• Title/Summary/Keyword: weather variation

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Analysis of Farm Management Stabilization Effects Using Weather Derivatives for Apple Farmers in Kyeongpuk District (날씨파생상품을 이용한 경북지역 사과농가 경영안정 효과 분석)

  • Yun, Sung-Wuk;Choi, Jang-Hoon;Chung, Won-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.459-475
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzes weather derivatives as an alternative risk management tool to stabilize farm revenue to complement the existing crop insurance program which suffers from asymmetric information problems such as adverse selection, moral hazard, and verifiability. We estimated apple yield functions to observe the relationship between yields and weather indices such as temperature and precipitation. Based on the estimated yield functions we designed weather futures and options products underlying temperature and precipitation, and calculated the prices of futures and options by two different approaches, historical distribution and Monte Carlo simulation. We found that weather futures and options stabilize farm revenue based on the estimated four risk indicators: Coefficient of Variation, Value at Risk, Certainty Equivalence, and Risk Premium. As a result, weather derivatives could be considered as a potential farm risk management tool through studying more in legal and institutional strategies and developing various derivatives products.

Effects of Climatic Condition on Stability and Efficiency of Crop Production (농업 기상특성과 작물생산의 효율 및 안전성)

  • Robert H. Shaw
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.296-313
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    • 1982
  • At a time when world population and food supply are in a delicate balance, it is essential that we look at factors to improve this balance. We can alter the environment to better fit the plant's needs, or we can alter the plant to better fit the environment. Improved technology has allowed us to increase the yield level. For moderately detrimental weather events technology has generally decreased the yield variation, yet for major weather disasters the variation has increased. We have raised the upper level, but zero is still the bottom level. As we concentrate the production of particular crops into limited areas where the environment is closest to optimum, we may be increasing the risk of a major weather related disaster. We need to evaluate the degree of variability of different crops, and how weather and technology can interact to affect it. The natural limits of crop production are imposed by important ecological factors. Production is a function of the climate, the soil, and the crop and all activities related to them. In looking at the environment of a crop we must recognize these are individuals, populations and ecosystems. Under intensive agriculture we try to limit the competition to one desired species. The environment is made up of a complex of factors; radiation, moisture, temperature and wind, among others. Plant response to the environment is due to the interaction of all of these factors, yet in attempting to understand them we often examine each factor individually. Variation in crop yields is primarily a function of limiting environmental parameters. Various weather parameters will be discussed, with emphasis placed on how they impact on crop production. Although solar radiation is a driving force in crop production, it often shows little relationship to yield variation. Water may enter into crop production as both a limiting and excessive factor. The effects of moisture deficiency have received much more attention than moisture excess. In many areas of the world, a very significant portion of yield variation is due to variation in the moisture factor. Temperature imposes limits on where crops can be grown, and the type of crop that can be grown in an area. High temperature effects are often combined with deficient moisture effects. Cool temperatures determine the limits in which crops can be grown. Growing degree units, or heat accumulations, have often been used as a means of explaining many temperature effects. Methods for explaining chilling effects are more limited.

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Synoptic Weather Patterns and Variation of Ozone Concentrations Association with High Ozone Days at Five Major Cities in Korea (고농도 오존이 발생하는 날의 종관 기상 패턴과 주요 5대 도시별 오존 농도 변화)

  • 김유라;윤일희;김희종
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.437-444
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    • 2001
  • The characteristic features of surface ozone concentration and the forecasting procedure of high ozone days have been studied. The ozone concentration was continuously measured during 3 years (1997~1999) at air quality monitoring stations in five major cities in Korea. The diurnal variation of surface ozone concentration on high ozone days is characterized by low ozone concentration at night. The ozone concentration Increases continuously after sunrise, In reach a peak at 1500~1600 LST. Thereafter it decreases steadily to a low concentration at sunset. The diurnal and annual maximum of the surface ozone concentration at Seoul were observed in May and June, respectively. The favorable synoptic condition for the high ozone day is divided into 4 different synoptic weather patterns: a high-pressure system from the Sea of Okhotsk, the Pacific subtropical high extending westward, a moving high-pressure system covering the Korean peninsula. and a synoptic system In front of a typhoon. Most of high ozone days occur under the high pressure system in Korea.

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Properties of Strength Development Under Various Curing Condition at Early Age of Cement Mortar Using Agent for Enduring Cold Weather (내한성 혼화제를 이용한 시멘트 모르타르의 초기양생 온도변화에 따른 강도증진 특성)

  • Han, Cheon-Goo;Hong, Sang-Hee;Kim, Hyun-Woo
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.191-197
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    • 2001
  • In this study, the admixtures for agents for enduring cold weather used widely are collected and applied to cement mortar to analyze the strength development due to variation of curing temperature at early age. The test results show that anti-freezing admixture have some problems due to high chloride content, which may cause the corrosion of reinforcement embedded in concrete. However, the mortar applied by accelerator and another kind of agent for enduring cold weather produced by S company lead to delay of strength development in low temperature. Also, it is clarified that there are no significant problems for cement mortar in strength development due to low temperature if a suitable kind of agent enduring cold weather is used and cement mortar is cured for more than $7.5^{\circ}D.D$ at early age.

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Installation of Induced Current Measurement Systems in Substations and Analysis of GIC Data during Geomagnetic Storms

  • Choi, Kyu-Cheol;Park, Mi-Young;Ryu, Youngsoo;Hong, Youngsu;Yi, Jong-Hyuk;Park, Sung-Won;Kim, Jae-Hun
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.427-434
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    • 2015
  • Coronal Mass Ejections (CME), which originate from active regions of the Sun's surface, e.g., sunspots, result in geomagnetic storms on Earth. The variation of the Earth's geomagnetic field during such storms induces surface currents that could cause breakdowns in electricity power grids. Hence, it is essential to both monitor Geomagnetically Induced Currents (GICs) in real time and analyze previous GIC data. In 2012, in order to monitor the variation of GICs, the Korean Space Weather Center (KSWC) installed an induced current measurement system at SINGAPYEONG Substation, which is equipped with 765 kV extra-high-voltage transformers. Furthermore, in 2014, two induced current measurement systems were installed on the 345 kV high-voltage transformers at the MIGEUM and SINPOCHEON substations. This paper reports the installation process of the induced current measurement systems at these three substations. Furthermore, it presents the results of both an analysis performed using GIC data measured at the SINGAPYEONG Substation during periods of geomagnetic storms from July 2013 through April 2015 and the comparison between the obtained GIC data and magnetic field variation (dH/dt) data measured at the Icheon geomagnetic observatory.

Climatological Spatio-Temporal Variation of Strong Wind in Korea (우리나라 강풍의 기후학적 시공간 변화 특성)

  • Kim, Hyun Uk;Kim, Baek-Jo;Nam, Hyoung-Gu;Jung, Jong Hyeok;Shim, Jae-Kwan
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.47-57
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    • 2020
  • In this study, the climatological spatio-temporal variation of strong wind and gust wind in Korea during the period from 1993 to 2018 was analyzed using daily maximum wind speed and daily maximum instantaneous wind speed data recorded at 61 observations. Strong wind and gust wind were defined as 14 m s-1 and 20 m s-1, which are the same as the KMA's criteria of special weather report. The frequency of strong wind and gust wind occurrence was divided into regions with the higher 25 percent (Group A) and the lower 75 percent (Group B). The annual frequency of strong wind and gust wind occurrence tended to be decreased in most parts of the Korean peninsula. In Group A with stations located at coastal region, strong wind and gust wind occurred most frequently in winter with higher frequency at 1200~1600 LST and 2300~2400 LST due to influence of East Asian winter monsoon. In addition, a marked decreasing trend throughout the four seasons was shown at Daegwallyeong, Gunsan and Wando observations. In contrast, it can be found in Group B that the monthly frequency of strong wind and wind gust occurrence was higher in August and September by effect of typhoon and hourly frequency was higher from 1200 LST to 1800 LST.

Railroad Disaster Prevention System and Railroad Weather-Related Accidents and incidents according to Precipitation (철도방재시스템과 강우에 인한 철도기상사고)

  • Pakr, Jong-Kil;Jung, Woo-Sik;Kim, Hi-Man;Kim, Eun-Byul;Lee, Jae-Su
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2010.06a
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    • pp.2014-2020
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    • 2010
  • This paper aims to find out characteristics of railroad weather-related accidents and incidents and to proposes the plan of railroad disaster prevention according to the precipitation. For this, we make the database about the railroad weather-related accidents and incidents and analysis the relationship between the hourly and cumulative precipitation and railroad accidents. The results are as follows; The weather events that have the most occurrence frequency of railroad weather-related accidents and incidents is a rainfall of the precipitation and then the cause of that was the falling rocks and the collapsed roadbed. The rainfall patterns of collapsed roadbed were classified into 4 groups. When the variation of hourly rainfall is 10/15 mm/hr over, we need to consider the caution/stop of train operation and a speed limit, respectively.

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The AADT estimation through time series analysis using irregular factor decomposition method (불규칙변동 분해 시계열분석 기법을 사용한 AADT 추정)

  • 이승재;백남철;권희정;최대순;도명식
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.65-73
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    • 2001
  • Until recently, we use only weekly and monthly adjustment factors in order to estimate the AADT. By the way. we can suppose that the traffic is time series data related to flow of time. So we tried to analyse traffic patterns using time series analysis and apply them to estimate the AADT. We could divide traffic patterns into trend, cyclic variation, seasonal variation and irregular variation like as time series data. Also, in order to reduce random error components, we have looked for the weather conditions as an influential factor. There are many weather conditions such as rainfalls, but, temperatures, and sunshine hours among others but we selected rainfalls and lowest temperatures. And then, we have estimated the AADT using time series factors. To compare the results of, we have applied both irregular variation joined to weather factors and that not joined to. RMSE and U-test were opted at methods to appreciate results of AADT estimation.

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Variation Pattern of Gaseous Organochlorine Pesticides Concentration in Atmosphere (대기 중에서 가스상 유기염소계 농약의 농도변화 패턴)

  • Choi, Min-Kyu;Chun, Man-Young
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • v.22 no.2 s.57
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    • pp.111-118
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    • 2007
  • This study was performed to measure gaseous Organochlorine Pesticides (OCPs : heptachlor epoxide, ${\alpha}/{\gamma}-chlordane$, trans-nonachlor, endosulfan, ${\gamma}-HCH$ and p, p'-DDE) concentration using PUF high volume sampler from June, 2000 to June, 2002 in the semi-rural atmosphere. Using monitoring data for two years, we tried to investigate the annual cycles of gaseous OCPs. We considered three functions to describe the annual cycle: Gaussian, Lorentzian and sinusoidal functions. These functions accounted for $54{\sim}91%$ of the variability in concentration for each gaseous OCPs, and the sinusoidal function gave the best fits. It was seen that the gaseous OCPs concentration increased during the warmer weather while decreased during colder weather. The variation of the gaseous OCPs concentration was closely similar to the variations of ambient temperature. The annual cycle of endosulfan was strongly higher than in comparison with other gaseous OCPs, while for ${\gamma}-HCH$, the cycle was weakly high and did not show apparent seasonal variation. The position of the annual maximum exists generally late July to early August. The period that showed levels more than a half maximum was from late June to early September.

Relationship between Yield and Weather Elements of Barley in Sunchon Area, Korea

  • Kwon, Byung-Sun
    • Plant Resources
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.54-59
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    • 2004
  • This study was conducted to investigate the relationships between yearly variations of weather elements and productivity in rice. In addition, coefficients of correlation among yield and yield components were used to find out the relationships between weather elements and productivity. Coefficients of variance (C.V.) of air temperature mean was considerable with 25%, but the variation by duration of sunshine was small in May. Culm length and number of spikes were great with c.v. of 21.5, 16.4%, respectively. Coefficients of correlation between temperatures of cultivation in May and yield were positive correlations. Coefficients of correlation between precipitation and sunshine of cultivation period from Oct. to May and yield were negative correlations. Coefficients of correlation amount the culm length, number of spikes, 1,000 grains wt. of seed, and yield were positively significant at the level of 1 %, respectively.

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