• 제목/요약/키워드: weather variables

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Investigate the effect of spatial variables on the weather radar adjustment method for heavy rainfall events by ANFIS-PSO

  • Oliaye, Alireza;Kim, Seon-Ho;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.142-142
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    • 2022
  • Adjusting weather radar data is a prerequisite for its use in various hydrological studies. Effect of spatial variables are considered to adjust weather radar data in many of these researches. The existence of diverse topography in South Korea has increased the importance of analyzing these variables. In this study, some spatial variable like slope, elevation, aspect, distance from the sea, plan and profile curvature was considered. To investigate different topographic conditions, tried to use three radar station of Gwanaksan, Gwangdeoksan and Gudeoksan which are located in northwest, north and southeast of South Korea, respectively. To form the suitable fuzzy model and create the best membership functions of variables, ANFIS-PSO model was applied. After optimizing the model, the correlation coefficient and sensitivity of adjusted Quantitative Precipitation Estimation (QPE) based on spatial variables was calculated to find how variables work in adjusted QPE process. The results showed that the variable of elevation causes the most change in rainfall and consequently in the adjustment of radar data in model. Accordingly, the sensitivity ratio calculated for variables shows that with increasing rainfall duration, the effects of these variables on rainfall adjustment increase. The approach of this study, due to the simplicity and accuracy of this method, can be used to adjust the weather radar data and other required models.

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STOCHASTIC SIMULATION OF DAILY WEATHER VARIABLES

  • Lee, Ju-Young;Kelly brumbelow, Kelly-Brumbelow
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.111-126
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    • 2003
  • Meteorological data are often needed to evaluate the long-term effects of proposed hydrologic changes. The evaluation is frequently undertaken using deterministic mathematical models that require daily weather data as input including precipitation amount, maximum and minimum temperature, relative humidity, solar radiation and wind speed. Stochastic generation of the required weather data offers alternative to the use of observed weather records. The precipitation is modeled by a Markov Chain-exponential model. The other variables are generated by multivariate model with means and standard deviations of the variables conditioned on the wet or dry status of the day as determined by the precipitation model. Ultimately, the objective of this paper is to compare Richardson's model and the improved weather generation model in their ability to provide daily weather data for the crop model to study potential impacts of climate change on the irrigation needs and crop yield. However this paper does not refer to the improved weather generation model and the crop model. The new weather generation model improved will be introduced in the Journal of KWRA.

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Effects of Observation Network Density Change on Spatial Distribution of Meteorological Variables: Three-Dimensional Meteorological Observation Project in the Yeongdong Region in 2019 (관측망 밀도 변화가 기상변수의 공간분포에 미치는 영향: 2019 강원영동 입체적 공동관측 캠페인)

  • Kim, Hae-Min;Jeong, Jong-Hyeok;Kim, Hyunuk;Park, Chang-Geun;Kim, Baek-Jo;Kim, Seung-Bum
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.169-181
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    • 2020
  • We conducted a study on the impact of observation station density; this was done in order to enable the accurate estimation of spatial meteorological variables. The purpose of this study is to help operate an efficient observation network by examining distributions of temperature, relative humidity, and wind speed in a test area of a three-dimensional meteorological observation project in the Yeongdong region in 2019. For our analysis, we grouped the observation stations as follows: 41 stations (for Step 4), 34 stations (for Step 3), 17 stations (for Step 2), and 10 stations (for Step 1). Grid values were interpolated using the kriging method. We compared the spatial accuracy of the estimated meteorological grid by using station density. The effect of increased observation network density varied and was dependent on meteorological variables and weather conditions. The temperature is sufficient for the current weather observation network (featuring an average distance about 9.30 km between stations), and the relative humidity is sufficient when the average distance between stations is about 5.04 km. However, it is recommended that all observation networks, with an average distance of approximately 4.59 km between stations, be utilized for monitoring wind speed. In addition, this also enables the operation of an effective observation network through the classification of outliers.

Accident Models of Circular Intersections by Weather Condition in Korea (기상상태에 따른 국내 원형교차로 사고모형)

  • Park, Byung Ho;Han, Su San
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.178-184
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    • 2012
  • This study deals with the traffic accidents by weather condition. The objectives are to comparatively analyze the characteristics, and to develop the models of traffic accidents by weather condition. In pursuing the above, this paper gives particular attentions to testing the differences between two groups, and developing the models(Poisson and negative binomial regression) using the data of domestic circular intersections. The main results are as follows. First, three Poisson models and one negative binomial models which were all statistically significant were developed using the number of accident and EPDO by the clear weather and other as the dependant variables. Second, the differences between two models were comparatively analyzed using the chosen variables. This paper might be expected to give some implications to traffic safety policy-making to reduce and prevent the traffic accidents in circular intersections.

Air Pollution and Weather Data by Si-Gun-Gu in South Korea (시군구별 대기오염 및 기상 데이터)

  • Yun, Seong Do;Kim, Seung Gyu
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.171-175
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    • 2020
  • Studies in socioeconomic impacts of air pollution are inevitable to merge data of the air pollutant density, weather, and socioeconomic variables. Due to their spatiotemporal disparities in units, to combine these data are time and effort consuming generically. The data described in this article aims to provide the major variables of air pollution and weather at the Si-Gun-Gu level to meet the data needs from social science. The latest (August 2020) data distributed are the balanced panel of 250 Si-Gun-Gu in South Korea for 2001-2018. The weather variables in this data are directly applicable to other social science topics, which are not limited to air pollution research.

Sensitivity Analysis of the High-Resolution WISE-WRF Model with the Use of Surface Roughness Length in Seoul Metropolitan Areas (서울지역의 고해상도 WISE-WRF 모델의 지표면 거칠기 길이 개선에 따른 민감도 분석)

  • Jee, Joon-Bum;Jang, Min;Yi, Chaeyeon;Zo, Il-Sung;Kim, Bu-Yo;Park, Moon-Soo;Choi, Young-Jean
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.111-126
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    • 2016
  • In the numerical weather model, surface properties can be defined by various parameters such as terrain height, landuse, surface albedo, soil moisture, surface emissivity, roughness length and so on. And these parameters need to be improved in the Seoul metropolitan area that established high-rise and complex buildings by urbanization at a recent time. The surface roughness length map is developed from digital elevation model (DEM) and it is implemented to the high-resolution numerical weather (WISE-WRF) model. Simulated results from WISE-WRF model are analyzed the relationship between meteorological variables to changes in the surface roughness length. Friction speed and wind speed are improved with various surface roughness in urban, these variables affected to temperature and relative humidity and hence the surface roughness length will affect to the precipitation and Planetary Boundary Layer (PBL) height. When surface variables by the WISE-WRF model are validated with Automatic Weather System (AWS) observations, NEW experiment is able to simulate more accurate than ORG experiment in temperature and wind speed. Especially, wind speed is overestimated over $2.5m\;s^{-1}$ on some AWS stations in Seoul and surrounding area but it improved with positive correlation and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) below $2.5m\;s^{-1}$ in whole area. There are close relationship between surface roughness length and wind speed, and the change of surface variables lead to the change of location and duration of precipitation. As a result, the accuracy of WISE-WRF model is improved with the new surface roughness length retrieved from DEM, and its surface roughness length is important role in the high-resolution WISE-WRF model. By the way, the result in this study need various validation from retrieved the surface roughness length to numerical weather model simulations with observation data.

The Relationship between Local Distribution and Abundance of Butterflies and Weather Factors

  • Choi, Sei-Woong
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.199-202
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    • 2003
  • According to the energy hypothesis, the energy input per unit area primarily determines species richness in regions of roughly equal area. Some energy-related ecological research included identification of major climatic variables to determine regional species richness. In this study, the local butterfly species richness was examined to find out whether weather variables affected the local distribution or abundance of butterfly populations. Butterfly monitoring data from May 2001 to April 2002 taken at Mt. Yudal, Mokpo, in the southwestern part of Korea, and six weather variables (monthly mean values of temperature, precipitation, evaporation, wind speed, air pressure, and sunlight) were analyzed. Multiple regression analysis showed that only temperature explained 80% and 70% of the variability of log-transformed number of species and individuals, respectively, indicating that temperature played an important role in local species richness. Furthermore, global warming could affect the abundance and distribution of butterflies regionally as well as locally.

adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system;daily solar radiation;Illinois;limited weather variables;

  • Kim, Sungwon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.483-486
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    • 2015
  • The objective of this study is to develop generalized regression neural networks (GRNN) model for estimating daily solar radiation using limited weather variables at Champaign and Springfield stations in Illinois. The best input combinations (one, two, and three inputs) can be identified using GRNN model. From the performance evaluation and scatter diagrams of GRNN model, GRNN 3 (three input) model produces the best results for both stations. Results obtained indicate that GRNN model can successfully be used for the estimation of daily global solar radiation at Champaign and Springfield stations in Illinois. These results testify the generation capability of GRNN model and its ability to produce accurate estimates in Illinois.

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Future Weather Generation with Spatio-Temporal Correlation for the Four Major River Basins in South Korea (시공간 상관성을 고려한 일기산출기 모형을 이용한 4대강 유역별 미래 일기 변수 산출)

  • Lee, Dong-Hwan;Lee, Jae-Yong;Oh, Hee-Seok;Lee, Young-Jo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.351-362
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    • 2012
  • Weather generators are statistical tools to produce synthetic sequences of daily weather variables. We propose the multisite weather generators with a spatio-temporal correlation based on hierarchical generalized linear models. We develop a computational algorithm to produce future weather variables that use three different types of green-house gases scenarios. We apply the proposed method to a daily time series of precipitation and average temperature for South Korea.

An Estimation Model of Fine Dust Concentration Using Meteorological Environment Data and Machine Learning (기상환경데이터와 머신러닝을 활용한 미세먼지농도 예측 모델)

  • Lim, Joon-Mook
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.173-186
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    • 2019
  • Recently, as the amount of fine dust has risen rapidly, our interest is increasing day by day. It is virtually impossible to remove fine dust. However, it is best to predict the concentration of fine dust and minimize exposure to it. In this study, we developed a mathematical model that can predict the concentration of fine dust using various information related to the weather and air quality, which is provided in real time in 'Air Korea (http://www.airkorea.or.kr/)' and 'Weather Data Open Portal (https://data.kma.go.kr/).' In the mathematical model, various domestic seasonal variables and atmospheric state variables are extracted by multiple regression analysis. The parameters that have significant influence on the fine dust concentration are extracted, and using ANN (Artificial Neural Network) and SVM (Support Vector Machine), which are machine learning techniques, we proposed a prediction model. The proposed model can verify its effectiveness by using past dust and weather big data.