• Title/Summary/Keyword: urban scenario

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Application of High Resolution Land Use Data on the Possibility to Mitigate Urban Thermal Environment (고해상도 지표자료를 이용한 도시 열환경 완화효과 가능성에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Kwi-Ok;Lee, Hyun-Ju;Lee, Hwa-Woon
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.423-434
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    • 2009
  • In recent years, the urban thermal environment has become worse, such as days on which the temperature goes above $30^{\circ}C$, sultry nights and heat stroke increase, due to the changes in terrestrial cover such as concrete and asphalt and increased anthropogenic heat emission accompanied by artificial structure. The land use type is an important determinant to near-surface air temperature. Due to these reasons we need to understand and improve the urban thermal environment. In this study, the fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University-National Center for Atmospheric Research Mesoscale Model(MMS) was applied to the metropolitan of Daegu area in order to investigate the influence of land cover changes and urban modifications increase of Albedo to the surface energy budget on the simulated near-surface air temperature and wind speed. The single urban category in existing 24-category U.S. Geological survey land cover classification used in MM5 was divided into 6 classes to account for heterogeneity of urban land cover. As a result of the numerical simulation intended for the metropolitan of Daegu assumed the increase of Albedo of roofs, buildings, or roads, the increase of Albedo (Cool scenario)can make decrease radiation effect of surface, so that it caused drops in ambient air temperature from 0.2 to 0.3 on the average during the daylight hours and smaller (or near-zero) decrease during the night. The Sensible heat flux and Wind velocity is decreased. Modeling studies suggest that increased surface albedo in urban area can reduce surface and air temperatures near the ground and affect related meteorological parameters such as winds, surface air temperature and sensible heat flux.

Open Space Spacial Pattern Analysis from the Perspective of Urban Heat Mitigation (도시 열저감 관점에서의 오픈스페이스 토지이용 공간패턴분석)

  • Sangjun Kang
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.155-163
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    • 2024
  • The purpose is to explore the meaning of the open space land use space pattern from the perspective of urban heat reduction using the land-use scenario. The employed methods are as follows: (1) to calculate the cooling capacity Index for each of five land use scenarios, using the InVEST Urban Cooling Model, (2) to calculate open space entropy & morphological spatial pattern for each land use scenario, using the Guidos Spatial Pattern Toolbox, and (3) to perform a Spearman rank correlation analysis between the InVEST and Guidos results. It is found that the rank correlation is moderate between the cooling capacity Index and the open space area ratio (rho=0.50). However, other relations are low. It is observed that only the total amount of open space is likely to have a meaning from the perspective of urban heat reduction, and that other open space location spatial patterns may not have much meaning from the perspective of urban thermal environment management.

Analysis of the Effects of Bathymetry Data on Hydraulic Results - Daecheong Reservoir - (저수지 모델의 지형정보 엽력자료가 수리결과에 미치는 영향 분석 - 대청호를 대상으로 -)

  • Lee, Jae-Yil;Seo, Se-Deok;Ha, Sung-Ryong
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.229-234
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    • 2009
  • A lot of research on the application of GIS has been conducted in the field of water quality management. The function of a geometric data acquisition for reservoir and river models, however, is not enough to satisfy multiuser' convenience. CE-QUAL-W2 is a two-dimensional(2D) longitudinal/vertical hydrodynamic and water quality model for surface water bodies, modeling eutrophication processes such as temperature-nutrient-algae and sediment relationships. The purpose of this study is to analyzing which bathymetry information affects hydraulic results. There are consisted of three scenarios under consideration. The first scenario takes into account only tribatary type data such as Heoin and Okchen river. The second scenario, Heoin river constructs to tributary and Okchen river constructs by branch. Last scenario constructs Heoin and Okchen river by branch. The RMSE error results for the first, second and third scenarios are 0.61, 0.36 and 0.28 respectively.

A Prediction and Analysis for Functional Change of Ecosystem in South Korea (생태계 용역가치를 이용한 대한민국 생태계의 기능적 변화 예측 및 분석)

  • Kim, Jin-Soo;Park, So-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.114-128
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    • 2013
  • Rapid industrialization and economic growth have led to serious problems including reduced open space, environmental degradation, traffic congestion, and urban sprawl. These problems have been exacerbated by the absence of effective conservation and governance, and have resulted in various social conflicts. In response to these challenges, many scholar and government hope to achieve sustainable development through the establishment and management of environment-friendly planning. For this purpose, we would like to analyze functional change for ecosystem by future land-use/cover changes in South Korea. Toward this goal, we predicted land-use/cover changes from 2010 to 2060 using the future population of Statistics Korea and urban growth probability map created by logistic regression analysis and analyzed ecosystem service value using costanza's coefficient. In the case of scenario 1, ecosystem service value represented 6,783~7,092 million USD. In the case of scenario 2, ecosystem represented 6,775~7,089 million USD, 2.9~7.6 million USD decreased compared by scenario 1. This was the result of area reduction for farmland and wetland which have high environmental value relatively according to urban growth by development point of view. The results of this analysis indicate that environmentally sustainable systems and urban development must be applied to achieve sustainable development and environmental protection. Quantitative analysis of environmental values in accordance with environmental policy can help inform the decisions of policy makers and urban developers. Furthermore, forecasting urban growth based on future demand will provide more precise predictive analysis.

Deterministic Optimal Simulation of Spatial Growth Form for Urbanized Area Using CA Model and Simplified WSM-AHP Techniques (CA기법과 WSM-AHP 간편법을 이용한 도시확산의 결정론적 최적 모의)

  • Kim, Dae-Sik
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2008
  • This study aims to analyze the sensitivity of WSM(weighted scenario method)-AHP method according to variation of nonlinear exponent for accessibility criteria, which are used to make urbanization potential maps with the optimal weighting value for multiple criteria in grid-based GIS technique. Besides this study tried to develop WSM-AHP2 which is simplified by using rank of the potential value for each scenario. The two methods were applied to the test area, Suwon city located south area of Seoul, with time series land-use maps of 1986 and 1996. The evaluation system of urbanization potential have 7 criteria including 6 accessibility criteria. The results of WSM-AHP2, the optimal weighting values and their corresponding potential maps, have almost similar with those of WSM-AHP. In the application of CA(cellular automata) model for expansion of urbanized area using the three potential maps by WSM-AHP, WSM-AHP2, and specialists's AHP evaluation, it also showed that the accuracy of simulation for actual urban area is the highest in the potential map of WSM-AHP, followed by WSM-AHP2 and specialists's AHP evaluation. From the results of this study, WSM-AHP and simplified WSM-AHP2 will be used to generate the optimal potential maps for land-use planning in urban fringe area.

Emergency Evacuation Scenario Study of Urban Metro Vehicle Running on Elevated Guideway (도시철도차량의 고가선로 비상대피 시나리오 분석)

  • Kim, Young-Sang;Maeng, Hee-Young;Wang, Jong-Bae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.117-124
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    • 2012
  • There have been recently introduced new types of urban metro vehicles called LRT (Light Rail Transit) running on elevated guideway such as Uijeongbu VAL(which stands for V$\acute{e}$hicule Automatique L$\acute{e}$ger: Automatic Light Rail Vehicle) system, Yong-In LIM(Linear Induction Motor) system, Incheon international airport MAGLEV(Magnetic Levitated Vehicle) system and Daegu monorail system. Most of accidents by the vehicles are bound to happen on elevated guideway. Therefore, it is of vital importance to analyze hazards related to vehicles running on elevated guideway and study emergency evacuation scenarios applicable in case of accidents on elevated guideway so as to secure the safety of the new types of urban metro vehicles. In this study, FTA(Fault Tree Analysis) model was developed to identify all possible hazards, and all possible evacuation scenarios were studied. It was also confirmed that each hazard can be corresponded to one or more evacuation scenarios. This result shows that passengers can be evacuated according to one of the scenarios identified in this study in case of an accident of "Train Stranded on Elevated Guideway".

Suggestions on the Selection Method of Priority Monitoring Sites for Hazardous Air Pollutants in Megacities (유해대기오염물질 모니터링을 위한 대도시 우선순위 측정지점 선정기법 제안)

  • Kwon, Hye-Ok;Kim, Seong-Joon;Kim, Yong Pyo;Kim, Sang-Kyun;Hong, Ji-Hyung;Choi, Sung-Deuk
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.544-553
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    • 2017
  • There is an overall guideline of the installation of air quality monitoring stations in Korea, but specified steps for the selection of monitoring sites for hazardous air pollutants(HAPs) are not provided. In this study, we proposed a systematic method for the selection of monitoring sites for HAPs using geographic information system (GIS). As a case study, the Seoul metropolitan area (Seoul, Incheon, and Gyeonggi Province) was chosen, and 15 factors including population, vehicle registration, and emission data were compiled for each grid cell ($7km{\times}7km$). The number of factors above the top 30% of individual data for each grid cell was used to select priority monitoring sites for HAPs. In addition, several background sites were added for data comparison and source identification. Three scenarios were suggested: Scenario 1 with 7 sites, Scenario 2 with 17 sites, and Scenario 3 with 30 sites. This proposal is not the final result for an intensive monitoring program, but it is an example of method development for selecting appropriate sampling sites. These results can be applied not only to HAPs monitoring in megacities but also to the national HAPs monitoring network.

Evaluation and Application of CLUE-S Model for Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Future Land use Change in Total Water Pollution Load Management System (오염총량관리제의 시공간적 미래 토지이용 변화분석을 위한 CLUE-S 모델의 적용 및 평가)

  • Ryu, Jichul;Ahn, Ki Hong;Han, Mideok;Hwang, Hasun;Choi, Jaewan;Kim, Yong Seok;Lim, Kyoung Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.418-428
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to predict the spatio-temporal changes in land uses and to evaluate land-based pollutant loads in the future under Total Water Pollution Load Management System using CLUE-S model. For these ends, sensitive parameters of conversion elasticities in CLUE-S model were calibrated and these calibrated parameters of conversion elasticities, level II land cover map of year 2009, and 7 driving factors of land use changes were used in predicting future land uses in 2002 with two scenarios(Scenario 1: non area restriction, Scenario 2: area restriction). This projected land use map of 2020 was used to estimate land-based pollutant loads. It was expected that urban areas will increase in 2020 from both scenarios 1 and 2. In Scenario 1, urban areas are expected to increase within greenbelt areas and deforest would be expected. Under Scenario 2, these phenomena were not expected. Also the results of estimation of BOD and TP pollutant loads, the BOD difference between scenarios 1 and 2 was 719 kg/day in urban areas and TP difference was 17.60 kg/day in urban areas. As shown in this study, it was found that the CLUE-S model can be useful in future pollutant load estimations because of its capability of projecting future land uses considering various socio-economic driving factors and area-restriction factors, compared with conventionally used land use prediction model.

Economic Analysis of the Donghae-Bukppuseon Railway (동해북부선 철도의 경제적 효과)

  • Kim, Sun-Ju
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.15-26
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzes the Domestic Economic Ripple Effect (DERE) of the Donghae-Bukpuseon Railway (DBR). Input-Output Analysis and Scenario Analysis are employed. First, the future demand is approximately 6.86 billion people, 1.4 billion tons of logistics, and future forecast production is 1.2 trillion won for passengers, and 0.15 trillion won for logistics. Second, the production inducement (PI) coefficient of the railway industry is 2.080, the value-added inducement (VAI) coefficient is 0.680, the import inducement (II) coefficient is 0.32 and the employment inducement (EI) coefficient is 6.45. Third, for the DERE, PI is 2.846 trillion won, VAI is 0.939 trillion won, II is 0.446 trillion won, and EI is 8,737 people/1 billion won. Fourth, PI is approximately 2.8 trillion won, and the payback period is 35 years. Scenario 1 (a 50% increase in the demand for tourism) takes approximately 27 years, Scenario 2 (an 100% increase), 20 years, and Scenario3 (an 150% increase), 16 years. The successful way of the DBR is to enlarge the linkage effect of trans-railways for which international cooperation and agreements are needed. Also, even if the DBR is isolated due to worsening inter-Korea relations, the development of tourism resources is important for public investment feasibility.

A Study on the Urban Heat Simulation Model Incorporating the Climate Changes (기후변화가 반영된 도시 열환경 시뮬레이션 모델의 연구)

  • Kang, Jonghwa;Kim, Wansoo;Yun, Jeongim;Lee, Joosung;Kim, Seogcheol
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.697-707
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    • 2018
  • A fast running model comprising the climate change effects is proposed for urban heat environment simulations so as to be used in urban heat island studies and/or the urban planning practices. By combining Hot City Model, a high resolution urban temperature prediction model utilizing the Lagrangian particle tracing technique, and the numerical weather simulation data which are constructed up to year of 2100 under the climate change scenarios, an efficient model is constructed for simulating the future urban heat environments. It is applicable to whole city as well as to a small block area of an urban region, with the computation time being relatively short, requiring the practically manageable amount of the computational resources. The heat environments of the entire metropolitan Seoul area in South Korea are investigated with the aid of the model for the present time and for the future. The results showed that the urban temperature gradually increase up to a significant level in the future. The possible effects of green roofs on the buildings are also studied, and we observe that green roofs don't lower the urban temperature efficiently while making the temperature fields become more homogeneous.