• Title/Summary/Keyword: upstream weighting

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TRAFFIC-FLOW-PREDICTION SYSTEMS BASED ON UPSTREAM TRAFFIC (교통량예측모형의 개발과 평가)

  • 김창균
    • Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
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    • 1995.02a
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    • pp.84-98
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    • 1995
  • Network-based model were developed to predict short term future traffic volume based on current traffic, historical average, and upstream traffic. It is presumed that upstream traffic volume can be used to predict the downstream traffic in a specific time period. Three models were developed for traffic flow prediction; a combination of historical average and upstream traffic, a combination of current traffic and upstream traffic, and a combination of all three variables. The three models were evaluated using regression analysis. The third model is found to provide the best prediction for the analyzed data. In order to balance the variables appropriately according to the present traffic condition, a heuristic adaptive weighting system is devised based on the relationships between the beginning period of prediction and the previous periods. The developed models were applied to 15-minute freeway data obtained by regular induction loop detectors. The prediction models were shown to be capable of producing reliable and accurate forecasts under congested traffic condition. The prediction systems perform better in the 15-minute range than in the ranges of 30-to 45-minute. It is also found that the combined models usually produce more consistent forecasts than the historical average.

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Optimal parameter derivation for Muskingum method in consideration of lateral inflow and travel time (측방유입유량 및 유하시간을 고려한 Muskingum 최적 매개변수 도출)

  • Kim, Sang Ho;Kim, Ji-sung;Lee, Chang Hee
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.12
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    • pp.827-836
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    • 2017
  • The most important parameters of the Muskingum method, widely used in hydrologic river routing, are the storage coefficient and the weighting factor. The Muskingum method does not consider the lateral inflow from the upstream to the downstream, but the lateral inflow actually occurs due to the rainfall on the watershed. As a result, it is very difficult to estimate the storage coefficient and the weighting factor by using the actual data of upstream and downstream. In this study, the flow without the lateral inflow was calculated from the river flow through the hydraulic flood routing by using the HEC-RAS one-dimensional unsteady flow model, and the method of the storage coefficient and the weighting factor calculation is presented. Considering that the storage coefficient relates to the travel time, the empirical travel time formulas used in the establishment of the domestic river basin plan were applied as the storage coefficient, and the simulation results were compared and analyzed. Finally, we have developed a formula for calculating the travel time considering the flow rate, and proposed a method to perform flood routing by updating the travel time according to the inflow change. The rise and fall process of the flow rate, the peak flow rate, and the peak time are well simulated when the travel time in consideration of the flow rate is applied as the storage coefficient.

The Role of the Spatial Externalities of Irrigation on the Ricardian Model of Climate Change: Application to the Southwestern U.S. Counties

  • Bae, Jinwon;Dall'erba, Sandy
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.212-235
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    • 2021
  • In spite of the increasing popularity of the Ricardian model for the study of the impact of climate change on agriculture, there has been few attempts to examine the role of interregional spillovers in this framework and all of them rely on geographical proximity-based weighting schemes. We remedy to this gap by focusing on the spatial externalities of surface water flow used for irrigation purposes and demonstrate that farmland value, the usual dependent variable used in the Ricardian framework, is a function of the climate variables experienced locally and in the upstream locations. This novel approach is tested empirically on a spatial panel model estimated across the counties of the Southwest USA over 1997-2012. This region is one of the driest in the country, hence its agriculture relies heavily on irrigated surface water. The results highlight how the weather conditions in upstream counties significantly affect downstream agriculture, thus the actual impact of climate change on agriculture and subsequent adaptation policies cannot overlook the streamflow network anymore.

Estimation of Area Average Rainfall Amount and Its Error (면적평균강우량의 추정 및 추정오차)

  • Yu, Cheol-Sang;Jeong, Gwang-Sik
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.317-326
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    • 2001
  • This study evaluates the errors involved in the area average rainfall amounts estimated by the arithmetic mean method, the Thiessen's weighting method, and the optimal weighting method from the estimation theory. This study was applied to the upstream part of Nam-Han river basin (upper part of Youngwal) and the following results could be obtained. First, in case the raingauges are located evenly over the basin, no obvious difference can be found in the area average rainfall amounts from the arithmetic mean method or from the Thiessen's weighting method. However, as these two methods cannot consider the spatial variability of rainfall, the estimation error could be higher when the spatial variability of rainfall is high. In our application the estimation error from the arithmetic mean method or the Thiessen's weighting method was also found to be higher than that from the method from the information theory, which considers the spatial variability of rainfall. Thus, we could conclude that for the rainy season of Korea or for the mountain area when and where the spatial variability of rainfall is high, a proper method of considering the spatial variability of rainfall should be used regardless of the basin size. The isohyetal method generally used for the large basins or the optimal weighting method from the estimation theory used in this study could be good alternatives for this case.

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Enhanced Dynamic Bandwidth Allocation Algorithm in Ethernet Passive Optical Networks

  • Park, Byung-Joo;Hwang, An-Kyu;Yoo, Jae-Hyoung
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.301-307
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    • 2008
  • As broadband access is evolving from digital subscriber lines to optical access networks, Ethernet passive optical networks (EPONs) are considered a promising solution for next generation broadband access. The point-to-multipoint topology of EPONs requires a time-division multiple access MAC protocol for upstream transmission. In this paper, we propose a new enhanced dynamic bandwidth allocation algorithm with fairness called EFDBA for multiple services over EPONs. The proposed algorithm is composed of a fairness counter controller and a fairness system buffer in the optical line terminal. The EFDBA algorithm with fairness can provide increased capability and efficient resource allocation in an EPON system. In the proposed EFDBA algorithm, the optical line termination allocates bandwidth to the optical network units in proportion to the fairness weighting counter number associated with their class and queue length. The proposed algorithm provides efficient resource utilization by reducing the unused remaining bandwidth made by idle state optical network units.

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AN UNSTRUCTURED MESH FINITE VOLUME METHOD FOR MODELLING SALTWATER INTRUSION INTO COASTAL AQUIFERS

  • Liu, F.;Turner, I.;Anh, V.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.561-577
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, a two-dimensional finite volume unstructured mesh method (FVUM) based on a triangular background interpolation mesh is developed for analysing the evolution of the saltwater intrusion into single and multiple coastal aquifer systems. The model formulation consists of a ground-water flow equation and a salt transport equation. These coupled and non-linear partial differential equations are transformed by FVUM into a system of differential/algebraic equations, which is solved using backward differentiation formulas of order one through five. Simulation results are compared with previously published solutions where good agreement is observed.

Shape Optimization of a Rotating Two-Pass Duct with a Guide Vane in the Turning Region (회전하는 냉각유로의 곡관부에 부착된 가이드 베인의 형상 최적설계)

  • Moon, Mi-Ae;Kim, Kwang-Yong
    • The KSFM Journal of Fluid Machinery
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.66-76
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    • 2011
  • The heat transfer and pressure loss characteristics of a rotating two-pass channel with a guide vane in the turning region have been studied using three-dimensional Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) analysis, and the shape of the guide vane has been optimized using surrogate modeling optimization technique. For the optimization, thickness, location and angle of the guide vanes have been selected as design variables. The objective function has been defined as a linear combination of the heat transfer and the friction loss related terms with a weighting factor. Latin hypercube sampling has been applied to determine the design points as design of experiments. A weighted-average surrogate model, PBA has been used as the surrogate model. The guide vane in the turning region does not influence the heat transfer in the first passage upstream of the turning region, but enhances largely the heat transfer in the turning region and the second passage. In an example of the optimization, the objective function has been increased by 13.6%.

Markov Chain Model for Synthetic Generation by Classification of Daily Precipitaion Amount into Multi-State (강수계열의 상태분류에 의한 Markov 연쇄 모의발생모형)

  • Kim, Ju-Hwan;Park, Chan-Yeong
    • Water for future
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.155-166
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    • 1996
  • A finite element model for simulating gradually and rapidly varied unsteady flow in open channel is developed based on dynamic wave equation using Petrov-Galerkin method. A matrix stability analysis shows the selective damping of short wave lengths and excellent phase accuracies achived by Petrov-Galerkin method. Whereas the Preissmann scheme displays less selective damping and poor phase accuracies, and Bubnov-Galerkin method shows nondissipative characteristics whicn causes a divergence problem in short wave length. The analysis also shows that the Petrov-Galerkin method displays the desirable combination of selective damping of high frequency progressive waves over a wide range of Courant number and good phase accuracy at low Courant number. Therefore, the Petrov-Galerkin can be effectively applied to gradually and rapidly varied unsteady flow.

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A TWO-DIMENSIONAL FINITE VOLUME METHOD FOR TRANSIENT SIMULATION OF TIME- AND SCALE-DEPENDENT TRANSPORT IN HETEROGENEOUS AQUIFER SYSTEMS

  • Liu, F.;Turner, I.;Ahn, V.;Su, N.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.11 no.1_2
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    • pp.215-241
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, solute transport in heterogeneous aquifers using a modified Fokker-Planck equation (MFPE) is investigated. This newly developed mathematical model is characterised with a time-, scale-dependent dispersivity. A two-dimensional finite volume quadrilateral mesh method (FVQMM) based on a quadrilateral background interpolation mesh is developed for analysing the model. The FVQMM transforms the coupled non-linear partial differential equations into a system of differential equations, which is solved using backward differentiation formulae of order one through five in order to advance the solution in time. Three examples are presented to demonstrate the model verification and utility. Henry's classic benchmark problem is used to show that the MFPE captures significant features of transport phenomena in heterogeneous porous media including enhanced transport of salt in the upper layer due to its parameters that represent the dependence of transport processes on scale and time. The time and scale effects are investigated. Numerical results are compared with published results on the some problems.

Analysis on the Effect of Spatial Distribution of Rainfall on Soil Erosion and Deposition (강우의 공간분포에 따른 침식 및 퇴적의 변동성 분석)

  • Lee, Gi-Ha;Lee, Kun-Hyuk;Jung, Kwan-Sue;Jang, Chang-Lae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.7
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    • pp.657-674
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    • 2012
  • This paper presents the effect of spatially-distributed rainfall on both rainfall-sediment-runoff and erosion or deposition in the experimental Cheoncheon catchment: upstream of Yongdam dam basin. The rainfall fields were generated by three rainfall interpolation techniques (Thiessen polygon: TP, Inverse Distance Weighting: IDW, Kriging) based only on ground gauges and two radar rainfall synthetic techniques (Gauge-Radar ratio: GR, Conditional Merging: CM). Each rainfall field was then assessed in terms of spatial feature and quantity and also used for rainfall-sediment-runoff and erosion-deposition simulation due to the spatial difference of rainfall fields. The results showed that all the interpolation methods based on ground gauges provided very similar hydrologic responses in spite of different spatial pattern of erosion and deposition while raw radar and GR rainfall fields led to underestimated and overestimated simulation results, respectively. The CM technique was acceptable to improve the accuracy of raw radar rainfall for hydrologic simulation even though it is more time consuming to generate spatially-distributed rainfall.