• Title/Summary/Keyword: time-series observation

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Indoor Air Condition Measurement and Regression Analysis System Through Sensor Measurement Device and Gated Recurrent Unit (센서 측정기와 회로형 순환 유닛(GRU)을 이용한 실내 공기 품질 측정 및 추세 예측 시스템)

  • Ahn, Jaehyun;Shin, Dongil;Kim, Kyuho;Yang, Jihoon
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.6 no.9
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    • pp.457-464
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    • 2017
  • Indoor air quality analysis is conducted to understand abnormal atmospheric phenomena and the external factor affecting indoor air quality. By recording indoor air quality measurements periodically, we are able to observe patterns in air quality. However, it difficult to predict the number of potential parameters, set parameters for a given observation and find the coefficients. Moreover, the results are time-dependent. Thus to address these issues, we introduce a microchip capable of periodically recording indoor air quality and a model that estimates atmospheric changes based on time series data.

Multivariate CUSUM Chart to Monitor Correlated Multivariate Time-series Observations (상관된 시계열 자료 모니터링을 위한 다변량 누적합 관리도)

  • Lee, Kyu Young;Lee, Mi Lim
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.539-550
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to propose a multivariate CUSUM control chart that can detect the out-of-control state fast while monitoring the cross- and auto- correlated multivariate time series data. Methods: We first build models to estimate the observation data and calculate the corresponding residuals. After then, a multivariate CUSUM chart is applied to monitor the residuals instead of the original raw observation data. Vector Autoregression and Artificial Neural Net are selected for the modelling, and Separated-MCUSUM chart is selected for the monitoring. The suggested methods are tested under a number of experimental settings and the performances are compared with those of other existing methods. Results: We find that Artificial Neural Net is more appropriate than Vector Autoregression for the modelling and show the combination of Separated-MCUSUM with Artificial Neural Net outperforms the other alternatives considered in this paper. Conclusion: The suggested chart has many advantages. It can monitor the complicated multivariate data with cross- and auto- correlation, and detects the out-of-control state fast. Unlike other CUSUM charts finding their control limits by trial and error simulation, the suggested chart saves lots of time and effort by approximating its control limit mathematically. We expect that the suggested chart performs not only effectively but also efficiently for monitoring the process with complicated correlations and frequently-changed parameters.

Use of Space-time Autocorrelation Information in Time-series Temperature Mapping (시계열 기온 분포도 작성을 위한 시공간 자기상관성 정보의 결합)

  • Park, No-Wook;Jang, Dong-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.432-442
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    • 2011
  • Climatic variables such as temperature and precipitation tend to vary both in space and in time simultaneously. Thus, it is necessary to include space-time autocorrelation into conventional spatial interpolation methods for reliable time-series mapping. This paper introduces and applies space-time variogram modeling and space-time kriging to generate time-series temperature maps using hourly Automatic Weather System(AWS) temperature observation data for a one-month period. First, temperature observation data are decomposed into deterministic trend and stochastic residual components. For trend component modeling, elevation data which have reasonable correlation with temperature are used as secondary information to generate trend component with topographic effects. Then, space-time variograms of residual components are estimated and modelled by using a product-sum space-time variogram model to account for not only autocorrelation both in space and in time, but also their interactions. From a case study, space-time kriging outperforms both conventional space only ordinary kriging and regression-kriging, which indicates the importance of using space-time autocorrelation information as well as elevation data. It is expected that space-time kriging would be a useful tool when a space-poor but time-rich dataset is analyzed.

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Estimation of Water Distributed Volume Using Time Series Analysis (시계열분석(時系列分析)에 의한 배수량추정(配水量推定))

  • Lee, Jung-Hwan;Chung, Chun-Ung;Oh, Min-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1992.07a
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    • pp.340-343
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    • 1992
  • In this paper, To estimate monthly water distribution volume required optimization control of operating scheme & water distribution management for water transmission system in water supply, both Thomas-Fiering technique and Fourier series are compared and analyzed, respectively. Since water distribution volume is periodically repeated and has a linear fluctuation trend, parameters in each element are estimated through dividing into linear fluctuation trend component and periodical component. Finally, results of time-series analysis are proved to be more reasonable than that of Thomas-Fiering techniques by comparing simulation with observation data.

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Stochastic Properties of Water Quality Variation in Downstream Part of Han River (한강 하류부의 수질변동에 대한 추계학적 특성(I) - 특히 뚝도 및 노량진 지점의 DO, 탁도, 수온의 변동을 중심으로 -)

  • 이홍근
    • Water for future
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.23-36
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    • 1982
  • The stochastic variations and structures of time series data on water quality were examined by employing the techniques of autocorrelation function, variance spectrum, Fourier series, autoregressive model and ARIMA model. These time series included hourly and daily observation on DO, turbidity, conductivity pH and water temperature. The measurement was made by automatic recording instrument at Noryangjin and Dook-do located in the downstream part of Han River during 1975 and 1976. Hourly water quality time series varied with the dominant 24-hour periodicity, and the 12-hour periodicity was also observed. An important factor affecting 24-hour periodic variation of DO is believed to be photosynthesis by algae. These phenomena might be attributable to periodic discharges of municipal sewage. Noryangjin site showed the more distinct 12-hour periodicity than Dook-do site did, and tidal effect might be responsible for the difference. The water quality, as measured by DO and turbidity, was better in the afternoon compared with the quality in the morning. This change can be explained by the periodic variation of DO, temperature and the amount of municipal wewage discharge. It was also observed that the water temperature at Noryangjin was higher than the temperature at Dook-do. This difference might have been caused by the pollutants that were added to the section between two sites. The correlation coefficients between some of the variables were fairly high. For example, the coefficient was -0.88 between DO and water temperature, 0.75 between turbidity and river flow, and 0.957 between water temperature and air temperature. The lag time of heat transfer from the air to the water was estimated as 24 days. The first order auto-regressive model was appropriate for explaning standardized hourly DO time series. The ARIMA model of (1, 0, 0) type provided relatively satisfactory results for daily DO time series after the removal of significant harmonic value.

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Time Series Analysis by Coastline Change Using Aerial Photographs (항공사진을 이용한 해안선 변화에 대한 시계열 분석)

  • Kim, Yong-Suk;Hong, Soon-Heon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.160-167
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    • 2007
  • Due to the drastic growth of national economy and the development of overall territory, the shapes of national land and coastal areas are changing from day to day. To detect such changes in lands and coasts efficiently, as well as to establish an appropriate usage plan, it is necessary to secure a monitoring system for coastal areas based on the observation and analysis of the change in coastlines. Currently, looking at the field of producing national coastlines, the lengths of coastlines are inaccurate due to the vague definition of dividing coastline boundaries and insufficient observation data. The level of accuracy and reliability of previous data are also in the very low. This paper used aerial photographs with certain intervals to monitor the change in coastal areas of Songjeong, Haeundae, Kwanganri, Songdo and Dadaepo. The local area subjected for this research was limited to areas near Busan.

창원시 대산면 강변충적층의 지하수위, 하천수위, 강수량의 관련성 연구

  • 정재열;함세영;김형수;차용훈;장성
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Soil and Groundwater Environment Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.447-450
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    • 2004
  • This study was conducted to characterize groundwater and river-water fluctuations at a riverbank filtration site in Daesan-myeon adjacent to the Nakdong River, using time series analysis. Water levels from six observation wells from January 2003 to October 2003 were measured. The autocorrelation analysis indicates that the wells are divided into three groups: group 1 represents strong linearity and memory, group 2 intermediate linearity and memory, and group 3 weak linearity and memory. The analysis indicates that groundwater levels in different monitoring wells vary in response to river-water levels, groundwater withdrawal and seasonal rainfall. Cross-correlation was also divided into three groups. Group 1 shows the highest cross-correlation function (0.49 - 0.54) for a lag time of 0 hours, group 2 intermediate cross-correlation function (0.34 - 0.45), and group 3 the lowest cross-correlation function (0.23 - 0.25). Different cross-correlation functions among the 3 groups are interpreted as an effect of tile distance from the river to the pumping wells.

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Analyzing Spatio-Temporal Variation of Groundwater Recharge in Jeju Island by using a Convolution Method (컨벌루션 기법을 이용한 제주도 지하수 함양량의 시공간적 변화 분석)

  • Shin, Kyung-Hee;Koo, Min-Ho;Chung, Il-Moon;Kim, Nam-Won;Kim, Gi-Pyo
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.625-635
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    • 2014
  • Temporal variation of groundwater levels in Jeju Island reveals time-delaying and dispersive process of recharge, mainly caused by the hydrogeological feature that thickness of the unsaturated zone is highly variable. Most groundwater flow models have limitations on delineating temporal variation of recharge, although it is a major component of the groundwater flow system. A new mathematical model was developed to generate time series of recharge from precipitation data. The model uses a convolution technique to simulate the time-delaying and dispersive process of recharge. The vertical velocity and the dispersivity are two parameters determining the time series of recharge for a given thickness of the unsaturated zone. The model determines two parameters by correlating the generated recharge time series with measured groundwater levels. The model was applied to observation wells of Jeju Island, and revealed distinctive variations of recharge depending on location of wells. The suggested model demonstrated capability of the convolution method in dealing with recharge undergoing the time-delaying and dispersive process. Therefore, it can be used in many groundwater flow models for generating a time series of recharge.

NDVI time series analysis over central China and Mongolia

  • Park, Youn-Young;Lee, Ga-Lam;Yeom, Jong-Min;Lee, Chang-Suk;Han, Kyung-Soo
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.224-227
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    • 2008
  • Land cover and its changes, affecting multiple aspects of the environmental system such as energy balance, biogeochemical cycles, hydrological cycles and the climate system, are regarded as critical elements in global change studies. Especially in arid and semiarid regions, the observation of ecosystem that is sensitive to climate change can improve an understanding of the relationships between climate and ecosystem dynamics. The purpose of this research is analyzing the ecosystem surrounding the Gobi desert in North Asia quantitatively as well as qualitatively more concretely. We used Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) derived from SPOT-VEGETATION (VGT) sensor during 1999${\sim}$2007. Ecosystem monitoring of this area is necessary because it is a hot spot in global environment change. This study will allow predicting areas, which are prone to the rapid environmental change. Eight classes were classified and compare with MODerate resolution Imaging Spectrometer (MODIS) global land cover. The time-series analysis was carried out for these 8 classes. Class-1 and -2 have least amplitude variation with low NDVI as barren areas, while other vegetated classes increase in May and decrease in October (maximum value occurs in July and August). Although the several classes have the similar features of NDVI time-series, we detected a slight difference of inter-annual variation among these classes.

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A Least Square Fit Analysis on the Earth's Polar Motion Time Series: Implication against Smylie's Conjecture (지구의 극운동에 대한 최소제곱법 분석: 스마일리의 추측에 상반됨)

  • Chung, Tae-Woong;Na, Sung-Ho
    • Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.91-96
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    • 2016
  • From the Earth's polar motion time series (IERS 08 C04, since 1981), after removal of seasonal variation by band-pass filtering, we acquired Earth's free Eulerian motion (Chandler wobble) time series. By successive least square error fittings on it, we analyzed amplitude and phase variation of Chandler wobble. We attempted to identify any precursory behavior of the pole before large earthquakes but only to fail. Unlike Smylie's conjecture there was no appreciable motion of the Earth's pole detected at around the each times of recent six largest earthquakes of magnitude over 8.5.