17n4_187_t0001.png 이미지

Table 2. Brain Implant Industry Scenarios

DJTJBT_2019_v17n4_187_t0002.png 이미지

Table 3. Parameter Value Setting

DJTJBT_2019_v17n4_187_t0003.png 이미지

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