• Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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• v.9 no.3
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• pp.183-190
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• 1993

For the efficient control of photochemical smog materials, the researches on the change patterns of photochemical smog precursors are indispensable. In this study, a time-series analysis was performed for the auto-monitoring data of Kwanghwamun and Jamsil stations in 1990, and the change patterns of photochemical smog materials were studied. Especially, auto-correlation coefficients were analyzed to investigate the cyclic characteristics of pollutants in question and cross-correlation coefficients to investigate the correlations between pollutants adjusted for time lag and between $O_3$ and meteorological factors. Results of researches are as follows: First, in the case of NO and $NO_2$ intimately related to human activities, 12-hour cycle was prevalent. But $O_3$ showed 24-hour cycle. Second, NO showed a relatively high correlation with $O_3$ and usually developed into $O_3$ 5 to 7 hours later. Third, temperature, insolation intensity, and wind speed showed a positive correlation with $O_3$ while relative humidity a negative correlation.

• Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences
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• v.54 no.4
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• pp.611-622
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• 2018

Observed climate data are processed under the assumption that their time series are stationary, as in multi-step temperature and precipitation prediction, which usually leads to low prediction accuracy. If a climate system model is based on a single prediction model, the prediction results contain significant uncertainty. In order to overcome this drawback, this study uses a method that integrates ensemble prediction and a stepwise regression model based on a mean-valued generation function. In addition, it utilizes empirical mode decomposition (EMD), which is a new method of handling time series. First, a non-stationary time series is decomposed into a series of intrinsic mode functions (IMFs), which are stationary and multi-scale. Then, a different prediction model is constructed for each component of the IMF using numerical ensemble prediction combined with stepwise regression analysis. Finally, the results are fit to a linear regression model, and a short-term climate prediction system is established using the Visual Studio development platform. The model is validated using temperature data from February 1957 to 2005 from 88 weather stations in Guangxi, China. The results show that compared to single-model prediction methods, the EMD and ensemble prediction model is more effective for forecasting climate change and abrupt climate shifts when using historical data for multi-step prediction.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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• v.28 no.2
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• pp.239-246
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• 2010

Satellite image has capability of getting a broad data rapidly. It is possible that acquisition of change information about topography, land, ecosystem and urbanization etc. from multi-temporal satellite Images. In this study, the time-series change of vegetation has detected using four period Landsat Imageries. Also, NDVI was used to recognize the vitality of vegetation. Time series change of vegetation about study area was able to detect effectively by the results of classification and NDVI. It is expected that this study should be utilized as the decision making related to the effective management and plan establishment.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.35 no.1
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• pp.63-75
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• 2022

This paper proposes the so-called MOSUM-based sparse projection method for change points detection in high-dimensional time series. Our method is inspired by Wang and Samworth (2018), however, our method improves their method in two ways. One is to find change points all at once, so it minimizes sequential error. The other is localized so that more robust to the mean changes offsetting each other. We also propose data-driven threshold selection using block wild bootstrap. A comprehensive simulation study shows that our method performs reasonably well in finite samples. We also illustrate our method to stock prices consisting of S&P 500 index, and found four change points in recent 6 years.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.42 no.1
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• pp.129-136
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• 2019

In this study, we proposed a model for forecasting power energy demand by investigating how outside temperature at a given time affected power consumption and. To this end, we analyzed the time series of power consumption in terms of the power spectrum and found the periodicities of one day and one week. With these periodicities, we investigated two time series of temperature and power consumption, and found, for a given hour, an approximate linear relation between temperature and power consumption. We adopted an exponential smoothing model to examine the effect of the linearity in forecasting the power demand. In particular, we adjusted the exponential smoothing model by using the variation of power consumption due to temperature change. In this way, the proposed model became a mixture of a time series model and a regression model. We demonstrated that the adjusted model outperformed the exponential smoothing model alone in terms of the mean relative percentage error and the root mean square error in the range of 3%~8% and 4kWh~27kWh, respectively. The results of this study can be used to the energy management system in terms of the effective control of the cross usage of the electric energy together with the outside temperature.

• Journal of Power System Engineering
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• v.6 no.3
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• pp.64-70
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• 2002

A fast decoupled algorithm for time domain simulation of power electronics circuits is presented. The circuits can be arbitrarily configured and can incorporate feedback amplifier circuits. This simulation algorithm is performed for the input series output parallel connected 2 switch forward converter. Steady state and large signal transient responses due to a step load change are simulated. The simulation results are verified through experiments.

• Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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• 2002.07a
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• pp.533-537
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• 2002

A fast time domain modeling and simulation is performed for the input-series-output-parallel connected 2-switch forward converter Steady-state and large-signal transient responses due to a step load change are simulated. The simulation results are verified through experiments.

• Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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• 2001.11a
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• pp.185-189
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• 2001

In this paper, we consider the problem of testing for parameter changes in time series models based on a sequential test. Although the test procedure is well-established for the mean and variance change, a general parameter case has not been discussed in the literature. Therefore, we develop a sequential test for parameter changes in a more general framework.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry, and Cartography Conference
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• 2010.04a
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• pp.379-380
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• 2010

GIS has the basic ability to process high-dense and precise digital data like LiDAR. But the software that common users can use when necessary is expensive and practically impossible for actual use. Thus this study set out to research the methodologies to process and service time series LiDAR data for landslide monitoring.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.22 no.2
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• pp.80-92
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• 2023

As cities are becoming densely populated, previously unexpected events such as crimes, accidents, and infectious diseases are bound to affect user demands. With a time-series prediction of demand using information with uncertainty, it is impossible to derive reliable results. In particular, the COVID-19 outbreak in early 2020 caused changes in abnormal travel patterns and made it difficult to predict demand for time series. A methodology that accurately predicts demand by detecting and reflecting these changes is, therefore, required. The current study suggests a time series modeling pipeline that automatically detects and predicts abnormal events caused by COVID-19. We expect its wide application in various situations where there is a change in demand due to irregular and abnormal events.