• 제목/요약/키워드: underestimation

검색결과 348건 처리시간 0.029초

Numerical simulation of concrete slab-on-steel girder bridges with frictional contact

  • Lin, Jian Jun;Fafard, Mario;Beaulieu, Denis
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제4권3호
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    • pp.257-276
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    • 1996
  • In North America, a large number of concrete old slab-on-steel girder bridges, classified noncomposite, were built without any mechanic connections. The stablizing effect due to slab/girder interface contact and friction on the steel girders was totally neglected in practice. Experimental results indicate that this effect can lead to a significant underestimation of the load-carrying capacity of these bridges. In this paper, the two major components-concrete slab and steel girders, are treat as two deformable bodies in contact. A finite element procedure with considering the effect of friction and contact for the analysis of concrete slab-on-steel girder bridges is presented. The interface friction phenomenon and finite element formulation are described using an updated configuration under large deformations to account for the influence of any possible kinematic motions on the interface boundary conditions. The constitutive model for frictional contact are considered as slip work-dependent to account for the irreversible nature of friction forces and degradation of interface shear resistance. The proposed procedure is further validated by experimental bridge models.

Current Status and Applications of Integrated Safety Assessment and Simulation Code System for ISA

  • Izquierdo, J.M.;Hortal, J.;Sanchez Perea, M.;Melendez, E.;Queral, C.;Rivas-Lewicky, J.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제49권2호
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    • pp.295-305
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    • 2017
  • This paper reviews current status of the unified approach known as integrated safety assessment (ISA), as well as the associated SCAIS (simulation codes system for ISA) computer platform. These constitute a proposal, which is the result of collaborative action among the Nuclear Safety Council (CSN), University of Madrid (UPM), and NFQ Solutions S.L, aiming to allow independent regulatory verification of industry quantitative risk assessments. The content elaborates on discussions of the classical treatment of time in conventional probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) sequences and states important conclusions that can be used to avoid systematic and unacceptable underestimation of the failure exceedance frequencies. The unified ISA method meets this challenge by coupling deterministic and probabilistic mutual influences. The feasibility of the approach is illustrated with some examples of its application to a real size plant.

ANALYSIS AND INTERCOMPARISON OF VARIOUS GLOBAL EVAPORATION PRODUCTS

  • School of Marine Science and Technology, Tokai University, Tsuyoshi Watabe;School of Marine Science and Technology, Tokai University, Masahisa Kubota
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2008년도 International Symposium on Remote Sensing
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    • pp.285-288
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    • 2008
  • We analyzed evaporation data in the Japanese Ocean Flux Data Sets with Use of Remote Sensing Observations (J-OFURO) Ver.2. There exists huge evaporation in Gulf Stream, Kuroshio Extension, the ocean dessert and the southern part of the Indian Ocean. The temporal variation of evaporation is overwhelmingly large, of which the standard deviation is more than 120(mm), in the Kuroshio Extension region. Also, the result of harmonic analysis gives that this large variation is closely related to annual variation. In addition, the first EOF mode shows long-term variation showing the maximum amplitude between 1992 and 1994 and remarkable decrease after 1994, and large amplitude in the equatorial region and northeast of Australia. The second and third modes were strongly influenced by El Nino. Moreover, we compared J-OFURO2 evaporation product with other products. We used six kinds of data sets (HOAPS3 and GSSTF2 of satellite data, NRA1, NRA2, ERA40 and JRA25 of reanalysis data) for comparison. Most products show underestimation in the most regions, in particular, in the northern North Pacific, mid-latitudes of the eastern South Pacific, and high-latitudes of the South Pacific compared with J-OFUR02. On the other hand, JRA25 and NRA2 show large overestimation in the equatorial regions. RMS difference between NRA2 and J-OFURO2 in the Kuroshio Extension was significantly large, more than 120(mm).

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The Effects of Recording Interval on the Estimation of Grazing Behavior of Cattle in a Daytime Grazing System

  • Hirata, M.;Iwamoto, T.;Otozu, W.;Kiyota, D.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제15권5호
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    • pp.745-750
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    • 2002
  • The effects of recording interval (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 10, 15, 20 and 30 min) on the estimation of some grazing behavior variables in beef cows and calves (<4 months old) were investigated in a daytime grazing (7 h) system utilizing a bahiagrass (Paspalum notatum Flugge) pasture (a 1.1 ha paddock and a 0.4 ha resting area). Recording intervals of 10-30 min tended to underestimate the time spent grazing and ruminating and overestimate the time spent resting by animals, whereas intervals of 1-5 min resulted in almost constant estimates. In all grazing activities, the errors of estimation became larger when the recording interval exceeded 5 min. The accuracy of estimation was higher for grazing time>rumination time>resting time. An increase in recording interval always decreased estimates of the distance walked by animals. It was concluded that recording intervals of 1-5 min provide reliable estimates of the time spent grazing, ruminating and resting. It was also concluded that positioning of animals at 1 min intervals may provide estimates of walking distance with acceptable bias toward underestimation.

대기 중 Carbonyl 성분들의 검량 분석 기술에 대한 연구: 액상 대비 기체상 표준시료의 오차발생 특성 연구 (A Study of Calibration Bias in the Analysis of Airborne Carbonyl Compounds between Gaseous and Liquid-phase Standards by High Performance Liquid Chromatography (HPLC))

  • 이민희;김기현
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.52-58
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    • 2012
  • In this study, the effect of standard phase difference in calibration of carbonyl compounds (CC) was evaluated by using their standards prepared in both gaseous and liquid phase. For this analysis, standards in both phases were prepared for 6 different CCs (formaldehyde (FA), acetaldehyde (AA), propionaldehyde (PA), butyraldehyde (BA), isovaleraldehyde (IA) and valeraldehyde (VA)) at similar concentration levels. Their gaseous standard was calibrated after derivatization with three types of DNPH cartridge, and their calibration results were compared against liquid-phase standards. Although there was a strong compatibility between 2 phases for CCs with lower molecular weights (e.g., formaldehyde and acetaldehyde), it was not the case for the heavier CCs. The results of our analysis indicate that the analytical bias of the heavier CCs can be significantly large (by more than a few tens of %). As a result, underestimation of hevier CCs can be significant, if their gaseous samples are quantified by liquid phase standard.

의적클레임검토의 역할 및 기능 (Role of the medical claims review)

  • 이신형
    • 보험의학회지
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    • 제26권
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    • pp.31-39
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    • 2007
  • Background and main issue: In the Korean insurance market, an outstanding issue is the decrease of margin of risk ratio. This affects the solvency and profitability of insurance companies. Insurance medicine, which has been developed in Western countries, is so-called medical risk selection or medical underwriting. Medical risk selection is based on clinical follow-up study and mortality analysis methodology. Unfortunately, there have been few clinical follow-up studies, and no intercompany disease analysis system is available in the Korean insurance market. In practice, we use underwriting guidelines, which were developed by some global reinsurance companies. However, these guidelines were developed under clinical follow-up studies performed abroad. So, we cannot rule out underestimation of excess mortality factors such as mortality ratio, excess death rate, and life expectancy. It is necessary to perform medical assessment in claims administration. Comparing the insured's statement by medical records with products' benefit according to this procedure, we can make sound claim decisions and participate in the role of sound underwriting. We can call this scientific procedure as the verification of medical claims review. Another area of medical claims review is medical counsel for claims staff. Result: There is another insurance medicine in addition to medical risk selection. Independent medical assessment by medical records of insured is medical claims review. Medical claims review is composed of verification and counsel.

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무응답 대체 방법과 대체 효과 (Imputation Methods for Nonresponse and Their Effect)

  • 김규성
    • 한국조사연구학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국조사연구학회 2000년도 춘계학술대회 조사연구의 방법론적 쟁점
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2000
  • 사회.경제조사에서 흔히 발생하는 무응답에 대한 통계적 대처 방안을 고찰하였다. 항목 무응답이 발생했을 때 무응답 데이터를 포함하지 않는 완전 데이터를 만드는 방법으로 무응답 대체 방법이 널리 이용되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 여러 가지 대체 방법을 소개하고 각 방법의 장.단점을 비교.설명하였다. 또한 대체된 데이터를 응답 데이터인 것처럼 활용했을 때 발생하는 문제점들을 지적하였다. 무응답을 대체하면 대체된 값들 때문에 대체 후 추정량의 분산은 대체 분산만큼 증가하는 반면, 대체된 데이터에 기초한 통상적인 분산추정량은 대체 분산을 추정하지 못하므로 결과적으로 대체 후 추정량의 분산을 과소추정하게 된다. 이러한 분산의 과소추정의 원인을 이론적으로 고찰하였고, 모의실험을 통하여 그 결과의 심각성을 설명하였다. 마지막으로 분산의 과소 추정 문제를 해결하는 몇 가지 수정된 분산추정 방법을 소개하고 토의하였다.

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PERFORMANCE OF COMS SNOW AND SEA ICE DETECTION ALGORITHM

  • Lee, Jung-Rim;Chung, Chu-Yong;Ahn, Myoung-Hwan;Ou, Mi-Lim
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2007년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2007
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    • pp.278-281
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to develop snow and sea ice detection algorithm in Communication, Ocean and Meteorological Satellite (COMS) meteorological data processing system. Since COMS has only five channels, it is not affordable to use microwave or shortwave infrared data which are effective and generally used for snow detection. In order to estimate snow and sea ice coverage, combinations between available channel data(mostly visible and 3.7 ${\mu}m$) are applied to the algorithm based on threshold method. As a result, the COMS snow and sea ice detection algorithm shows reliable performance compared to MODIS products with channel limitation. Specifically, there is partial underestimation over the complicated vegetation area and overestimation over the area of high level clouds such as cirrus. Some corrections are performed by using water vapor and infrared channels to remove cloud contamination and by applying NDVI to detect more snow pixels for the underestimated area.

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수돗물에서의 대장균군 재생장과 손상 대장균군 (Coliform Regrowth and Injured Coliforms in Public Water Supply)

  • 박성주;조재창;김상종
    • 환경위생공학
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.50-57
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    • 1994
  • Densities of total and injured coliforms in treated water( TW ) and three tap water salt pies( Taps Kl, K2 and K3) of Ku- eui water treatment plant and one tap water sample( Tap T) of Tuk- do water treatment plant were measured 23 times from 1991 to 1992. Coliform regrowth in the water distribution system occurred three times during the study period. When the regrowth episode occurred, injured coliforms were always but total coliforms were not always detected in treated water. Mean densities of total coliforms in TW, and Taps Kl, K2, K3 and T were 0.8, 2.3, 1.9, 1.4 and 2.1 cfu/100mℓ by membrane filtration method using m- TF agar and those of injured coliforms were 3.4, 2.8, 2.5, 2.7 and 2.9 c1u/100mℓ using mondo- LES agar. The injury rates of TW and Taps Kl, K2, K3 and T were 89.5,77.4,67.9, 82.8 and 75.9%, respectively. The high injury rate of coliform bacteria in Seoul water supply can cause regrowth problems in distribution systems due to the repair of injured cells under an appropriate condition. It is recommended the injured coliforms should be measured in drinking water since they can lead to a significant underestimation of total coliforms and result in an inaccurate evaluation of the potential health risks.

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고속도로의 용량산정 방법론 개발에 관한 연구 (Development of New Freeway Capacity Estimation Method)

  • 김영선;이상수
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제17권5호
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    • pp.123-133
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    • 2015
  • PURPOSES : This study aimed to develop a new highway capacity estimation method and provide comparative results among traditional capacity estimation methods and the recommended values in the latest version of KHCM. METHODS : The limitations of the existing methods, such as inconsistency and underestimation of the capacity value, are summarized through an extensive literature review. To overcome these limitations, a new method is introduced by adopting a definition of capacity and traffic flow characteristics at or near breakdown points. This method can produce the capacity value by searching a point corresponding to the maximum traffic flow through analysis of gradient changes (point of inflection) of the traffic flow and speed distribution. Comparative results of capacity values from each method are also presented to validate the new method by using data collected from detectors on freeways. RESULTS: From the analysis results, it is shown that a consistent capacity value can be estimated by applying the new method. In addition, the resulting capacity values are 3%-4% higher than those recommended in KHCM. CONCLUSIONS : The capacity values listed in the current KHCM tend to produce underestimated results. The new method presented in this paper may be included in the future edition of KHCM.