• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.35 no.2
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• pp.107-131
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• 2013

In this paper, we test and estimate the stochastic non-fundamental trend in Korean stock market. For this, following Kim (2011), we exploit that the long-run equilibrium stock price may be decomposed into fundamental and stochastic non-fundamental trends (i.e., the sum of dividend innovations and a part that are orthogonal with the dividend innovations) by using the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition and projections. In this VAR construction, there is an error correction mechanism through which stock prices converge to their long-run equilibrium, which also contain the stated stochastic non-fundamental trend as well as fundamental trend. The estimation and test results using yearly data from the Korea (1976-2012) indicated that fluctuations in stock prices during that period can be explained mainly not by the stochastic non-fundamental trend but by the dividend trend. However, during some periods like after Seoul Olympic Games, we may observe the non-fundamental trend affected to the stock price variation.

• Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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• v.30 no.2
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• pp.148-158
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• 2014

In order to assess the effect of TMDLs management and improve that in the future, it is necessary to analyze long-term changes in water quality during management period. Therefore, long term trend analysis of BOD was performed on thirty monitoring stations in Geum River TMDL unit watersheds. Nonparametric trend analysis method was used for analysis as the water quality data are generally not in normal distribution. The monthly median values of BOD during 2004~2010 were analyzed by Seasonal Mann-Kendall test and LOWESS(LOcally WEighted Scatter plot Smoother). And the effect of Total Maximum Daily Loads(TMDLs) management on water quality changes at each unit watershed was analyzed with the result of trend analysis. The Seasonal Mann-Kendall test results showed that BOD concentrations had the downward trend at 10 unit watersheds, upward trend at 4 unit watersheds and no significant trend at 16 unit watersheds. And the LOWESS analysis showed that BOD concentration began to decrease after mid-2009 at almost all of unit watersheds having no trend in implementation plan watershed. It was estimated that TMDLs improved water quality in Geum River water system and the improvement of water quality was made mainly in implementation plan unit watershed and tributaries.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.46 no.6
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• pp.667-681
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• 2013

In this study, monthly and seasonal dissolved oxygen trends of 19 water quality measurement stations in Sapgyo stream watershed were analyzed using monthly dissolved oxygen (DO) data measured for 16 years (1995~2010). Mann-Kendall trend test and Sen's slope estimator were carried out for trend analysis. Furthermore, Sapgyo stream watershed was divided into four different sections (Sapgyo stream, Muhan stream, Gykgyo stream, and Sapgyo lake) and chi-square test of homogeneity for DO trend was carried out for four different sections. The study results indicated that most of water quality measurement stations showed increasing or non-significant trend of DO on a monthly and seasonal basis. The chi-square test of homogeneity for each water quality measurement station showed the statistical homogeneity in seasonal DO trend; however, the test results showed the statistical non-homogeneity in monthly DO trend for the stations located in the reservoir. Overall, the dissolved oxygen trend in each water quality measurement station showed different patterns depending on the location of each station and season.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
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• v.31 no.2 s.161
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• pp.217-224
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• 2007

This paper investigated spring/summer fabric trends of women's and analyzed the correlation between the fabric trends and finishing for 10 years (1995 S/S-2004 S/S). Fabric trend terms were selected from 5 fashion journals and were grouped by hierarchical cluster analysis using SPSS 12.0 statistical package. Also, finishing terms were selected and analyzed by frequency. The results showed that 13 representative fabric trend terms were clean, functional, lustrous, compact, rubbery, comfortable, chic, romantic, decorative, natural, fluid, textured, and ethnic trend. In terms of fabric finishing, 12 representative finishing were selected such as coating, calendaring, wrinkle finishing, decorative finishing, quilting, and washing. Finally, in respect of the analysis of fabric trends and finishing, washing and embroidery were used to represent ethnic trends and textured fabric was closely correlated wrinkle and decorative finishing. Fluid fabrics were expressed via wrinkle and coating and washing and wrinkle were used for natural feeling. Decorative fabric was expressed by embroidery and coating and decorative finishing were frequently used to show romantic and chic fabric. Also comfortable fabrics were correlated with easy care and rubbery, compact, lustrous, and clean fabrics were correlated with coating.

• Ocean and Polar Research
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• v.28 no.4
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• pp.415-423
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• 2006

Interannual variation and long-term trends of coastal sea surface temperature (SST) in Korea were investigated by analyzing 27 coastal SST time series from 1969 to 2004. Long-term linear increasing trend was remarkable with the rate over $0.02^{\circ}C/year$ at almost all the stations. The slope of long-term linear trend was larger at the stations along the eastern coast than in the western and southern regions. It was also noticeable that there was a common tendency of interannual variability with the period of 3-5 years at most of the stations. SST was lower in the 1970's and early 1980's while it was higher in the 1990's and early 2000's after the increase in the late 1980's. The pattern of the interannual variability of SST was similar to that of air temperature. Increasing trend of minimum SST in winter was obvious at most stations na it was larger along the eastern coast, while the linear trend of maximum SST in summer was less definite. Therefore, the decreasing tendency of annual amplitude was mainly due to the increasing tendency of SST in winter.

• Culinary science and hospitality research
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• v.12 no.3 s.30
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• pp.32-48
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• 2006

Korean Traditional Confectionary is a part of our traditional culture taking a great part in our food culture for a while. However, it is now barely maintaining its name. In this research, a new consumption trend 'Well-being' is adopted to suggest the ways to develop the Korean Traditional Confectionary industry. This research intends to find out what effects the 'Well-being' trend, which originated from interest in health, have on Korean Traditional Confectionary selection. A survey includes the questions about the Well-being trend, selection and uses of Korean Traditional Confectionary, and demographic data. This research conducted analysis on 249 people who have used Korean Traditional Confectionary in Busan and Kyeongnam Province to find out effects of the Well-being trend on Korean Traditional Confectionary selection. This empirical study showed that the Well-being trend has some effects on Korean Traditional Confectionary selection while it has the greatest effects on healthy properties and commercial values of Korean Traditional Confectionary.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Fashion and Beauty
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• v.2 no.2 s.2
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• pp.1-11
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• 2004

The purpose of this study was to analyze the hair style trend in the respect of fashion trend in 1960s. The study also attempted if there were significant influences to current hair designers and hair styles as beehive, mods hair, short cut. geometric cut, wigs, natural hair, unisex hair. This study is a descriptive study, involving the collection of picture data and examine the art of the 1960's. Because 1960's is a revolutionary decade in the way of living and fashion trend. This study also adopted review of literature and analysis of magazines. 1960's was a period of major street fashion as Mods, Jackie Look, Miniskirt, Pop Art, Op Art Look, Space Look, Hippie Look, Unisex Look. The results of this study can be summarized as follows: 1) A review of literature had shown that little or no studies for an in depth analysis of 1960's fashion trend and hair design. 2) During the sixties, the trend of fashion and hair style were remarkable change in the way of living. 3) There were strong influences hair styles of 1960's until today.

• Journal of Fashion Business
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• v.6 no.2
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• pp.110-123
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• 2002

This study investigated the influence of cultural and general trend of the times on fashion trends and the hybridization of these trends. The objectives of this study were to suggest new approach method of the fashion forecasting and to find out the cultural meanings and values of fashion. Key words that explains fashion trend from spring/summer of 1995 to fall/winter of 2002 were collected from professional fashion trend journals. These terms were analysed with domain analysis based on the semantic relationship. The frequency of their appearance in each season and the aspect of their appearance in each season were analysed. The hybrids of the fashion trends were analysed longitudinally and cross-sectionally as well by investigating the cover terms that were found as a result of domain analysis. The method used in this study can be applied to future study of fashion trend in that it offers an objective view of fashion trend and can allow researchers to study fashion trend in a concrete way.

• The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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• v.21 no.7
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• pp.641-647
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• 2002

In this paper, we propose the reduction method of the number of parameters in the segmental-feature HMM using trend quantization method. The proposed method shares the trend information of the polynomial trajectories by quantization. The trajectory is obtained by the sequence of feature vectors of speech signals and can be divided by trend and location information. The trend indicates the variation of consequent frame features, while the location points to the positional difference of the trajectories. Since the trend occupies the large portion of SFHMM, if the trend is shared, the number of parameters maybe decreases. To exploit the proposed system the experiments are performed on TIMIT corpus. The experimental results show that the performance of the proposed system is roughly similar to that of previous system. Therefore, the proposed system can be considered one of parameter reduction method.

• Korean Institute of Interior Design Journal
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• v.15 no.6 s.59
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• pp.238-246
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• 2006

Recent trends of interior design have a focus on creation of more various meanings rather than past ideology which sought after the compatibility to the function of modem design. These trends requires integral understanding of social and cultural ideologies with a sens of values for a certain periods. In addition, they also require creativity which able to read, find and solve consumer's diverse demand and desire. Considering the effort of trend forecasting in Korea is still heavily rely on the foreign trend shows, it is natural to attempt to study the analytical forecasting methodology based upon more systematic principles which lead to more objective outcome, when the understanding, forcasting and analysis of interior decoration trend are required. In this thesis, the analysis and forecasting of interior decoration trend are studied by means of verbal image code process which involves the induction of design concept through data extraction, classification and analysis, in order to understanding and satisfying the diversified consumer's demand and trend. The coding process of verbal image is understanding as general concept. by extracting common elements from abstract and individual image, and/or specific concept. Therefore, it is proposed that the database building and data mining process of verbal Image, and subsequent development of programming skill can be applied as more efficient tool for various verbal image process.