• 제목/요약/키워드: water quality change

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Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources: Waimea Plains, New Zealand Case Example

  • Zemansky, Gil;Hong, Yoon-Seeok Timothy;Rose, Jennifer;Song, Sung-Ho;Thomas, Joseph
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2011년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.18-18
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    • 2011
  • Climate change is impacting and will increasingly impact both the quantity and quality of the world's water resources in a variety of ways. In some areas warming climate results in increased rainfall, surface runoff, and groundwater recharge while in others there may be declines in all of these. Water quality is described by a number of variables. Some are directly impacted by climate change. Temperature is an obvious example. Notably, increased atmospheric concentrations of $CO_2$ triggering climate change increase the $CO_2$ dissolving into water. This has manifold consequences including decreased pH and increased alkalinity, with resultant increases in dissolved concentrations of the minerals in geologic materials contacted by such water. Climate change is also expected to increase the number and intensity of extreme climate events, with related hydrologic changes. A simple framework has been developed in New Zealand for assessing and predicting climate change impacts on water resources. Assessment is largely based on trend analysis of historic data using the non-parametric Mann-Kendall method. Trend analysis requires long-term, regular monitoring data for both climate and hydrologic variables. Data quality is of primary importance and data gaps must be avoided. Quantitative prediction of climate change impacts on the quantity of water resources can be accomplished by computer modelling. This requires the serial coupling of various models. For example, regional downscaling of results from a world-wide general circulation model (GCM) can be used to forecast temperatures and precipitation for various emissions scenarios in specific catchments. Mechanistic or artificial intelligence modelling can then be used with these inputs to simulate climate change impacts over time, such as changes in streamflow, groundwater-surface water interactions, and changes in groundwater levels. The Waimea Plains catchment in New Zealand was selected for a test application of these assessment and prediction methods. This catchment is predicted to undergo relatively minor impacts due to climate change. All available climate and hydrologic databases were obtained and analyzed. These included climate (temperature, precipitation, solar radiation and sunshine hours, evapotranspiration, humidity, and cloud cover) and hydrologic (streamflow and quality and groundwater levels and quality) records. Results varied but there were indications of atmospheric temperature increasing, rainfall decreasing, streamflow decreasing, and groundwater level decreasing trends. Artificial intelligence modelling was applied to predict water usage, rainfall recharge of groundwater, and upstream flow for two regionally downscaled climate change scenarios (A1B and A2). The AI methods used were multi-layer perceptron (MLP) with extended Kalman filtering (EKF), genetic programming (GP), and a dynamic neuro-fuzzy local modelling system (DNFLMS), respectively. These were then used as inputs to a mechanistic groundwater flow-surface water interaction model (MODFLOW). A DNFLMS was also used to simulate downstream flow and groundwater levels for comparison with MODFLOW outputs. MODFLOW and DNFLMS outputs were consistent. They indicated declines in streamflow on the order of 21 to 23% for MODFLOW and DNFLMS (A1B scenario), respectively, and 27% in both cases for the A2 scenario under severe drought conditions by 2058-2059, with little if any change in groundwater levels.

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수계 상하류의 유량 및 수질 상관관계 분석 (Analysis of Correlation Relationship for Flow and Water Quality at Up and Down Streams)

  • 장인수;정진경;박기범
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제19권6호
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    • pp.771-778
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    • 2010
  • The prediction of discharge is very important in water resources management and plan. In this study, we have analyzed discharge data of site at up and down stream in watershed. In order to forecast discharge the regression equations were developed by measuring flow data. Also, to forecast the change of water quality followed by change of inflow the correlation relationship between inflow of the Youngchun site and the Chunhju dam was shown as very high. The forecast of inflow at the Chungju dam would be possible through flow analysis of the Youngchun site. And, it is possible to forecast water quality by flow analysis because the correlation relationship of SS and turbidity followed by change of flow for each station of investigation was very high.

Water quality big data analysis of the river basin with artificial intelligence ADV monitoring

  • Chen, ZY;Meng, Yahui;Wang, Ruei-yuan;Chen, Timothy
    • Membrane and Water Treatment
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    • 제13권5호
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    • pp.219-225
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    • 2022
  • 5th Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Weather (AR5) predicts that recent severe hydrological events will affect the quality of water and increase water pollution. To analyze changes in water quality due to future climate change, input data (precipitation, average temperature, relative humidity, average wind speed, and solar radiation) were compiled into a representative concentration curve (RC), defined using 8.5. AR5 and future use are calculated based on land use. Semi-distributed emission model Calculate emissions for each target period. Meteorological factors affecting water quality (precipitation, temperature, and flow) were input into a multiple linear regression (MLR) model and an artificial neural network (ANN) to analyze the data. Extensive experimental studies of flow properties have been carried out. In addition, an Acoustic Doppler Velocity (ADV) device was used to monitor the flow of a large open channel connection in a wastewater treatment plant in Ho Chi Minh City. Observations were made along different streams at different locations and at different depths. Analysis of measurement data shows average speed profile, aspect ratio, vertical position Measure, and ratio the vertical to bottom distance for maximum speed and water depth. This result indicates that the transport effect of the compound was considered when preparing the hazard analysis.

백두산 화산재 유해성분 추정을 통한 팔당댐 유역 수질영향 평가 (Assessment of Water Quality in Paldang-dam Surface Area through the Estimation of Volcanic Ash Toxic Components from Mt. Baekdu)

  • 지용근;이경빈;최정렬;김지태
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제47권3호
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    • pp.237-245
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    • 2014
  • 백두산 분화 시 분출되는 화산재에 의한 수질환경 변화에 대응하고자 본 연구에서는 백두산 화산재 성분을 추정하고, 화산재 퇴적 두께에 따른 수질 농도변화를 분석하였다. 백두산 화산재 성분을 추정하기 위해 주요 해외 화산의 마그마분과 백두산의 마그마 성분을 비교하여 유사한 화산을 선정하고, 해당 화산에서 분출한 화산재의 성분을 백두산의 화산재 성분과 유사한 것으로 가정하였다. 화산재 유해성분에 의한 수질 농도변화를 분석하기 위해 화산재 퇴적 두께에 따른 유해성분 농도의 증감을 분석한 후, 국내 먹는물 수질기준과 비교함으로서 수질환경에 대한 영향 유무를 평가하였다. 연구 결과, 알루미늄, 카드뮴, 불소, 철, 납, 마그네슘, 염소와 스트론튬 등이 취수원에 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났으며, 이 중 카드뮴, 불소, 철, 납, 마그네슘의 경우에는 수질관리 및 화산분출 시 관리가 필요할 것으로 분석되었다.

GIS와 위성영상을 이용한 수질 오염인자의 공간 변화 분석 (A Spatial Change Analysis of Water Quality Pollutant using GIS and Satellite Image)

  • 조명희;권봉겸;부기동
    • 한국지리정보학회지
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    • 제2권3호
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    • pp.60-70
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    • 1999
  • GIS와 두시기의 Landsat TM영상을 이용하여 금호강 상류의 수질 오염인자에 대한 소유역별 공간분포의 변화를 탐지하고 수질측정지점에서 관측한 자료와 비교 분석하였다. 이를 위하여 수질오염원과 관련 있는 유역의 인자들을 ARC/INFO를 이용하여 데이터베이스를 구축하고, 1985년과 1997년의 위성영상을 이용하여 감독분류의 최우법으로 토지피복 분류도를 작성하였다. 아울러 두 시기의 토지이용변화 탐지 및 공간분석을 수행하여 소유역 분지별로 변화면적을 추출하였으며, 추출된 수질오염원의 변화량을 단계구분도로 작성하여 가중치를 부여하고 중첩분석을 실시하였다. 분석결과, 수질오염인자들 중에서 인구, 가축, 그리고 과수원 밭의 분포변화가 금호강 수질오염의 주요 요인임이 규명되었다. 금호강 상류에 있어서의 소유역별 오염원의 분포는 도시지역을 포함하고있는 대창천, 오목천 유역분지가 가장 높게 나타나고 있음이 본 연구에서 밝혀졌다.

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수질오염총량관리 단위유역 수질변화 유형분석 - 낙동강수계를 대상으로 - (A Study on the Water Quality Patterns of Unit Watersheds for the Management of TMDLs - in Nakdong River Basin -)

  • 박준대;김진이;류덕희;정동일
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.279-288
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    • 2010
  • The water quality variations or changes are closely relevant to the characteristics of unit watersheds and have an effect on the attainment of their water quality goal. This study was conducted to analyze the water quality distribution and its change patterns of unit watersheds in Nakdong river basin. It revealed that 25 unit watersheds out of 41 showed the normality in water quality. Most of unit watersheds had a considerable variation in water quality, especially in the season of spring and summer but a little in terms of flow rate. Annual relative differences in water quality ranged from 13.0 to 26.6% with the maximum of 75%. 28 unit watersheds (62%) had the tendency to decrease in water quality as the flow rate increased while 13 (38%) to increase. The extension of standard flow led to considerable differences in water quality depending on its ranges, which meant uncertainties might be included in the process of TMDL development. It is suggested that annual average flow rate should be chosen as a standard flow in the area where the water quality change has little relation to the flow rate.

갈수기 유량 확보에 따른 섬강 및 남한강 본류 갈수기 수질 개선 효과 분석 (Analysis of the Effect of Water Quality Improvement on Seomgang and South Han River by Securing the Flow during the Dry Season)

  • 이서로;이관재;한정호;이동준;김종건;임경재
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제61권2호
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    • pp.25-39
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    • 2019
  • The water pollution Accident in the South Han River is increasing due to increase of pollutants inflow from small streams from rural areas and reduced flow rate. This study predicted the change of water quality in the main stream of the South Han River due to climate change through the linkage of watershed and water quality models. Also, This study analyzed the effect of water quality improvement on Seomgang and the South Han River by securing the flow during the dry season. According to the scenarios for securing the river flow during drought season, the river flow in the Seomgang is increased up to 2.19 times, and the water quality during the drought season was improved up to $BOD_5$ 20.5%, T-N 40.8%, T-P 53.4%. Also, the water quality of the main stream of the South Han River improved to 5.22% of $BOD_5$, 5.42% of T-N and 7.69% of T-P as the river flow was secured from the Seomgang. The result of this study confirms that securing the baseflow in the Seomgang according to the scenarios for securing the river flow during the dry season has a positive effect on the improvement of the water quality of the rivers in the main river of the Seomgang and South Han River. The results of this study will contribute to the establishment of reasonable management to improve the water quality of the main stream of the Seomgang and South Han River.

온산 항만 시스템에서 조류와 수질 변화 시뮬레이션 (Simulation of Tidal Flow and Water Quality in Onsan Harbor System)

  • 김소연;박석순
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 1999
  • Tidal flow and water quality were simulated in this paper to assess environmental impact caused by pier construction projects in Onsan harbor system. The Surfacewater Modeling System (SMS) was applied to the Onsan harbor system, where coastal reclamation and dredging were planned to build the piers. A finite element mesh was constructed and refined to cover the complicated geometry of the Onsan harbor and the proposed reclamation area. The time variable change of tidal height at harbor inlet was given as an input condition to tidal simulation. The water quality simulation was based on the discharge rate of suspended solids at the reclamation area. The simulation results have shown reasonable agreements with real situations in both tidal flow and water quality. According to the proposed plan, tidal flow and water quality were predicted during and after the pier construction. The tidal simulation study showed that there would be no discernible change of tidal current in the harbor except for the dredged area. The water quality simulation, however, predicted that suspended solids would increase significantly near the reclaimed and dredged areas during construction.

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수리 변동에 따른 영산강에서의 수질 변화 분석 연구 (Analysis of Water Quality Variation after Hydraulic Changes in Yeongsan River)

  • 김유흔;이혜원;최정현
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제38권1호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2022
  • The Yeongsan River, one of the four major rivers in Korea, shows the highest degree of water pollution compared to the other major rivers. The construction and opening of two weirs, Seungchon and Juksan, induced fluctuations in the hydrologic conditions and water quality of the river. To investigate the water quality changes caused by the opening of the weir in 2017, this study analyzed the water quality data using the non-parametric Wilcoxon signed-rank test and the three-dimensional spatiotemporal plots. The non-parametric statistical test results showed that the concentration of all parameters has increased after 2017 at a significance level of 0.05. For the parameters that showed the highest degree of change, chlorophyll-a and suspended solids, the median values have increased by more than 30% after weir opening. Visual analysis additionally showed the spatial changes in the Yeongsan River. Generally, the sites above the Seungchon weir showed higher pollution levels than those above the Juksan weir. In time series, visual analysis results also showed the trend of rising concentration for all water quality parameters, indicating that the opening of two weirs had a significant effect on the change in water quality of the Yeongsan River.

기후변화에 따른 서낙동강 시험유역에서의 수질영향 분석 (Effect of Climate Change on Water Quality in Seonakdong River Experimental Catchment)

  • 강지윤;김정민;김영도;강부식
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.197-206
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    • 2013
  • Recently, climate change causes climatic anomaly such as global warming, the typhoon and severe rain storm etc. and it brings damage frequently. Climate change and global warming are prevalent all over the world in this century and many researchers including hydrologists have studied on the climate change. In this study, Seonakdong river watershed in the Nakdong river basin was selected as a study area. Real-time monitoring system was used to draw the rating curves, which has 0.78 to 0.96 of $R^2$. To predict runoff change in Seonakdong river watershed caused by climate change, the change in hydrologic runoff were predicted using the watershed model, SWAT. As a result, the runoff from the Seonakdong river watershed was increased by up to 45 % in summer. Because of the non-point sources from the farmland and the urban area, the water quality will be affected by the climate change. In this study, the operating plan of the water gates in Seonakdong river will be suggested by considering the characteristics of the watershed runoff due to the climate change. The optimal watergate opening plan will solve the water pollution problems in the reservoir-like river.