• 한국산림과학회지
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• 제101권1호
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• pp.28-35
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• 2012

강우는 산사태를 야기하는 주된 요인으로 최근 우리나라에서 대부분의 산사태는 단기간의 집중호우로 인해 발생하고 있으나, 강우특성과 산사태 발생간의 관계는 아직 명확히 규명되지 못하고 있는 실정이다. 이 논문에서는 2011년 6월 7월에 남부지방과 중부지방에서 집중호우로 야기된 18개의 산사태를 대상으로 연속강우 개시 이후의 누적강우량(mm)과 강우강도(mm/hr) 및 선행강우량(mm)을 해석하여 산사태 발생과의 관계를 분석하였다. 그 결과, 산사태는 모두 연속강우 개시 이후 1~3일간의 집중호우에 의해 강우강도가 30 mm/hr이상, 혹은 누적강우량이 200 mm이상인 경우에 발생한 것으로 나타났다. 이는 산림청의 산사태 경보발령 기준을 상회하는 범위에서 발생한 것으로 나타났으며, 경상남도에서 보고된 산사태 발생영역과도 일치하였다. 또한, 강우개시 이후 산사태 발생까지의 소요시간(T)은 평균 강우강도(ARI)가 증가할수록 점차 단축되는 것으로 나타났으며, 이들 사이의 관계는 지수함수식 "T = $94.569{\cdot}exp$($-0.068{\cdot}ARI$)($R^2$=0.64, p<0.001)"로 도출되었다. 이러한 결과는 산림청의 산사태 주의보 경보발령 기준에 있어 중요한 근거가 될 수 있으며, 토사재해에 대한 경계피난체계 등의 비구조물 대책의 수립에도 기초자료를 제공할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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• 제32권2호
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• pp.196-204
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• 2016

In this study, vegetation succession and the rate of consequent topsoil development were investigated in shallow landslide scars of sedimentary rock slopes covered by volcanic ashes and pumice in Kagoshima prefecture, Japan. Seven shallow landslide scars of different ages were selected as study areas. In the initial period after the occurrence of a shallow landslide, deciduous broad-leaved trees such as Mallotus japonicus or Callicarpa mollis were occupied in the areas. Approximately 30 years after the landslide, evergreen broad-leaved trees such as Cinnamomum japonicum invaded in the areas, already existed present deciduous broad-leaved trees. After 50 years, the summit of the canopy comprised evergreen broad-leaved trees such as Castanopsis cuspidata var. sieboldii and Machilus thunbergii. Moreover, the diversity of vegetation invading the site reached the maximum after 15 years, followed by a decrease and stability in the number of trees. The total basal areas under vegetation increased with time. It was concluded that the vegetation community reaches the climax stage approximately 50 years after the occurrence of a shallow landslide in the study areas, in terms of the Fisher-Williams index of diversity (${\alpha}$) and the prevalence of evergreen broad-leaved trees. Moreover, according to the results of topsoil measurement in the study areas, the topsoil was formed at the rate of 0.31 cm/year. The development of topsoil usually functions to improve the multi-faceted functions of a forest. However, when the increased depth of topsoil exceeds the stability threshold, the conditions for a shallow landslide occurrence are satisfied. Therefore, we indicated to control the depth of topsoil and strengthen its resistance by forest management in order to restrain the occurrence of shallow landslides.

• 지질공학
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• 제18권2호
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• pp.191-196
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• 2008

이 연구는 집중호우시 산사태의 발생가능성과 발생시간을 사전에 예측하기 위한 노력의 일환으로 기존에 개발된 RTI 경보모델을 우리나라에 적용 분석한 사례이다. RTI(Rainfall Triggering Index)는 강우강도(I) 유효 누적강우량($R_t$)의 곱으로 정의되는 것으로서, 강우기간 동안 특정 시간(t)에서 산사태가 발생할 가능성을 평가하는데 사용된다. RTI의 상부임계값($RTI_{UC}$)과 하부임계값($RTI_{LC}$) 과거 산사태 발생시 강우자료 분석을 통해 각 지역별로 설정할 수 있으며, 강우강도가 상부임계값을 초과할 때 실제 산사태가 발생하는 것으로 이해할 수 있다. 이러한 분석은 궁극적으로 향후 집중호우가 내릴 경우 특정지역의 산사태 발생가능성은 물론 산사태 발생시기를 예상할 수 있으며, 이를 토대로 사전에 산사태 발생경보를 발령하는데 중요한 근거로 활용될 수 있다. 이와 같은 이론을 우리나라에 적용하기 위해 2006년 7월 13일부터 7월 19일까지 강원도 인제군 일대에 내린 강우자료와 산사태 발생과의 관계를 분석한 결과, 실제 산사태가 발생한 7월16일 오전 11시경을 기준으로 23시간, 11시간, 9시간 전에 강우강도가 RTI의 상부임계값을 초과하였다. 이를 토대로 이와 같은 세 차례에 걸친 산사태 경보의 발령이 필요하였음을 알 수 있었다.

• 지질공학
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• 제29권4호
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• pp.541-552
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• 2019

본 연구에서는 강우침투에 따른 사면 내 지반특성변화 및 붕괴특성을 파악하기 위해 산사태 모형실험을 수행하였다. 실험재료로는 국내에서 산사태가 가장 빈번하게 발생하는 화강암 풍화토와 편마암 풍화토를 사용하였고, 시간당 200 mm의 극한강우를 살수함으로써 사면붕괴를 유발하였다. 계측기는 모형사면의 선단부, 사면부, 정상부에 심도별로 천부(GL-0.2 m), 중부(GL-0.4 m), 심부(GL-0.6 m)의 위치에 3 set씩 설치하였고, 데이터는 10초 간격으로 측정하였다. 실험이 종료된 후 실험조건별 지반특성변화를 토대로 불포화이론을 적용하여 사면안정해석을 하였으며, 이를 실제 붕괴형태와 비교·분석을 하였다. 분석결과 사면안전율은 붕괴형태에 대한 현상을 반영하였고, 강우가 침투함에 따라 급격하게 감소하면서 사면붕괴에 이르는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 사면안전율이 1 이하로 떨어지는 시점과 실제 붕괴시점을 비교해보았을 때 화강암 풍화토의 경우 평균 1,600초, 편마암 풍화토의 경우 평균 5,400초 차이가 나타났다.

• 산업기술연구
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• 제28권A호
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• pp.3-10
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• 2008

This paper is to investigate the characteristics of debris flow landslides in Gangwon Province through literature review, data collection and analyses and site investigation. As results of data analyses about landslides occurred currently in this province, the landslide in the form of debris flow is found to be 55 %. Therefore major loss and costs are caused by discharge of soil and rock fragments from landslide. From results of analyzing the geometrical characteristics of landslide, length of most of landslide is less than 200 m, their width is in the range of 10 - 40 m, most of them are know to be occurred in lower elevation than 400 m. Slope angle is in the range of 25 - 35 degrees. Comparing the period of rainfall intensity with the time of landslide being occurred, occurrence of landslide is quite related to duration of a heavy rainfall. For measures of controlling water flow discharge and debris flow, considering geological and topographical ground conditions, appropriate selection and building check dam, erosion control dam and ring net is very beneficial for reducing the loss and costs caused by the landslide of debris flow.

• Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
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• 제52권4호
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• pp.319-330
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• 2024

The present study aimed to investigate the death years of conifers to verify the time difference between landslide occurrence in 2011 and tree mortality near Chibanmok and Jangteomok shelters in the Jirisan National Park. Furthermore, abrupt growth reduction was also investigated to verify the living conditions when they were living. For the study, tree-ring analysis was conducted by selecting 14 living Abies koreana near the landslide area and 7 dead ones in the landslide area in the Chibanmok site, and 13 living conifers (7 Picea jezoensis, 5 A. koreana, and 1 Pinus koraiensis) near landslide area and 4 dead ones (2 P. jezoensis and 2 A. koreana) in landslide area in the Jangteomok site. Using the tree-ring samples from living A. koreana 137-year long chronology (1885-2021) was established for the Chibanmok site and 364- and 65-year long P. jezoensis (1658-2021) and A. koreana (1957-2021) chronologies was built for the Jangteomok site. Through the synchronization test between the tree-ring time series from dead conifers and the corresponding chronologies, it was verified that the death of conifers in the landslide areas occurred after 2011, when the landslide happened, except for only one tree. It was further verified through the abrupt growth reduction test that the growth condition of dead conifers before the landslide in 2011 was satisfactory.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2015년도 학술발표회
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• pp.245-245
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• 2015

In the recent years, due to long-lasting heavy rainfall events, a large number of landslides have been observed in the mountainous area of the world. Such landslides can also form a dam as it blocks the course of a river, which may burst and cause a catastrophic flood. Numerical analysis of landslide dam formation is rarely available, while laboratory experimental studies often use assumed shape to analyze the landslide dam failure and flood hydraulics in downstream. In this study, both experimental and numerical studies have been carried out to investigate the formation of landslide dam. Two case laboratory experiments were conducted in two flumes simultaneously. The first flume (2.0 m 0.6 m 0.5 m) was set at $22^{\circ}$ and $27^{\circ}$ slope to generate the landslide using rainfall intensity of 70.0 mm/hr. On the other hand, the second flume (1.5 m 0.25 m 0.3 m) was set perpendicularly at the downstream end of the first flume to receive the landslide mass forming landslide dam. The formation of landslide dam was observed at $15^{\circ}$ slope of the second flume. The whole processes including the landslide initiation and movement of the landslide mass into the second channel was captured by three digital cameras. In numerical analysis, a two-dimensional (2D) seepage flow model, a 2D slope stability model (Spencer method) and a 2D landslide dam-geometry evaluation model were coupled as a single unit. This developed model can determine the landslide occurrence time, the failure mass and the geometry of landslide dam deposited in the second channel. The data obtained from numerical simulation results has good agreement with the experimental measurements.

• 한국지형학회지
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.87-103
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• 2020

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the risk of cropland and man-made infrastructures in a landslide-prone area using a GIS-based method. To achieve this goal, a landslide inventory map was prepared based on aerial photograph analysis as well as field observations. A total of 550 landslides have been counted in the entire study area. For model analysis and validation, extracted landslides were randomly selected and divided into two groups. The landslide causative factors such as slope, aspect, curvature, topographic wetness index, elevation, forest type, forest crown density, geology, land-use, soil drainage, and soil texture were used in the analysis. Moreover, to identify the correlation between landslides and causative factors, pixels were divided into several classes and frequency ratio was also extracted. A landslide susceptibility map was constructed using a bayesian predictive model (BPM) based on the entire events. In the cross validation process, the landslide susceptibility map as well as observation data were plotted with a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve then the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated and tried to extract a success rate curve. The results showed that, the BPM produced 85.8% accuracy. We believed that the model was acceptable for the landslide susceptibility analysis of the study area. In addition, for risk assessment, monetary value (local) and vulnerability scale were added for each social thematic data layers, which were then converted into US dollar considering landslide occurrence time. Moreover, the total number of the study area pixels and predictive landslide affected pixels were considered for making a probability table. Matching with the affected number, 5,000 landslide pixels were assumed to run for final calculation. Based on the result, cropland showed the estimated total risk as US $ 35.4 million and man-made infrastructure risk amounted to US $ 39.3 million.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2016년도 학술발표회
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• pp.202-202
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• 2016

Despite the potentially major influence of rainstorm patterns on the prediction of shallow landslides, this relationship has not yet received significant attention. In this study, five typical temporal rainstorm patterns with the same cumulative amount and intensity components comprising Advanced (A1 and A2), Centralized (C), and Delayed (D1 and D2) were designed based on a historical rainstorm event occurred in 2006 in Mt. Jinbu area. The patterns were incorporated as the hydrological conditions into the Transient Rainfall Infiltration and Grid-based Regional Slope-stability Model (TRIGRS), in order to assess their influences on pore pressure variation and changes in the stability of the covering soil layer in the study area. The results revealed that not only the cumulative rainfall thresholds necessary to initiate landslides, but also the rate at which the factor of safety (FS) decreases and the time required to reach the critical state, are governed by rainstorm pattern. The sooner the peak rainfall intensity occurs, the smaller the cumulative rainfall threshold, and the shorter the time until landslide occurrence. Left-skewed rainfall patterns were found to have a greater effect on landslide initiation. More specifically, among the five different patterns, the Advanced storm pattern (A1) produced the most critical state, as it resulted in the highest pore pressure across the entire area for the shortest duration; the severity of response was then followed by patterns A2, C, D1, and D2. Thus, it can be concluded that rainfall patterns have a significant effect on the cumulative rainfall threshold, the build-up of pore pressure, and the occurrence of shallow landslides, both in space and time.

• 센서학회지
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• 제24권5호
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• pp.291-298
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• 2015

우리나라와 같이 강우에 의해 산사태가 주로 발생하는 경우 산사태의 탐지 또는 조기경보는 실시간 산사태 모니터링을 수행하는 것이 가장 효율적인 방법이다. 그러나, 국내에서는 인공사면 계측을 제외하고 자연사면 산사태를 대상으로 연구된 사례가 상당히 드물고, 비교적 최근에 관련 연구가 시작되었다. 자연사면 산사태와 인공사면 붕괴는 메커니즘이 서로 상이하므로, 모니터링의 개념과 기법도 서로 다르게 접근하여야 한다. 따라서 국내 산사태의 90%이상을 차지하는 자연사면 산사태에 대한 실시간 모니터링 기술이 적극적으로 연구되고 관련기술이 개발되어야 한다. 특히 최근의 극한강우에 의한 산사태는 전통적 개념의 개별 모니터링 센서를 이용한 방법으로는 측정의 정확성이나 신속성에 한계가 있기 때문에 재해탐지의 효율성을 높이기 위해 복수의 모니터링 항목을 결합하여 다각도의 모니터링 및 발생시점 예측이 반드시 필요하다. 현재 국내에서 사용 중인 산사태 모니터링 관련 센서는 80% 이상이 해외에서 개발된 제품을 그대로 수입하여 사용하고 있어 고가의 비용을 지속적으로 지출하고 있을 뿐만 아니라, 해당 기술에 대한 원천성을 확보하지 못한 상태이다. 따라서, 국내의 산사태재해 증가추세와 기후변화 등을 고려할 때, 산사태 모니터링 센서의 수요가 더욱 증가할 것이 확실시 되며, 이를 대비하여 다학제적 연구과 기술개발을 통해 기술 및 장치의 국산화가 이루어져야 하고, 이를 기반으로 실질적인 재해방지 노력이 필요하다.