DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

국가 기초 통계자료 환경변화에 따른 건설공사비지수 개선

Improvement of Construction Cost Index against the Change of National Basic Statistic

  • 강태경 (한국건설기술연구원 건설관리.경제연구실) ;
  • 백승호 (한국건설기술연구원 건설관리.경제연구실) ;
  • 김창원 (고려대학교 건축사회환경공학부) ;
  • 조훈희
  • Kang, Taikyung (Construction Management and Economy Research Division, Korea Institute of Construction Technology) ;
  • Baek, Seung-Ho (Construction Management and Economy Research Division, Korea Institute of Construction Technology) ;
  • Kim, Chang-Won (School of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering, Korea University) ;
  • Cho, Hunhee (School of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering, Korea University)
  • 투고 : 2015.01.15
  • 심사 : 2015.04.28
  • 발행 : 2015.07.31

초록

우리나라의 건설공사비지수는 지난 2004년부터 매월 발행되고 있다. 이 지수는 공사비 실적자료의 갱신과 공사비 변동분석, 시장가격의 평가에 직간접적으로 활용되어 왔다. 그런데 이 지수는 한국은행의 산업연관표와 생산자물가지수를 이용하는 가공통계자료이기 때문에, 이들 기초통계 자료에 변화가 있을 경우, 지수 작성모델의 변경이 반드시 필요하다. 최근 한국은행은 생산자물가 지수와 산업연관표의 작성원칙과 기준연도를 변경하였다. 이에 본 연구에서는 최근 변경된 기초통계자료의 내용과 그 영향을 분석하고, 이를 토대로 건설공사비지수를 새롭게 개선하였다. 또한 기존의 생산자물가지수 등과 그 편제 품목 및 가중치 변화 등을 분석함으로써 개선된 지수의 타당성을 검증하였다.

Construction cost index (CCI) has been published for last 10 years, it's contributed to update the historical cost data, analysis cost fluctuation and evaluate the market price for construction works with direct or indirect manner. CCI is a secondary or processed statistics using the basic statistics of input output table (IO table) and producer price index (PPI) from the Bank of Korea (BOK). So once the basic statistics change, it is required to modify the calculating model of CCI. Recently the BOK changed some fundamental principles and the base year (from 2005 to 2010), that can be used in IO table and PPI. This research analyzed the recent revision of basic statistics and their impacts on CCI, and improved the previous CCI model in response to it. Also the validity of new CCI was verified by analyzing the items and weights utilized in CCI and comparing the related index.

키워드

참고문헌

  1. Baabak Ashuri. and Jian Ju. (2010). "Time Series Analysis of ENR Construction Cost Index," Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 136(11), pp. 1227-1237. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0000231
  2. Cheng, Min-Yuan, Nhat-Duc Hoang, and Yu-Wei Wu. (2013). "Hybrid intelligence approach based on LSSVM and Differential Evolution for construction cost index estimation: A Taiwan case study." Automation in Construction, 35, pp. 306-313. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.autcon.2013.05.018
  3. Cho, H., Kang, K., Ahn, S., Lee, U. and Kim, J. (2008). "Development of New Construction Cost Index in Domestic," Korea Institute of Construction Technology Research Report.
  4. Cho, H., Kang, K., Kim, C. and Cho, M. (2002). "Forecasting of Building Construction Cost Variation using BCCI and it's application," Proceeding of the Korea Institute of Construction Engineering and Management, pp. 64-71.
  5. Cho, H., Kang, T., Lee, Y. and Cho, M. (2000). "Development of Construction Cost Index in Domestic," Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea, 16(10), pp. 135-142.
  6. Cho, H., Lee, M., Kim, C. and Lim, H. (2013). "Research on Updating Construction Cost Index," Korea Institute of Construction Technology Research Report.
  7. Cho, H., Lee, Y., Kang, T., Ahn, B. and Huh, Y. (2006) . "Cost Index for Updating Standard Price Cap in Apartment Houses in Public Sector," Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea, 22(11), pp. 215-222.
  8. Choi, Seungdong, Hyun Soyoung (2013). "The Necessity of Electrical Construction Cost Index Developmnt, According to the Introduction of Chain Index", 2013 Electrical Facilities Fall Conference of KIEE, pp. 24-26.
  9. Chun, J. and Woo, S. (2006). "The Research on Development of Road Cost Index Using Each Representative Item of Expenditure," Journal of Korean Society of Civil Engineers, 26(1-D), pp. 105-113.
  10. Hwang, S. (2011). "Time Series Models for Forecasting Construction Costs Using Time Series Indexes,." Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 137(9), pp. 656-662. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0000350
  11. Kang, G., Lee, U., Kim, C. and Cho, H. (2012). "Prediction of the Construction Cost Indices for Construction Cost of Public and Permanent Rental House," Proceeding of the Korea Institute of Building Construction, 12(2), pp. 111-112.
  12. Kim, T, Cho, H, Ahn, C, Gwak, J, Seo, S, Kim, Y, Kim, S, Kim, J. (2012). Development of Cost Index for Information and communication Construction Work", Information and Communications Magazine, 29(7), pp. 89-96.
  13. Kim, W., Kim, Y., Yi, J., Lee, Y. and Lee, B. (2006). "A Basic Study for Developing the Construction Cost Idnex by Directly Surveying the Cost Input Structure in Korea," Korean journal of Construction Engineering and Management, KICEM, 7(2), pp. 53-61.
  14. Lee, J, Lee, R, Lee, H. (2014). "A Study on the Calculation Method of the Apartment Hourse Construction Cost Index Using the Chain Index", Journal of the Regional Association of Architectural Institute of Korea, 60(2), pp. 151-158.
  15. OECD (1998). "Construction Price Index: Source and Method"
  16. Park, S., Hong, T., Koo, K. and Hyun, C. (2010). "Selection model of representative items for the subcontractors' cost index in multi-family housing projects." Journal of Civil Engineering and Management, 16(2), pp. 278-286. https://doi.org/10.3846/jcem.2010.32
  17. Park, S., Koo, K. and Hyun, C. (2006). "Development of Quantity based Base Period Price Index(QBPPI) to calculate Construction Cost Index," Korean journal of Construction Engineering and Management, KICEM, 7(5), pp. 77-84.
  18. Park, H, Choi, S, Hyun, S, Park, M. (2014). "Development of Electrical Construction Cost Index Applied Chain-Weighed Method", Korean journal of Construction Engineering and Management, KICEM, 15(5), pp. 49-60. https://doi.org/10.6106/KJCEM.2014.15.5.049
  19. Ryu, Deok-Hyeon., and Park, Cheol-Beom. (2011). "A Study on the Compiling Method of Chain-weighed producer price index". Quarterly national accounts review, 1, Bank of Korea, pp. 1-28.
  20. Steven C. B., Martin H. and Jian, S. (2006). "A Simple Alternative House Price Index Method," Journal of Housing Economics, 15(1), pp. 80-97. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhe.2006.03.001
  21. The Bank of Korea (2011). "Korean System of National Accounts : Concepts, Sources and Methods".
  22. Xu, Jiang-wei, and Sungwoo Moon. (2011). "Stochastic Forecast of Construction Cost Index Using a Cointegrated Vector Autoregression Model." Journal of Management in Engineering, 29(1), pp. 10-18. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)ME.1943-5479.0000112