• Title/Summary/Keyword: urban scenario

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A Simulation Study on Future Climate Change Considering Potential Forest Distribution Change in Landcover (잠재 산림분포 변화를 고려한 토지이용도가 장래 기후변화에 미치는 영향 모사)

  • Kim, Jea-Chul;Lee, Chong Bum;Choi, Sungho
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.105-117
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    • 2012
  • Future climate according to land-use change was simulated by regional climate model. The goal of study was to predict the distribution of meteorological elements using the Weather Research & Forecasting Model (WRF). The KME (Korea Ministry of Environment) medium-category land-use classification was used as dominant vegetation types. Meteorological modeling requires higher and more sophisticated land-use and initialization data. The WRF model simulations with HyTAG land-use indicated certain change in potential vegetation distribution in the future (2086-2088). Compared to the past (1986-1988) distribution, coniferous forest area was decreased in metropolitan and areas with complex terrain. The research shows a possibility to simulate regional climate with high resolution. As a result, the future climate was predicted to $4.5^{\circ}$ which was $0.5^{\circ}$ higher than prediction by Meteorological Administration. To improve future prediction of regional area, regional climate model with HyTAG as well as high resolution initial values such as urban growth and CO2 flux simulation would be desirable.

Traffic Analysis of a Cognitive Radio Network Based on the Concept of Medium Access Probability

  • Khan, Risala T.;Islam, Md. Imdadul;Amin, M.R.
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.602-617
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    • 2014
  • The performance of a cognitive radio network (CRN) solely depends on how precisely the secondary users can sense the presence or absence of primary users. The incorporation of a spatial false alarm makes deriving the probability of a correct decision a cumbersome task. Previous literature performed this task for the case of a received signal under a Normal probability density function case. In this paper we enhance the previous work, including the impact of carrier frequency, the gain of antennas on both sides, and antenna heights so as to observe the robustness against noise and interference and to make the correct decision of detection. Three small scale fading channels: Rayleigh, Normal, and Weibull were considered to get the real scenario of a CRN in an urban area. The incorporation of a maximal-ratio combining and selection combing with a variation of the number of received antennas have also been studied in order to achieve the correct decision of spectral sensing, so as to serve the cognitive users. Finally, we applied the above concept to a traffic model of the CRN, which we based on a two-dimensional state transition chain.

Hazard-Consistent Ground Displacement Estimation for Seismic Input of Underground Utility Tunnels in Korea (국내 재해도에 상응하는 공동구의 지반변위 산정)

  • Kim, Dae-Hwan;Lim, Youngwoo;Chung, Yon-Ha;Lee, Hyerin
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.37 no.12
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    • pp.7-23
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    • 2021
  • Underground utility tunnels, which contribute to supply of electricity, communication, water and heat, are critical lifelines of an urban area. In case service is discontinued or functional disruption happens, there will be a huge socio-economic impact. For the improved seismic design and evaluation of underground structures, this study proposes a ground displacement measure when the site is subjected to a scenario earthquake based on hazard-consistent source spectra and site amplification/attenuation. This measure provides a rational estimation of ground displacement and can be an alternative to existing response displacement methods.

Strengthening the Competitiveness, Productivity and Innovation of Cross-border Industrial Corridors

  • Charles Conteh;JiYoung Park;Kathryn Friedman;Ha Hwang;Barry Wright
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.75-100
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    • 2023
  • Over the past few decades, globalization has been shifting economic power upward to transnational actors on the one hand, and downward to subnational or regional spaces on the other. This phenomenon has resulted in the centrality of territorially delimited subnational regions acting as critical loci of economic governance within a complex and globally distributed value chain of trade and service flows. Within this broader context of industrial restructuring are economic regions that span national borders in their collective assets. The paper focuses on investigating the economic competitiveness and productivity of cross-border (or binational) economic regions. Using the conceptual framework of economic clusters, an econometric model that measures proxies of geographic proximity of firms in the life sciences cluster, and a new binational economic model, the paper examines the key characteristics, potentials and constraints of economic competitiveness and productivity in a cross-border region comprising counties in Western New York and regional municipalities in Southern Ontario. The findings demonstrate the direct and indirect benefits of closer cross-border economic cooperation. The paper then concludes with some policy observations about leveraging cross-border economic clusters for strategic industrial cooperation.

Analysis of input factor variability for scenario analysis of urban water resource real-time cyper physical system simulator (도시수자원 실시간 사이버물리시스템 시뮬레이터의 시나리오 분석을 위한 입력인자 변동성 분석)

  • Yoo, Do Guen;Chung, Gunhui;Ok, Wonsu;Jun, Hwandon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.381-381
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구에서는 실시간적으로 계측, 수집된 자료를 이용하여 도시지역 물순환 전 과정에 대한 개별 물리모델 구동을 실시하고, 수자원의 양적인 흐름을 연계하여 표출하는 도시 수자원 사이버 물리시스템(CPS) 시뮬레이터에 활용되는 입력인자 변동성 분석을 실시하였다. 도시 수자원 실시간 CPS 시뮬레이터의 시나리오 분석을 위한 변동입력인자는 취수량, 타 배수지 구역 공급량, 대상지역 수용가 사용량 변화, 오수전환률 및 오수배출 지연시간 등으로 설정하였으며, 변동입력인자 변화모의를 위한 발현가능한 시나리오를 구축하고, 분석결과를 정량화하여 제시하였다. 본 연구에서 활용된 발현가능한 시나리오는 가뭄 등 취수제한상황에 따른 양적인 공급 흐름모의, 수용가 물 사용 패턴 변화(예, 코로나로 인한 비대면 재택 근무 증가 등)에 의한 상수, 오수변화량 모의 등으로 설정되었다. 분석 결과 다양한 입력인자의 변화에 따른 도시수자원 흐름변화에 영향을 주는 구성요소의 파악과 정성, 정량적 영향을 직관적, 정량적으로 평가할 수 있음을 확인하였다. 도출된 변동성 평가 결과는 설정된 시나리오가 현실화될 경우 효과성 높은 대응책을 마련하는데 활용이 가능하다.

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A three-dimensional two-hemisphere model for unmanned aerial vehicle multiple-input multiple-output channels

  • Zixu Su;Wei Chen;Changzhen Li;Junyi Yu;Guojiao Gong;Zixin Wang
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.45 no.5
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    • pp.768-780
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    • 2023
  • The application of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) has recently attracted considerable interest in various areas. A three-dimensional multiple-input multiple-output concentric two-hemisphere model is proposed to characterize the scattering environment around a vehicle in an urban UAV-to-vehicle communication scenario. Multipath components of the model consisted of lineof-sight and single-bounced components. This study focused on the key parameters that determine the scatterer distribution. A time-variant process was used to analyze the nonstationarity of the proposed model. Vital statistical properties, such as the space-time-frequency correlation function, Doppler power spectral density, level-crossing rate, average fade duration, and channel capacity, were derived and analyzed. The results indicated that with an increase in the maximum scatter radius, the time correlation and level-crossing rate decreased, the frequency correlation function had a faster downward trend, and average fade duration increased. In addition, with the increase of concentration parameter, the time correlation, space correlation, and level-crossing rate increased, average fade duration decreased, and Doppler power spectral density became flatter. The proposed model was compared with current geometry-based stochastic models (GBSMs) and showed good consistency. In addition, we verified the nonstationarity in the temporal and spatial domains of the proposed model. These conclusions can be used as references in the design of more reasonable communication systems.

Influence of Land Cover Map and Its Vegetation Emission Factor on Ozone Concentration Simulation (토지피복 지도와 식생 배출계수가 오존농도 모의에 미치는 영향)

  • Kyeongsu Kim;Seung-Jae Lee
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.48-59
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    • 2023
  • Ground-level ozone affects human health and plant growth. Ozone is produced by chemical reactions between oxides of nitrogen (NOx) and volatile organic compounds (VOCs) from anthropogenic and biogenic sources. In this study, two different land cover and emission factor datasets were input to the MEGAN v2.1 emission model to examine how these parameters contribute to the biogenic emissions and ozone production. Four input sensitivity scenarios (A, B, C and D) were generated from land cover and vegetation emission factors combination. The effects of BVOCs emissions by scenario were also investigated. From air quality modeling result using CAMx, maximum 1 hour ozone concentrations were estimated 62 ppb, 60 ppb, 68 ppb, 65 ppb, 55 ppb for scenarios A, B, C, D and E, respectively. For maximum 8 hour ozone concentration, 57 ppb, 56 ppb, 63 ppb, 60 ppb, and 53 ppb were estimated by scenario. The minimum difference by land cover was up to 25 ppb and by emission factor that was up to 35 ppb. From the modeling performance evaluation using ground ozone measurement over the six regions (East Seoul, West Seoul, Incheon, Namyangju, Wonju, and Daegu), the model performed well in terms of the correlation coefficient (0.6 to 0.82). For the 4 urban regions (East Seoul, West Seoul, Incheon, and Namyangju), ozone simulations were not quite sensitive to the change of BVOC emissions. For rural regions (Wonju and Daegu) , however, BVOC emission affected ozone concentration much more than previously mentioned regions, especially in case of scenario C. This implies the importance of biogenic emissions on ozone production over the sub-urban to rural regions.

Dispersal of Hazardous Substance in a City Environment Based on Weather Conditions and Its Risk Assessment at the Pedestrian Level (기상조건에 따른 도시내 위험물질 확산정보와 보행자환경 위험영향평가)

  • Kim, Eun-Ryoung;Lee, Gwang-Jin;Yi, Chaeyeon
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.242-256
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, dispersion scenarios concerning various meteorological conditions and real urban structures were made to estimate the impacts of hazardous substance leakage accidents and to reduce damages. Based on the scenario of the hazardous substance dispersion, the characteristics of the risk in the pedestrian environment were analyzed in Gangnam, Seoul. The scenarios are composed of 48 cases according to the meteorological conditions of wind direction and wind speed. In order to analyze the dispersion characteristics of the hazardous substances, simulations were conducted using a computational fluid dynamic (CFD) model with hydrogen fluoride releases. The validation for the simulated wind was conducted at a specific period, and all the calculated verification indices were within the valid range. As a result of simulated dispersion field at pedestrian level, it was found that the dispersion pattern was influenced by the flow, which was affected by the artificial obstacles. Also, in the case of the weakest wind speed of the inflow, the dispersion of the hazardous substance appeared in the direction of the windward side at the pedestrian level due to the reverse flow occurred at lower layers. Through this study, it can be seen that the artificial structures forming the city have a major impact on the flow formed in urban areas. The proposed approach can be used to simulate the dispersion of the hazardous substances and to assess the risk to pedestrians in the industrial complexes dealing with actual hazardous substances in the future.

Analysis on Inundation Impacts of Sea Level Rise Using System Dynamics-GIS Model (System Dynamics-GIS 모델을 이용한 해수면 상승 침수 영향 분석)

  • KIM, Ji-Sook;KIM, Ho-Yong;LEE, Sung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.92-104
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    • 2015
  • In order to analyze the impacts of climate change, a time and space integrated model was developed in this study using system dynamics and GIS. The model built was used to carry out a simulation on the inundation impact on A-gu of Busan Metropolitan city resulting from the sea level rise scenario of IPCC and storm surge, which is the worst case. Through this, the flooded area and population until 2100 were predicted. Also, the result and significance of each alternative was reviewed improving the model by establishing alternative scenarios of protection, accommodation and retreat as plans of reaction to sea level rise. The combination of system dynamics and GIS has advantages of how the diverse variables change until the target year can be traced and, accordingly, not only the results but also the processes of spatial change can be examined by calculating the value of change process at each time step. The synergy of this model presumed to be a foothold for solving problems which are becoming difficult to predict due to increase in uncertainty and complexity such as the support for decision making for urban resilience to natural disasters.

Road Maintenance Planning with Traffic Demand Forecasting (장래교통수요예측을 고려한 도로 유지관리 방안)

  • Kim, Jeongmin;Choi, Seunghyun;Do, Myungsik;Han, Daeseok
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.47-57
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    • 2016
  • PURPOSES : This study aims to examine the differences between the existing traffic demand forecasting method and the traffic demand forecasting method considering future regional development plans and new road construction and expansion plans using a four-step traffic demand forecast for a more objective and sophisticated national highway maintenance. This study ultimately aims to present future pavement deterioration and budget forecasting planning based on the examination. METHODS : This study used the latest data offered by the Korea Transport Data Base (KTDB) as the basic data for demand forecast. The analysis scope was set using the Daejeon Metropolitan City's O/D and network data. This study used a traffic demand program called TransCad, and performed a traffic assignment by vehicle type through the application of a user equilibrium-based multi-class assignment technique. This study forecasted future traffic demand by verifying whether or not a realistic traffic pattern was expressed similarly by undertaking a calibration process. This study performed a life cycle cost analysis based on traffic using the forecasted future demand or existing past pattern, or by assuming the constant traffic demand. The maintenance criteria were decided according to equivalent single axle loads (ESAL). The maintenance period in the concerned section was calculated in this study. This study also computed the maintenance costs using a construction method by applying the maintenance criteria considering the ESAL. The road user costs were calculated by using the user cost calculation logic applied to the Korean Pavement Management System, which is the existing study outcome. RESULTS : This study ascertained that the increase and decrease of traffic occurred in the concerned section according to the future development plans. Furthermore, there were differences from demand forecasting that did not consider the development plans. Realistic and accurate demand forecasting supported an optimized decision making that efficiently assigns maintenance costs, and can be used as very important basic information for maintenance decision making. CONCLUSIONS : Therefore, decision making for a more efficient and sophisticated road management than the method assuming future traffic can be expected to be the same as the existing pattern or steady traffic demand. The reflection of a reliable forecasting of the future traffic demand to life cycle cost analysis (LCCA) can be a very vital factor because many studies are generally performed without considering the future traffic demand or with an analysis through setting a scenario upon LCCA within a pavement management system.