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Economics Approach on Validity of CNG Bus Promotion Policy

천연가스(CNG)버스 보급정책의 타당성 제고를 위한 연구

  • Shin, Won Shik (Dept. of Energy Policy, Korea Polytechnic University)
  • Received : 2018.09.06
  • Accepted : 2018.10.25
  • Published : 2018.10.31

Abstract

As recognizing the necessity of eco-friendly vehicles in order to reduce air pollution from road sector, Korean government has established and implemented a promotion policy which is encouraging the public transportation companies to purchase CNG buses in replacing diesel buses since 2000s. With CNG bus promotion policy, the number of CNG buses had been increased on the road of metropolitan area and big cities. However, increasing rate of CNG buses had been fluctuated between the decrease and the increase since year 2014. In this study, the impact of fuel cost competitiveness between diesel and CNG on CNG bus increasing volume was testified by simple regression, which was only assumed by precedent research on the CNG promotion policy. And this study suggested the necessity of harmonization among the related policies conducted by related Ministries. Eventually this study should contribute to enhance the validity of CNG bus promotion policy. And it is expected that Korean government should apply the new policy suggestion of this study in the establishment of government's promotion policy on LNG cargo trucks and Zero Emission Vehicles in the future.

우리나라의 대기 질 악화현상을 개선하기 위하여 정부에서는 수송부문에 있어서 경유자동차를 대체하는 친환경차량의 보급 필요성을 인식하여, 지난 2000년대부터 천연가스(CNG: Compressed Natural Gas)버스의 보급정책을 실시하여 왔다. 이에 따라 수도권 및 대도시를 중심으로 CNG버스의 보급량이 지속적으로 증가되어 왔다. 그러나, 2014년도 이후 CNG버스의 증가세가 감소하고 경유버스의 감소세가 둔화되는 등 부침을 겪어 왔다. 본 연구에서는 CNG버스 보급정책의 지속적 추진에도 불구하고 CNG버스 구매 량이 꾸준히 증가하지 못했던 원인과 관련하여 그간 선행연구에서 추정에 그쳐왔던 '경유와 CNG의 연료비 차이가 CNG버스 보급량에 미치는 영향'을 회귀분석으로 검증하였다. 아울러 이러한 문제점에 대하여 정부 부처간 서로 다른 정책목표간 조화 필요성을 제시하는 한편, 경유대비 CNG의 연료가격 경쟁력을 높이기 위한 해결방안을 제시함으로써 CNG 버스 보급정책의 타당성을 제고하였다. 이는 앞으로 정부의 LNG화물차 및 무공해차량(Zero Emission Vehicle)을 대상으로 한 친환경자동차 보급 정책을 추진함에 있어서도 새로운 기준으로 추가되어야 할 것이다.

Keywords

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