대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A (The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A)

대한전기학회 (The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers)
권호 표지

HIV감염과 AIDS의 전파특성에 관한 수학적 모델화

Mathematical Modelling for the Transmission Dynamics of HIV infection and AIDS

  • 정형환 (동앙대 공대 전기공학과) ;
  • 주석민 (동아대 공대 정보통신연구소 특별연구원) ;
  • 정문규 (동아대 공대 전기공학과) ;
  • 이광우 (부산외국어 컴퓨터 공학과)
  • 발행 : 1999.02.01
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초록

This study investigates the population model of the spread of HIV/AIDS which the infection is generated by an infectious individual in a population of susceptible. A mathematical model is presented for the transmission dynamics of HIV infection within the communities of homosexual males. The pattern on the epidemic character of HIV, the causative agent of AIDS, was analysed by the mathematical model of AIDS system which is derived according to the ecological relationship between five epidemilogic states of individuals. The computer simulation was performed using real data and the following conclusions are drawn on the basis of the simulations. 1. The model structure and the algorithm described n the thesis is good. 2. In proportion to increase Ro, the population of AIDS patient increases and the time of its widespread reaches earlier. 3. The AIDS patients will be maximum between 7 and 21 years after an attack of AIDS and widespread between 10 and 20 years. 4. Considering the properties of the incubation periods, the maximum number of infected person is increased, and the attack rate is decreased.

키워드

참고문헌

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