KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research (대한토목학회논문집)

Korean Society of Civil Engeneers (대한토목학회)
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Summer Precipitation Variability in the Han River Basin within the Context of Global Temperature Gradients

전지구 온도지표를 이용한 한강유역의 여름철 강우특성 변화 분석

  • 정민수 (서울시립대학교 토목공학과) ;
  • 김종석 (서울시립대학교 토목공학과) ;
  • 문영일 (서울시립대학교 토목공학과, 도시홍수연구소) ;
  • 황성환 (서울시립대학교 도시홍수연구소)
  • Received : 2014.02.10
  • Accepted : 2014.05.30
  • Published : 2014.08.01
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Abstract

In this study, two global simple indices are used to investigate climate variability and change in observations. Land-Ocean Contrast (LOC) is an index of area-averaged surface temperature contrast between land and ocean. Meridional Temperature Gradient (MTG) is defined as the mean meridional temperature gradient in the Northern Hemisphere from mid to high latitude and sub-tropical zonal bands. These indices have direct or indirect effects on changing in atmospheric circulations and atmospheric moisture transport from north-south or east-west into East Asia (EA). In addition, warm season hydrometeorology in EA is highly associated with water supplies for coupled human and natural systems including drinking water, irrigation, hydropower generation as well as fisheries. Therefore, in this study, we developed an empirical separation approach for summer rainfall from typhoon and monsoon. An exploratory analysis was also conducted to identify the regional patterns of summer monsoon precipitation over the Korean peninsula within the context of changes in different types of temperature gradients. The results show significant and consistent changes in summer monsoon rainfall during the summer season (June-September) in South Korea.

본 연구에서는 대표적인 전지구 온도지표인 LOC/MTG 온도인자를 이용하여 기후변동성(Climate Variability)을 파악하고 관측수문량의 상대적 변화분석을 위한 특성자료로 활용하였다. 여기서, LOC (Land-Ocean Contrast)는 중위도 지역에서 대륙과 해양의 온도의 차이를 나타내는 지수이며, 고위도 및 아열대 지역의 남북간 기온의 차이는 MTG (Meridional Temperature Gradient)로 정의된다. LOC/MTG 두 패턴의 남북 또는 동서 지점의 변화는 동아시아 지역에서의 대기순환패턴의 변화와 그와 관련된 대기수분이송에 직간접적인 영향인자로서 작용될 수 있다. 또한, 여름철 동아시아의 수문기상의 변화는 식수, 관개용수, 수력발전 및 수산산업과 연관성이 매우 크며, 인간과 자연의 상호관계를 유지하기 위한 지속가능한 수자원의 공급에 중요한 결정요소이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 한강유역을 대상으로 6월에서 9월 사이에 발생한 여름철 강우 중에서 태풍에 의해 유발된 강우를 제외하고 몬순기후에 의한 한반도 유역의 지역적 강우 특성을 분석하였다. 한강 몬순강우와의 통계적 상관성 분석을 실시한 결과, 여름철 몬순강우의 변화에 민감하게 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다.

Keywords

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