대한환경공학회지 (Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers)

  • 제32권9호
  • /
  • Pages.818-829
  • /
  • 2010
  • /
  • 1225-5025(pISSN)
  • /
  • 2383-7810(eISSN)
대한환경공학회 (Korean Society of Environmental Engineers)
권호 표지

효율적 기후변화 적응대책 수립을 위한 기후변화의 경제학적 분석

Economic Analysis of Climate Change to Establish Effective Adaptation Policies

  • 채여라 (한국환경정책평가연구원) ;
  • 염유나 (한국환경정책평가연구원)
  • 발행 : 2010.09.30
PDF 다운로드
⟨ 이전 논문 다음 논문 ⟩

초록

본 연구는 기후변화의 영향평가와 경제학적 분석에 관한 국내 외 연구현황을 살펴봄으로써 우리나라의 효율적인 기후변화 적응대책 수립을 위한 방향을 제시하고자 한다. 본 연구는 기존연구들이 분석한 기후변화의 경제학적 비용 및 농업, 건강 등과 같은 부문별로 기후변화의 경제학적 분석을 수행하는데 이용된 지표들을 살펴보았다. 분석에 이용된 지표들과 결과들을 비교, 분석하는 데에 있어 국내연구를 중점적으로 살펴봄으로써 국내연구의 현주소와 나아가야 할 방향을 제시한다. 마지막으로 기후변화 적응정책에 대한 연구현황을 통하여 적응정책의 발전과정과 적응방안들을 살펴보고 적응정책의 연구에 대한 방향을 제안하고자 한다.

This paper provides an extensive overview of the literature on economic analysis of climate change, and thereby provides direction for effective adaptation policies for Korea. The paper first gives a comprehensive look on the estimation of economic costs of climate change as given by various research. Following, the paper examines the choice of measures that are used in the economic analysis of climate change by different sectors, including agriculture and human health. The paper also compares and discusses the various analytic results with a focus on Korea in order to shed light on where Korea stands. Finally, the paper examines current literature on adaptation polices in response to climate change, and by examining how such research has evolved and deepened with time, provide directions for the research on adaptation policies for Korea.

키워드

참고문헌

  1. Stern, N. H., The economics of climate change: The Stern review, Cambridge University Press(2007).
  2. 이지훈, "기상이변의 경제학," SERI 경제포커스, 삼성경제연구소, 278호(2010).
  3. IPPC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), "Climate change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation & Vulnerability," Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, McCarthy, J. J., Canziani, O. F., Leary, N. A., Dokken, D. J., White, K. S. (Eds.), Cambridge University Press, UK(2001).
  4. de Bruin, K. C., Dellink, R. B. and Agrawala, S., "Economic aspects of adaptation to climate change: Integrated assessment modelling of adaptation costs and benefits," OECD, Paris, Working Paper, No. 6(2009).
  5. IPPC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), "The fourth assessment report, Climate change 2007," Cambridge University Press, UK(2007).
  6. Warren, R., Hope, C. Mastrandrea, M. and Tol, R., "Research Report Prepared for the Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change," Tyndall Centre Working Paper 91, Norwich: Tyndall Centre(2006).
  7. IIED (International Institute for Environment Development), "The economic impact of climate change in Namibia: How climate change will affect the contribution of Namibia's natural resources to its economy," (2007).
  8. NRDC (Natural Resources Defence Council), "What we'll pay if global warming continues," (2008).
  9. ADB (Asian Development Bank), "The Economics of climate change in Southeast Asia: a regional review," (2009).
  10. Hubler, M., Klepper, G. and Peterson, S., "Costs of climate change. The effects of rising temperatures on health and productivity in Germany," Ecological Economics, 68, 381-393(2008). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2008.04.010
  11. 한국환경정책평가연구원(Korea Environment Institute, KEI), "우리나라 기후변화의 경제학적 분석(I)," (2009).
  12. Garnaut, R., "The Garnuat climate change review," (2008).
  13. EEA (European Environment Agency), "Climate change: The cost of inaction and the cost of adaptation," (2007).
  14. WHO (World Health Organization), "Protecting health from climate change: Connecting science, policy and people," (2009).
  15. Lobell, D. B., Field, C. B., Cahill, K. N. and Bonfils, C., "Impacts of future climate change on California perennial crop yields: Model projections with climate and crop uncertainties," Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 141, 208-218(2006). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2006.10.006
  16. Rosenzweig, C., Tubiello, F. N., Goldberg, R., Mills, E. and Bloomfield, J., "Increased crop damage in the US from excess precipitation under climate change," Global Environmental Change, 12, 197-202(2002). https://doi.org/10.1016/S0959-3780(02)00008-0
  17. Larsen, P. H., Goldsmith, S., Smith, O., Wilson, Strzepek, K., Chinowsky, P. and Saylor, B., "Estimating future costs for Alaska public infrastructure at risk from climate change," Global Environmental Change, 18, 442-457(2008). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2008.03.005
  18. Parry, M. L., Rosenzweig, C., Iglesias, A., Livermore and M., Fischer, G., "Effects of climate change on global food production under SRES emissions and socio-economic scenarios," Global Environmental Change, 14, 53-67(2004). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2003.10.008
  19. Korea Forest Service, http://www.forest.go.kr, September (2010).
  20. Yeora, C., Bae, S. Y. and Kim, J. E., "Estimating climate change damage using PAGE model," Korea Environment Institute(2006).
  21. Metroeconomica Limited, "Costing the impacts of climate change in the UK: Implementation guidelines," Final report, Prepared for the UK Climate Impacts Programme, UKCIP (2003).
  22. Marsden Jacob Associates, "Guidelines for evaluation of introducing and improving two part tariffs," Department of Natural Resources, Queensland(1997).
  23. Parry, M. and Carter, T., "Climate impact and adaptation assessment," Earthscan(1998).
  24. World Bank, "The cost to developing countries of adapting to climate change: New methods and estimates," (2010).
  25. World Bank, "Clean energy and development: Towards an investment framework," (2006).
  26. UNDP (United Nations Development Programme), "Human development report 2007/2008. Fighting climate change: Human solidarity in a divided world," (2007).
  27. Oxfam International, "Adapting to climate change: What's needed in poor countries, and who should pay," Briefing paper 104(2007).
  28. UNFCCC (United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change), "Climate change: Impacts, vulnerabilities, and adaptation in developing countries," (2007).
  29. Project Catalyst, "Adaptation to climate change: Potential costs and choices for a global agreement," (2009).