공급사슬에서 계절적 수요와 추계적 조달기간을 고려한 채찍효과 측도의 개발

Developing the Bullwhip Effect Measure in a Supply Chain Considering Seasonal Demand and Stochastic Lead Time

  • 조동원 (한양대학교 산업경영공학과) ;
  • 이영해 (한양대학교 산업경영공학과)
  • 발행 : 2009.12.31

초록

The bullwhip effect means the phenomenon of increasing demand variation as moving UP to the upstream in the supply chain. Therefore, it is recognized that the bullwhip effect is problematic for effective supply chain operations. In this paper, we exactly quantifies the bullwhip effect for the case of stochastic lead time and seasonal demand in two-echelon supply chain where retailer employs a base-stock policy considering SARMA demand processes and stochastic lead time. We also investigate the behavior of the proposed measurement for the bullwhip effect with autoregressive and moving average coefficient, stochastic lead time, and seasonal factor.

키워드

참고문헌

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