• Title/Summary/Keyword: travel time estimation

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Development of Vehicle Queue Length Estimation Model Using Deep Learning (딥러닝을 활용한 차량대기길이 추정모형 개발)

  • Lee, Yong-Ju;Hwang, Jae-Seong;Kim, Soo-Hee;Lee, Choul-Ki
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.39-57
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study was to construct an artificial intelligence model that learns and estimates the relationship between vehicle queue length and link travel time in urban areas. The vehicle queue length estimation model is modeled by three models. First of all, classify whether vehicle queue is a link overflow and estimate the vehicle queue length in the link overflow and non-overflow situations. Deep learning model is implemented as Tensorflow. All models are based DNN structure, and network structure which shows minimum error after learning and testing is selected by diversifying hidden layer and node number. The accuracy of the vehicle queue link overflow classification model was 98%, and the error of the vehicle queue estimation model in case of non-overflow and overflow situation was less than 15% and less than 5%, respectively. The average error per link was about 12%. Compared with the detecting data-based method, the error was reduced by about 39%.

Calculation of the Peak-hour Ratio for Road Traffic Volumes using a Hybrid Clustering Technique (혼합군집분석 기법을 이용한 도로 교통량의 첨두율 산정)

  • Kim, Hyung-Joo;Chang, Justin S.
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.19-30
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    • 2012
  • The majority of daily travel demands concentrate at particular time-periods, which causes the difficulties in the travel demand analysis and the corresponding benefit estimation. Thus, it is necessary to consider time-specific traffic characteristics to yield more reliable results. Traditionally, na$\ddot{i}$ve, heuristic, and statistical approaches have been applied to address the peak-hour ratio. In this study, a hybrid clustering model which is one of the statistical methods is applied to calculate the peak-hour ratio and its duration. The 2009 national 24-hour traffic data provided by the Korea institute of Construction Technology are used. The analysis is conducted dividing vehicle types into passenger cars and trucks. For the verification for the usefulness of the methodology, the toll collection system data by the Korea Express Corporation are collected. The result of the research shows lower errors during the off-peak hours and night times and increasing error ratios as the travel distance increases. Since the method proposed can reduce the arbitrariness of analysts and can accommodate the statistical significance test, the model could be considered as a more robust and stable methodology. It is hoped that the result of this paper could contribute to the enhancement of the reliability for the travel demand analysis.

Analysing Potential Improvement of Public Transit Services in OD Level Using Time-Distance Accessibility and Smartcard Traffic Volume (시간거리 접근성과 교통카드 기반 통행량을 이용한 OD별 잠재적 대중교통 서비스 개선량 분석)

  • YANG, Hyun-Jae;NAM, Hyun-Woo;JUN, Chul-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.80-93
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    • 2018
  • Public transit services are generally analyzed based on the correlation of demand and supply. The computation of supply uses accessibility while demand uses travel demands estimation based on residential population. However, the traditional demand estimation has a limitation in analysing in micro-scale compared to the smartcard data traffic. This study analyzed potential improvement of public transit services using smartcard traffic data. The supply of transportation was defined using time distance accessibility. Also, time loss was calculated in those origin destination(OD) pairs where time distance accessibilities are relatively low. The proposed method was applied at Seoul. The results showed that the areas where OD pairs need improvement include Seodaemun-gu, Guro-gu and Nowon-gu.

Analysis method for the Measured Track Geometry Data using Wavelet Transform (웨이브렛 변환을 이용한 궤도틀림 분석)

  • Lee, In-Kyu;Kim, Sung-Il;Yeo, In-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.9 no.2 s.33
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    • pp.187-192
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    • 2006
  • The regularity of railway track alignment is a crucial component fur maintaining travel safety and the smoothness of passenger ride. The conventional spectral analysis has been considered to estimate the severity of the track irregularity from measured data. The time domain data used to be changed into the frequency domain by Fourier transform. Because the measuring points can be regarded as the time points, the spatial-frequency can be introduced instead of the time-frequency. Although FFT(Fast Fourier Transform) and/or PSD(Power Spectral Density) function could provide fairly localized information within frequency domain, but chronical configurations of data could be missed. In this study, we attempt to apply the Morlet wavelet transform for the purpose of a frequency-time-domain analysis rather than a frequency-domain analysis. The applicability of wavelet transform is examined for the estimation of the track irregularity with real measured track data on the section of Kyoung-bu line by EM-120 measuring vehicle. It is shown that the wavelet transform can be an effective tool to manage the track irregularity.

A Study for Estimation of Link Travel Time Using Chaos Theory (카오스이론을 이용한 링크통행시간 산정)

  • 노승만;이인원
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.115-126
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    • 1999
  • Past nears many Studies have been described for present state and forecasted for the future phenomena in various areas. Many theories and methodologies in transportation have been developed and applied by researchers and planners. On the other hand, many theories and methodologies had disappeared caused by their critical limitations. One of this cause that was discovered of the Chaos in traffic flows. The occurrence of Chaos in traffic flows has affected to the traffic volume and decreased significancy of a simulation result of a specific traffic flow. According to this fact, long-term forecast of traffic flow is difficult, moreover a butterfly effect impedes development and establishment of transportation model. A methodology to solve Chaos character in traffic flow can be able to provide more effective transport planning. This study tackles to enhance and revise the existing theories for the traffic flow applying Chaos theory to estimating travel time.

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Methodology for Determining RSE Spacing for Vehicle-Infrastructure Integration(VII) Based Traffic Information System (Focused on Uninterrupted Traffic Flow) (차량-인프라 연계(VII) 기반 교통정보시스템의 RSE 설치간격 결정 방법론 (연속류를 중심으로))

  • Park, Jun-Hyeong;O, Cheol;Im, Hui-Seop;Gang, Gyeong-Pyo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.29-44
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    • 2009
  • A variety of research efforts, using advanced wireless communication technologies, have been made to develop more reliable traffic information system. This study presents a novel decentralized traffic information system based on vehicle infrastructure integration (VII). A major objective of this study was also to devise a methodology for determining appropriate spacing of roadside equipment (RSE) to fully exploit the benefits of the proposed VII-based traffic information system. Evaluation of travel time estimation accuracy was conducted with various RSE spacings and the market penetration rates of equipped vehicle. A microscopic traffic simulator, VISSIM, was used to obtain individual vehicle travel information for the evaluation. In addition, the ANOVA tests were conducted to draw statistically significant results of simulation analyses in determining the RSE spacing. It is expected that the proposed methodology will be a valuable precursor to implementing capability-enhanced next generation traffic information systems under the forthcoming ubiquitous transportation environment.

A Study for Optimized Detecter Location Considering the Traffic Characteristics in National Highway (일반국도 통행특성을 고려한 지점검지기의 적정설치지점 선정에 관한 연구)

  • Byeon, Sang-Cheol;Lee, Seung-Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.2 s.88
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    • pp.19-30
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    • 2006
  • This study deals with the optimized detector location considering the traffic characteristics in National Highway. Although there ave many construction works for ITS in National Highway, there is not specific criteria for detector location which can effect the accuracy of traffic information. This study. therefore. aims to Provide the optimized detector location criteria which can represent the traffic characteristics of National Highway. It collects traffic factors of study area by GPS Probe-car and defector, and Presents the optimized detector location by the correlation analysis between spot-speed and link-travel-time. The main results of this study are as followings ; First, the correlation between the spot-speed and link-travel-time Presents the opposite bell shape of the graph (U-type owe) which is increased it?on the upstream then, declined through some unspecified Point of the link. Second, the optimized detector location usually distributes around midstream of link, even though it does not have a consistency. Third, therefore, the optimized detector location generally should be located between $55{\sim}60%$ of total link length. Forth. high level of vertical slope is one of the most important factors of detector location, so it should be excluded for determination of optimized detector location. Finally, expecting that the results of this study would improve the accuracy of travel time estimation and forecasting.

Dynamic Estimation of Travel Time by Block Density Method (블록밀도법을 이용한 동적통행시간 예측)

  • 정헌영
    • Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.3-10
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    • 1998
  • 본 연구에서는 동적통행시간예측을 위한 하나의 방법으로 블록밀도법을 도입하여 가로상의 일정한 구간을 세분화하고 몇 개의 블록으로 분할한 후 교통류를 유체근사화시키고 각 블록의 밀도를 일정시간 마다 갱신해 나가는 방법을 채택하였다. 즉, 각 블록에서 주어진 밀도의 초기치와 최하류부의 블록에서 유출교통량을 이용하여 일정시간 간격으로 모든 블록에서의 밀도를 수정해 가는 유체의 연속방정식의 개념을 도입하였다. 또한, 본 연구에서는 첨단교통시스템에 적용될 동적통행시간 예측을 위해 기존의 연속교통류만을 대상으로 하던 것에서 벗어나 신호등을 포함한 단속교통류를 대상으로 하였다. 또한 교통류의 저밀도 구간과 고밀도 구간을 분리하여 Ele복합모형을 적용하여 교통류를 해석하고 가급적 실제 상황과 유사하게 근접시키고자 하였다. 이 이론을 근거로 구축된 모델에 실제 현장에서 얻어진 교통량, 밀도, 속도 등의 자료들을 투입하고 통행시간의 예측을 도모하였다.

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Reflection travel time tomography using blocky parameterization

  • Kim Wonsik;Hong Soonduk;Shin Changsoo;Yang Seungjin
    • Proceedings of the KSEEG Conference
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    • 2002.04a
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    • pp.163-166
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    • 2002
  • Initial velocity model close to real velocity structure of the subsurface governs the quality of image of prestack depth migration. Geophysicists employ velocity estimation tools such as velocity analysis (curvature method, coherency inversion), tomography and waveform inversion. We present a reflection tomography that parameterizes the subsurface into the movable blocks. By interpreting the depth-migrated section or stacked section, we can design an initial constant velocity model having only impedance boundaries. We use shooting-raytracing method that allows us to calculate the Jacobian-matrix efficiently.

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A Data Fusion Algorithm for Link Travel Time Estimation (링크 통행시간 추정을 위한 데이터 퓨젼 알고리즘의 개발)

  • 최기수;정연식
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.177-195
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    • 1998
  • 지능형교통체계(ITS:Intellegent Transport System)의 구현을 위한 가장 중요한 요소중의 하나는 교통정보의 생성이다. 교통정보의 생성은 루프 검지기, 폐쇄회로(CCTV), probe 차량, 경찰, 통신원 등을 수집된 제보자료들을 분석 및 가공함으로써 이루어진다. 그러나 이들 수집원은 주어진 시간에 있어 모든 네트웍을 통해서 자료가 완전히 수집되어지는 것은 아니다. 즉, 특정 지역에 수집원이 몰려 있는 경우가 있는 반면, 전혀 수집되어지지 않는 지역이 발생할 수도 있다. 이러한 공간적인 불균형적 특성은 동시에 발생한 다량의 자료를 처리하는 기술과 자료가 수집되지 않은 지역에 대한 처리기술을 요하게 된다. 본 논문은 전술한 바와 같은 사항에 대하여 ITS의 진행 단계별로 드러날 수 있는 문제점을 검토하고, 자료통합에 대한 일반적인 개념을 우선 설명한다. 다음에 특정시각에 주어진 자료의 통합을 위해 퍼지선형회귀모형(fuzzy linear regression model)과 데이터 퓨전(data fusion)기법의 내용을 소개하고, 신뢰성있는 단일 교통정보생성을 위한 테이터 퓨전 알고리즘을 제시한다. 또한 제시된 알고리즘을 토대로 가상의 자료를 이용하여 적용가능 봉? 타진해 보았다. 제시되어진 알고리즘은 향후 교통정보 수집환경이 어느 정도 형성된다고 볼 때, 예측치와 실측자료간의 자료검증을 통하여 신뢰도를 가질 경우 보다 광범위하게 사용되어질 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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