• 제목/요약/키워드: work forward validation

검색결과 11건 처리시간 0.028초

WaveNet과 Work Forward Validation을 활용한 시계열 데이터 분석 (Time Series Data Analysis using WaveNet and Walk Forward Validation)

  • 윤협상
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제30권4호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2021
  • 복잡하고 비선형적인 특징을 갖는 시계열 데이터를 예측하기 위해 딥러닝 기법이 널리 사용되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 최근에 개발된 WaveNet을 개선하고 워크포워드 검증 기법을 적용하여 전력 소비량 데이터를 24시간 이전에 예측하고자 한다. 원래 WaveNet은 오디오 데이터 예측에 사용하고자 고안되었으며, 장기간의 데이터를 효과적으로 예측하기 위해 1차원 팽창인과 합성곱(1D dilated causal convolution)을 사용한다. 먼저, WaveNet이 부호화된 정수 값이 아니라 실수 값을 출력하여 전력 데이터를 예측하기 적합하도록 개선하였다. 다음으로 학습 과정에 적용된 하이퍼파라미터(입력 기간, 배치 크기, WaveNet 블록 개수, 팽창 비율, 학습률 변경)를 조정하여 적절한 성능을 나타내도록 하였다. 마지막으로 성능 평가를 통해 전통적인 홀드아웃 검증 기법보다 본 연구에서 사용한 워크포워드 검증 기법이 전력 소비량 데이터 예측에 우수함 성능을 나타냄을 확인하였다.

Validation on Conceptual Design and Performance Analyses for Compound Rotorcrafts Considering Lift-offset

  • Go, Jeong-In;Park, Jae-Sang;Choi, Jong-Soo
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.154-164
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    • 2017
  • This work conducts a validation study for the XH-59A helicopter using a rigid coaxial rotor system in order to establish the techniques of the conceptual design and performance analysis for the lift-offset compound rotorcraft. As a tool for conceptual design and performance analysis, NDARC (NASA Design and Analysis of Rotorcraft) is used for the present study. An assumed mission profile is considered for the conceptual design of the XH-59A. As a validation result of the design, the dimensions and weight of the XH-59A are appropriately designed when compared to the target values since the relative error is less than 0.5%. Then, performance analyses are conducted for the designed XH-59A model with and without auxiliary propulsion in hover and forward flight conditions. The present analyses show good validity since the prediction results compare well with both the flight test and previous analyses. Therefore, the techniques for the conceptual design and performance analysis of the lift-offset compound helicopter are overall considered to be appropriately established. In addition, this study investigates the influence of the lift-offset on the rotor effective lift-to-drag ratio of the XH-59A helicopter with auxiliary propulsion. As a result, the improvement of the rotor effective lift-to-drag ratio can be obtained by appropriately increasing the lift-offset in high-speed flight.

NDARC을 이용한 헬리콥터 개념설계 및 성능해석 검증 연구 (Validation Study on Conceptual Design and Performance Analysis for Helicopter using NDARC)

  • 고정인;박재상;최종수
    • 한국항공우주학회지
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    • 제44권10호
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    • pp.877-886
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구에서는 단일로터-꼬리로터 형상의 일반 헬리콥터에 대한 개념설계 및 성능해석 기법을 정립하고자 회전익 항공기 개념설계 및 성능해석 코드인 NDARC을 이용하여 UH-60A 헬리콥터에 대한 개념설계 및 성능해석을 수행하였다. 적절히 가정한 임무 형상을 이용하여 UH-60A 헬리콥터의 개념설계를 수행한 뒤 설계 목표 값과의 비교를 통하여 UH-60A 헬리콥터의 형상 및 중량을 적절히 설계할 수 있음을 확인하였다. 더불어, 본 연구로부터 설계된 UH-60A 헬리콥터 모델을 이용하여 다양한 비행 조건에서의 성능해석을 수행한 뒤, 본 연구의 해석 결과를 UH-60A의 성능 시험 및 선행 연구의 해석 결과와 비교하여 본 연구 결과의 타당성을 검증하였다. 그 결과, 단일로터-꼬리로터 형상의 일반 회전익 항공기의 개념설계 및 성능해석 기법을 적절히 정립하였음을 확인하였다.

Computer-aided approach of parameters influencing concrete service life and field validation

  • Papadakis, V.G.;Efstathiou, M.P.;Apostolopoulos, C.A.
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2007
  • Over the past decades, an enormous amount of effort has been expended in laboratory and field studies on concrete durability estimation. The results of this research are still either widely scattered in the journal literature or mentioned briefly in the standard textbooks. Moreover, the theoretical approaches of deterioration mechanisms with a predictive character are limited to some complicated mathematical models not widespread in practice. A significant step forward could be the development of appropriate software for computer-based estimation of concrete service life, including reliable mathematical models and adequate experimental data. In the present work, the basis for the development of a computer estimation of the concrete service life is presented. After the definition of concrete mix design and structure characteristics, as well as the consideration regarding the environmental conditions where the structure will be found, the concrete service life can be reliably predicted using fundamental mathematical models that simulate the deterioration mechanisms. The prediction is focused on the basic deterioration phenomena of reinforced concrete, such as carbonation and chloride penetration, that initiate the reinforcing bars corrosion. Aspects on concrete strength and the production cost are also considered. Field observations and data collection from existing structures are compared with predictions of service life using the above model. A first attempt to develop a database of service lives of different types of reinforced concrete structure exposed to varying environments is finally included.

Simulation of low-enriched uranium burnup in Russian VVER-1000 reactors with the Serpent Monte-Carlo code

  • Mercatali, L.;Beydogan, N.;Sanchez-Espinoza, V.H.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제53권9호
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    • pp.2830-2838
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    • 2021
  • This work deals with the assessment of the burnup capabilities of the Serpent Monte Carlo code to predict spent nuclear fuel (SNF) isotopic concentrations for low-enriched uranium (LEU) fuel at different burnup levels up to 47 MWd/kgU. The irradiation of six UO2 experimental samples in three different VVER-1000 reactor units has been simulated and the predicted concentrations of actinides up to 244Cm have been compared with the corresponding measured values. The results show a global good agreement between calculated and experimental concentrations, in several cases within the margins of the nuclear data uncertainties and in a few cases even within the reported experimental uncertainties. The differences in the performances of the JEFF3.1.1, ENDF/B-VII.1 and ENDF/B-VIII.0 nuclear data libraries (NDLs) have also been assessed and the use of the newly released ENDF/B-VIII.0 library has shown an increased accuracy in the prediction of the C/E's for some of the actinides considered, particularly for the plutonium isotopes. This work represents a step forward towards the validation of advanced simulation tools against post irradiation experimental data and the obtained results provide an evidence of the capabilities of the Serpent Monte-Carlo code with the associated modern NDLs to accurately compute SNF nuclide inventory concentrations for VVER-1000 type reactors.

Virtual Design and Construction (VDC)-Aided System for Logistics Monitoring: Supply Chains in Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) Plant Construction

  • Moon, Sungkon;Chi, Hung-Lin;Forlani, John;Wang, Xiangyu
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 6th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.195-199
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    • 2015
  • Many conventional management methods have emphasized the minimization of required resources along the supply chain. Accordingly, this paper presents a proposed method called the Virtual Design and Construction (VDC)-aided system. It is based on object-oriented resource control, in order to accomplish a feed-forward control monitoring supply chain logistics. The system is supported by two main parts: (1) IT-based Technologies; and (2) VDC Models. They enable the system to convey proactive information from the detection technology to its linked visualization. The paper includes a field study as the system's pre-test: the Scaffolding Works in a LNG Mega Project. The study demonstrates a system of real-time productivity monitoring by use of the RFIDbased Mobile Information Hub. The on-line 'productivity dashboard' provides an opportunity to display the continuing processes for each work-package. This research project offers the observed opportunities created by the developed system. Future work will entail research experiments aimed towards system validation.

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Validation of the Thai Version of aWork-related Quality of Life Scale in the Nursing Profession

  • Sirisawasd, Poramate;Chaiear, Naesinee;Johns, Nutjaree Pratheepawanit;Khiewyoo, Jiraporn
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.80-85
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    • 2014
  • Background: Currently available questionnaires for evaluating the quality of worklife do not fully examine every factor related to worklife in all cultures. A tool in Thai is therefore needed for the direct evaluation of the quality of worklife. Our aim was to translate the Work-related Quality of Life Scale-2 (WRQLS-2) into Thai, to assess the validity and reliability of the Thai-translated version, and to examine the tool's accuracy vis-$\grave{a}$-vis nursing in Thailand. Methods: This was a descriptive correlation study. Forward and backward translations were performed to develop a Thai version of the WRQLS. Six nursing experts participated in assessing content validity and 374 registered nurses (RNs) participated in its testing. After a 2-week interval, 67 RNs were retested. Structural validity was examined using principal components analysis. The Cronbach's alpha values were calculated. The respective independent sample t test and intraclass correlation coefficient were used to analyze known-group validity and test-retest reliability. Multistate sampling was used to select 374 RNs from the In- and Outpatient Department of Srinagarind Hospital of the Khon Kaen University (Khon Kaen, Thailand). Results: The content validity index of the scale was 0.97. Principal components analysis resulted in a seven-factor model, which explains 59% of the total variance. The overall Cronbach's alpha value was 0.925, whereas the subscales ranged between 0.67 and 0.82. In the assessment results, the known-group validity was established for the difference between civil servants and university employees [F (7.982, 0.005) and t (3.351; p < 0.05)]. Civil servants apparently had a better quality worklife, compared to university employees. Good test-retest reliability was observed (r = 0.892, p < 0.05). Conclusion: The Thai version of a WRQLS appears to be well validated and practicable for determining the quality of the work-life among nurses in Thailand.

휴머노이드 로봇의 전방향 이족보행 원격제어를 위한 안드로이드 애플리케이션 개발 (Development of Android Application for Wireless Control of Omnidirectional Biped Walking of Humanoid Robot)

  • 박규영;윤재훈;최영림;김종욱
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.223-231
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    • 2014
  • Humanoid robot is the most suitable robot platform for effective human interaction and various intelligent services. The present work addresses development of real time wireless control application of humanoid robot's forward and backward walks, and turning in walking. For convenience of human users, the application is developed on Android OS (Operating System) working on his or her smartphone. To this end, theoretic background on various-directional biped walking is proposed based on joint trajectories for forward walking, which have been shaped with a global optimization method. In this paper, backward walking is scheduled by interchange of angles and angular velocities and additional change of signs in angular velocities at all the via-points connecting cubic polynomial trajectories. Turning direction in walking is also implemented by activating the transversal hip joint initially located in the support leg in two stages. After validation of the proposed walking schemes with Matlab simulator, a smartphone application for the omnidirectional walking has been developed to control a humanoid robot platform named DARwIn-OP interconnected via Wi-Fi. Experiment result of the present wireless control of a humanoid robot with smartphone is successful, and the application will be released in application market near future.

인공 신경망(ANN)에 의한 하수처리장의 유입 유량 및 유입 성분 농도의 예측 (Prediction of Influent Flow Rate and Influent Components using Artificial Neural Network (ANN))

  • 문태섭;최재훈;김성희;차재환;염훈식;김창원
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.91-98
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    • 2008
  • This work was performed to develop a model possible to predict the influent flow and influent components, which are one of main disturbances causing process problems at the operation of municipal wastewater treatment plant. In this study, artificial neural network (ANN) was used in order to develop a model that was able to predict the influent flow, $COD_{Mn}$, SS, TN 1 day-ahead, 2day-ahead and 3 day ahead. Multi-layer feed-forward back-propagation network was chosen as neural network type, and tanh-sigmoid function was used as activation function to transport signal at the neural network. And Levenberg-Marquart (LM) algorithm was used as learning algorithm to train neural network. Among 420 data sets except missing data, which were collected between 2005 and 2006 at field plant, 210 data sets were used for training, and other 210 data sets were used for validation. As result of it, ANN model for predicting the influent flow and components 1-3day ahead could be developed successfully. It is expected that this developed model can be practically used as follows: Detecting the fault related to effluent concentration that can be happened in the future by combining with other models to predict process performance in advance, and minimization of the process fault through the establishment of various control strategies based on the detection result.

Assessment of INSPYRE-extended fuel performance codes against the SUPERFACT-1 fast reactor irradiation experiment

  • L. Luzzi;T. Barani;B. Boer;A. Del Nevo;M. Lainet;S. Lemehov;A. Magni;V. Marelle;B. Michel;D. Pizzocri;A. Schubert;P. Van Uffelen;M. Bertolus
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제55권3호
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    • pp.884-894
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    • 2023
  • Design and safety assessment of fuel pins for application in innovative Generation IV fast reactors calls for a dedicated nuclear fuel modelling and for the extension of the fuel performance code capabilities to the envisaged materials and irradiation conditions. In the INSPYRE Project, comprehensive and physics-based models for the thermal-mechanical properties of U-Pu mixed-oxide (MOX) fuels and for fission gas behaviour were developed and implemented in the European fuel performance codes GERMINAL, MACROS and TRANSURANUS. As a follow-up to the assessment of the reference code versions ("pre-INSPYRE", NET 53 (2021) 3367-3378), this work presents the integral validation and benchmark of the code versions extended in INSPYRE ("post-INSPYRE") against two pins from the SUPERFACT-1 fast reactor irradiation experiment. The post-INSPYRE simulation results are compared to the available integral and local data from post-irradiation examinations, and benchmarked on the evolution during irradiation of quantities of engineering interest (e.g., fuel central temperature, fission gas release). The comparison with the pre-INSPYRE results is reported to evaluate the impact of the novel models on the predicted pin performance. The outcome represents a step forward towards the description of fuel behaviour in fast reactor irradiation conditions, and allows the identification of the main remaining gaps.