• Title/Summary/Keyword: torrential rainfall

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Development of probability distribution for simulation of monthly characteristics of torrential rainfall events (집중호우사상의 월별 발생특성 모의를 위한 확률분포 개발)

  • Kim, Sang Ug;Kim, Hyeong Bae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.246-246
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구에서는 최근 기후변화로 인한 집중호우의 발생횟수의 경향을 확률적으로 분석함에 있어 1개월 동안 80 mm/day 이상의 강우사상을 집중호우로 정의하여, 대구 및 부산 강우관측소로부터 수집된 384개월 동안의 집중호우를 분석하였다. 집중호우 월별 발생횟수와 같은 형식의 자료의 확률적 분석은 대개 Poisson 분포 (POI)가 사용되나 자료에 포함된 0자료의 과잉은 확률분포를 왜곡시키는 문제를 발생시킨다. 본 연구에서는 이 문제를 개선하기 위하여 개발된 일반화 Poisson 확률분포 (GPD), 0-과잉 Poisson 확률분포 (ZIP), 0-과잉 일반화 Poisson 확률분포 (ZIGP), Bayesian 0-과잉 일반화 Poisson 확률분포 (Bayesian ZIGP)를 집중호우 자료에 적용하고, 5개 모형의 특성을 비교분석하였으며, Bayesian ZIGP 모형의 구축에 있어서는 정보적 사전분포를 사용함으로써 모형의 정확도를 개선하였다. 분석결과 분석하고자 하는 자료에 0이 과다하게 포함되어 있는 경우 POI 및 GPD 분포는 관측결과와는 다른 결과를 제시하여 적절한 모형으로 고려되지 못함을 알 수 있었다. 5가지 모형 중 정보적 사전분포를 탑재한 Bayesian ZIGP 모형이 가장 관측 자료와 유사한 결과를 도출하였으나 모형의 구축에 수반되는 실용적인 측면을 고려하면 ZIP 모형도 충분히 사용될 수 있는 모형으로 추천되었다.

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Analysis of Flood Resilience of the Stormwater Management Using SWMM Model (SWMM 모델을 이용한 우수 관리 홍수 탄력성 분석)

  • Hwang, Soonho;Kim, Jaekyoung;Kang, Junsuk
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.126-126
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    • 2021
  • Stormwater reduction plays an important role in the safety and resilience to flooding in urban areas. Due to rapid climate change, the world is experiencing abnormal climate phenomena, and sudden floods and concentrated torrential rains are frequently occurring in urban basins and the amount of outflow due to stormwater increases. In addition, the damage caused by urban flooding and inundation due to extreme rainfall exceeding the events that occurred in the past increases. To solve this problem, water supply, drainage, and water supply for sustainable urban development, the water management paradigm is shifting from sewage maintenance to water circulation and water-sensitive cities. So, in this study, The purpose of this study is to examine measures to increase the resilience of urban ecosystem systems for urban excellence reduction by analyzing the effects of green infra structures and LID techniques and evaluating changes in resilience. In this study, for simulating and analysis of runoff for various stormwater patterns and LID applications, Storm Water Management Model (SWMM) was used.

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A Study for Characterization on Shallow Behavior of Soil Slope by Flume Experiments (토조실험 장치를 이용한 토사비탈면 표층거동 특성 연구)

  • Suk, Jae-wook;Park, Sung-Yong;Na, Geon-ha;Kang, Hyo-Sub
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.489-499
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    • 2018
  • A flume experiments was used to study the characteristics of the surface displacements and volumetric water contents (VWC) during torrential rain. The surface displacement and VWC of the granite weathered soil were measured for rainfall intensity (100, 200 mm/hr) and initial ground condition (VWC 7, 14, 26%). The test processes were also recorded by video cameras. According to the test results, The shallow failure is classified into three types: retrogressive failure, progressive failure and defined failure. In the case of retrogressive failure and progressive failure, relatively large damage could occur due to the feature that soil is deposited to the bottom of the slope. the shallow failure occurred when the VWC reached a certain value regardless of the initial soil condition. It was found that the shallow failure can be predicted through the increase patton of the VWC under the condition of the ground dry condition (VWC 7%) and the natural condition (VWC 14%). For high rainfall intensity, progressive failure predominated, and rainfall intensity above a certain level did not affect wetting front transition.

Inflow Estimation into Chungju Reservoir Using RADAR Forecasted Precipitation Data and ANFIS (RADAR 강우예측자료와 ANFIS를 이용한 충주댐 유입량 예측)

  • Choi, Changwon;Yi, Jaeeung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.8
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    • pp.857-871
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    • 2013
  • The interest in rainfall observation and forecasting using remote sensing method like RADAR (Radio Detection and Ranging) and satellite image is increased according to increased damage by rapid weather change like regional torrential rain and flash flood. In this study, the basin runoff was calculated using adaptive neuro-fuzzy technique, one of the data driven model and MAPLE (McGill Algorithm for Precipitation Nowcasting by Lagrangian Extrapolation) forecasted precipitation data as one of the input variables. The flood estimation method using neuro-fuzzy technique and RADAR forecasted precipitation data was evaluated. Six rainfall events occurred at flood season in 2010 and 2011 in Chungju Reservoir basin were used for the input data. The flood estimation results according to the rainfall data used as training, checking and testing data in the model setup process were compared. The 15 models were composed of combination of the input variables and the results according to change of clustering methods were compared and analysed. From this study was that using the relatively larger clustering radius and the biggest flood ever happened for training data showed the better flood estimation. The model using MAPLE forecasted precipitation data showed relatively better result at inflow estimation Chungju Reservoir.

Estimation of Daily Sewage and Direct Runoff for the Combined Sewer System of Gunja Experimental Drainage (군자 시험배수구역 합류식 하수관거시스템의 일일하수량 및 직접유출량 산정)

  • Kim, Chung-Soo;Han, Myoung-Sun;Kim, Hyoung-Seop
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.191-200
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    • 2009
  • A localized torrential rainfall and flash floods which are more frequently occurred by extraordinary atmospheric phenomena and rising sea surface temperature require more hydrological data collecting and analysis for small watershed. Urban watershed hydrological data monitoring system is needed because of big flood potential damage and lack of urban watershed hydrological data. Therefore, Urban Flood Disaster Management Research Center operates small experimental catchments(Sinnae1, Gunja, and Children's Park) observing and analyzing hydrological data(rainfall, stage, and discharge). In this study, the discharge of combined sewage for Gunja experimental drainage is analyzed with weekly data and day of the week data. Through several analyses in analyzing the urban runoff characteristics and managing the urban sewage system, direct runoff is calibrated and verified by the estimated values of rainfall-runoff model(SWMM).

Extraction of Landslide Risk Area using GIS (GIS를 이용한 산사태 위험지역 추출)

  • Park, Jae-Kook;Yang, In-Tae;Park, Hyeong-Geun;Kim, Tai-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.27-39
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    • 2008
  • Landslides cause enormous economic losses and casualties. Korea has mountainous regions and heavy slopes in most parts of the land and has consistently built new roads and large-scale housing complexes according to its industrial and urban growth. As a result, the damage from landslides becomes greater every year. In summer, landslides frequently occur due to local torrential rains and storms. It is critical to predict the potential areas of landslides in advance and to take preventive measures to minimize consequences and to protect property and human life. The previous study on landslides mostly focused on identifying the causes of landslides in the areas where they occurred, and on analyzing landslide vulnerability around the areas without considering rainfall conditions. Thus there were not enough evaluations of the direct risk of landslides to human life. In this study, potentially risky areas for landslides were identified using the GIS data in order to evaluate direct risk on farmlands, roads, and artificial structures that were closely connected to human life. A map of landslide risk was made taking into account rainfall conditions, and a land use map was also drawn with satellite images and digital maps. Both maps were used to identify potentially risky areas for landslides.

A Study on Inundation Analysis Considering Inland and River Flood (내수 및 외수영향을 고려한 침수해석에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Wan-Hee;Han, Kun-Yeun;Kim, Hyeon-Sik;Kim, Jin-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.74-89
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    • 2015
  • The objective of this study is to present countermeasures for mitigation of flood damage with inundation analysis considering the effect of inland and river flood and prediction of flood inundation area, depth and time against emergencies caused by abnormal flood and local torrential rainfall. In this study, 2-D inundation analysis was fulfilled on the basis of river flood analysis applying to HEC-HMS and FLDWAV model and inundation analysis applying to SWMM model for the area of Shineum-dong, Gimcheon-si. Also expected inundation depth and area about probable rainfall of 100 and 200 years frequency were suggested. If expected inundation depth and flooding area is presented on the basis of this inundation analysis considering the effect of inland and river flood, it would be an important preliminary data to establish structural and nonstructural countermeasures for flood prevention. Also if flood risk map is prepared based on the result of inundation analysis, it would be useful to evacuate residents in high-risk area and regulate road and vehicle.

A Study of Decision-making Support Method based on System Dynamics for Reservoir Risk Judgment (시스템 다이내믹스 기반의 저수지 위험판단 의사결정지원 방안 연구)

  • Duckgil Kim;Jiseong You;Hayoung Jang;Daewon Jang
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.279-284
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    • 2024
  • Recently, the frequency and intensity of torential rains caused by climate change are increasing, and the damage to reservoir collapse in local governments continues to occur. Most local government reservoirs are aged reservoirs that have been built for more than 50 years, and there is a high risk of collapse due to recent heavy rainfall. In order to prevent reservoir collapse or overflow caused by heavy rainfall, a decision-making support system that can judge risks due to changes in storage capacity is needed. In this study, a reservoir discharge simulation model was constructed using a system dynamics technique that can dynamically represent causal relationships between various variables. Through discharge simulation, the change in storage capacity due to rainfall was analyzed, and the operation time and termination time of the discharge facility to prevent overflow of the reservoir were analyzed. Using the results of this study, it is possible to determine the timing of the overflow of the reservoir due to torrential rain, and also the capacity and operation timing of the discharge facility to prevent overflow can be known. hrough this, it is expected that local governments will be able to judge the risk of damage to reservoirs and establish a preliminary response plan to prevent damage.

Analysis of Parameter Optimization Reflecting the Characteristics of Runoff in Small Mountain Catchment (소규모 산지 유역의 유출특성을 반영한 매개변수 최적화 분석)

  • Joungsung Lim;Hojin Lee
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.25 no.9
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    • pp.5-14
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    • 2024
  • In Korea, torrential rain frequency and intensity have surged over the past five years (2019-2023), breaking rainfall records. Due to insufficient observation facilities for rainfall and runoff data in small mountainous catchments, preparing for unexpected floods is challenging. This study examines the Bidogyo catchment in Goesan-gun, Chungcheongbuk-do, comparing design flood discharge calculated with optimized parameters versus standard guidelines. Using HEC-HMS and Q-GIS for model construction, five rainfall events were analyzed with data from the National Water Resources Management Information System. The time of concentration (Tc) and storage constant (K) were calculated using the Seokyeongdae formula and model optimization. Results showed that optimized parameters produced higher objective function values for flood events. The design flood discharge varied by -10.7% to 17.3% from the standard guidelines when using optimized parameters. Moreover, optimized parameters yielded flood discharges closer to observed values, highlighting limitations of the Seokyeongdae formula for all catchments. Further research aims to develop suitable parameter estimation methods for small mountainous catchments in Korea.

Effects on the Habitats Ecosystem of Benthic Macroinvertebrates by Construction of Torrential Structures (계상구조물의 설치가 저서성 대형무척추동물의 서식생태계에 미치는 영향)

  • Ma, Ho-Seop;Kang, Won-Seok;Won, Du-Hee
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.102 no.2
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    • pp.176-181
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    • 2013
  • The impacts of habitats changes of benthic macroinvertebrae species and individuals of the torrents due to construction of torrent structures can be summarized as follows. Approximately 16 to 40 species and 352 to 4,333.3 individuals of benthic macroinvertebrae were found around the local position of the torrent structures. Construction of torrential structures can increases the stability in the riverbed by preventing vertical corrosion and reducing the flow rate. However, if pond is created due to increase flow rate of rainfall, the temporal confusion of micro-habitats may lead to decrease in the number of species and induce reduced number of diversity as well as cause simplification in the community structure. Therefore, erosion control structures in torrent cause influence on the habitual ecosystem, though there are differences in the degree per distance depending on the types and heights of the structure. Before establishing torrent erosion control structure in mountainous torrent area, ecosystem status should be studied carefully from the planning stage and torrent habitats should be protected by deciding type, height and scale of structure, to minimize the influence on local habitants.