• Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
• /
• v.30 no.1
• /
• pp.1-13
• /
• 2024

There is a serious risk of regional extinction due to low birth rate and aging in Korea. Accordingly, the regional extinction index is applied to diagnose the extinction status of cities, counties, and districts. However, when the regional extinction index was applied to rural villages, most villages were found to be at 'high risk of extinction'. There is no differentiation in the level of extinction of rural villages. Therefore, a village extinction index was developed to apply to rural villages. This study applies and compares the existing regional extinction index and the newly developed village extinction index to rural villages. The purpose is to propose an index that can better diagnose the extinction of rural villages. As a research method, the regional extinction index and village extinction index are applied to all villages in Haengjeong-ri villages in South Chungcheong Province. And the adequacy of the index suitable for rural villages is diagnosed. For this purpose, ➂ stage distribution for each two indices, ➂ demographic aspect diagnosis, and ➂ resident awareness survey were analyzed. When the village extinction index was used, the discrimination problems seen in the regional extinction index were overcome. As a result of the demographic analysis, the regional extinction index showed that villages with a population of 200 or more were at 'high risk of extinction', but the village extinction index was derived as 'high risk of extinction' for villages with underpopulated populations. Lastly, the results of the residents' awareness survey also showed that the village extinction index was well reflected in the actual situation of rural villages when applied. When the village extinction index was applied to rural villages rather than the regional extinction index, it was found to reflect the actual state of rural extinction better.

• Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
• /
• v.29 no.3
• /
• pp.15-24
• /
• 2023

The sense of crisis regarding regional extinction due to low birth rates and an aging population is expanding. Generally, the local extinction index is used to analyze local extinction. However, it is challenging to diagnose the actual situation of village extinction risk in rural areas, even though the regional extinction index can be analyzed in units such as Si-Gun-Gu and Eup-Myeon-Dong. This difficulty arises because the regional extinction index solely relies on natural population growth indicators (elderly population and female population aged 20-39). Therefore, the purpose of this study is to develop a village extinction index that can identify the disappearance of rural villages. Additionally, the aim is to apply the developed indicators to the village (administrative ri) spatial unit. The existing regional extinction index used only mortality-related indicators as factors for natural population decline and fertility-related indicators as factors for natural population growth. However, the developed village extinction index included not only the factors of natural population change but also incorporated social population growth factors and factors related to the pace of village extinction. This is the key difference between the developed village extinction index and the existing regional extinction index. In this study, the indicators of "total population," "number of young women aged 20-44," "number of elderly population aged 70 or older," and "number of incoming population" were selected to develop a village extinction index. The village extinction index was developed by incorporating both natural population growth indicators and social population growth indicators. The developed village extinction index was applied to administrative villages. This research is expected to provide a more accurate understanding of the current state of rural villages facing extinction.

• Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
• /
• v.27 no.1
• /
• pp.103-116
• /
• 2021

The purpose of this study is to analyze and diagnose the actual state of extinction risk in rural villages by analyzing time series population characteristics and extinction risk index of rural villages(Haengjeong-ri). As a research method, a time series analysis was performed on the 'population over 65' and the 'female population aged 20 to 39' related to the local extinction index. In addition, the disappearance of Haengjeong-ri village was analyzed using the existing local extinction index. For the study, Haengjeong-ri village-level GIS spatial data was constructed, and population attribute data in 2010, 2015, and 2020 were constructed. In order to derive implications, the change of the 'high risk of extinction 'village in the 2020 local extinction index, the distribution of the population of 'high risk of extinction' villages by three years, the population analysis of 'high risk of extinction' villages continuously from 2010 to 2020, and 'high risk of extinction' An analysis of the increase and decrease of the population of the village and the change of the local extinction index of Haengjeong-ri, where the city, county, and towns are located were analyzed. As a result of the analysis of this study, it was found that the number of villages with an aging of more than 50% increased by 2 to 3 times over 10 years. As a result of the analysis of the local extinction index, in 2010, the southwestern and central regions of South Chungcheongnam-do were high-risk extinction areas, but in 2020, all cities except Cheonan and Asan were converted to high risk extinction areas. Research has shown that Chungnam is facing a serious aging and village extinction crisis, and since the disappearance of villages gradually spreads, an initial response policy is needed. This result will be the same not only in Chungcheongnam-do but also in other rural villages. Therefore, in the case of rural villages, it is necessary to analyze and diagnose the Haengjeong-ri village unit, not the Eup-Myeon unit, and a response policy through diagnosis must be prepared urgently.

• The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
• /
• v.51 no.1
• /
• pp.67-79
• /
• 2020

The purpose of this study is to propose a policy improvement plan by analysis of the extinction risk factors reflecting the specificity of fishing villages, fishing village support policies, and settlement conditions of fishing villages as one of the solutions to the immediate problem of fishing village extinction. The results of the study show the higher the level of number of fishing ports, number of returning rural population, and housing diffusion rate, the dependent variable extinction risk index was a positive effect while vacant house ratio and aged house ratio was analyzed to be in was a negative (-) relationship with the dependent variable.The policy implications through this study were to prepare an effective policy to reduce the risk of extinction, to improve urgent settlement conditions, and to prepare a condition to convert returning rural population into fishery population.

• The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
• /
• v.54 no.1
• /
• pp.023-036
• /
• 2023

Global food prices have skyrocketed due to international uncertainties such as COVID-19 and the Russian-Ukrainian War. In this context, the importance of rural areas as a source of food production is also rapidly increasing. However, the issue of regional extinction is emerging as Korea faces the world's lowest fertility rate and fastest aging population. Also, rural areas are losing their population more rapidly than large cities. Therefore, this study aims to analyze the factors that can encourage the influx of fishermen to prevent the disappearance of these fishing villages. As a result of the analysis, in order to prevent the disappearance of fishing villages, among the infrastructure, natural environment, and residential environment variables, the ratio of aged housing related to quality of life, culture and amenities coefficients were found to have a greater impact than other variables. Based on these results, it is judged that it is necessary to establish a sufficient level of infrastructure in fishing villages and to prioritize policies for improving the residential environment.

• Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
• /
• v.22 no.3
• /
• pp.119-129
• /
• 2016

The aim of this study is to suggest the quantitative standard of a marginal village. For the purpose, the study selected 43 villages with the population of 50 or less, the classification of a marginal village in accordance with advanced research and 47 villages with the population over 50 in Buyeo-gun region. The common reason of occurrence of a marginal village suggested by advanced research is a characteristic of a village or decline and extinction of a village rather than a simple index of population or aging rate. Therefore, the study assumed that decline of functions of the village would be caused by decline a function of communities consisting of the villagers. The study then assumed that the relatively low or 0 number or rate of participants would result in community functions. The study conducted t-test on basis of population and aging rate and an analysis to find the range with relatively large differences in the number of communities, participants and the rate of the participants, etc. The result showed that the community function began to decline when the population was less than 60~70 and the aging rate over 75%~85%. As the decline of functions of communities began in population of 70, the critical point was met when the population was 40 or less. With population of 40 or less, the young and the old group communities became extinct or showed rapid decrease in the number of participants. The study assumed that decline of functions of a village, a reason of occurrence of a marginal village would be decline of functions of communities, but there was no further analysis on decline or extinction of a village with population of 40 or less. There shall be further studies about whether a village of population of 40 or less is led to decline of a function or extinction of village communities.

• Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
• /
• v.48 no.2
• /
• pp.65-77
• /
• 2018

It is very important to understand the factors affecting the occurrence of vacant houses in research on them. The purpose of this study is to analyze the factors affecting the rural vacancy occurrence. This study set 121 research areas and selected eight independent variables (Aged house rate, housing transaction rate, house diffusion ratio, local extinction index, net migration rate, regional aging index, the ratio of the number of employees to population and financial independence rate) and one dependent variable (vacant house rate). As a result of the study, first, both Model 1 for the entire general agricultural fishing village area and Model 2 for the county (gun) area were statistically significant, there was no problem with the independence of residual. Second, local extinction index and aged house rate had a statistically significant positive (+) relationship in both Model 1 and Model 2. Third, diffusion ratio of house had a statistically significant positive (+) relationship only in Model 1, and housing transactions rate had a statistically significant negative (-) relationship in Model 2. The implications of the study were drawn as follows: First, the increase in the house diffusion ratio without growth in households and population suggests the increase of the probability of the vacancy occurrence in the area, and the higher the aged house rate, the higher the probability of the vacancy occurrence. Second, for the revitalization of housing transactions, it is necessary to have an investment inflow in the area for mid- to long-term development. Third, local extinction index has a significant relationship with vacant house rate, it is necessary to introduce a local revitalization policy from a long-term perspective for the permanence of the area.