• Title/Summary/Keyword: water-level prediction

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The study for water level estimation by rainfall intensity of the upper region in the han river (한강 상류유역의 강우강도에 따른 수위 예측 연구)

  • Choi, Han-Kuy;Choe, Hyun-jong;Baek, Hyo-Seon
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.30 no.B
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    • pp.91-98
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    • 2010
  • Recently, there has been enormous damage due to river floodings caused by localized heavy rains. The direct discharge triggered by those torrential rains inflicts severe property damage on the residents of nearby areas. To minimize the possibility of river floodings in case of heavy rains and to predict the possible damage, the management of existing rainfall and water level observatories should be checked and prediction methods based on the characteristics of water usage and floodgate of nearby rivers must be further analyzed. Therefore, this research analyzed the water level change predictions on different spots with a regression equation of rainfall and water levels, using the observation data of the water level observatory in Jeongseon-gun, Gangwon Province and the rainfall observatory which are located on the upper region of the Han river.

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Time-series Analysis and Prediction of Future Trends of Groundwater Level in Water Curtain Cultivation Areas Using the ARIMA Model (ARIMA 모델을 이용한 수막재배지역 지하수위 시계열 분석 및 미래추세 예측)

  • Baek, Mi Kyung;Kim, Sang Min
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.65 no.2
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2023
  • This study analyzed the impact of greenhouse cultivation area and groundwater level changes due to the water curtain cultivation in the greenhouse complexes. The groundwater observation data in the Miryang study area were used and classified into greenhouse and field cultivation areas to compare the groundwater impact of water curtain cultivation in the greenhouse complex. We identified the characteristics of the groundwater time series data by the terrain of the study area and selected the optimal model through time series analysis. We analyzed the time series data for each terrain's two representative groundwater observation wells. The Seasonal ARIMA model was chosen as the optimal model for riverside well, and for plain and mountain well, the ARIMA model and Seasonal ARIMA model were selected as the optimal model. A suitable prediction model is not limited to one model due to a change in a groundwater level fluctuation pattern caused by a surrounding environment change but may change over time. Therefore, it is necessary to periodically check and revise the optimal model rather than continuously applying one selected ARIMA model. Groundwater forecasting results through time series analysis can be used for sustainable groundwater resource management.

A Development of Groundwater Level Fluctuations Due To Precipitations and Infiltrations (강우에 의한 지하수위 변동 예측모델의 개발 및 적용)

  • Park, Eun-Gyu
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.54-59
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    • 2007
  • In this study, a semi-analytical model to address groundwater level fluctuations in response to precipitations and its infiltration is developed through mathematical modeling based on water balance equation. The developed model is applied to a prediction of groundwater level fluctuations in Hongcheon area. The developed model is calibrated through a nonlinear parameter estimator by using daily precipitation rates and groundwater fluctuations data of a same year 2003. The calibrated input parameters are directly applied to the prediction of groundwater fluctuations of year 2004 and the simulated curve successfully mimics the observed. The developed model is also applied to practical problems such as a prediction of a effect of reduced recharge due to surface coverage change and a induced water level reduction. Through this study, we found that recharge to precipitation ratio is not a constant and may be a function of a precipitation pattern.

Effect of inlet throttling on thermohydraulic instability in a large scale water-based RCCS: A system-level analysis with RELAP5-3D

  • Zhiee Jhia Ooi;Qiuping Lv;Rui Hu;Matthew Jasica;Darius Lisowski
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.56 no.5
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    • pp.1902-1912
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    • 2024
  • This paper presents results from system-level modeling of a water-based reactor cavity cooling system using RELAP5-3D. The computational model is benchmarked with experimental data from a half-scale RCCS test facility at Argonne National Laboratory. The model prediction is first compared with a two-phase oscillatory baseline experimental case where mixed accuracy is obtained. The model shows reasonable prediction of mass flow rate, pressure, and temperature but significant overprediction of void fraction. The model prediction is then compared with a fault case where the inlet of the risers is gradually reduced using a throttling valve. As the valve is closed, the model is able to predict some major flow phenomena observed in the experiment such as the dampening of oscillations, the reintroduction of oscillations, as well as boiling, flashing, and geysering in the risers. However, the timeline of these events are not well captured by the model. The model is also used to investigate the evolution of flow regime in the chimney. This work highlights that the semi-empirical constitutive relations used in RELAP-3D could have a strong influence on the accuracy of the model in two-phase oscillatory flows.

The Optimization of Hyperbolic Settlement Prediction Method with the Field Data for Preloading on the Soft Ground (쌍곡선법을 이용한 계측 기반 연약지반 침하 거동 예측의 최적화 방안)

  • Choo, Yoon-Sik;Kim, June-Hyoun;Hwang, Se-Hwan;Chung, Choong-Ki
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2010.03a
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    • pp.457-467
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    • 2010
  • The settlement prediction is very important to preloading method for a construction site on a soft ground. At the design stage, however, it is hard to predict the settlement exactly due to limitations of the site survey. Most of the settlement prediction is performed by a regression settlement curve based on the field data during a construction. In Korea, hyperbolic method has been most commonly used to align the settlement curve with the field data, because of its simplicity and many application cases. The results from hyperbolic method, however, may be differed by data selections or data fitting methods. In this study, the analyses using hyperbolic method were performed about the field data of $\bigcirc\bigcirc$ site in Pusan. Two data fitting methods, using an axis transformation or an alternative method, were applied with the various data group. If data was used only after the ground water level being stabilized, fitting results using both methods were in good agreement with the measured data. Without the information about the ground water level, the alternative method gives better results with the field data than the method using an axis transformation.

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Study on the Prediction of Daily TOC Data by Using Wavelet Transform and Artificial Neural Networks (웨이블렛 변환과 인공신경망을 이용한 일 TOC 자료의 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Gwak, Pil Jeong;Oh, Chang Ryol;Jin, Young Hoon;Park, Sung Chun
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.952-957
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    • 2006
  • The present study applied wavelet transform and artificial neural networks (ANNs) for the prediction of daily TOC data. TOC data were transformed into denoised data by the wavelet transform and the noise-reduced data were used for the prediction model by artificial neural networks. For the application of wavelet transform, Daubechies wavelet of order 10 ('db10') was used as a basis function and decomposed the TOC data up to fifth level with five detail components and one approximation component. ANNs were calibrated with the input data of the segregated TOC data corresponding to the details from second to fifth level and the approximation. Consequently, the ANNs model for the prediction of daily TOC data showed the best result when it had seventeen hidden nodes in its layer.

Study on the Effects of In-streams by Discharging the Treated Sewage in Urban Stream (도시하천에서 하수처리수의 유지용수 이용에 따른 영향 평가 연구)

  • Bang Cheon-Hee;Park Jae-Roh;Kwon hyok
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.47 no.5
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    • pp.75-86
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    • 2005
  • Recently since urbanization has brought about a dried stream and a worse water quality, Anyang city discharged the third treated sewage into the upper stream of Anyancheon and Hakuicheon. As the result, Hakuicheon had the water level and velocity enough for a living thing in the water to live in but water quality was worse than it had been. Therefore in case of meeting the water level and velocity of the second grade water-quality which living things in the water can live in, the discharge and water quality to secure in-stream flow must be at least 0.350 $m^3/s$ and $BOD_5\;3.2 mg/{\iota}$ respectively. In Anyancheon the water level was increased a little higher than it had been but the velocity was almost unchanged in comparison with it before. On the other hand the water quality was a little better than it had been. Therefore in case of meeting the water level and velocity of the third grade water-quality that people can do water-friendly activity, the discharge and water quality to secure in-stream flow must be at least 0.688 $m^3/s$ and $BOD_5\;4.8 mg/{\iota}$ respectively. The water-quality prediction on the suggested eight scenarios was simulated in all satisfying the third grade water-quality.

A Study on Precise Tide Prediction at the Nakdong River Estuary using Long-term Tidal Observation Data (장기조석관측 자료를 이용한 낙동강 하구 정밀조위 예측 연구)

  • Park, Byeong-Woo;Kim, Tae-Woo;Kang, Du Kee;Seo, Yongjae;Shin, Hyun-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.874-881
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    • 2022
  • Until 2016, before discussions on the restoration of brackish water of the Nakdong River Estuary started in earnest, the downstream water level was predicted using the data of existing tide level observatories (Busan and Gadeokdo) several kilometers away from the estuary. However, it was not easy to carry out the prediction due to the dif erence in tide level and phase. Therefore, this study was conducted to estimate tide prediction more accurately through tidal harmonic analysis using the measured water level affected by the tides in the offshore waters adjacent to the Nakdong River Estuary. As a research method, the storage status of observation data according to the period and abnormal data were checked at 10-minute intervals in the offshore sea area near the Nakdong River Estuary bank, and the observed and predicted tides were measured using TASK2000 (Tidal Analysis Software Kit) Package, a tidal harmonic analysis program. Regression analysis based on one-to-one comparison showed that the correlation between the two components was high correlation coef icient 0.9334. In predicting the tides for the current year, if possible, more accurate data can be obtained by harmonically analyzing one-year tide observation data from the previous year and performing tide prediction using the obtained harmonic constant. Based on this method, the predicted tide for 2022 was generated and it is being used in the calculation of seawater inflow for the restoration of brackish water of the Nakdong River Estuary.

the On-Line Prediction of Water Levels using Kalman Filters (칼만 필터를 이용한 실시간 조위 예측)

  • 이재형;황만하
    • Water for future
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.83-94
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    • 1991
  • In this paper a discrete extended Kalman filter for the tidal prediction has been developed. The filter is based on a set of difference equations derived from the one dimensional shallow water equations using the finite difference scheme proposed by Lax-Wendroff. The filter gives estimates of the water level and water velocity, together with the parameters in the model which essentially have a random character, e.g. bottom friction and wind stress. The estimates are propagated and updated by the filter when the physical circumstances change. The Kalman-filter is applied to field data gathered in the coastal area alon the West Sea and it is shown that the filter gives satisfactory results in forecasting the waterlevels during storm surge periods.

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