• 제목/요약/키워드: time weighted average model

검색결과 83건 처리시간 0.029초

시간가충치 평균모델을 이용한 이산화질소의 노출평가 및 예측 (Exposure Assessment and Estimation of Personal Exposure for Nitrogen Dioxide Using Time Weighted Average Model)

  • 양원호;이선화;백도명
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.251-258
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    • 2001
  • Indoor and outdoor nitrogen dioxide(NO$_2$) concentrations of 122 houses were measured and compared with measurements of personal NO$_2$ exposure simultaneously . Time activity patterns were used to determine the impacts on NO$_2$ exposure assessment and time weighed average model to estimate the personal NO$_2$ exposure. Most people spent their times more than 80% of indoor and more than 50% in home, respectively. Personal NO$_2$ esposure was found to be significantly associated with both indoor NO$_2$ concentration(r=0.70) and outdoor NO$_2$ concentration (r=0.68). Using time weighted average model, personal NO$_2$ exposure was estimated with NO$_2$ measurements in indoor home, indoor workplace and outdoor home. The estimated NO$_2$ measurements were significantly correlated with measured personal exposures(r=0.69, N=122). For the difference between measured and estimated NO$_2$ exposures by multiple regression analysis showed that NO$_2$ concentrations in near workplace and other outdoors of no NO$_2$ measurements affected the personal NO$_2$ exposures(p=0.023).

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제철소 근로자의 벤젠/톨루엔/크실렌 국소환경 측정을 이용한 총 노출 예측 (Estimation of Total Exposure to Benzene, Toluene and Xylene by Microenvironmental Measurements for Iron Mill Workers)

  • 김영희;양원호;손부순
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제33권5호
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    • pp.359-364
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    • 2007
  • The aim of this study were to assess the personal exposure to volatile organic compounds (VOCs) and to estimate the personal exposure using time-weighted average model. Three target VOCs (benzene, toluene, xylene) were analyzed in personal exposure samples and residential indoor, residential outdoor and workplace indoor microenvironments samples in the iron mill 30 workers during working 5 days. Personal exposure to VOCs significantly correlated with workplace concentration p<0.05), suggesting workplace had strong source and major contribution to personal exposure. Personal exposure could be estimated with time activity pattern and time weighted average (TWA) model of residential indoor and workplace concentrations measured. Time weighted mean microenvironments concentrations were close approximately of personal exposure concentrations. Total exposure for participants can be estimated by TWA with microenvironments measurements and time activity pattern.

평일과 주말의 활동변화에 따른 대학생들의 이산화질소 노출 (Determination of Nitrogen Dioxide Exposure for University Students by Activity Pattern of Weekday and Weekend)

  • 양원호;손부순;박종안;정문호
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.58-64
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    • 2000
  • Indoor air quality tends to be the dominant contributor to personal exposure, because most people spend over 80% of their time indoors. In this study, indoor and outdoor NO$_2$ concentrations were measured and compared with simultaneously personal exposures of 21 university students in weekday and weekend. House characteristics and activity pattern were used to determine the impacts of these factors on personal exposure. Since university students spent most of their times in indoor, their NO$_2$ exposure was associated with indoor NO$_2$ level rather than outdoor NO$_2$ level both weekday and weekend in spite of different time activity. Using time-weighted average model, NO$_2$ exposures of university students were estimated by NO$_2$ measurements in indoor home, indoor school, and outdoor home levels. Estimated NO$_2$ personal exposures were significantly correlated with measured NO$_2$ personal exposures($r^2$=0.87). However, estimated personal NO$_2$ exposures by time-weighted average model were underestimated, comparing with the measured personal NO$_2$ exposure. Using multiple regression analysis, effect of personal NO$_2$ exposure for transportation was confirmed.

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지수 가중 이동 평균 관리도를 이용한 소프트웨어 고장 시간 비교분석에 관한 연구 (The Study for Comparative Analysis of Software Failure Time Using EWMA Control Chart)

  • 김희철;신현철
    • 융합보안논문지
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.33-39
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    • 2008
  • 소트프웨어 고장 시간은 테스팅 시간과 관계없이 일정하거나. 단조증가 혹은 단조 감소 추세를 가지고 있다. 이러한 소프트웨어 신뢰모형들을 분석하기 위한 자료척도로 자료에 대한 추세 검정이 개발되어 있다. 추세 분석에는 산술평균 검정과 라플라스 추세 검정등이 있다. 추세분석들은 전체적인 자료의 개요의 정보만 제공한다. 본 논문에서는 고장시간을 측정하는 도중에 지수가중 이동 평균 관리도를 이용하여 관리 상태에 있는 자료만 가지고 정보분석을 해야 효율성이 있을 것으로 판단된다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 기존의 추세 검정과 지수가중이동평균 관리도를 사용하여 실제 소프트웨어 자료를 비교 분석하는 것을 목표로 하고 있다.

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동적 데이터베이스 기반 태풍 진로 예측 (Dynamic data-base Typhoon Track Prediction (DYTRAP))

  • 이윤제;권혁조;주동찬
    • 대기
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.209-220
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    • 2011
  • A new consensus algorithm for the prediction of tropical cyclone track has been developed. Conventional consensus is a simple average of a few fixed models that showed the good performance in track prediction for the past few years. Meanwhile, the consensus in this study is a weighted average of a few models that may change for every individual forecast time. The models are selected as follows. The first step is to find the analogous past tropical cyclone tracks to the current track. The next step is to evaluate the model performances for those past tracks. Finally, we take the weighted average of the selected models. More weight is given to the higher performance model. This new algorithm has been named as DYTRAP (DYnamic data-base Typhoon tRAck Prediction) in the sense that the data base is used to find the analogous past tracks and the effective models for every individual track prediction case. DYTRAP has been applied to all 2009 tropical cyclone track prediction. The results outperforms those of all models as well as all the official forecasts of the typhoon centers. In order to prove the real usefulness of DYTRAP, it is necessary to apply the DYTRAP system to the real time prediction because the forecast in typhoon centers usually uses 6-hour or 12-hour-old model guidances.

심근경색 모델에서 자기공명영상에 대한 비교 연구 (Comparative Study of the Magnetic Resonance Imaging in Myocardial Infarction model)

  • 임청환;정홍량;김정구
    • 대한방사선기술학회지:방사선기술과학
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.19-22
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    • 2001
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate time course of signal enhancement on Gadomer-17 enhance MRI, and to correlate the size of enhanced area with that of the infarct area on 2'3'5'-triphenyl tetrazolium chloride(TTC) histochemical examination for the assessment of myocardial viability in reperfused Myocardial Infarction in a cat model. Tan cats(average weight: 3.8 kg) which had undergone 90 minutes of occlusion of the LAD followed by 90 minutes of reperfusion underwent MR T2-weighted imaging, and T1-weighted imaging, enhanced T1-weighted imaging. We used 1.5T Magneton Vision MRI system(Siemens, Erlangen, Germany). Signal intensities were measured in the enhanced and non-enhanced areas of enhanced T1-weighted imaging. and TTC histochemical staining the size of the abnormal signal area on each image was compared with that of the infarct area. Maximum enhancement was detected during a $40{\sim}60$ minute period with an average enhancement of $168{\pm}9.9%$ of normal myocardium. TTC staining revealed that the size of the high signal area on T2-weighted images and of the enhanced area on enhanced T1-weighted images was greater than that of the infarct area($T2=48.1%{\pm}3.7$, enhanced $T1=47.2%{\pm}2.6$, TTC $staining=38.7%{\pm}3.1$ ; p<0.05). In reperfused Myocardial Infarction in a cat model, enhanced MR imaging delineates reversibly and irreversibly damaged myocardium, with a strong enhancement and a broad temporal window. We may therefore expect that enhanced MR image is useful for demonstrating myocardial injury.

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정량적 강우강도 정확도 향상을 위한 단일편파와 이중편파레이더 강수량 합성 (Merging Radar Rainfalls of Single and Dual-polarization Radar to Improve the Accuracy of Quantitative Precipitation Estimation)

  • 이재경;김지현;박혜숙;석미경
    • 대기
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.365-378
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    • 2014
  • The limits of S-band dual-polarization radars in Korea are not reflected on the recent weather forecasts of Korea Meteorological Administration and furthermore, they are only utilized for rainfall estimations and hydrometeor classification researches. Therefore, this study applied four merging methods [SA (Simple Average), WA (Weighted Average), SSE (Sum of Squared Error), TV (Time-varying mergence)] to the QPE (Quantitative Precipitation Estimation) model [called RAR (Radar-AWS Rainfall) calculation system] using single-polarization radars and S-band dual-polarization radar in order to improve the accuracy of the rainfall estimation of the RAR calculation system. As a result, the merging results of the WA and SSE methods, which are assigned different weights due to the accuracy of the individual model, performed better than the popular merging method, the SA (Simple Average) method. In particular, the results of TVWA (Time-Varying WA) and TVSSE (Time-Varying SSE), which were weighted differently due to the time-varying model error and standard deviation, were superior to the WA and SSE. Among of all the merging methods, the accuracy of the TVWA merging results showed the best performance. Therefore, merging the rainfalls from the RAR calculation system and S-band dual-polarization radar using the merging method proposed by this study enables to improve the accuracy of the quantitative rainfall estimation of the RAR calculation system. Moreover, this study is worthy of the fundamental research on the active utilization of dual-polarization radar for weather forecasts.

NEWFM 기반 가중평균 역퍼지화에 의한 비선형 시계열 예측 모델링 (Nonlinear Time Series Prediction Modeling by Weighted Average Defuzzification Based on NEWFM)

  • 채수한;임준식
    • 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.563-568
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    • 2007
  • 본 논문은 가중 퍼지소속함수 기반 신경망(Neural Network with Weighted Fuzzy Membership Functions, NEWFM)을 이용하여 클래스의 분류강도를 구하고 비선형 시계열 추이선을 예측하는 방안을 제안하고 있다. NEWFM에 의하여 추출된 가중퍼지 소속함수(BSWFM)를 이용하여 입력값에 대한 분류강도를 구하게 되고, 이들에 대한 가중평균 역퍼지화를 통하여 비선형 시계열 추이선을 작성한다. 실증분석결과 NEWFM은 목표 클래스로 설정된 GDP에 대하여 92.22%의 분류성능을 보여 주었다. 따라서 동 비선형 시계열 추이선은 대표적인 경기지표인 GDP 추이에 비교적 높은 유사도를 나타내는 가운데 분석대상기간인 제5순환기-제8순환기 중 정점(peak)에서 평균 12개월, 저점(trough)에서 평균 6개월의 선행성(look-ahead)을 보여 줌으로써 경기변동에 앞서 상당기간의 시차를 둔 예측지표로서 활용가능성이 입증되었다. NEWFM은 그 특징선택(feature selection)에 의하여 선행지표 10개 중 3개의 축소를 기할 수 있게 해 줌으로써 보다 적은 수의 경제지표를 가지고도 분류성능을 90.0%에서 92.22%로 향상을 기하는 가운데 효율적인 예측기능을 수행할 수 있음이 입증되었다.

A Combined Process Control Procedure by Monitoring and Repeated Adjustment

  • Park, Changsoon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.773-788
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    • 2000
  • Statistical process control (SPC) and engineering process control (EPC) are based on different strategies for processes quality improvement. SPC reduces process variability by detecting and eliminating special causes of process variation. while EPC reduces process variability by adjusting compensatory variables to keep the quality variable close to target. Recently there has been needs for a process control proceduce which combines the tow strategies. This paper considers a combined scheme which simultaneously applies SPC and EPC techniques to reduce the variation of a process. The process model under consideration is an integrated moving average(IMA) process with a step shift. The EPC part of the scheme adjusts the process back to target at every fixed monitoring intervals, which is referred to a repeated adjustment scheme. The SPC part of the scheme uses an exponentially weighted moving average(EWMA) of observed deviation from target to detect special causes. A Markov chain model is developed to relate the scheme's expected cost per unit time to the design parameters of he combined control scheme. The expected cost per unit time is composed of off-target cost, adjustment cost, monitoring cost, and false alarm cost.

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