• 제목/요약/키워드: vulnerability indicators

검색결과 96건 처리시간 0.03초

Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment of Cool-Season Grasslands Based on the Analytic Hierarchy Process Method

  • Lee, Bae Hun;Cheon, Dong Won;Park, Hyung Soo;Choi, Ki Choon;Shin, Jeong Seop;Oh, Mi Rae;Jung, Jeong Sung
    • 한국초지조사료학회지
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    • 제41권3호
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    • pp.189-197
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    • 2021
  • Climate change effects are particularly apparent in many cool-season grasslands in South Korea. Moreover, the probability of climate extremes has intensified and is expected to increase further. In this study, we performed climate change vulnerability assessments in cool-season grasslands based on the analytic hierarchy process method to contribute toward effective decision-making to help reduce grassland damage caused by climate change and extreme weather conditions. In the analytic hierarchy process analysis, vulnerability was found to be influenced in the order of climate exposure (0.575), adaptive capacity (0.283), and sensitivity (0.141). The climate exposure rating value was low in Jeju-do Province and high in Daegu (0.36-0.39) and Incheon (0.33-0.5). The adaptive capacity index showed that grassland compatibility (0.616) is more important than other indicators. The adaptation index of Jeollanam-do Province was higher than that of other regions and relatively low in Gangwon-do Province. In terms of sensitivity, grassland area and unused grassland area were found to affect sensitivity the most with index values of 0.487 and 0.513, respectively. The grassland area rating value was low in Jeju-do and Gangwon-do Province, which had large grassland areas. In terms of vulnerability, that of Jeju-do Province was lower and of Gyeongsangbuk-do Province higher than of other regions. These results suggest that integrating the three aspects of vulnerability (climate exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity) may offer comprehensive and spatially explicit adaptation plans to reduce the impacts of climate change on the cool-season grasslands of South Korea.

Exploring the Complexities of Dams' Impact on Transboundary Flow: A Meta-Analysis of Climate and Basin Factors

  • Abubaker Omer;Hyungjun Kim
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.177-177
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    • 2023
  • The impacts of dams on transboundary flow are complex and challenging to project and manage, given the potential moderating influence of a broad range of anthropogenic and natural factors. This study presents a global meta-analysis of 168 studies that examines the effect magnitude of dams on downstream seasonal, annual flow, and hydrological extremes risk on 39 hotspot transboundary river basins. The study also evaluates the impact of 13 factors, such as climate, basin characteristics, dams' design and types, level of transboundary cooperation, and socioeconomic indicators, on the heterogeneity of outcomes. The findings reveal that moderators significantly influence the impact of dams on downstream flow, leading to considerable heterogeneity in outcomes. Transboundary cooperation emerges as the key factor that determines the severity of dams' effect on both dry and wet season's flows at a significance level of 0.01 to 0.05, respectively. Specifically, the presence of water-supply and irrigation dams has a significant (0.01) moderating effect on dry-season flow across basins with high transboundary cooperation. In contrast, for wet-season flow, the basin's vulnerability to climate extremes is associated with a large negative effect size. The various moderators have varying degrees of influence on the heterogeneity of outcomes, with the aridity index, population density, GDP, and risk level of hydro-political tension being the most significant factors for dry-season flow, and the risk level of hydro-political tension and basin vulnerability to climate extremes being the most significant for wet-season flow. The results suggest that transboundary cooperation is crucial for managing the impacts of dams on downstream flow, and that various other factors, such as climate, basin characteristics, and socioeconomic indicators, have significant moderating effects on the outcomes. Thus, context-specific approaches are necessary when predicting and managing the impacts of dams on transboundary flow.

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HAZARD ASSESSMENT OF CURRENT STATE OF VEGETATION DEGRADATION USING GIS, A CASE STUDY: SADRA REGION, IRAN

  • Masoudi, Masoud;Amiri, E.
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.49-56
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    • 2013
  • The entire land of Southern Iran faces problems arising out of various types of land degradation of which vegetation degradation forms one of the major types. The present work introduces a model developed for assessing the current status of hazard of vegetation degradation using Geographic Information System (GIS). This kind of assessment differs from those assessments based on vulnerability or potential hazard assessments. The Sadra watershed which covers the upper reaches of Marharlu basin, Fars Province, has been chosen for a hazard assessment of this type of degradation. The different kinds of data for indicators of current status of vegetation degradation were gathered from collecting of field data and also records of the governmental offices of Iran. Taking into consideration three indicators of current status of vegetation degradation the model identifies areas with different hazard classes. By fixing the thresholds of severity classes of the three indicators including per cent of vegetation cover, biomass production and ratio of actual biomass to potential biomass production, a hazard map for each indicator was first prepared in GIS. The final hazard map of current status of vegetation degradation was prepared by intersecting three hazards in the GIS. Results show areas under severe hazard class have been found to be widespread (89 %) while areas under moderate and very severe hazard classes have been found less extensive in the Sadra watershed. The preparation of hazard maps based on the GIS analysis of these indicators will be helpful for prioritizing the areas to initiate remedial measures.

기후변화를 고려한 홍수취약성지표의 개발 (Development of Flood Vulnerability Index Considering Climate Change)

  • 손민우;성진영;정은성;전경수
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제44권3호
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    • pp.231-248
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구에서는 기후변화 요소를 반영하여 홍수취약성지표 (Flood Vulnerability Index, FVI)를 개발하였고 이를 북한강 유역의 6개 중권역에 적용하였다. 기후변화 요소를 고려하기 위해 IPCC의 CGCM3 모형의 A1B와 A2 시나리오를 이용하였고 일단위로 축소화하기 위해 SDSM (Statistical Downscaling Model) 모형을 이용하였다. 홍수취약성 인자를 선정하기 위해 지속가능성 평가모형인 추진력-압력-상태-영향-반응 (Driver-Pressure-State-Impact-Response, DPSIR) 모형을 이용하였고 기후변화로 인한 홍수유출의 특성분석은 연속유출모의모형인 HSPF (Hydrological Simulation Program-Fortran)를 이용하였다. 본 연구에서 개발된 홍수취약성지수는 유역의 현상태 및 기후변화의 영향으로 인한 잠재적 취약성을 정량적인 하나의 지수로 간결하게 표현할 수 있어서 장기 수자원 및 유역관리 정책수립에 사용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

미세먼지 배출원과 취약계층 분포 추정을 통한 미세먼지 저감 녹지 입지 선정 연구 - 서울시 성동구를 대상으로 - (A Study on Green Space Location Selection to Reduce Particulate Matter by Projecting Distributions of Emission Source and Vulnerable Groups - focusing on Seongdong-gu, Seoul -)

  • 신예은;박진실;김수연;이상우;안경진
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.53-68
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    • 2021
  • The study aims to propose a locating method of green space for reducing Particulate Matter (PM) in ambient air in conjunction with its source traces and vulnerable groups. In order to carry out the aims and purposes, a literature review was conducted to derive indicators of vulnerable area to PM. Based on the developed indicators, the vulnerable areas and green spaces creation strategies for each cluster were developed for the case of Seongdong-gu, Seoul. As a result, six indicators for vulnerability analysis were came out including the vulnerable groups (children's facilities, old people's facilities), emission sources (air pollutant emission workplaces, roads), and environmental indicators (particulate matter concentration, NDVI). According to the six selected indicators, the target area was divided into 39 hexagons and analyzed to result the most vulnerable areas to particulate matter. As a result of comprehensive vulnerability analysis, the Seongsu-dong area was found to be the most vulnerable to particulate matter, and 5 clusters were derived through k-means cluster analysis. Cluster 1 was analyzed as areas that most vulnerable to particulate matter as a result of the comprehensive analysis, therefore urgent need to create green spaces to reduce particulate matter. Cluster 2 was areas that mostly belonged to the Han River. Cluster 3 corresponds to the largest number of hexagons, and since many vulnerable groups are distributed, it was analyzed as a cluster that required the creation of a green spaces to reduce particulate matter, focusing on facilities for vulnerable groups. Three hexagons are included in cluster 4, and the cluster has many roads and lacks vegetation in common. Cluster 5 has a lot of green spaces and is generally distributed with fewer vulnerable groups and emission sources; however, it has a high level of particulate matter concentration. In a situation where various green spaces creation projects for reducing particulate are being implemented, it is necessary to consider the vulnerable groups and emission sources and to present green space creation strategies for each space characteristic in order to increase the effectiveness of such projects. Therefore, this study is regarded as meaningful in suggesting a method for selecting a green area for reducing PM.

통합 재해지도 작성 기법 개발(II) : 리스크 분석을 적용한 재해지도 작성 (Development of integrated disaster mapping method (II) : disaster mapping with risk analysis)

  • 박준형;김병현
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제55권1호
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    • pp.85-97
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구에서는 위험도를 나타내는 침수예상도와 취약도를 나타내는 재해취약지수를 동시에 고려한 통합 리스크 지도 작성 방법을 제안하였다. 이 방법은 한 장의 지도에 다양하고 구체적인 정보를 제공함으로서, 대피계획을 동반한 실제 상황에서 활용 가능한 새로운 재해지도를 작성하였다. 재해지도에 인문·사회·경제적인 요소를 고려하기 위해, 연구유역을 노출성, 취약성, 대응성, 복구성 인자로 구분하였다. 그리고 각각의 인자들에 대한 7가지 지표를 GIS 도구를 이용하여 추출하였다. 각 지표별로 추출된 자료를 1~5등급으로 등급화 하였으며, 각 등급화된 자료를 재해취약지수로 선정하여 통합 리스크 분석 및 인자별 리스크 지도 작성에 활용하였다. 침수예상도와 재해취약지수 인자를 중첩한 인자별 리스크 지도는 인구, 자산, 건물 등을 포함한 지역별 상황을 반영하여 대피계획 수립에 활용하였다. 또한, 서로 다른 단위와 성질을 가진 재해취약지수 인자들의 표준화를 통해 하나의 취약도로 환산하고, 위험도를 동시에 고려한 통합 리스크 분석 방안도 제안하였다. 이는 재해지도 작성시 침수 위험도와 사회·인문·경제적인 요인을 동시에 고려한 구체적이고 다양한 정보를 제공할 수 있어 재해에 대한 대비·대응·복구 계획 수립에 기여할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

AHP 기법을 이용한 농촌 커뮤니티 리질리언스 지표 도출 연구 (Assessing Community Resilience in Rural Regions Using the Analytic Hierarchy Process Method)

  • 김은솔;이재호
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.37-47
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to introduce the concept of community resilience to rural society and build an index suitable for the reality of rural areas. Furthermore, by calculating the importance of evaluation factors, it was attempted to present priorities and alternatives for each evaluation factor. By stratifying the derived indicators, a survey was conducted targeting 20 researchers, practitioners, and public officials, three groups of experts working in rural areas who were well aware of the realities and problems of rural areas. In the survey, a pairwise comparison was performed to compare factors 1:1 to calculate the importance, and for rational and consistent decision-making, decisions were made in the 9-grade section. Using the collected data, consistency analysis that can evaluate reliability in the decision-making process and the relative weight of evaluation factors were calculated through AHP analysis. As a result of the analysis, as a result of examining the priority of final importance by summarizing the importance of all evaluation factors, 'Income creation using resources' > 'Population Characteristics' > 'Tolerance' > 'External Support' > 'Social Accessibility' > 'Physical Accessibility' > 'Community Competence' > 'Infrastructure' > 'Leader Competence' > 'Natural Environment' was derived in the order. In the study dealing with urban community resilience indicators, social aspects such as citizen participation, public-private cooperation, and governance were presented as the most important requirements, but this study differs in that the 'income creation' factor is derived as the most important factor. This can be seen through the change in the income difference between rural and urban areas. The income structure of rural areas has changed rapidly, and it is now reaching a very poor level, so it is necessary to prepare alternatives to 'income creation' in the case of rural areas. Unlike urban indicators, 'population characteristics' and 'tolerance' were also derived as important indicators of rural society. However, there are currently no alternatives to supplement the vulnerability by strengthening the resilience of rural communities. Based on the priority indicators derived from the study, we tried to suggest alternatives necessary for rural continuity in the future so that they can be supplemented step by step.

한국의 원양어업 IUU어업지수 개선방안 연구 (A study on improving the IUU Fishing Index of Korea's distant water fisheries)

  • 김장근;권유정;이해원;김두남;이재봉
    • 수산해양기술연구
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    • 제59권4호
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    • pp.362-376
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    • 2023
  • The IUU Fishing Index is composed of 40 indicators. These indicators were grouped by state responsibilities (flag, coastal, port, and general including market) defined in the FAO IPOA-IUU (2001) and then by type into vulnerability, prevalence, and response. A total of 152 coastal nations was surveyed. Korea's total combined IUU Fishing Index was 2.49 in 2019 and 2.91 in 2021, indicating a drop in the ranking to the third worst out of 152 countries followed by China and Russia in 2021. The indicators that increased the IUU fishing risk in 2021 compared to 2019 included seven indicators of prevalence and two indicators of response while those reducing the risk included one prevalence and one response indicator. The IUU Fishing Index revealed that many fisheries observers and monitoring, control and surveillance (MCS) practitioners active in the waters of RFMOs jurisdiction where Korean distant water vessels operate have mentioned concerns about the compliance with RFMO conservation measures or fishing practices. It suggested that strengthening management intervention in the fishing sector is needed. The primary tool for management is the MCS system. Given the logistical difficulty of oversight from land, air and at-sea, there is a need to enhance MCS strategies through logbook data, at-sea observer and electronic monitoring program. It also suggested that MSC fisheries certification and fisheries improvement projects, which are widely used for improving fishing sector performance, could contribute to the eradication of IUU fishing and the promotion of sustainable distant water fisheries.

호소의 취약성 평가 (Lake Vulnerability Assessment)

  • 김응석;윤기용;이승현
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제15권11호
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    • pp.6877-6883
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    • 2014
  • 지속적인 사회발전으로 인하여 호소의 수질오염이 악화되고 있다. 호소의 특성 및 유역의 전반적인 측면에서 수질오염에 따른 호소의 취약성을 평가하기 위해, 본 논문에서는 기후변화 취약성 평가를 이용하여 호소 취약성-탄력성지수(LVRI)를 산정하였다. 금강 수계의 6개 호소에 대하여 취약성평가로 분류되는 3개의 주요 인자인 노출, 민감도, 적응능력을 대표하는 총 11개 세부평가항목들은 선정하였다. 또한, 엔트로피(Entropy) 방법에 의한 가중치를 산정하여 호소 취약성-탄력지수를 산정하였다. 제안된 호소의 취약성 평가방안의 활용성 검토를 위해 가중치 적용 유 무에 따른 취약성 우선순위를 비교 검토하였다. 본 논문에서 선정된 호소의 취약성 우선순위는 장지적인 수질분석 및 수질관리에 도움이 될 것으로 판단된다.

SWMM 모형을 활용한 평야부 관개효율 및 용수공급 취약성 평가 (Assessment of Irrigation Efficiency and Water Supply Vulnerability Using SWMM)

  • 신지현;남원호;방나경;김한중;안현욱;이광야
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제62권6호
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    • pp.73-83
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    • 2020
  • Agricultural drought is a natural phenomenon that is difficult to observe and quantitatively express, and agricultural water use is high and usage patterns are diverse, so even if there is a lack of rainfall. The frequency and severity of agricultural drought are increased during the irrigation period where the demand for agricultural water is generated, and reasonable and efficient management of agricultural water for stable water supply is required. As one method to solve the water shortage of agricultural water in an unstructured method, it is necessary to analyze the appropriate supply amount and supply method through simulation from the intake works to the canals organization and paddy field. In this study, irrigation efficiency was analyzed for irrigation systems from April to September over the past three years from the Musu Reservoir located in Jincheon-gun, Chungcheongbuk-do and Pungjeon Reservoir located in Seosan-si, Chungcheongnam-do. SWMM (Storm Water Management Model) was used to collect agricultural water, and irrigation efficiency analysis was conducted using adequacy indicators, and water supply vulnerability. The results of the agricultural water distribution simulation, irrigation efficiency and water supply vulnerability assessment are thought to help the overall understanding of the agricultural water supply and the efficient water management through preliminary analysis of the methods of agricultural water supply in case of drought events.