• 제목/요약/키워드: water pollution prediction

검색결과 95건 처리시간 0.022초

머신러닝 CatBoost 다중 분류 알고리즘을 이용한 조류 발생 예측 모형 성능 평가 연구 (Evaluation of Multi-classification Model Performance for Algal Bloom Prediction Using CatBoost)

  • 김준오;박정수
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제39권1호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2023
  • Monitoring and prediction of water quality are essential for effective river pollution prevention and water quality management. In this study, a multi-classification model was developed to predict chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) level in rivers. A model was developed using CatBoost, a novel ensemble machine learning algorithm. The model was developed using hourly field monitoring data collected from January 1 to December 31, 2015. For model development, chl-a was classified into class 1 (Chl-a≤10 ㎍/L), class 2 (10<Chl-a≤50 ㎍/L), and class 3 (Chl-a>50 ㎍/L), where the number of data used for the model training were 27,192, 11,031, and 511, respectively. The macro averages of precision, recall, and F1-score for the three classes were 0.58, 0.58, and 0.58, respectively, while the weighted averages were 0.89, 0.90, and 0.89, for precision, recall, and F1-score, respectively. The model showed relatively poor performance for class 3 where the number of observations was much smaller compared to the other two classes. The imbalance of data distribution among the three classes was resolved by using the synthetic minority over-sampling technique (SMOTE) algorithm, where the number of data used for model training was evenly distributed as 26,868 for each class. The model performance was improved with the macro averages of precision, rcall, and F1-score of the three classes as 0.58, 0.70, and 0.59, respectively, while the weighted averages were 0.88, 0.84, and 0.86 after SMOTE application.

Prediction of pollution loads in agricultural reservoirs using LSTM algorithm: case study of reservoirs in Nonsan City

  • Heesung Lim;Hyunuk An;Gyeongsuk Choi;Jaenam Lee;Jongwon Do
    • 농업과학연구
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    • 제49권2호
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    • pp.193-202
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    • 2022
  • The recurrent neural network (RNN) algorithm has been widely used in water-related research areas, such as water level predictions and water quality predictions, due to its excellent time series learning capabilities. However, studies on water quality predictions using RNN algorithms are limited because of the scarcity of water quality data. Therefore, most previous studies related to water quality predictions were based on monthly predictions. In this study, the quality of the water in a reservoir in Nonsan, Chungcheongnam-do Republic of Korea was predicted using the RNN-LSTM algorithm. The study was conducted after constructing data that could then be, linearly interpolated as daily data. In this study, we attempt to predict the water quality on the 7th, 15th, 30th, 45th and 60th days instead of making daily predictions of water quality factors. For daily predictions, linear interpolated daily water quality data and daily weather data (rainfall, average temperature, and average wind speed) were used. The results of predicting water quality concentrations (chemical oxygen demand [COD], dissolved oxygen [DO], suspended solid [SS], total nitrogen [T-N], total phosphorus [TP]) through the LSTM algorithm indicated that the predictive value was high on the 7th and 15th days. In the 30th day predictions, the COD and DO items showed R2 that exceeded 0.6 at all points, whereas the SS, T-N, and T-P items showed differences depending on the factor being assessed. In the 45th day predictions, it was found that the accuracy of all water quality predictions except for the DO item was sharply lowered.

팔당호의 영양염류 예측을 위한 수질관리모형의 비교 (Comparison of Water Quality Models for Prediction of Nutrients in Lake Paldang)

  • 박경철;안규홍;염익태;강선홍
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.174-180
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    • 2000
  • In this study two water quality models, widely used in Korea, WASP5 and SWRRB were applied to Lake Paldang. The simulated results were compared with the measured data. The simulation results using WASP5 showed that this model could reasonably predict the concentrations of $NO_3$-N, Organic N, and Organic P. In order to investigate the effect of pollution by non-point source SWRRB was simulated and the concentrations of nutrients were predicted. The results from WASP5 and SWRRB are not directly comparable because their input data are different and output values are differently presented. Therefore, if these two simulation models were applied simultaneously, many valuable data and information could be obtained due to their own applicabilities and advantages.

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하수처리시설 신설에 따른 QUAL2E모델에 의한 만경수계 수질예측 (Water Quality Prediction of the Mankyung Water Shed according to Construction of New Sewage Treatment Facilities)

  • 정팔진;현미희;정진필
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.200-207
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    • 2010
  • The sewage treatment plants to be built to improve the water quality of the Mankyung River will total 11, of which combined capacity will reach $39,850m^3/day$, and saying in detail, 5 at Gunsan city, 2 at Iksan city, 1 at Kimje city and 3 at Wanju gun, The scenario for water quality improvement was developed, considering the conditions of plant operation ratio and the accomplishment of the water quality target (BOD 4.4 mg/L, T-P 0.356 mg/L) at the end of the watershed of Mankyung B was predicted, making use of QUAL2E model. As a result of prediction using QUAL2E model based on scenarios with 70% and 100% of operation ratio, respectively, at 11 plants in 2010, the water quality at the watershed of Mankyung B was estimated at 4.322 mg/L which was lower than the target of BOD 4.4 mg/L, indicating the target water quality was achieved, when it comes to 70% of operation ratio, But in case of T-P, it was estimated at 0.565 mg/L, which was higher than the target. When it comes to 100% of operation ratio, T-P also was 0.563 mg/L which exceeded the target, 0.356 mg/L. As indicated above, the effect of water quality improvement appeared very insignificant, which was attributable to the limit of small scale sewage treatment plant in total reduction capacity. Hence, the measures for additional reduction in a bid to achieve the target water quality of T-P at the designated location need to be taken, and the measures to build the Sewage treatment facilities at the place where the pollution is significantly caused by T-P appeared to be required as well.

환경부 토지피복 중분류 적용을 위한 L-THIA 모델 수정과 SCE-UA연계적용에 의한 금호강유역 비점오염 분포파악 (L-THIA Modification and SCE-UA Application for Spatial Analysis of Nonpoit Source Pollution at Gumho River Basin)

  • 김정진;김태동;최동혁;임경재;버나드엥겔;전지홍
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.311-321
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    • 2009
  • Long-Term Hydrologic Impact Assessment (L-THIA) was modified to improve runoff and pollutant load prediction for Korean watersheds with changes in land use classification and event mean concentration produced from observed data in Korea. The L-THIA model was linked with SCE-UA, which is one of the global optimization techniques, to automatically calibrate direct runoff. Modified L-THIA model was applied to Gumho River Basins to analyze spatial distribution of nonpoint source pollution. The results of model calibration during 1991~2000 and validation during 1981~1990 for direct runoff represented high model efficiency of 0.76 for calibration and 0.86 for validation. As a results of spatial analysis of nonpoint source pollution, the BOD was mainly loaded from urban area but SS, TN, and TP from agricultural area which is mainly located along the stream. Modified L-THIA model improve its accuracy with minimum imput data and application efforts. From this study, we can find out the L-THIA model is very useful tool to predict direct runoff and pollutant loads from the watershed and spatial analysis of nonpoint source pollution.

Evaluation of Drainage by Near Infrared Spectroscopy

  • Takamura, Hitoshi;Miyamoto, Hiroko;Mori, Yoshikuni;Matoba, Teruyoshi
    • 한국근적외분광분석학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국근적외분광분석학회 2001년도 NIR-2001
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    • pp.1271-1271
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    • 2001
  • Water pollutants in drainage mainly consist of organic compounds. Hence, total organic carbon (TOC), chemical oxygen demand (COD), and biochemical oxygen demand (BOD) were generally used as the indices of pollution. However, these values are determined by special analyzer (TOC), titration method (COD), or microbe culture (BOD). Therefore, the development of simple and easy methods for the determination of water pollution is required. The authors reported the evaluation of water pollution by near infrared (NIR) spectroscopy in a model system with food components (Takamura et al. (200) Near Infrared Spectroscopy: Proceedings of 9th International Conference, pp. 503-507). In this study, the relationship between NIR spectra and drainage was investigated in order to develop a method for evaluation of drainage by NIR. Drainage was obtained in Nara Purification Center. The ranges of TOC, COD, and BOD were 0-130, 0-100 and 0-200, respectively. NIR transmittance spectra were recorded on NIR Systems Model 6250 Research Composition Analyzer in the wavelength range of 680-1235 and 1100-2500 nm with a quartz cell (light path: 0.5, 1, 2, 4 and 10mm) at 10-40. Statistical analysis was performed using NSAS program. A partial least squares (PLS) regression analysis was used for calibration. As the result, a good correlation between the raw NIR spectra and OC was obtained in the calibration. The best light path was 10 and 0.5mm in the wavelength range of 680-1235 and 110-2500nm, respectively. In the calibration, correlation coefficients(R) were 096-0.97 in the both range. In the prediction, however, a good correlation (R=0.89-0.96) was obtained only in the range of 6801235 nm, Similar results were obtained in the cases of COD and BOD. These results suggest the possibility that NIR spectroscopy can be used to evaluate drainage.

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머신러닝 학습 알고리즘을 이용한 광주천 수질 분석에 대한 예측 모델 연구 (A Study on the Prediction Model for Analysis of Water Quality in Gwangju Stream using Machine Learning Algorithm)

  • 정유정;이정재
    • 한국전자통신학회논문지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.531-538
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    • 2024
  • 수질 환경의 중요성이 강조되고 있는 가운데 광주광역시 도시 하천의 수질개선을 위한 수질 지표는 수생 생태계에 영향을 미치는 중요한 요소로 정확한 예측이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 XGBoost와 LightGBM 머신러닝 알고리즘을 활용하여 광주천의 중요한 지점인 하류 평촌교(PyeongchonBr)와 상류 방학교(BangHakBr_Gwangjucheon1) 수계의 수질 검사 항목 중 통계적 검증 결과 유의미한 항목인 질소(TN), 질산염(NO3), 암모니아 양(NH3) 세 가지 수질 지표를 예측하는 연구를 수행하였고, 회귀 모델 평가 지표인 RMSE를 이용하여 예측 모델의 성능을 평가하였다. 수계별 개별적인 모델을 구현하여 교차 검증 후 성능을 비교한 결과, XGBoost 모델이 뛰어난 예측 능력을 보였다

담수호 유입 오염부하량의 간척농지 영농 전.후 변화 예측 (Prediction of the Pollutant Loading into Estuary Lake according to Non-cultivation and Cultivation conditions of Reclaimed Tidal Land)

  • 윤광식;최수명;양홍모;한국헌;한경수
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.27-36
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    • 2001
  • Estimation of current and future loading from watershed is necessary for the sound management of water quality of an estuary lake. Pollution sources of point and non-point source pollution were surveyed and Identified for the Koheung watershed. Unit factor method was used to estimate potential pollutant load from the watershed of current conditions. Flow rate and water qualify of base flow and storm-runoff were monitored in the main streams of the watershed. Estimation of runoff pollutant loading from the watershed into the lake in current conditions was conducted by GWLF model after calibration using observed data. Prospective pollutant loading from the reclaimed paddy fields under cultivation conditions was estimated using the modified CREAMS model. As a result, changes of pollutant loading into estuary lake according to non-cultivation and cultivation conditions of reclaimed tidal land were estimated.

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2차원 이송-확산 모형을 이용한 취수장 유입 수질 예측 (Water Quality Modeling for Intake Station by 2-dimensional Advection-Dispersion Model)

  • 김재동;김지훈;김영도;송창근;서일원
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제25권5호
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    • pp.667-679
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    • 2011
  • In this study, the influences of pollutant from Dae-po Stream and So-gam Stream located at the downstream of Nak-dong River on the water quality at Mul-geum water intake station were analyzed using RAMS model. Field measurements of velocity by ADCP, and water quality distribution of BOD and TP by water sampling were carried out to present the input and verification data for numerical simulations. The comparison between RAM2 and ADCP measurement, which aimed for the analysis of 2-D velocity distribution around Mul-geum water intake station showed that two results matched well along the spanwise direction. The prediction of pollutant concentration by RAM4 agreed fairly well with the measured data except for the points nearby right banks in the vicinity of tributary pollutant source. Flushing effect by the increase of mainstream discharge in Nak-dong River was analyzed to provide the damage mitigation in preparation for the accidental water pollution. With increasing mainstream discharge, high velocity and increased water quantity induced increasing dilution effect, thereby decreasing the inflow pollutant concentration rapidly.

폐광 전후 삼탄 광산배수의 수질특성과 의의

  • 정영욱;강상수;임길재;홍성규;조원재;조영도;전호석;민정식
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지하수토양환경학회 2003년도 추계학술발표회
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    • pp.422-425
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    • 2003
  • This study was carried out to apprehend the variation of quality of mine drainage in the abandoned Samtan coal mine. After closure of coal mine, although still pumping, water level in underground was raised to loom and the concentration of some elements such as Fe and Mn was elevated. At present, the worst pollution source in this area is too the acidic leachate drained from uncovered mine waste impoundment. The flow rate of mine drainage from the adit is ave. about 20,000t/d. If water were flooded and deteriorated due to stopping pumping, the impact of the mine drainage on the stream around the abandoned mine would be more severe. Therefore, It is considered that the prediction of water quality of mine drainage from the adit after stopping pumping will be very important with a view to establishing countermeasures.

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