• Title/Summary/Keyword: underestimation

Search Result 353, Processing Time 0.03 seconds

Impact of Horizontal Resolution of Regional Climate Model on Precipitation Simulation over the Korean Peninsula (지역 기후 모형을 이용한 한반도 강수 모의에서 수평 해상도의 영향)

  • Lee, Young-Ho;Cha, Dong-Hyun;Lee, Dong-Kyou
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.18 no.4
    • /
    • pp.387-395
    • /
    • 2008
  • The impact of horizontal resolution on a regional climate model was investigated by simulating precipitation over the Korean Peninsula. As a regional climate model, the SNURCM(Seoul National University Regional Climate Model) has 21 sigma layers and includes the NCAR CLM(National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Land Model) for land-surface model, the Grell scheme for cumulus convection, the Simple Ice scheme for explicit moisture, and the MRF(Medium-Range Forecast) scheme for PBL(Planetary Boundary Layer) processing. The SNURCM was performed with 20 km resolution for Korea and 60 km resolution for East Asia during a 20-year period (1980-1999). Although the SNURCM systematically underestimated precipitation over the Korean Peninsula, the increase of model resolution simulated more precipitation in the southern region of the Korean Peninsula, and a more accurate distribution of precipitation by reflecting the effect of topography. The increase of precipitation was produced by more detailed terrain data which has a 10 minute terrain in the 20 km resolution model compared to the 30 minute terrain in the 60 km resolution model. The increase in model resolution and more detailed terrain data played an important role in generating more precipitation over the Korean Peninsula. While the high resolution model with the same terrain data resulted in increasing of precipitation over the Korean Peninsula including the adjoining sea, the difference of the terrain data resolution only influenced the precipitation distribution of the mountainous area by increasing the amount of non-convective rain. In conclusion, the regional climate model (SNURCM) with higher resolution simulated more precipitation over the Korean Peninsula by reducing the systematic underestimation of precipitation over the Korean Peninsula.

A Model for Vertical Transport of Fine Sediment and Bed Erodibility in a Wave-Dominated Environment (파랑지배환경에서의 미세퇴적물 수직이동에 관한 모형)

  • Hwang, Kyu-Nam
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
    • /
    • v.7 no.3
    • /
    • pp.277-288
    • /
    • 1995
  • Prediction of turbidity due to fine-grained bed material load under wave action is critical to any assessment of anthropogenic impart on the coastal or lacustrine environment Waves tend to loosen mud deposits and generate steep suspension concentration gradients, such that the sediment load near the bottom is typically orders of magnitude higher than that near the surface. In a physically realistic but simplified manner, a simple mass conservation principle has been used to simulate the evolution of fine sediment concentration profiles and corresponding erodible bed depths under progressive, nonbreaking wave action over mud deposits. Prior field observations support the simulated trends. which reveal the genesis of a near-bed. high concentration fluidized mud layer coupled with very low surficial sediment concentrations. It is concluded that estimation of the depth of bottom erosion requires an understanding of mud dynamics and competent in situ sediment concentration profiling. Measurement of sediment concentration at the surface alone, without regard to the near-bed zone, can lead to gross underestimation of the erodible bed depth.

  • PDF

Comparison between TRMM/PR and Ground-Based Radar (TRMM/PR 자료와 지상 레이더와의 비교)

  • Ha, Kyung-Ja;Oh, Hyun-Mi;Suh, Ae-Sook;Kim, Jung-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
    • /
    • v.5 no.4
    • /
    • pp.1-8
    • /
    • 2002
  • Comparison between the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission(TRMM)/Precipitation Radar(PR) and the C-band doppler radar at Cheju, Kunsan and Pusan, operated by the Korean Meteorological Administration (KMA), is conducted for validation of the surface precipitation structure, and for calibration of KMA radar instrument. Data used in validation was selected for seven rain events in the south region of about $36^{\circ}N$ and at TRMM overflight in Korea, during the summer season of 2000. Quantitatively comparing radar reflectivities from two different platforms that have different view angles, bandwidths and frequencies is a challenging task. For the comparison, the precipitation patterns are projected on the same area for TRMM PR. Through the comparison, it is realized that the reflectivity from ground-based radar is under estimated, compared to TRMM/PR observations. We discuss that is underestimation may be produced by many factors(system performance, topography, etc).

  • PDF

Estimation of CH4 oxidation efficiency in an interim landfill cover soil using CO2/CH4 ratios

  • Park, Jin-Kyu;Lee, Won-Jae;Ban, Jong-Ki;Kim, Eun-Cheol;Lee, Nam-Hoon
    • Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.20 no.2
    • /
    • pp.191-197
    • /
    • 2015
  • The first objective of this study was to discuss the applicability of the $CO_2/CH_4$ ratio method in order to assess $CH_4$ oxidation efficiency. To achieve this objective, a comparison between $CO_2/CH_4$ ratios and the mass balance method was conducted. The second objective of this study was to estimate the $CH_4$ oxidation efficiency in an interim landfill soil cover and assess how a $CH_4$ influx influences the $CH_4$ oxidation efficiency. The results showed that despite the $CO_2$ problems brought by respiration, the $CH_4$ oxidation efficiencies obtained by the $CO_2/CH_4$ ratio method led to similar results compared to the mass balance method. In this respect, the $CO_2/CH_4$ ratio method can be an indicator of the $CH_4$ oxidation efficiencies for landfill cover soils. The $CH_4$ oxidation efficiencies derived in this study through the $CO_2/CH_4$ ratio method ranged between 46% and 64%, and between 41% and 62% through the mass balance method. The results imply that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC) default value of 10% for the $CH_4$ oxidation efficiency is an underestimation for landfill cover soils. $CH_4$ oxidation efficiency tends to be negatively correlated with $CH_4$ influx. Therefore, $CH_4$ influx reaching a landfill cover should be limited in order to increase the $CH_4$ oxidation efficiency.

Estimation of Small Reservoir Storage Using Sentinel-1 Image (Sentinel-1 위성영상을 활용한 소규모 저수지 저수량 추정)

  • Jang, Moon-Yup;Song, Ju-Il;Jang, Cho-Rok;Kim, Han-Tae
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
    • /
    • v.16 no.1
    • /
    • pp.79-86
    • /
    • 2020
  • Purpose: In this study, a model was developed to estimate the storage in Cheonan reservoir using images taken by Sentinel-1 satellite. Method: A total of three reservoirs were studied. All three reservoirs are small reservoirs whose water level is being measured. The preprocessing of Sentinel-1 images was done using SNAP distributed by the European Space Agency(ESA), and the storage was estimated by classifying water surface by the threshold classification method. The estimated reservoir area was compared with satellite and drones images taken on the same day. The correlation was derived by comparing the estimated reservoir area with the actual measurement. Results and Conclusions: The storage values estimated by satellite image analysis showed similar values to the actual measurement data. However, because of the underestimation of the reservoir area due to green algae and Epilithic diatom of summer reservoirs and the low resolution of satellite images, it is dificult to detect reservoir area by satellite images less than 10,000㎡.

Difference in Severity of Acute Rejection Grading between Superfical Cortex and Deep Cortex in Renal Allograft Biopsies

  • Lee, Su-Jin;Kim, Young-Ki;Kim, Kee-Hyuck
    • Childhood Kidney Diseases
    • /
    • v.11 no.2
    • /
    • pp.152-160
    • /
    • 2007
  • Twenty-six renal allograft biopsies which showed acute rejection and had renal capsule and medulla in the same specimen were selected in order to compare the severity of acute rejection between superficial cortex, deep cortex and medulla. Disregarding the mid cortical region, the superficial cortex was considered as being one-third of the distance from the renal capsule to the medulla and the deep cortex as being that one-third of the cortex which was adjacent to the medulla. Using semiquantitative histologic analysis the following parameters were compared in superficial cortex, deep cortex, and medulla: interstitial inflammation, edema, tubulitis, and acute tubulointerstitial rejection grade. Also, the presence of lymphocyte activation and polymorphonuclear leukocytes was evaluated. Significantly greater histologic changes of acute rejection were found in the deep cortex vs. supeficial cortex for the following parameters: interstitial inflammation(P=0.013), edema (P=0.023) and tubulointerstitial rejection grade(P=0.016). These findings support the view that biopsies in which deep cortex is not included may result in underestimation of the severity of renal allograft rejection.

  • PDF

Prediction of HIV and AIDS Incidence Using a Back-calculation Model in Korea (후향연산 모형 (Back-calculation model)을 이용한 국내 HIV 감염자와 AIDS 환자의 추계)

  • Lee, Ju-Young;Goh, Un-Yeong;Kee, Mee-Kyung;Kim, Jee-Yun;Hwang, Jin-Soo
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
    • /
    • v.35 no.1
    • /
    • pp.65-71
    • /
    • 2002
  • Objective : To estimate the status of HIV infection and AIDS incidence using a back-calculation model in Korea. Methods : Back-calculation is a method for estimating the past infection rate using AIDS incidence data. The method has been useful for obtaining short-term projections of AIDS incidence and estimating previous HIV prevalence. If the density of the incubation periods is known, together with the AIDS incidence, we can estimate historical HIV infections and forecast AIDS incidence in any time period up to time t. In this paper, we estimated the number of HIV infections and AIDS incidence according to the distribution of various incubation periods Results : The cumulative numbers of HIV infection from 1991 to 1996 were $708{\sim}1,426$ in Weibull distribution and $918{\sim}1,980$ in Gamma distribution. The projected AIDS incidence in 1997 was $16{\sim}25$ in Weibull distribution and $13{\sim}26$ in Gamma distribution. Conclusions : The estimated cumulative HIV infections from 1991 to 1996 were $1.4{\sim}4.0$ times more than notified cumulative HIV infections. Additionally, the projected AIDS incidence in 1997 was less than the notified AIDS cases. The reason for this underestimation derives from the very low level of HIV prevalence in Korea, further research is required for the distribution of the incubation period of HIV infection in Korea, particularly for the effects of combination treatments.

Validity of Self-Reported Height, Weight, and Body Mass Index of the Korea Youth Risk Behavior Web-Based Survey Questionnaire

  • Bae, Ji-Suk;Joung, Hyo-Jee;Kim, Jong-Yeon;Kwon, Kyoung-Nam;Kim, Yoon-Jung;Park, Soon-Woo
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
    • /
    • v.43 no.5
    • /
    • pp.396-402
    • /
    • 2010
  • Objectives: Self-reported anthropometric values, such as height and weight, are used to calculate body mass index (BMI) and assess the prevalence of obesity among adolescents. The aim of this study was to evaluate the validity of selfreported height, weight, and BMI of the Korea Youth Risk Behavior Web-based Survey questionnaire. Methods: A convenience sample of 137 middle school students and 242 high school students completed a selfadministered questionnaire in 2008. Body height and weight were directly measured after self-reported values were obtained from the questionnaire survey. Sensitivity, specificity, and kappa statistics were computed in order to evaluate the validity of the prevalence of obesity (BMI $\geq$ 95th percentile or $\geq$ $25;kg/$m^2$) based on self-reported data. Results: Self-reported weight and BMI tended to be underestimated. Self-reported height tended to be overestimated among middle school females and high school males. Obese adolescents tended to underestimate their weight and BMI and overestimate their height more than non-obese adolescents. The prevalence estimate of obesity based on selfreported data (10.6%) was lower than that based on directly measured data (15.3%). The estimated sensitivity of obesity based on self-reported data was 69.0% and the specificity was 100.0%. The value of kappa was 0.79 (95% confidence interval, 0.70 - 0.88). Conclusions: This study demonstrated that self-reported height and weight may lead to the underestimation of BMI and consequently the prevalence of obesity. These biases should be taken into account when self-reported data are used for monitoring the prevalence and trends of obesity among adolescents nationwide.

Weight-related Perceptions, Practices and Eating Behaviors of Middle School Students: Associations with BMI (일부 중학생의 체중에 따른 체중인식, 체중조절 및 식행동에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Ji-Eun;Min, Hye-Sun
    • Korean Journal of Community Nutrition
    • /
    • v.13 no.1
    • /
    • pp.13-23
    • /
    • 2008
  • This study investigated the association between the weight status of middle school students and the various weight-related characteristics including desired weight, weight perception, weight-related practice, physical activity, and overeating behavior. Questionnaires were administered to 473 middle school students (178 boys and 295 girls) in Daejeon. Boys and girls were divided into three groups respectively; (1) underweight (BMI<$5^{th}$ percentile) (2) normal weight ($5^{th}$ percentile$\leq$BMI<$85^{th}$ percentile) (3) overweight (BMI$\leq85^{th}$ percentile). Using BMI calculated from measured height and weight, 14.0% of boys and 6.8% of girls were underweight, and 16.3% of boys and 14.2% of girls were overweight. However, among this sample of students, 38.4% of boys and 13.6% of girls perceived themselves as underweight and 29.4% of boys and 44.9% of girls perceived themselves as overweight. We found that overweight students reported their body weights lower and their heights higher compared to non-overweight students, resulting in an underestimation of BMI. Based on desired BMI, 79.9% of the girls desired to be underweight and 73.0% of the boys desired to be normal weight. Overweight or normal weight students were less satisfied with their body weights than underweight students. Girls had more weight control experience and concern compared to boys. Overweight girls spent longer times in watching TV compared to non-overweight girls (p < 0.001) and had more overeating behaviors (p < 0.05). Overweight students reported that they ate snacks less frequently than non-overweight students, which may be due to their tendency to report less eating. In conclusion, significant gender differences and weight status differences existed in weight perception, weight satisfaction, and weight control experience and concern. Because perception of overweight is likely to lead to unhealthy eating behaviors and weight control, efforts for adolescents to improve accuracy of weight perceptions and to understand the benefits of being healthier are needed.

Seasonal Forecasting of Tropical Storms using GloSea5 Hindcast (기후예측시스템(GloSea5) 열대성저기압 계절예측 특성)

  • Lee, Sang-Min;Lee, Jo-Han;Ko, A-Reum;Hyun, Yu-Kyung;Kim, YoonJae
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.30 no.3
    • /
    • pp.209-220
    • /
    • 2020
  • Seasonal predictability and variability of tropical storms (TCs) simulated in the Global Seasonal Forecast System version 5 (GloSea5) of the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) is assessed in Northern Hemisphere in 1996~2009. In the KMA, the GloSea5-Global Atmosphere version 3.0 (GloSea5-GA3) that was previously operated was switched to the GloSea5-Global Coupled version 2.0 (GloSea5-GC2) with data assimilation system since May 2016. In this study, frequency, track, duration, and strength of the TCs in the North Indian Ocean, Western Pacific, Eastern Pacific, and North Atlantic regions derived from the GloSea5-GC2 and GloSea5-GA3 are examined against the best track data during the research period. In general, the GloSea5 shows a good skill for the prediction of seasonally averaged number of the TCs in the Eastern and Western Pacific regions, but underestimation of those in the North Atlantic region. Both the GloSea5-GA3 and GC2 are not able to predict the recurvature of the TCs in the North Western Pacific Ocean (NWPO), which implies that there is no skill for the prediction of landfalls in the Korean peninsula. The GloSea5-GC2 has higher skills for predictability and variability of the TCs than the GloSea5-GA3, although continuous improvements in the operational system for seasonal forecast are still necessary to simulate TCs more realistically in the future.