Derivation of Optimal Design Flood by Gamma and Generalized Gamma Distribution Models(I) - On the Gamma Distribution Models -

Gamma 및 Generalized Gamma 분포 모형에 의한 적정 설계홍수량의 유도 (I) -Gamma 분포 모형을 중심으로-

  • Published : 1997.06.01

Abstract

This study was conducted to derive optimal design floods by Gamma distribution models of the annual maximum series at eight watersheds along Geum , Yeong San and Seom Jin river Systems, Design floods obtained by different methods for evaluation of parameters and for plotting positions in the Gamma distribution models were compared by the relative mean errors and graphical fit along with 95% confidence interval plotted on Gamma probability paper. The results were analyzed and summarized as follows. 1.Adequacy for the analysis of flood flow data used in this study was confirmed by the tests of Independence, Homogeneity and detection of Outliers. 2.Basic statistics and parameters were calculated by Gamma distribution models using Methods of Moments and Maximum Likelihood. 3.It was found that design floods derived by the method of maximum likelihood and Hazen plotting position formular of two parameter Gamma distribution are much closer to those of the observed data in comparison with those obtained by other methods for parameters and for plotting positions from the viewpoint of relative mean errors. 4.Reliability of derived design floods by both maximum likelihood and method of moments with two parameter Gamma distribution was acknowledged within 95% confidence interval.

Keywords

References

  1. The Lognormal Distribution Aitchison,J.;J.A.C.Brown
  2. Technical Report Flood Flow Frequency Techniques Beard,L.R.
  3. Probability,Statistics and Decision for Civil Engineers Benjamin,J.R.;C.A.Cornell
  4. The Gamma Family and Derived Distributions applied in Hydrology Bobee,b.;F.Ashkar
  5. Flood Flows, A Study of Frequencies and Magnitudes Hazen,A.
  6. Trans. Ame. Geophysics Union v.21 Probability Interpretation of the observed Return Period of Flood Gumbel,E.J.
  7. Frequency and Risk Analysis in Hydrology Kite,G.W.
  8. 한국수문조사서(우량,수위편) 건설부
  9. 한국수문조사년보 건설부
  10. 한국수문조사년보 건설부
  11. 홍수수문자료집 건설부
  12. 한국하천조사서 건설부
  13. 한국의 홍수 건설부
  14. 홍수량척정조사보고서 건설부
  15. 한국농공학회지 v.25 no.3 적정홍수빈도와 위험도분석에 관한 연구 이순혁;박명근
  16. 한국농공학회지 v.27 no.2 수리구조물의 파괴위험도와 설계홍수량에 관한 수문학적 연구(Ⅰ) 이순혁;박명근
  17. 한국농공학회지 v.28 no.3 수리구조물의 파괴위험도와 설계홍수량에 관한 수문학적 연구()Ⅱ 이순혁;박명근
  18. 한국농공학회지 v.30 no.4 Low Outliers를 고려한 홍수빈도분석에 관한 연구 이순혁;홍성표;박명근
  19. 응용수문학 이순혁 외
  20. The Civil Engineeringh Dept. Flood Prediction Methods for Pennsylvania Highway Crossings, Final Report to Penn. Dot Reich,B.M.;D.J.Jackson
  21. Journal of Hydrology v.136 Comparison of Various Flood Frequency Distributions using Annual Flood Peaks Data of Rivers in Anatolia Tefaruk Haktanir
  22. A Uniform Technique for Determining, Flood Flow Frequency,Bill.15 U.S.Water Resources Council Hydrology Committee
  23. Probability and Statistics in Hydrology Yevjevich,V.