• 제목/요약/키워드: water quality modeling

검색결과 445건 처리시간 0.027초

Improving streamflow and flood predictions through computational simulations, machine learning and uncertainty quantification

  • Venkatesh Merwade;Siddharth Saksena;Pin-ChingLi;TaoHuang
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
    • /
    • pp.29-29
    • /
    • 2023
  • To mitigate the damaging impacts of floods, accurate prediction of runoff, streamflow and flood inundation is needed. Conventional approach of simulating hydrology and hydraulics using loosely coupled models cannot capture the complex dynamics of surface and sub-surface processes. Additionally, the scarcity of data in ungauged basins and quality of data in gauged basins add uncertainty to model predictions, which need to be quantified. In this presentation, first the role of integrated modeling on creating accurate flood simulations and inundation maps will be presented with specific focus on urban environments. Next, the use of machine learning in producing streamflow predictions will be presented with specific focus on incorporating covariate shift and the application of theory guided machine learning. Finally, a framework to quantify the uncertainty in flood models using Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Averaging will be presented. Overall, this presentation will highlight that creating accurate information on flood magnitude and extent requires innovation and advancement in different aspects related to hydrologic predictions.

  • PDF

농업용 저수지의 점오염원 바이패스 효과 평가를 위한 EFDC 모델의 적용 (Application of EFDC Model to an Agricultural Reservoir for Assessing the Effect of Point Source Bypassing)

  • 김동민;박형석;정세웅
    • 한국농공학회논문집
    • /
    • 제58권6호
    • /
    • pp.9-21
    • /
    • 2016
  • Agricultural reservoirs in Korea have been recognized as an emerging resource for recreational and cultural activities for residents. However, most of the reservoirs are eutrophic and showing high level of contamination with nuisance algal bloom and offensive odor during the summer. For better management and restoration of the reservoirs' water quality, scientific modeling approaches could be used to diagnose the problems and evaluate the efficacy of alternative control measures. The objectives of this study were to validate the performance of a three-dimensional (3D) hydrodynamic and water quality model (Environmental Fluid Dynamics Code, EFDC) for a eutrophic agricultural reservoir and assess the effect of bypassing of the effluent from a wastewater treatment plant on the reservoir water quality. The 3D model successfully simulated the temporal variations of water temperature, DO, TOC, nitrogen and phosphorus species and Chl-a observed in 2014 and also captured their spatial heterogeneity in the reservoir. The simulation results indicated that the point source bypassing may reduce the T-N and T-P concentrations of the reservoir by 6.6 ~ 8.2 %, and 1.7 ~ 16.8 %, respectively. The bypassing, however, showed a marginal effect on the control of TOC due to the increased algal biomass associated with the increased water retention time after bypassing as well as the lower TOC level of the effluent compared to the ambient reservoir water.

유역모형을 이용한 유량조건별 배출계수 산정 및 활용방안 연구 (Study on Estimation and Application of Discharge Coefficient about Nonpoint Source Pollutants using Watershed Model)

  • 황하선;이한필;박지형;김용석;이성준;안기홍
    • 한국물환경학회지
    • /
    • 제31권6호
    • /
    • pp.653-664
    • /
    • 2015
  • TPLMS (Total water pollutant load management system) that is the most powerful water-quality protection program have been implemented since 2004. In the implementation of TPLMS, target water-quality and permissible discharged load from each unit watershed can be decided by water-quality modeling. And NPS (Non-point sources) discharge coefficients associated with certain (standard) flow are used on estimation of input data for model. National Institute of Environmental Research (NIER) recommend NPS discharge coefficients as 0.15 (Q275) and 0.50 (Q185) in common for whole watershed in Korea. But, uniform coefficient is difficult to reflect various NPS characteristics of individual watershed. Monthly NPS discharge coefficients were predicted and estimated using surface flow and water-quality from HSPF watershed model in this study. Those coefficients were plotted in flow duration curve of study area (Palger stream and Geumho C watershed) with monthly average flow. Linear regression analysis was performed about NPS discharge coefficients of BOD, T-N and T-P associated with flow, and R2 of regression were distributed in 0.893~0.930 (Palger stream) and 0.939~0.959 (Geumho C). NPS Discharge coefficient through regression can be estimated flexibly according to flow, and be considered characteristics of watershed with watershed model.

강수조건에 따른 도암호 부유물질 거동 평가 (Estimation Suspended Solids Concentration of the Doam Reservoir under Dry and Wet Weather Conditions)

  • 최재완;신동석;임경재;이상수;강민지
    • 한국환경농학회지
    • /
    • 제31권2호
    • /
    • pp.113-121
    • /
    • 2012
  • BACKGROUND: The Doam watershed in Korea has been managed for the reduction and the prevention of non-point source pollution since 2007. Especially, the water quality of the Doam reservoir is a primary issue related to the Doam dam reoperation. We have carried out the modeling to evaluate the water quality based on suspended solids (SS) of the Doam watershed and the Doam reservoir. Two powerful hydrological and water quality models (HSPF and CE-QUAL-W2) were employed to simulate the combined processes of water quantity and quality both in the upland watershed of the Doam reservoir and the downstream waterbody. METHODS AND RESULTS: The HSPF model was calibrated and validated for streamflow and SS. The CE-QUAL-W2 was calibrated for water level, water temperature, and SS and was validated for the only water level owing to data lack. With the parameters obtained through the appropriate calibration, SS concentrations of inflow into and in the Doam reservoir were simulated for three years (2008, 2004 and 1998) of the minimum, the average, and the maximum of total annual precipitation during recent 30 years. The annual average SS concentrations of the inflow for 2008, 2004, and 1998 were 8.6, 10.9, and 18.4 mg/L, respectively and those in the Doam reservoir were 9.2, 13.8, and 21.5 mg/L. CONCLOUSION(s): The results showed that more intense and frequent precipitation would cause higher SS concentration and longer SS's retention in the reservoir. The HSPF and the CE-QUAL-W2 models could represent reasonably the SS from the Doam watershed and in the Doam reservoir.

취수 수심이 합천호의 수온성층과 방류 수온에 미치는 영향 모델링 (Modeling the Effect of Intake Depth on the Thermal Stratification and Outflow Water Temperature of Hapcheon Reservoir)

  • 정선아;김혜지;이혜숙
    • 환경영향평가
    • /
    • 제32권6호
    • /
    • pp.473-487
    • /
    • 2023
  • 1970~1980년대 준공된 우리나라의 다목적댐 저수지에는 발전방류를 위한 고정식 취수구가 심층에 설치되어 있어 일부 댐 하류에서는 냉수 방류에 의한 농작물 냉해, 안개 일수 증가 등의 문제점이 제기된 바 있다. 본 연구에서는 고정식 취수구를 통해 심층 취수가 이루어지고 있는 합천호를 대상으로 취수 수심이 저수지의 수온 성층 구조와 방류 수온에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 3차원 수리수질모형인 AEM3D를 이용하여 합천호의 연직 수온 분포를 재현하고 계절별 수온성층 구조를 분석하였으며, 수문 조건에 따른 수온성층 변화를 비교 분석하기 위하여 풍수해와 갈수해를 대상으로 모델링 하였다. 또한 취수심 변경 시나리오를 적용함으로써 취수 수심이 수온성층 구조에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 모의 결과 심층 취수를 표층 취수로 변경할 경우 수온약층의 형성 위치가 풍수해 6.5 m, 갈수해 6.8 m 감소하여 더 얕은 수심에 형성될 것으로 분석되었다. 또한 수체 안정도 지수인 Schmidt Stability Index (SSI)와 Buoyancy frequency (N2)가 증가하여 수온성층 강도가 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 표층 취수시 연평균 방류수온이 풍수해 3.5℃, 갈수해 5.0℃ 증가하여 하류하천의 영향은 감소하나, 호내의 저수온층 수체적과 수온성층 강도가 증가하므로 추후 수질관리를 위해 취수심을 댐 운영의 주요인자로 고려해야 할 것으로 판단된다.

국내 수계에서의 BOD분해속도계수 분포 (Distribution of BOD Decay Rate in Streams and Reservoirs)

  • 장창원;김동환;이재용;김연주;정성민;신창민;김범철
    • 한국물환경학회지
    • /
    • 제28권2호
    • /
    • pp.178-184
    • /
    • 2012
  • BOD decay rate is a key parameter of BOD-DO models in streams and lakes. In the calibration of water quality modeling appropriate range of coefficient is required for guidance of parameter selection. In this study BOD decay rate was measured at 48 stream sites and 10 reservoir sites in 8 different river systems. The decay rate ranged from 0.09 to 0.25 $day^{-1}$ with a mean of 0.16 $day^{-1}$. Among river systems the decay rates showed significantly different ranges, with the Han River system showing higher values than other river systems. In comparing different types of water bodies, the decay rate was slightly higher in tributaries than in reservoirs and mainstreams. Our results can provide guidance to the selection of proper coefficient for various water bodies in the calibration of water quality models.

실측 하천 단면자료를 이용한 HSPF 유역모델의 수리정확도 개선 (Improving HSPF Model's Hydraulic Accuracy with FTABLES Based on Surveyed Cross Sections)

  • 신창민
    • 한국물환경학회지
    • /
    • 제32권6호
    • /
    • pp.582-588
    • /
    • 2016
  • The hydrological simulation program FORTRAN (HSPF) is a comprehensive watershed model that employs the hydraulic function table (FTABLE) (depth-area-volume-flow relationship) to represent the geometric and hydraulic properties of water bodies. The hydraulic representation of the HSPF model mainly depends on the accuracy of the FTABLES. These hydraulic representations determine the response time of water quality state variables and also control the scour, deposition, and transport of sediments in the water body. In general, FTABLES are automatically generated based on reach information such as mean depth, mean width, length, and slope along with a set of standard assumptions about the geometry and hydraulics of the channel, so these FTABLES are unable to accurately describe the geometry and hydraulic behavior of rivers and reservoirs. In order to compensate the weakness of HSPF for hydraulic modeling, we generated alternate method to improve the accuracy of FTABLES for rivers, using the surveyed cross sections and rating curves. The alternative method is based on the hydraulics simulated by HEC-RAS using the surveyed cross sections and rating curves, and it could significantly improve the accuracy of FTABLES. Although the alternate FTABLE greatly improved the hydraulic accuracy of the HSPF model, it had little effect on the hydrological simulation.

호소수의 강우-저류량 및 TOC변동 특성분석을 위한 자기조직화 방법의 적용 (Application of Self-Organizing Map for the Characteristics Analysis of Rainfall-Storage and TOC Variation in a Lake)

  • 김용구;진영훈;정우철;박성천
    • 한국물환경학회지
    • /
    • 제24권5호
    • /
    • pp.611-617
    • /
    • 2008
  • It is necessary to analysis the data characteristics of discharge and water quality for efficient water resources management, aggressive alternatives to inundation by flood and various water pollution accidents, the basic information to manage water quality in lakes and to make environmental policy. Therefore, the present study applied Self-Organizing Map (SOM) showing excellent performance in classifying patterns with weights estimated by self-organization. The result revealed five patterns and TOC versus rainfall-storage data according to the respective patterns were depicted in two-dimensional plots. The visualization presented better understanding of data distribution pattern. The result in the present study might be expected to contribute to the modeling procedure for data prediction in the future.

인천해안의 수질관리를 위한 오염부하량 할당에 관한 연구 (A Waste Load Allocation Study for Water Quality Management of the Incheon Coastal Environment)

  • 김소연;최정현;나은혜;박석순
    • 대한환경공학회지
    • /
    • 제27권1호
    • /
    • pp.43-51
    • /
    • 2005
  • 본 논문은 인천 해안에서 AQUASEA 모델을 적용한 오염부하량 할당 연구를 제시한다. 인천 해안의 복잡한 지형을 표현하기 위하여 유한요소격자망을 구성하였으며, 인천 해안 경계 지역의 13개 지점의 조위와 한강 유량이 조석조위 시뮬레이션을 위한 입력 조건으로 주어졌다. 또한, 해안으로 유입되는 모든 오염원의 부하량이 수질 시뮬레이션 입력 조건으로 주어졌다. 시뮬레이션된 변수는 조류와 화학적 산소요구량이며, 실측값을 이용하여 보정 및 검증되었다. 모델 결과는 대부분의 측정 지점에서 실측값과 적절한 일치를 이루었다. 시스템 분석 결과 한강에서 유입되는 오염물질은 염화수로에서부터 영흥도 북쪽 해역까지 수질에 영향을 미치며, 인천시에서 배출되는 오염물질은 영종도 아래에서부터 자월도 위쪽 해역까지 수질에 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 시화호에서 방류되는 물은 배출 수문에서부터 인천항까지의 수질에 영향을 보이며, 경기도 연안에서 배출되는 오염물질은 오이도 부근 해역의 수질에 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 타당성이 검증된 모델의 오염부하량 분석을 통하여 효과적인 수질관리대책을 수립하였으며, 여기서 인천 해안의 수질기준치를 유지하면서 허용될 수 있는 오염부하량을 제시하였다.

Simulation of Effects of Swine Manure Application Rates on Nitrate Concentration in Runoff, Indiana, USA

  • Lim, Kyoung-Jae;Engel, Bernard A.;Jeon, Ji-Hong;Jones, Don;Sutton, Alan L.;Ok, Yang-Sik;Kim, Ki-Sung;Choi, Joong-Dae
    • 한국환경농학회지
    • /
    • 제28권1호
    • /
    • pp.38-46
    • /
    • 2009
  • Livestock manure is an important source of nutrients for crop production. However, farmers typically do not know the exact nutrient values for livestock manure. In many instances, manure has been viewed as a waste, and as a result it is applied close to the source resulting in over application of nutrients. Thus, the goal of nutrient application has often been applied to reduce the application expense rather than to maximize crop income. This results in wasted money and potentially negative impacts on water quality. Several livestock manure management scenarios were created based on agronomic nutrient requirements using the Utilization of Animal Manure as a Plant Nutrient (AMANURE) software to investigate water quality impacts with the National Agricultural Pesticide Risk Analysis (NAPRA) WWW modeling system. Application of manure at agronomic rates can result in high nitrate-nitrogen losses for some soil types, especially when applied in late fall. The application of manure at an agronomic rate does not necessarily equate to adequate water quality protection, and farmers must take care applying manure at agronomic rates, because nitrate-nitrogen loss potential varies spatially and temporarily. Nutrient loss probability maps for Indiana at 5%, 10%, 25%, and 50% values were created to demonstrate potential water quality impacts when livestock manure is applied to cropland at agronomic rates. The NAPRA WWW system coupled with AMANURE can be used to identify site-specific livestock manure management plans that are environmentally sound and agronomically appropriate.