• Title/Summary/Keyword: variational model

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A Travel Time Prediction Model under Incidents (돌발상황하의 교통망 통행시간 예측모형)

  • Jang, Won-Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 2011
  • Traditionally, a dynamic network model is considered as a tool for solving real-time traffic problems. One of useful and practical ways of using such models is to use it to produce and disseminate forecast travel time information so that the travelers can switch their routes from congested to less-congested or uncongested, which can enhance the performance of the network. This approach seems to be promising when the traffic congestion is severe, especially when sudden incidents happen. A consideration that should be given in implementing this method is that travel time information may affect the future traffic condition itself, creating undesirable side effects such as the over-reaction problem. Furthermore incorrect forecast travel time can make the information unreliable. In this paper, a network-wide travel time prediction model under incidents is developed. The model assumes that all drivers have access to detailed traffic information through personalized in-vehicle devices such as car navigation systems. Drivers are assumed to make their own travel choice based on the travel time information provided. A route-based stochastic variational inequality is formulated, which is used as a basic model for the travel time prediction. A diversion function is introduced to account for the motorists' willingness to divert. An inverse function of the diversion curve is derived to develop a variational inequality formulation for the travel time prediction model. Computational results illustrate the characteristics of the proposed model.

Point Set Denoising Using a Variational Bayesian Method (변분 베이지안 방법을 이용한 점집합의 오차제거)

  • Yoon, Min-Cheol;Ivrissimtzis, Ioannis;Lee, Seung-Yong
    • Journal of KIISE:Computing Practices and Letters
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.527-531
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    • 2008
  • For statistical modeling, the model parameters are usually estimated by maximizing a probability measure, such as the likelihood or the posterior. In contrast, a variational Bayesian method treats the parameters of a model as probability distributions and computes optimal distributions for them rather than values. It has been shown that this approach effectively avoids the overfitting problem, which is common with other parameter optimization methods. This paper applies a variational Bayesian technique to surface fitting for height field data. Then, we propose point cloud denoising based on the basic surface fitting technique. Validation experiments and further tests with scan data verify the robustness of the proposed method.

Pedestrian-Based Variational Bayesian Self-Calibration of Surveillance Cameras (보행자 기반의 변분 베이지안 감시 카메라 자가 보정)

  • Yim, Jong-Bin
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.23 no.9
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    • pp.1060-1069
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    • 2019
  • Pedestrian-based camera self-calibration methods are suitable for video surveillance systems since they do not require complex calibration devices or procedures. However, using arbitrary pedestrians as calibration targets may result in poor calibration accuracy due to the unknown height of each pedestrian. To solve this problem in the real surveillance environments, this paper proposes a novel Bayesian approach. By assuming known statistics on the height of pedestrians, we construct a probabilistic model that takes into account uncertainties in both the foot/head locations and the pedestrian heights, using foot-head homology. Since solving the model directly is infeasible, we use variational Bayesian inference, an approximate inference algorithm. Accordingly, this makes it possible to estimate the height of pedestrians and to obtain accurate camera parameters simultaneously. Experimental results show that the proposed algorithm is robust to noise and provides accurate confidence in the calibration.

Study on Lifelog Anomaly Detection using VAE-based Machine Learning Model (VAE(Variational AutoEncoder) 기반 머신러닝 모델을 활용한 체중 라이프로그 이상탐지에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jiyong;Park, Minseo
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.91-98
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    • 2022
  • Lifelog data continuously collected through a wearable device may contain many outliers, so in order to improve data quality, it is necessary to find and remove outliers. In general, since the number of outliers is less than the number of normal data, a class imbalance problem occurs. To solve this imbalance problem, we propose a method that applies Variational AutoEncoder to outliers. After preprocessing the outlier data with proposed method, it is verified through a number of machine learning models(classification). As a result of verification using body weight data, it was confirmed that the performance was improved in all classification models. Based on the experimental results, when analyzing lifelog body weight data, we propose to apply the LightGBM model with the best performance after preprocessing the data using the outlier processing method proposed in this study.

A Method for Field Based Grey Box Fuzzing with Variational Autoencoder (Variational Autoencoder를 활용한 필드 기반 그레이 박스 퍼징 방법)

  • Lee, Su-rim;Moon, Jong-sub
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.1463-1474
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    • 2018
  • Fuzzing is one of the software testing techniques that find security flaws by inputting invalid values or arbitrary values into the program and various methods have been suggested to increase the efficiency of such fuzzing. In this paper, focusing on the existence of field with high relevance to coverage and software crash, we propose a new method for intensively fuzzing corresponding field part while performing field based fuzzing. In this case, we use a deep learning model called Variational Autoencoder(VAE) to learn the statistical characteristic of input values measured in high coverage and it showed that the coverage of the regenerated files are uniformly higher than that of simple variation. It also showed that new crash could be found by learning the statistical characteristic of the files in which the crash occurred and applying the dropout during the regeneration. Experimental results showed that the coverage is about 10% higher than the files in the queue of the AFL fuzzing tool and in the Hwpviewer binary, we found two new crashes using two crashes that found at the initial fuzzing phase.

Numerical Study on Wind Resources and Forecast Around Coastal Area Applying Inhomogeneous Data to Variational Data Assimilation (비균질 자료의 변분자료동화를 적용한 남서해안 풍력자원평가 및 예측에 관한 수치연구)

  • Park, Soon-Young;Lee, Hwa-Woon;Kim, Dong-Hyeok;Lee, Soon-Hwan
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.19 no.8
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    • pp.983-999
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    • 2010
  • Wind power energy is one of the favorable and fast growing renewable energies. It is most important for exact analysis of wind to evaluate and forecast the wind power energy. The purpose of this study is to improve the performance of numerical atmospheric model by data assimilation over a complex coastal area. The benefit of the profiler is its high temporal resolution and dense observation data at the lower troposphere. Three wind profiler sites used in this study are inhomogeneously situated near south-western coastal area of Korean Peninsula. The method of the data assimilation for using the profiler to the model simulation is the three-dimensional variational data assimilation (3DVAR). The experiment of two cases, with/without assimilation, were conducted for how to effect on model results with wind profiler data. It was found that the assimilated case shows the more reasonable results than the other case compared with vertical observation and surface Automatic Weather Station(AWS) data. Although the effect of sonde data was better than profiler at a higher altitude, the profiler data improves the model performance at lower atmosphere. Comparison with the results of 4 June and 5 June suggests that the efficiency with hourly assimilated profiler data is strongly influenced by synoptic conditions. The reduction rate of Normalized Mean Error(NME), mean bias normalized by averaged wind speed of observation, on 4 June was 28% which was larger than 13% of 5 June. In order to examine the difference in wind power energy, the wind power density(WPD) was calculated and compared.

A Variational Inequality-based Walkability Assessment Model for Measuring Improvement Effect of Transit Oriented Development (TOD) (대중교통중심개발(TOD) 개선효과 진단을 위한 변동부등식기반 보행네트워크 평가모형)

  • Sohn, Jhieon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.259-268
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    • 2016
  • The core strategy of transit oriented development (TOD) is to promote high density mixed land use around railway stations. Case studies in advanced countries show that provision of policies for comprehensive maintenance of pedestrian facilities around railway station spheres is being pursued with efficacy. In spite of the importance placed on integrated pedestrian maintenance, domestic construction of integrated pedestrian infrastructure around railway station spheres lacks direction. Thus, there is a clear need for an evaluation standard that can provide the foundation for judgments on TOD improvement. This research proposes a network model that consolidates the interior of the station as well as its surrounding areas to determine the ease of pedestrian flow for effective TOD evaluation. The model considers the railway station and surrounding areas as an assembled network of pedestrian flow. The path chosen by the pedestrian is defined as the optimal degree of inconvenience, and expands on Wardrop's User Equilibrium (1952). To assess the various circumstances that arise on pedestrian facilities including congestion of the pedestrian pathway, constrained elevator capacity, and wait at the crosswalk, a variational inequality based pedestrian equilibrium distribution model is introduced.

Development of a Three-Dimensional Wind Field Model using the Principle of Variational Method (변분법 원리를 이용한 3차원 바람장 모델 개발)

  • Suh, Kyung-Suk;Kim, Eun-Han;Whang, Won-Tae;Han, Moon-Hee
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.97-108
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    • 2003
  • A three-dimensional wind field model based on the variational technique has been developed for estimating the overall wind patterns over a complex terrain. The three-dimensional elliptic partial differential equations on Cartesian and terrain-following coordinates have been established to obtain the Lagrangian multiplier and the adjusted wind velocity. The simulations were performed to evaluate the variations of the velocity vectors on the hemisphere, half-cylinder, and saddle type obstacles. Also, the wind field model in the terrain-following coordinate has been applied for evaluating the characteristics of wind patterns according to the variations of Gauss precision moduli on the hemispheric topography. The results showed that the horizontal and vertical wind components were strongly governed by the selection of the values of Gauss precision moduli.

Stacking method of thick composite laminates considering interlaminar normal stresses (층간수직응력을 고려한 두꺼운 복합적층판의 적층방법)

  • 김동민;홍창선
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.944-951
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    • 1988
  • Global-Local Laminate Variational Model is utilized to investigate the characteristics of interlaminar stresses in thick composite laminates under uniform axial extension. Various laminates with different fiber orientation and stacking sequences are analyzed to observe the behavior of interlaminar normal stresses. From this result, the interlaminar normal stress distribution along the laminate interfaces is examined and discussed with an existing approximation model. The repeated stacking of Poisson's ratio symmetric sublaminates is found to be the best stacking method of thick composite laminates to reduce the interlaminar normal stresses for the prevention of the free-edge delamination.

Anomaly Detection System in Mechanical Facility Equipment: Using Long Short-Term Memory Variational Autoencoder (LSTM-VAE를 활용한 기계시설물 장치의 이상 탐지 시스템)

  • Seo, Jaehong;Park, Junsung;Yoo, Joonwoo;Park, Heejun
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.581-594
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to compare machine learning models for anomaly detection of mechanical facility equipment and suggest an anomaly detection system for mechanical facility equipment in subway stations. It helps to predict failures and plan the maintenance of facility. Ultimately it aims to improve the quality of facility equipment. Methods: The data collected from Daejeon Metropolitan Rapid Transit Corporation was used in this experiment. The experiment was performed using Python, Scikit-learn, tensorflow 2.0 for preprocessing and machine learning. Also it was conducted in two failure states of the equipment. We compared and analyzed five unsupervised machine learning models focused on model Long Short-Term Memory Variational Autoencoder(LSTM-VAE). Results: In both experiments, change in vibration and current data was observed when there is a defect. When the rotating body failure was happened, the magnitude of vibration has increased but current has decreased. In situation of axis alignment failure, both of vibration and current have increased. In addition, model LSTM-VAE showed superior accuracy than the other four base-line models. Conclusion: According to the results, model LSTM-VAE showed outstanding performance with more than 97% of accuracy in the experiments. Thus, the quality of mechanical facility equipment will be improved if the proposed anomaly detection system is established with this model used.