• 대한교통학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한교통학회 1995년도 제27회 학술발표회
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• pp.84-98
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• 1995

Network-based model were developed to predict short term future traffic volume based on current traffic, historical average, and upstream traffic. It is presumed that upstream traffic volume can be used to predict the downstream traffic in a specific time period. Three models were developed for traffic flow prediction; a combination of historical average and upstream traffic, a combination of current traffic and upstream traffic, and a combination of all three variables. The three models were evaluated using regression analysis. The third model is found to provide the best prediction for the analyzed data. In order to balance the variables appropriately according to the present traffic condition, a heuristic adaptive weighting system is devised based on the relationships between the beginning period of prediction and the previous periods. The developed models were applied to 15-minute freeway data obtained by regular induction loop detectors. The prediction models were shown to be capable of producing reliable and accurate forecasts under congested traffic condition. The prediction systems perform better in the 15-minute range than in the ranges of 30-to 45-minute. It is also found that the combined models usually produce more consistent forecasts than the historical average.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.1-10
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• 1989

교량에 발생하는 응력이력은 교통류(traffic flow)의 성질에 따라 변하며, 교통류는 차종규성율, 차량중량, 차두시간간격(headway time)등에 따라 다르기 때문에 교량과 같은 휨부재에서 교통류에 의한 응력이력을 추정하기 위해서는 통계적 해석이 필요하며, 이것을 파괴역학에 적용함으로서 구조물의 잔존수명을 추정할 수 있을 것이다. 본 연구에서는 1)교통류의 불규칙성을 해석하기 위하여 차종구성율, 차량중량, 차두시간간격등을 통계적으로 분석 2)실제 교량에서의 응력이력의 측정과 분석 3)차종구성율, 차량중량, 차두시간간격을 확률변수로한 Monte Carlo 시뮬레이션에 의한 응력이력의 재현 4)실측 응력이력과 시뮬레이션한 응력이력의 비교 5)대상교량의 감소계수(reduction factor)의 계산 6)지간길이 변화에 따른 응력범위발생빈도의 비교등을 행하였다. 그 결과 시뮬레이션에 의한 응력이력 추정방법과 구조물의 잔존피로수명 예측에 필요한 기본적인 모형화된 응력이력을 제시하였다.

• 한국인터넷방송통신학회논문지
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• 제22권6호
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• pp.13-20
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• 2022

겨울철 도로에서 발생하는 안개 및 결빙구간 교통사고 사망률의 경우는 도로조건 및 기상조건이 매우 중요한 요소 이다. 본 논문에서는 교통사고 예측 데이터를 가정하고 교통사고 위험율을 에측 하는 모의실험을 수행하였다. 그뿐만 아니라, 본 논문에서는 교통사고를 줄이고 교통사고를 예방하기 위해서, 교통공단에서 제공하는 교통사고 사망자 데이터를 WEKA 데이터 마이닝 기법 및 TENSOR FLOW 공개 소스를 이용해서 요인 분석 및 교통사고 치사율 사망을 예측하였다. 추가적인 기능으로는 지도 표시 기능을 이용해서, 운전자가 WEB 기반에서, 안개 및 결빙구간 정보를 운전자에게 제공하는 모의실험 및 교통사고 사진을 실시간으로 전송하는 모의실험 결과를 설명하였다.

• 한국항만학회지
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.333-350
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• 1999

Today freeway is thought to be a very important transportation facility carrying tremendous traffic flow as the main corridor within the area of between the areas. However freeway is experiencing severe congestion and accidents by increased entrance ramp flow especially at peak time period. Ramp meters on the freeway entrance ramps that supply traffic to the freeway in a measured or appropriately regulated amount are needed for alleviating freeway congestion. Because ramp meters can be operated to discharge traffic at a measured or regulated rate thus maintaining more uniform speed on the mainline section maximizing the throughput to the freeway within the capacity of a downstream bottleneck and reducing the congestion related accidents. Thus the objectives in this study were to analyze the traffic characteristics on the freeway I-94 with ramp metering system before/after ITS technology in Detroit (Michigan) area compare shifts of the traffic characteristics on the freeway I-94 before/after ITS technology and finally suggest a better ramp metering strategy for the freeway system The following results were obtained: i)Flow occupancies and speeds on the mainline merge section of freeway were shown to be a big difference depending on the peak periods areas and directions based on the distribution of traffic flow characteristics on the freeway. ii)Reduced speed was shown to be more than 5 mph and ramp flow was also shown to be more than 240 vph at peak periods if there was the ramp metering system constructed on the freeway. iii)Ramp metering system was shown to be optimally operated on the freeway if ramp flow could be maximized within the range of over 900 vph and reduced occupancy could be also maximized by no more than 2 percent at peak periods. iv)The average flows on the freeway after the ITS technology were shown to be a decrease of over 20% depending on the peak periods areas and directions when compared with those flow on the freeway before the ITS technology. over 20% depending on the peak periods areas and directions when compared with those speeds on the freeway before the ITS technology. vi)The average metering rates on the freeway after the ITS technology were shown to be an increase of over 10% depending on the peak periods areas and directions when compared with those metering rates on the freeway before the ITS technology.

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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• 제8권4호
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• pp.1307-1323
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• 2014

With the exhaustion of global IPv4 addresses, IPv6 technologies have attracted increasing attentions, and have been deployed widely. Meanwhile, new applications running over IPv6 networks will change the traditional traffic characteristics obtained from IPv4 networks. Traditional models obtained from IPv4 cannot be used for IPv6 network monitoring directly and there is a need to investigate those changes. In this paper, we explore the flow features of IPv6 traffic and compare its difference with that of IPv4 traffic from flow level. Firstly, we analyze the differences of the general flow statistical characteristics and users' behavior between IPv4 and IPv6 networks. We find that there are more elephant flows in IPv6, which is critical for traffic engineering. Secondly, we find that there exist many one-way flows both in the IPv4 and IPv6 traffic, which are important information sources for abnormal behavior detection. Finally, in light of the challenges of analyzing massive data of large-scale network monitoring, we propose a group flow model which can greatly reduce the number of flows while capturing the primary traffic features, and perform a comparative measurement analysis of group users' behavior dynamic characteristics. We find there are less sharp changes caused by abnormity compared with IPv4, which shows there are less large-scale malicious activities in IPv6 currently. All the evaluation experiments are carried out based on the traffic traces collected from the Northwest Regional Center of CERNET (China Education and Research Network), and the results reveal the detailed flow characteristics of IPv6, which are useful for traffic management and anomaly detection in IPv6.

• 대한교통학회지
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.101-116
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• 1996

Increased attention has been paid in recent years to the need of traffic management for alleviating urban traffic congestion. This paper presents a discrete event modeling and simulation framework for analyzing the traffic flow. Traffic simulation models can be classified as being either microscopic and macroscopic models. The discrete event modeling and simulation technique can be basically employed to describe the macroscopic traffic simulation model. To do this, we have employed the System Entity Structure/Model Base (SES/MB) framework which integrates the dynamic-based formalism of simulation with the symbolic formalism of AI. The SES/MB framework supports to hierarchical, modular discrete event modeling and simulation environment. We also adopt the Symbolic DEVS (Discrete Event System Specification) to developed the automated analysis methodology for generating optimal signal light policy. Several simulation tests will demonstrates the techniques.

• 대한건축학회연합논문집
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• 제21권3호
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• pp.11-21
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• 2019

The purpose of this study was to present an analysis model for finding the correlation between visibility and evacuation time as users move in the outpatient department of the general hospital. The spatial scope of the study was limited to the first floor and second floor which are used for the outpatient department. Traffic density in outpatient departments was surveyed on site. Based on the surveyed traffic density, the evacuation simulation model was established for calculating the escape route and evacuation time for an individual user. The traffic density of the outpatient department as per the evacuation time was also calculated. With using evacuation simulations, the flow of evacuees was calculated through the density of traffic over the time of evacuation. Visibility data were set in the simulation model for users' escape routes. A correlation analysis between the product of evacuation flow measure and visibility measure of the evacuation population and evacuation time was performed. The analysis result showed negative correlation within a specific distance range. This study presented an analysis model showing that the evacuation condition considering spatial visibility in the outpatient department of general hospital visibility was negatively related to the analyzed evacuation time at the design stage.

• 한국통신학회논문지
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• 제36권6B호
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• pp.600-607
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• 2011

인터넷의 대중화로 네트워크 트래픽은 지속적으로 증가하고 복잡해지고 있다. 따라서 네트워크 자원의 효율적인 사용을 위한 응용 트래픽 분석의 중요성은 더욱 강조되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 기존 시그니쳐 기반의 인터넷 트래픽 분석 방법의 한계점을 극복하고 분석 경과의 성능 향상(분석률)을 위해 플로우 상관관계를 이용한 트래픽 분석 방법을 제안한다. 본 논문에서 제안하는 방법은 시그니쳐 기반 분석기의 결과를 입력 받아 분석된 플로우와 그렇지 않은 플로우을 간의 상관관계를 파악하고 이를 통해 분석되지 않은 플로우를 분석한다. 총 4가지(서버-클라이언트 발생 시간, 호스트-호스트, 통계) 세부 분석 방법과 이를 통합한 플로우 상관관계 기반 분석기를 제안한다. 또한 실험과 검증을 통하여 플로우 상관관계 기반 응용 분석 방법의 타당성을 증명한다.

• 대한교통학회지
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• 제29권2호
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• pp.7-14
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• 2011

본선 교통류 제어 방안 중 가변속도제어 모형을 제시하고 서울 내부순환로를 중심으로 효과를 검증하였다. 차량 검지기로부터 수집된 데이터 보정 및 평활화 수행후 패턴분석을 통해 도시고속도로의 평일 상태를 4가지로 분류하고 중심 값을 산출하였다. 그리고 분석단위의 상태를 판단하기 위한 상태변수로 전이교통량, 평균밀도, 평균속도를 설정하였으며 제시된 모형과 시나리오에 근거하여 검증한 결과 안전성 및 효율성을 향상시킬 수 있었다. 또한 유입교통량에 따라 가변속도제어의 감속 정도와 유효 적용시간을 산출하였다.