• Title/Summary/Keyword: weibull distribution

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Design of Median Control Chart for Nonnormally Distributed Processes (비정규분포공정(非正規分布工程)에서 메디안특수관리도(特殊管理圖)의 모형설계(模型設計))

  • Sin, Yong-Baek
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.10-19
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    • 1987
  • Statistical control charts are useful tools to monitor and control the manufacturing processes and are widely used in most Korean industries. Many Korean companies, however, do not always obtain desired results from the traditional control charts by Shewhart such as the $\overline{X}$-chart, X-chart, $\widetilde{X}$-chart, etc. This is partly because the quality charterstics of the process are not distributed normally but are skewed due to the intermittent production, small lot size, etc. In the Shewhart $\overline{X}$-chart, which is the most widely used one in Korea, such skewed distributions make the plots to be inclined below or above the central line or outside the control limits although no assignable causes can be found. To overcome such shortcomings in nonnormally distributed processes, a distribution-free type of confidence interval can be used, which should be based on order statistics. This thesis is concerned with the design of control chart based on a sample median which is easy to use in practical situation and therefore properties for nonnormal distributions may be easily analyzed. Control limits and central lines are given for the more famous nonnormal distributions, such as Gamma, Beta, Lognormal, Weibull, Pareto, and Truncated-normal distributions.

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Monte-Carlo Simulation for Parameter Estimation of Bivariate Probability Distribution for Hydrological Data (수문자료의 이변량 확률분포형 매개변수 추정 개선을 위한 Monte-Carlo 모의실험)

  • Joo, Kyungwon;Kim, Sunghun;Jung, Younghun;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.335-335
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    • 2019
  • 최근 수문자료에 대한 다변량 빈도해석 연구가 활발히 이루어지고 있다. 하나의 자료를 확률변수로 사용하는 단변량 빈도해석에 비해 여러 수문자료를 조합하여 동시에 추정할 수 있는 다변량 빈도해석은 수문자료의 상관성을 고려하면서 확률분포형을 추정할 수 있다는 장점이 있다. 이에 다변량 확률분포형을 이용한 빈도해석 과정 중 정확한 매개변수 추정을 위한 연구도 최근 여러방면으로 이루어지고 있다. 본 연구에서는 다변량 확률분포형의 매개변수 추정방법 중 기존에 주로 사용되고 있는 의사최우도법(MPL, Maximum Pseudo-Likelihood method)의 성능을 개선하기 위해 기존의 방법과 본 연구에서 제안하는 매개변수 추정방법의 Monte-Carlo 모의실험을 수행하였다. 일반적으로 수문자료는 양(+)의 왜곡도계수를 갖기 때문에 GEV(Geveralized Extreme Value) 분포형을 모분포로 하여 각 방법의 정확성을 검토하였다. 모의실험을 수행한 결과, 기존의사최우도법에서 Weibull 식을 이용하여 순위통계량을 계산하는 방법보다 본 연구에서 제안한 왜곡도를 고려하는 순위통계량을 사용하는 것이 더 정확한 매개변수 추정결과를 보여주는 것으로 나타났다.

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Study of Life Prediction and Failure Mechanisms of Cramic Heater for Home Appliance (가전 제품용 세라믹 히터의 수명 및 고장 원인에 대한 연구)

  • Choi, Hyoungseuk
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.355-361
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: The purpose of this research is to establish the life test method for ceramic heater and identify the failure mechanisms. Methods: We do accelerated life test in the condition of thermal shock and failure analysis for failed samples. Conclusion: The main failure mechanisms of ceramic heater are identified as overstress failure mechanisms as results of failure analysis and the shape parameters of weibull distribution by accelerated life test are identified as 0.8, 1.2 and 0.4 each at $400^{\circ}C$, $600^{\circ}C$ and $900^{\circ}C$. At $900^{\circ}C$, the shape parameter 0.4 means that It is exactly initial failure caused that the stress exceeds the strength of ceramic heater highly and the shape parameters 0.8, 1.2 at $400^{\circ}C$, $600^{\circ}C$ means that the shape parameters are around 1.0 so that the main failure mechanism is overstress failure which is same result as failure analysis. It means that the appropriate life test method for ceramic heater is reliability qualification test method rather than accelerated life test.

Robust second-order rotatable designs invariably applicable for some lifetime distributions

  • Kim, Jinseog;Das, Rabindra Nath;Singh, Poonam;Lee, Youngjo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.595-610
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    • 2021
  • Recently a few articles have derived robust first-order rotatable and D-optimal designs for the lifetime response having distributions gamma, lognormal, Weibull, exponential assuming errors that are correlated with different correlation structures such as autocorrelated, intra-class, inter-class, tri-diagonal, compound symmetry. Practically, a first-order model is an adequate approximation to the true surface in a small region of the explanatory variables. A second-order model is always appropriate for an unknown region, or if there is any curvature in the system. The current article aims to extend the ideas of these articles for second-order models. Invariant (free of the above four distributions) robust (free of correlation parameter values) second-order rotatable designs have been derived for the intra-class and inter-class correlated error structures. Second-order rotatability conditions have been derived herein assuming the response follows non-normal distribution (any one of the above four distributions) and errors have a general correlated error structure. These conditions are further simplified under intra-class and inter-class correlated error structures, and second-order rotatable designs are developed under these two structures for the response having anyone of the above four distributions. It is derived herein that robust second-order rotatable designs depend on the respective error variance covariance structure but they are independent of the correlation parameter values, as well as the considered four response lifetime distributions.

[Retracted]Estimation of the Fatigue Damage for an Ice-going Vessel under Broken Ice Condition Part I - Direct Approach ([논문철회]유빙 하중을 받는 내빙 선박의 피로손상도 추정 Part I - 직접 해석법)

  • Kim, Jeong-Hwan;Kim, Yooil
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.56 no.3
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    • pp.217-230
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    • 2019
  • In this study, a fatigue damage estimation for an ice-going vessel navigating through broken ice fields was carried out. A numerical model to simulate the interaction between ice and structure developed using the finite element method was introduced. Time series of stresses calculated by the proposed model and the corresponding fatigue analysis results are presented. The numerical model enables the long time analysis through an efficient interaction model, the application of the periodic media analysis and the convolution integral, and it allows the stress time history to be extracted directly using the finite element method. To describe the probability distribution of stress amplitudes, the 2-parameter Weibull model was applied to the calculated stress time history, and the fatigue damage was calculated using the Palmgren-Miner rule. Finally, the fatigue damage considering the ice conditions of the Baltic Sea was calculated using the proposed method and LR method, and the results were compared to each other.

An advanced technique to predict time-dependent corrosion damage of onshore, offshore, nearshore and ship structures: Part II = Application to the ship's ballast tank

  • Kim, Do Kyun;Lim, Hui Ling;Cho, Nak-Kyun
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.645-656
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    • 2020
  • In this study (Part II), the empirical formulation of corrosion model of a ship's ballast tank was developed to predict nonlinear time-dependent corrosion wastage based on the advanced data processing technique proposed by Part I. The detail on how to propose generalised mathematical formulation of corrosion model was precisely documented in the previous paper (Part I). The statistical scatter of corrosion data at any exposure time was investigated by the refined method and formulated based on a 2-parameter Weibull distribution which selected the best fit PDF. Throughout the nine (9) steps, empirical formulation of the ship's seawater ballast tank was successfully proposed and four (4) key step results were also obtained. The proposed method in Part I was verified and confirmed by this application of seawater ballast tank, thus making it possible to predict accurate behaviours of nonlinear timedependent corrosion. Developed procedures and obtained corrosion damage model for ship's seawater ballast tank can be used for development of engineering software.

Solder Joints Fatigue Life of BGA Package with OSP and ENIG Surface Finish (OSP와 ENIG 표면처리에 따른 BGA 패키지의 무연솔더 접합부 피로수명)

  • Oh, Chulmin;Park, Nochang;Hong, Wonsik
    • Korean Journal of Metals and Materials
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.80-87
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    • 2008
  • Many researches related to the reliability of Pb-free solder joints with PCB (printed circuit board) surface finish under thermal or vibration stresses are in progress, because the electronics is operating in hash environment. Therefore, it is necessary to assess Pb-free solder joints life with PCB surface finish under thermal and mechanical stresses. We have investigated 4-points bending fatigue lifetime of Pb-free solder joints with OSP (organic solderability preservative) and ENIG (electroless nickel and immersion gold) surface finish. To predict the bending fatigue life of Sn-3.0Ag-0.5Cu solder joints, we use the test coupons mounted 192 BGA (ball grid array) package to be added the thermal stress by conducting thermal shock test, 500, 1,000, 1,500 and 2,000 cycles, respectively. An 4-point bending test is performed in force controlling mode. It is considered that as a failure when the resistance of daisy-chain circuit of test coupons reaches more than $1,000{\Omega}$. Finally, we obtained the solder joints fatigue life with OSP and ENIG surface finish using by Weibull probability distribution.

Estimation of Accident Probability for Dynamic Risk Assessment (동적 위험 분석을 위한 사고확률 추정 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Byeong-Cheol Park;Chae-Og Lim;In-Hyuk Nam;Sung-Chul Shin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.26 no.2_2
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    • pp.315-325
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    • 2023
  • Recently, various dynamic risk analysis methods have been suggested for estimating the risk index by predicting the possibility of accidents and damage. It is necessary to maintain and support the safety system for responding to accidents by continuously updating the probability of accidents and the results of accidents, which are quantitative standards of ship risk. In this study, when a LNG leakage that may occur in the LN G Fuel Gas Supply System (FGSS) room during LN G bunkering operation, a reliability physical model was prepared by the change in monitoring data as physical parameters to estimate the accident probability. The scenario in which LNG leakage occur were configured with FT (Fault Tree), and the coefficient of the covariate model and Weibull distribution was estimated based on the monitoring data. The possibility of an LNG leakage, which is the top event of FT, was confirmed by changes in time and monitoring data. A method for estimating the LNG leakage based on the reliability physical analysis is proposed, which supports fast decision-making by identifying the potential LNG leakage at the accident.

Analysis of Wind Energy Potential on the West Coast of South Korea Using Public Data from the Korea Meteorological Administration (기상청 공공데이터를 활용한 대한민국 서해안 일대의 바람자원 분석)

  • Sangkyun Kang;Sung-Ho Yu;Sina Hadadi;Dae-Won Seo;Jungkeun Oh;Jang-Ho Lee
    • Journal of Wind Energy
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.14-24
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    • 2023
  • The significance of renewable energy has been on the rise, as evidenced by the 3020 renewable energy plan and the 2050 carbon neutrality strategy, which seek to advance a low-carbon economy by implementing a power supply strategy centered around renewable energy sources. This study examines the wind resources on the west coast of South Korea and confirms the potential for wind power generation in the area. Wind speed data was collected from 22 automatic weather system stations and four light house automatic weather system stations provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration to evaluate potential sites for wind farms. Weibull distribution was used to analyze the wind data and calculate wind power density. Annual energy production and capacity factors were estimated for 15-20 MW-class large wind turbines through the height correction of observed wind speeds. These findings offer valuable information for selecting wind power generation sites, predicting economic feasibility, and determining optimal equipment capacity for future wind power generation sites in the region.

Spectral Fatigue Analysis for Topside Structure of Offshore Floating Vessel

  • Kim, Dae-Ho;Ahn, Jae-Woo;Park, Sung-Gun;Jun, Seock-Hee;Oh, Yeong-Tae
    • Journal of Advanced Research in Ocean Engineering
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    • v.1 no.4
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    • pp.239-251
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    • 2015
  • In this study, a spectral fatigue analysis was performed for the topside structure of an offshore floating vessel. The topside structure was idealized using beam elements in the SACS program. The fatigue analysis was carried out considering the wave and wind loads separately. For the wave-induced fatigue damage calculation, motion RAOs calculated from a direct wave load analysis and regular waves with different periods and unit wave heights were utilized. Then, the member end force transfer functions were generated covering all the loading conditions. Stress response transfer functions at each joint were produced using the specified SCFs and member end force transfer functions. fatigue damages were calculated using the obtained stress ranges, S-N curve, wave spectrum, heading probability of each loading condition, and their corresponding occurrences in the wave scatter diagrams. For the wind induced fatigue damage calculation, a dynamic wind spectral fatigue analysis was performed. First, a dynamic natural frequency analysis was performed to generate the structural dynamic characteristics, including the eigenvalues (natural frequencies), eigenvectors (mode shapes), and mass matrix. To adequately represent the dynamic characteristic of the structure, the number of modes was appropriately determined in the lateral direction. Second, a wind spectral fatigue analysis was performed using the mode shapes and mass data obtained from the previous results. In this analysis, the Weibull distribution of the wind speed occurrence, occurrence probability in each direction, damping coefficient, S-N curves, and SCF of each joint were defined and used. In particular, the wind fatigue damages were calculated under the assumption that the stress ranges followed a Rayleigh distribution. The total fatigue damages were calculated from the combination with wind and wave fatigue damages according to the DNV rule.