• Title/Summary/Keyword: warning index function

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Study of Rip Current Warning Index Function according to Real-time Observations at Haeundae Beach in 2012 (2012년 해운대 해수욕장의 실시간 관측정보에 따른 이안류 경보지수 함수 연구)

  • Choi, Junwoo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.1191-1201
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    • 2014
  • The rip current warning index function, which estimates the likelihood of dangerous rip current in the real-time rip current warning system operating to help mitigate against rip current accidents at Haeundae beach, was studied. The rip current warning index evaluated as a function of various real-time observations was developed based on Choi et al. (2013b). This study shows a version of rip current warning index improved by including the effect of wave direction and spreadings of frequency-directional spectrum on rip current likelihood. The wave and tidal observations in 2012 at Haeundae coast were applied to the rip current index function, and its performances at several real events found based on CCTV images were presented and analyzed.

An Experimental Investigation of a Collision Warning System for Automobiles using Hardware-in-the-Loop Simulations (차간거리 경보시스템의 HiLS 구현)

  • 송철기;김성하;이경수
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.6 no.5
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    • pp.222-227
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    • 1998
  • Collision warning systems have been an active research and development area as the interests and demands for ASV's (Advanced Safety Vehicles) have increased. This paper presents an experimental investigation of a collision warning system for automobiles. A collision warning HiLS(Hardware-in-the-Loop Simulation) system has been designed and used to test the collision warning algorithm, radar sensors, and warning displays under realistic operating conditions in the laboratory. the collision warning algorithm is operated by a warning index, which is a function of the warning distance and the braking distance. The computer calculates velocities of the preceding vehicle and following vehicle, relative distance and relative velocity of the vehicles using vehicle simulation models. The relative distance and the relative velocity are applied to the vehicle simulator controlled by a DC motor.

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Study of Rip Current Warning Index Function Varied according to Real-time Observations (실시간 관측정보에 따른 이안류 경보 지수함수 연구)

  • Choi, Junwoo;Lim, Chae Ho;Yoon, Sung Bum
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.5
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    • pp.477-490
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    • 2013
  • A rip-current warning index function, which is estimated from the likelihood of rip current quantified based on numerical simulations under various sea environments and is varied according to real-time buoy-observations, was studied to help protect against rip current accidents at Haeundae beach. For the quantification, the definition of likelihood of rip current, which proposed by Choi et al. (2011, 2012b), was employed and estimated based on Boussinesq modelling. The distribution of likelihood of rip current was evaluated by using various simulations according to scenarios established based on physical quantities(i.e., wave parameters) of buoy-observations. To index the likelihood of rip current, empirical functions were derived based on the distribution and adjusted to observational environments. In this study, the observations from June to September in 2011 at Haeundae beach were applied to the rip-current index functions, and its applications into the real events found based on CCTV images were presented and investigated. In addition, limitations and improvements of the rip-current index function were discussed.

A modification of the rip current warning system utilizing real-time observations: a database function of likelihood distributions (실시간 관측정보를 이용한 이안류 경보체계 개선 연구: 발생정도 DB함수의 활용)

  • Choi, Junwoo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.10
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    • pp.843-854
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    • 2022
  • For the rip current warning system to reduce rip-current accidents, the implementation method producing the risk index was modified. To produce fast response from the warning system based on real-time observations, the method employed the numerical results (i.e., rip current likelihoods according to the possible scenario) obtained in advance. In this study, instead of using the empirical curve-fitting functions of the previous method, the present modification utilized two-dimensional distributions (i.e., wave height and period, wave height and tidal elevation, wave height and direction, wave height and spreading of frequency-directional spectrum) of rip current likelihoods stacked in a database of the system. The wave and tidal observations in 2021 at the Haeundae coast were applied to the modified system, and its performances at several real events recorded in CCTV images were presented.

An Analysis of Effect and Limitation when Adapting Earned Schedule Method for Schedule Management and Estimation in Korean Defense Research & Development Projects (한국 국방 연구개발 프로젝트 일정 관리 및 예측을 위한 Earned Schedule 기법의 적용 효과와 한계 분석)

  • Cho, Jungho;Lim, Jaesung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.396-402
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    • 2018
  • Earned Value Management(EVM) has been used to manage and forecast defense project schedule and cost over the last two decades in the world. However to support the lacking ability of schedule analysis in traditional EVM, earned schedule(ES) has been introduced as a tool to more accurately estimate schedule performance. This paper compares which method EVM or ES, provides more accurate schedule predictors in 32 Korean defense research and development projects. As a result of comparison, the ES method can predict the future schedule more reliably than the EVM method. We also analyze early warning function of schedule performance index considering project duration extension point. Through the analysis results, we confirm that both the EVM and the ES method lack the ability of the early warning in terms of the current schedule management criterion.

Development of groundwater level monitoring and forecasting technique for drought analysis (I) - Groundwater drought monitoring using standardized groundwater level index (SGI) (가뭄 분석을 위한 지하수위 모니터링 및 예측기법 개발(I) - 표준지하수지수(SGI)를 이용한 지하수 가뭄 모니터링)

  • Lee, Jeongju;Kang, Shinuk;Jeong, Jihye;Chun, Gunil
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.11
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    • pp.1011-1020
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    • 2018
  • This study aims to develop a drought monitoring scheme based on groundwater which can be exploit for water supply under drought stress. In this context, groundwater level can be used as a proxy for better understanding the temporal evolution of drought state. First, kernel density estimator is presented in the monthly groundwater level over the entire national groundwater stations. The estimated cumulative distribution function is then utilized to map the monthly groundwater level into the standardized groundwater level index (SGI). The SGI for each station was eventually converted into the index for major cities through the Thiessen polygon approach. We provide a drought classification for a given SGI to better characterize the degree of drought condition. Ultimately, we conclude that the proposed monitoring framework enables a more reliable estimation of the drought stress, especially for a limited water supply area.

Development of groundwater level monitoring and forecasting technique for drought early warning (가뭄 예·경보를 위한 지하수위 모니터링 및 예측기법 개발)

  • Lee, Jeongju;Kim, Taeho;Chun, Genil;Kim, Hyeonsik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.13-13
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    • 2020
  • '20년 3월 현재 전국 3,502개 읍면동 중 73개 읍면동이 지하수를 상수원으로 급수 중이며, 48개 산업단지에서 지하수를 주 수원으로 사용 중이다. 또한 급수 소외지역의 물 공급을 위해 주로 사용되는 소규모수도시설 14,811개 중 12,073개(81.5%)는 지하수를 이용하고 있으며, 그 위치는 전국에 산재해 있다. 이처럼 지하수는 댐, 저수지 및 하천과 더불어 생·공용수의 중요한 수원이라 할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 급수 소외지역의 주요 수원인 지하수위 현황을 이용한 가뭄 모니터링 및 전망 기법을 개발하고자 하였다. 국가 지하수관측망 중 10년 이상 장기 관측 자료를 보유한 253개 관측소의 일단위 관측자료를 기반으로, 과거 관측수위 분포를 핵밀도함수로 추정하고 Quantile Function을 이용해 현재 수위의 높고 낮은 정도를 Percentile 값으로 산정하였다. 관측소별 지하수위 Percentile은 티센망을 이용해 167개 시군별로 공간평균하고 Percentile의 범위에 따른 가뭄등급을 설정하여 지하수 가뭄 정도를 모니터링 할 수 있는 기법을 제시하였다. 또한 지하수 가뭄을 전망하기 위해 강수와 지하수위의 거시적인 응답특성을 이용하였다. 관측소별로 추정된 핵밀도함수의 누적확률을 표준정규분포의 Quantile로 변환하여 표준지하수지수I(Standardized Groundwater level Index, SGI)를 산정하고, 시군별로 공간을 일치시킨 1~12개월 지속기간별 표준강수지수(Standardized Precipitation Index, SPI)와의 상관관계를 이용해 NARX(nonlinear autoregressive exogenous) 인공신경망 예측모형을 구축하였다. 이를 통해 기상청 정량전망 강수량을 이용해 전국의 1~3개월 후 지하수 가뭄을 빠르게 전망할 수 있는 체계를 구축하고, 생·공용수 분야 국가 가뭄 예·경보의 미급수지역 가뭄현황 및 전망에 활용중이다.

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