• Title/Summary/Keyword: war in Ukraine

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A Mission Capability Measuring Methodology of Warship based on Vulnerability Assessment: Focused on Naval Engagement Level Analysis Model (취약성 평가 기반 함정 임무수행능력 측정 방법: 해군 교전급 분석모델을 중심으로)

  • Jeong-kwan Yang;Bong-seok Kim;Bong-wan Choi;Chong-su Kim
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.46 no.4
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    • pp.218-228
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    • 2023
  • Maintaining sea superiority through successful mission accomplishments of warships is being proved to be an important factor of winning a war, as in the Ukraine-Russia war. in order to ensure the ability of a warship to perform its duties, the survivability of the warship must be strengthened. In particular, among the survivability factors, vulnerability is closely related to a damage assessment, and these vulnerability data are used as basic data to measure the mission capability. The warship's mission capability is usually measured using a wargame model, but only the operational effects of a macroscopic view are measured with a theater level resolution. In order to analyze the effectiveness and efficiency of a weapon system in the context of advanced weapon systems and equipments, a warship's mission capability must be measured at the engagement level resolution. To this end, not the relationship between the displacement tonnage and the weight of warheads applied in the theater level model, but an engagement level resolution vulnerability assessment method that can specify physical and functional damage at the hit position should be applied. This study proposes a method of measuring a warship's mission capability by applying the warship vulnerability assessment method to the naval engagement level analysis model. The result can be used as basic data in developing engagement algorithms for effective and efficient operation tactics to be implemented from a single unit weapon system to multiple warships.

A Study on the Causality between Geopolitical Risk and Stock Price Volatility of Shipping Companies (지정학적 위기와 해운기업 주가 변동성의 인과관계에 관한 연구)

  • Chi Yeol Kim
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.48 no.3
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    • pp.206-213
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    • 2024
  • This paper aims to investigate the causal relationship between geopolitical risk and stock price volatility in the shipping industry. Given its international nature and dependence on global trade, this industry is exposed to various uncertainties and risk factors. This study specifically focuses on the impact of geopolitical risk, which has gained significant attention in recent years due to events such as the Russia-Ukraine War and the Israel-Hamas War. To analyze this relationship, the study utilizes vector autoregressive model-based causality tests. The research estimates the causal relationship between geopolitical risk indicators and the stock price volatility of five shipping companies listed on the Korea Exchange. The study covers the period from 2000 to 2023. The results indicate the following: Firstly, an increase in geopolitical risk leads to a rise in stock price volatility for shipping companies. Moreover, the impact of actual geopolitical events, rather than just diplomatic disputes, is statistically significant. Lastly, the impact of geopolitical risk is particularly significant in the bulk shipping sector.

A Study on the Possibility of Securing Command of the Air in Local War (지상군의 국지제공권 확보 가능성 연구)

  • Lee, Chang In;Jung, Min Sup;Cho, Sang Keun;Park, Sang-Hyuk
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.173-179
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    • 2022
  • Through the 2014 Donbas conflict and the 2022 Ukraine-Russia war, we are experiencing that the command of the air is no longer only secured by the Air Force. Long-range surveillance reconnaissance and strikes carried out by the Air Force could be replaced by drones and missiles, and the enemy's aerial attacks could be controlled by air defense systems such as Panchir and portable anti-aircraft missiles, allowing ground forces to carry out maneuvers freely. In other words, it is much more advantageous for the air force and the navy to take control of the air through long-distance operations, and the ground forces should support them. Therefore, this study aims to consider the cost-effectiveness aspect of the delivery command of the air; it provides implications for quickly responding to enemy air attacks by developing the air defense weapon system, drones, missiles, precision-guided munitions, etc rather than focusing on expensive fighter jets.

ICOH Statement on Protecting the Occupational Safety and Health of Migrant Workers

  • International Commission on Occupational Health (ICOH),;Salmen-Navarro, Acran;Schulte, Paul
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.261-262
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    • 2022
  • Globally, it is estimated that the number of people living outside of their country of origin reached 281 million in 2020. The primary drive of those migrants when migrating voluntarily is work to increase their income and provide for their families left behind in their home countries. Those who migrate immediately seek means of income to sustain themselves through a perilous process as currently evidenced in the war in Ukraine and not too long ago in Syria and Venezuela. Unfortunately, migrant workers are globally known to predominantly be working in "4-D jobs"- dirty, dangerous, and difficult and discriminatory; the fourth D was recently added to acknowledge the discriminatory aspect and other social determinants of health migrant workers face in their host country while exposed to precarious work. Consequently, migrant workers are at considerable risk of work-related illnesses and injury but their health needs are critically overlooked in research and policy. Recognizing the UN Universal Declaration of Human Rights "Everyone has the right to work, to free choice of employment, to just and favourable conditions of work and to protection against unemployment", we cannot consider any human life - thus, the life of migrant workers - as dispensable through a structural discriminatory process that undervalues their occupational safety and health, livelihood and the contribution these workers bring to their host countries. This was seen during the preparation for the upcoming world cup in Qatar where migrant workers were exposed to a multiplicity of serious hazards including deadly heat hazards.

Effects of Macroeconomic Conditions and External Shocks for Port Business: Forecasting Cargo Throughput of Busan Port Using ARIMA and VEC Models

  • Nam, Hyung-Sik;D'agostini, Enrico;Kang, Dal-Won
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.46 no.5
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    • pp.449-457
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    • 2022
  • The Port of Busan is currently ranked as the seventh largest container port worldwide in terms of cargo throughput. However, port competition in the Far-East region is fierce. The growth rate of container throughput handled by the port of Busan has recently slowed down. In this study, we analyzed how economic conditions and multiple external shocks could influence cargo throughput and identified potential implications for port business. The aim of this study was to build a model to accurately forecast port throughput using the ARIMA model, which could incorporate external socio-economic shocks, and the VEC model considering causal variables having long-term effects on transshipment cargo. Findings of this study suggest that there are three main areas affecting container throughput in the port of Busan, namely the Russia-Ukraine war, the increased competition for transshipment cargo of Chinese ports, and the weaker growth rate of the Korean economy. Based on the forecast, in order for the Port of the Port of Busan to continue to grow as a logistics hub in Northeast-Asia, policy intervention is necessary to diversify the demand for transshipment cargo and maximize benefits of planned infrastructural investments.

On the Inflation and its Modifications in the Era of Global Pandemic: The Case of Some ADB Countries

  • CHARAIA, Vakhtang;PAPAVA, Vladimer
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.8
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    • pp.7-17
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    • 2022
  • The article discusses the problems caused by inflation in the developing Asia-Pacific region during the time of the worldwide pandemic and suggests innovative solutions to the problem. The reality is that some of the commodity groups from the consumer basket (e.g., non-seasonal fruits, electronics, furniture, hotel, and restaurant services, etc.) fail to reflect the needs of the low-income earners, which make the majority in developing countries. At the same time, the inflation targeting regime has become outdated and not reliable, because of uncontrolled exogenic factors (imported inflation, fluctuation in oil prices, supply chain disruption, Russia-Ukraine war, etc.) prevailing on endogenic factors and thus making it impossible to control the price stability, especially in developing countries. Since, the old-fashioned inflation index and inflation targeting mechanisms regrettably fail to fully reflect both the society and governmental/central banks' expectations, based on which we first should have better care and second create better policies; we propose to use a combination of already well-known indexes and policies, with the new statistical indicators, which reflects price fluctuations on the medication, utilities, and nutrition.

A Study on Securing Mid-level Military Officer in ROKA Reserve (육군 예비역 중견간부 확보에 대한 연구)

  • Soon-won Choi;Kiseak Jeon
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.95-105
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    • 2024
  • Although the importance of reserve forces has been emphasized again since the outbreak of the Ukraine War, there is a serious shortage of so-called mid-level officers such as field officers, non-commissioned officers, sergeants, and sergeant s in the Army. This is because, according to related laws such as the Military Personnel Mannagement Act, mid-level executives who have served for more than 20 years can choose to retire. To solve this problem, we studied recent papers spanning 10 years from April to July 2023. As a result of the study, first, mid-level executives must serve in the reserve forces for at least 5 years after expiration of active duty service. Second, the reserve force promotion system must be reorganized to eliminate restrictions on number and rank. In addition, the significance and implications of the study and future directions were discussed.

A Study on the Expansion of Secondary Battery Manufacturing Technology through the Scale of V4 and Energy Platform (V4와 에너지 플랫폼 규모화를 통한 2차 전지 제조 기술 확대 방안)

  • Seo, Dae-Sung
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.20 no.10
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    • pp.87-94
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    • 2022
  • This paper seeks to raise inflection points of battery manufacturing bases in Korea in the V4 region through the reorganization of new industrial technologies in accordance with ESG. As a result, the global supply chain market is cut off. The Russian-Ukraine war and the U.S.-China hegemony are competing in the economic crisis caused by COVID-19. It is showing diversification of new suppliers in an environment where mineral, grain procurement, gas, and even wheat imports from China and Russia are not possible. As a protective glocal, this area is used as a buffer zone(Pro-Russia, Hungary). to an isolated zone(anti-Russia, Poland) by war. In this paper, economic growth is expected to slow further due to the EU tapering period and high inflation in world countries. Due to these changes, the conversion of new tech industry and the contraction of Germany's structure due to energy supply may lose the driving force for economic growth over the past 20 years. This is caused by market disconnection(chasm) in the nominal indicators in this area. On the other hand, Korea should actively develop into the V4 area as an energy generation export (nuclear and electric hydrogen generation) area as a bypass development supply area due to the imbalance in the supply chain of rare earth materials that combines AI. By linking this industry, the energy platform can be scaled up and reliable supply technology (next generation BT, recycling technology) in diversification can be formed in countries around the world. This paper proves that in order to overcome the market chasm caused by the industries connection, new energy development and platform size can be achieved and reliable supply technology (next-generation battery and recycling technology, Low-cost LFP) can be diversified in each country.

An Integrated Analysis of Recent Changes in Year-on-Year Consumer Price Index and Aggregate Import Price Index in Republic of Korea through Statistical Inference

  • Seok Ho CHANG;Soonhui LEE
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.365-379
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - Our previous study (Chang & Lee, 2023) presented observations on the recent changes in the year-on-year (YoY) Consumer Price Index (CPI) of the Republic of Korea (ROK) after the COVID-19 pandemic. The purpose of this article is to present an integrated analysis and interpretation of the recent changes in CPI and the Aggregate Import Price Index (IPI) by incorporating recent data, specifically data from September 2022 to December 2022. Design/methodology/approach - This study collected CPI (YoY) data in the ROK from January 2019 to December 2022 using e-National Indicator System provided by the ROK. Statistical analysis was employed to analyze the data. Findings - First, we confirm the extended results of the existing study by Chang and Lee (2023). Second, we demonstrate that the Aggregate IPI in ROK increased significantly in 2022 compared to 2021. We then provide an integrated interpretation on the significant increase in CPI and aggregate IPI in ROK, which complements Chang and Lee (2023) that limits their discussion to YoY CPI. Moreover, we show that the IPI of the semiconductor in ROK decreased significantly in 2022 compared to 2021. Research implications or Originality - Our results provide important insights into the recent changes in the CPI in the ROK. The results suggest that these changes can be partially attributed to various factors, such as the global supply chain disruptions resulting from the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic and the prolonged war between Russia and Ukraine, the side effect of quantitative easing by the US Federal Reserve, heat waves and droughts caused by climate change in ROK, a surge in demand following a gradual daily recovery, US-China trade conflict, etc. Our study shows statistically comprehensive results compared to the studies that limit their discussion to YoY average growth rate.

SNS Sentiment Analysis and Needmining for ICT Digital Transformation and Data Convergence Ecosystem Establishment in LEO Satellite Communications (저궤도 위성통신 분야의 ICT 디지털 전환과 데이터 융합 생태계 조성을 위한 SNS 감성분석과 니드마이닝)

  • Byeong-Hee Lee;Tae-Hyun Kim
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.12 no.12
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    • pp.347-356
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    • 2023
  • In the recent war between Ukraine and Russia, low-orbit satellite communication played a major role, and Korea laid a foothold for low-orbit satellite communication services with the successful launch of Nuri in May 2023 and entered a full-scale civilian space age competition. In order to create an ecosystem for ICT digital transformation and data convergence in the field of low-orbit satellite communication, this paper conducts user sentiment analysis by importing posts from Reddit, one of the world's SNS, and extracts need-related sentences through need mining to identify user needs, performs topic modeling to classify topics, and prepares an action plan according to these topics. We hope that this study will be used as a policy resource for the development and innovation of new business models in the field of low-orbit satellite communication, bridging the digital information gap and solving social problems, contributing to sustainable digital transformation and enhancing soft power.