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PSECF (Policy Streams & Expert Group Standing Change Framework) for Wartime Operational Control Transition

전시작전통제권 전환에 관한 정책흐름 및 전문가집단 위상변동모형 사례분석

  • Received : 2014.05.19
  • Accepted : 2014.07.20
  • Published : 2014.07.28

Abstract

This study applies Policy Streams and Expert Group Standing Change Framework (PSECF) proposed by SangJung Park and Chan KOH to analyze the Roh's Participatory government's decision making process on the wartime Operational Control (OPCON) transition. PSECF case study's results are as follows: Strong commitments of the former president Roh Moohyun and the progressive National Security Committee (NSC) were primary drivers in the policy developing process. But military expert groups such as the Ministry of National Defense (MND) and the Joint Chiefs of Staffs (JCS) were thoroughly excluded due to their passive role against the wartime OPCON transition. After the policy resolution, the standing of expert groups changed: the standing of advocate effects, the former progressive NSC who led the wartime OPCON transition in the Roh's Participatory government, went down but the conservatives such as ROK MND and JCS improve their standing because the conservative government kicks off 8 months later from the policy decision. In conclusion, the proposed PSECF through the Roh's Participatory government's case-study is worthy as an explanatory framework for high level national policies.

이 연구는 박상중 고찬이 제안한 '정책흐름 및 전문가집단 위상변동모형'(Policy Stream and Expert Group Standing Change Framework, 이후 PSECF)을 활용하여 참여정부의 전시작전통제권(이후 전작권) 결정을 분석하는 것이다. 전작권 전환 결정과정에서 노무현 전 대통령과 진보성향의 국가안전보장회의(National Security Committee, 이후 NSC)의 강력한 의지는 정책개발과정의 주요 동인으로 작동하였으며, 국방부 및 합참 등 군사전문가집단의 의견은 정책에 수동적이라는 이유로 철저하게 배제되었다. 전문가집단의 위상변동 측면에서 볼 때 전작권 전환 결정이후 8개월 만에 보수성향의 정부가 출범하게 됨으로써 참여정부에서 전작권 전환을 주도한 NSC는 위상이 약화된 반면에 국방부 및 합참과 같은 보수진영은 그 위상이 향상되었다. 결론적으로 참여정부의 전작권 전환에 관한 이 연구는 상위 수준의 국가정책을 설명하는 정책도구로서 PSECF의 적용가능성을 제고하였다는데 의의가 있다.

Keywords

References

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